Kohl Center · at Wisconsin · Conference game
LineNo line yet
Total—
| This season | WIS | |
|---|---|---|
| 0-0 | Record | 0-0 |
| 0-0 | ATS | 0-0 |
| 0-0 | O/U | 0-0 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model: projects WIS 77–75 · win probability WIS 55%
Pick this game
Your picksMy picks ›
Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
—
model 151.8
Model edge
—
No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record
What could decide it
PUR 1, WIS 1 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: PUR 36.4%, WIS 29.1%. Defensive: PUR 72.9%, WIS 71.8%
Context
Tempo
About 68 possessions: PUR plays 65.4 a game (333rd fastest), WIS 70.0 (119th). Faster games mean more points
Home court
WIS at home. This season: WIS 0-0 at home, PUR 0-0 away
Even
Turnovers
Turnover rate: PUR 13.7%, WIS 12.8%. Forced: PUR 15.3%, WIS 14.3%
Even
WIS offense vs PUR defense
Offense 44th of 366 against a defense 18th, on the model’s ratings
Even
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: PUR 43%, WIS 54%. Transfers in: PUR 0, WIS 3. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
Context
Schedule so far
PUR has played the 6th-hardest schedule, WIS the 24th. A record against a soft schedule means less
Even
Free throws
Free throw rate: PUR 28.6, WIS 31.5. Allowed: PUR 25.5, WIS 29.9
Even
Shooting
Effective FG%: PUR 57.6 and allows 52.4; WIS 54.5 and allows 51.4
Even
PUR offense vs WIS defense
Offense 38th of 366 against a defense 40th, on the model’s ratings
Even
Three-pointers
PUR hits 38.3% and allows 34.1%; WIS hits 36.2% and allows 33.5%. Threes are 40.2% and 52.1% of their shots
Market
Open → current
Spread
Open—
no open
Now—
Opening line not available
Total
Open—
no open
Now—
Moneyline
—
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | — | WIS -1.5 | — |
| Total | — | 151.8 | — |
| Projected score | — | PUR 75.1 · WIS 76.6 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | WIS -0.8 | — |
| 1H total | 71.0 | — |
| 1H projected score | PUR 35.1 · WIS 35.9 | — |
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.
Last 10 games
2025-26
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8-2 80% | 4-6 40% | 6-4 60% | |
| 6-4 60% | 6-4 60% | 7-3 70% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 9 since 2021-22
PUR 4–5 WISWIS leads · 9 games since 2021-22 · PUR 2-7 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2025-26 | WIS 97 @ PUR 93 | PUR -9.5 | WIS W |
| Jan 3, 2025-26 | PUR 89 @ WIS 73 | WIS +5.5 | PUR W |
| Feb 15, 2024-25 | WIS 94 @ PUR 84 | PUR -6.5 | WIS W |
| Mar 16, 2023-24 | WIS 76 vs PUR 75 | PUR -5.5 | WIS W |
| Mar 10, 2023-24 | WIS 70 @ PUR 78 | PUR -9.5 | WIS W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Purdue
39 games played
Straight up
30-9
77% wins
Against the spread
17-22
44% covers · avg −0.2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
20-19
51% overs · avg +1.4 pts vs the total
Against the spread
17-2244%
2 straight misses ATS2 of last 4 covered
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | vs | W 82-51 | -33.5 | L −2.5 | 150.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 7 | vs | W 87-77 | -31.5 | L −21.5 | 158.5 | O 164 |
| Nov 13 | @ | W 87-80 | +3.5 | W +10.5 | 172.5 | U 167 |
| Nov 16 | vs | W 97-79 | -18.5 | L −0.5 | 163.5 | O 176 |
| Nov 20 | vs | W 80-71 | -14.5 | L −5.5 | 156.5 | U 151 |
| Nov 21 | vs | W 86-56 | -3.5 | W +26.5 | 153.5 | U 142 |
| Nov 28 | vs | W 109-62 | -40.5 | W +6.5 | 141.5 | O 171 |
| Dec 2 | @ | W 81-65 | -13.5 | W +2.5 | 146.5 | U 146 |
| Dec 6 | vs | L 58-81 | -4.5 | L −27.5 | 154.5 | U 139 |
| Dec 10 | vs | W 85-57 | -19.5 | W +8.5 | 143.5 | U 142 |
| Dec 13 | vs | W 79-59 | -16.5 | W +3.5 | 154.5 | U 138 |
| Dec 20 | vs | W 88-60 | -7.5 | W +20.5 | 152.5 | U 148 |
| Dec 29 | vs | W 101-60 | -24.5 | W +16.5 | 155.5 | O 161 |
| Jan 3 | @ | W 89-73 | -5.5 | W +10.5 | 153.5 | O 162 |
| Jan 7 | vs | W 81-73 | -16.5 | L −8.5 | 154.5 | U 154 |
| Jan 10 | vs | W 93-85 | -22.5 | L −14.5 | 152.5 | O 178 |
| Jan 14 | vs | W 79-72 | -10.5 | L −3.5 | 145.5 | O 151 |
| Jan 17 | @ | W 69-64 | -9.5 | L −4.5 | 155.5 | U 133 |
| Jan 20 | @ | L 67-69 | -5.5 | L −7.5 | 147.5 | U 136 |
| Jan 24 | vs | L 82-88 | -5.5 | L −11.5 | 152.5 | O 170 |
| Jan 27 | @ | L 67-72 | -4.5 | L −9.5 | 150.5 | U 139 |
| Feb 1 | @ | W 93-63 | -15.5 | W +14.5 | 148.5 | O 156 |
| Feb 7 | vs | W 68-64 | -19.5 | L −15.5 | 144.5 | U 132 |
| Feb 10 | @ | W 80-77 | +2.5 | W +5.5 | 146.5 | O 157 |
| Feb 14 | @ | W 78-57 | -2.5 | W +18.5 | 142.5 | U 135 |
| Feb 17 | vs | L 80-91 | +2.5 | L −8.5 | 156.5 | O 171 |
| Feb 20 | vs | W 93-64 | -11.5 | W +17.5 | 150.5 | O 157 |
| Feb 26 | vs | L 74-76 | -5.5 | L −7.5 | 143.5 | O 150 |
| Mar 1 | @ | L 74-82 | -6.5 | L −14.5 | 149.5 | O 156 |
| Mar 4 | @ | W 70-66 | -12.5 | L −8.5 | 145.5 | U 136 |
| Mar 7 | vs | L 93-97 | -9.5 | L −13.5 | 154.5 | O 190 |
| Mar 12 | vs | W 81-68 | -13.5 | L −0.5 | 139.5 | O 149 |
| Mar 13 | vs | W 74-58 | -4.5 | W +11.5 | 145.5 | U 132 |
| Mar 14 | vs | W 73-66 | -7.5 | L −0.5 | 143.5 | U 139 |
| Mar 15 | vs | W 80-72 | +4.5 | W +12.5 | 149.5 | O 152 |
| Mar 20 | vs | W 104-71 | -25.5 | W +7.5 | 159.5 | O 175 |
| Mar 22 | vs | W 79-69 | -8.5 | W +1.5 | 146.5 | O 148 |
| Mar 26 | vs | W 79-77 | -8.5 | L −6.5 | 146.5 | O 156 |
| Mar 28 | vs | L 64-79 | +5.5 | L −9.5 | 152.5 | U 143 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
vs
EVAN
W 82-51
−2.5
7
vs
OAK
W 87-77
−21.5
13
@
ALA
W 87-80
+10.5
16
vs
AKR
W 97-79
−0.5
20
vs
MEM
W 80-71
−5.5
21
vs
TTU
W 86-56
+26.5
28
vs
EIU
W 109-62
+6.5
2
@
RUTG
W 81-65
+2.5
6
vs
ISU
L 58-81
−27.5
10
vs
MINN
W 85-57
+8.5
13
vs
MARQ
W 79-59
+3.5
20
vs
AUB
W 88-60
+20.5
29
vs
KENT
W 101-60
+16.5
3
@
WIS
W 89-73
+10.5
7
vs
WASH
W 81-73
−8.5
10
vs
PSU
W 93-85
−14.5
14
vs
IOWA
W 79-72
−3.5
17
@
USC
W 69-64
−4.5
20
@
UCLA
L 67-69
−7.5
24
vs
ILL
L 82-88
−11.5
27
@
IU
L 67-72
−9.5
1
@
MD
W 93-63
+14.5
7
vs
ORE
W 68-64
−15.5
10
@
NEB
W 80-77
+5.5
14
@
IOWA
W 78-57
+18.5
17
vs
MICH
L 80-91
−8.5
20
vs
IU
W 93-64
+17.5
26
vs
MSU
L 74-76
−7.5
1
@
OSU
L 74-82
−14.5
4
@
NU
W 70-66
−8.5
7
vs
WIS
L 93-97
−13.5
12
vs
NU
W 81-68
−0.5
13
vs
NEB
W 74-58
+11.5
14
vs
UCLA
W 73-66
−0.5
15
vs
MICH
W 80-72
+12.5
20
vs
QUC
W 104-71
+7.5
22
vs
MIA
W 79-69
+1.5
26
vs
TEX
W 79-77
−6.5
28
vs
ARIZ
L 64-79
−9.5
covered 17didn’t cover 22avg −0.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
vs
EVAN
W 82-51
−17.5
7
vs
OAK
W 87-77
+5.5
13
@
ALA
W 87-80
−5.5
16
vs
AKR
W 97-79
+12.5
20
vs
MEM
W 80-71
−5.5
21
vs
TTU
W 86-56
−11.5
28
vs
EIU
W 109-62
+29.5
2
@
RUTG
W 81-65
−0.5
6
vs
ISU
L 58-81
−15.5
10
vs
MINN
W 85-57
−1.5
13
vs
MARQ
W 79-59
−16.5
20
vs
AUB
W 88-60
−4.5
29
vs
KENT
W 101-60
+5.5
3
@
WIS
W 89-73
+8.5
7
vs
WASH
W 81-73
−0.5
10
vs
PSU
W 93-85
+25.5
14
vs
IOWA
W 79-72
+5.5
17
@
USC
W 69-64
−22.5
20
@
UCLA
L 67-69
−11.5
24
vs
ILL
L 82-88
+17.5
27
@
IU
L 67-72
−11.5
1
@
MD
W 93-63
+7.5
7
vs
ORE
W 68-64
−12.5
10
@
NEB
W 80-77
+10.5
14
@
IOWA
W 78-57
−7.5
17
vs
MICH
L 80-91
+14.5
20
vs
IU
W 93-64
+6.5
26
vs
MSU
L 74-76
+6.5
1
@
OSU
L 74-82
+6.5
4
@
NU
W 70-66
−9.5
7
vs
WIS
L 93-97
+35.5
12
vs
NU
W 81-68
+9.5
13
vs
NEB
W 74-58
−13.5
14
vs
UCLA
W 73-66
−4.5
15
vs
MICH
W 80-72
+2.5
20
vs
QUC
W 104-71
+15.5
22
vs
MIA
W 79-69
+1.5
26
vs
TEX
W 79-77
+9.5
28
vs
ARIZ
L 64-79
−9.5
over 20under 19avg +1.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Wisconsin
35 games played
Straight up
24-11
69% wins
Against the spread
21-14
60% covers · avg +1.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
22-13
63% overs · avg +3.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs | W 96-64 | -20.5 | W +11.5 | 151.5 | O 160 |
| Nov 7 | vs | W 97-72 | -28.5 | L −3.5 | 157.5 | O 169 |
| Nov 11 | vs | W 86-55 | -26.5 | W +4.5 | 156.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 17 | vs | W 94-69 | -25.5 | L −0.5 | 146.5 | O 163 |
| Nov 21 | @ | L 70-98 | +4.5 | L −23.5 | 165.5 | O 168 |
| Nov 27 | vs | W 104-83 | -6.5 | W +14.5 | 166.5 | O 187 |
| Nov 28 | vs | L 63-74 | -5.5 | L −16.5 | 157.5 | U 137 |
| Dec 3 | vs | W 85-73 | -10.5 | W +1.5 | 155.5 | O 158 |
| Dec 6 | vs | W 96-76 | -11.5 | W +8.5 | 160.5 | O 172 |
| Dec 10 | @ | L 60-90 | +1.5 | L −28.5 | 158.5 | U 150 |
| Dec 19 | vs | L 66-76 | -3.5 | L −13.5 | 152.5 | U 142 |
| Dec 22 | vs | W 88-61 | -26.5 | W +0.5 | 152.5 | U 149 |
| Dec 30 | vs | W 80-60 | -19.5 | W +0.5 | 157.5 | U 140 |
| Jan 3 | vs | L 73-89 | +5.5 | L −10.5 | 153.5 | O 162 |
| Jan 6 | vs | W 80-72 | -3.5 | W +4.5 | 152.5 | U 152 |
| Jan 10 | @ | W 91-88 | +19.5 | W +22.5 | 169.5 | O 179 |
| Jan 13 | @ | W 78-75 | -1.5 | W +1.5 | 146.5 | O 153 |
| Jan 17 | vs | W 96-87 | -15.5 | L −6.5 | 149.5 | O 183 |
| Jan 22 | @ | W 98-71 | -5.5 | W +21.5 | 157.5 | O 169 |
| Jan 25 | vs | L 71-73 | -7.5 | L −9.5 | 158.5 | U 144 |
| Jan 28 | vs | W 67-63 | -9.5 | L −5.5 | 146.5 | U 130 |
| Jan 31 | vs | W 92-82 | -4.5 | W +5.5 | 155.5 | O 174 |
| Feb 7 | @ | L 77-78 | +3.5 | W +2.5 | 157.5 | U 155 |
| Feb 10 | @ | W 92-90 | +9.5 | W +11.5 | 153.5 | O 182 |
| Feb 13 | vs | W 92-71 | +1.5 | W +22.5 | 149.5 | O 163 |
| Feb 17 | @ | L 69-86 | +1.5 | L −15.5 | 157.5 | U 155 |
| Feb 22 | vs | W 84-71 | -2.5 | W +10.5 | 147.5 | O 155 |
| Feb 25 | @ | L 71-85 | -5.5 | L −19.5 | 152.5 | O 156 |
| Feb 28 | @ | W 90-73 | -1.5 | W +15.5 | 153.5 | O 163 |
| Mar 4 | vs | W 78-45 | -14.5 | W +18.5 | 153.5 | U 123 |
| Mar 7 | @ | W 97-93 | +9.5 | W +13.5 | 154.5 | O 190 |
| Mar 12 | vs | W 85-82 | -6.5 | L −3.5 | 157.5 | O 167 |
| Mar 13 | vs | W 91-88 | +8.5 | W +11.5 | 158.5 | O 179 |
| Mar 14 | vs | L 65-68 | +12.5 | W +9.5 | 161.5 | U 133 |
| Mar 19 | vs | L 82-83 | -10.5 | L −11.5 | 161.5 | O 165 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vs
CAM
W 96-64
+11.5
7
vs
NIU
W 97-72
−3.5
11
vs
BALL
W 86-55
+4.5
17
vs
SIUE
W 94-69
−0.5
21
@
BYU
L 70-98
−23.5
27
vs
PROV
W 104-83
+14.5
28
vs
TCU
L 63-74
−16.5
3
vs
NU
W 85-73
+1.5
6
vs
MARQ
W 96-76
+8.5
10
@
NEB
L 60-90
−28.5
19
vs
VILL
L 66-76
−13.5
22
vs
CMU
W 88-61
+0.5
30
vs
MILW
W 80-60
+0.5
3
vs
PUR
L 73-89
−10.5
6
vs
UCLA
W 80-72
+4.5
10
@
MICH
W 91-88
+22.5
13
@
MINN
W 78-75
+1.5
17
vs
RUTG
W 96-87
−6.5
22
@
PSU
W 98-71
+21.5
25
vs
USC
L 71-73
−9.5
28
vs
MINN
W 67-63
−5.5
31
vs
OSU
W 92-82
+5.5
7
@
IU
L 77-78
+2.5
10
@
ILL
W 92-90
+11.5
13
vs
MSU
W 92-71
+22.5
17
@
OSU
L 69-86
−15.5
22
vs
IOWA
W 84-71
+10.5
25
@
ORE
L 71-85
−19.5
28
@
WASH
W 90-73
+15.5
4
vs
MD
W 78-45
+18.5
7
@
PUR
W 97-93
+13.5
12
vs
WASH
W 85-82
−3.5
13
vs
ILL
W 91-88
+11.5
14
vs
MICH
L 65-68
+9.5
19
vs
HPU
L 82-83
−11.5
covered 21didn’t cover 14avg +1.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vs
CAM
W 96-64
+8.5
7
vs
NIU
W 97-72
+11.5
11
vs
BALL
W 86-55
−15.5
17
vs
SIUE
W 94-69
+16.5
21
@
BYU
L 70-98
+2.5
27
vs
PROV
W 104-83
+20.5
28
vs
TCU
L 63-74
−20.5
3
vs
NU
W 85-73
+2.5
6
vs
MARQ
W 96-76
+11.5
10
@
NEB
L 60-90
−8.5
19
vs
VILL
L 66-76
−10.5
22
vs
CMU
W 88-61
−3.5
30
vs
MILW
W 80-60
−17.5
3
vs
PUR
L 73-89
+8.5
6
vs
UCLA
W 80-72
−0.5
10
@
MICH
W 91-88
+9.5
13
@
MINN
W 78-75
+6.5
17
vs
RUTG
W 96-87
+33.5
22
@
PSU
W 98-71
+11.5
25
vs
USC
L 71-73
−14.5
28
vs
MINN
W 67-63
−16.5
31
vs
OSU
W 92-82
+18.5
7
@
IU
L 77-78
−2.5
10
@
ILL
W 92-90
+28.5
13
vs
MSU
W 92-71
+13.5
17
@
OSU
L 69-86
−2.5
22
vs
IOWA
W 84-71
+7.5
25
@
ORE
L 71-85
+3.5
28
@
WASH
W 90-73
+9.5
4
vs
MD
W 78-45
−30.5
7
@
PUR
W 97-93
+35.5
12
vs
WASH
W 85-82
+9.5
13
vs
ILL
W 91-88
+20.5
14
vs
MICH
L 65-68
−28.5
19
vs
HPU
L 82-83
+3.5
over 22under 13avg +3.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Wisconsin has the better starters
Position by position: Purdue 0, Wisconsin 2, even 3
PurdueBetterWisconsin
G C. Cox8.5 pts · 2.8 reb · 1.3 ast
Score 82
=Even
G E. Elmer TR12.8 pts · 6.1 reb · 1.1 ast
Score 68
G G. Harris4.6 pts · 1.6 reb · 0.8 ast
Score 75
=Even
G T. Autry TR10.9 pts · 3.6 reb · 1.4 ast
Score 61
G J. Benter4.4 pts · 2.6 reb · 0.8 ast
Score 75
→WISSmall
G B. Carrington8.3 pts · 2.4 reb · 1.1 ast
Score 90
G O. Mayer5.5 pts · 1.1 reb · 1.2 ast
Score 64
→WISSmall
F N. Winter13.1 pts · 8.5 reb · 1.5 ast
Score 96
C D. Jacobsen5.5 pts · 3 reb · 0.3 ast
Score 88
=Even
F A. Rapp9.7 pts · 4 reb · 1.6 ast
Score 83
PurdueBetterWisconsin
PUR offense38th of 366 · +5.0
=Even
WIS defense40th of 366 · +2.9
PUR defense18th of 366 · +6.0
=Even
WIS offense44th of 366 · +4.5
Backcourt+2.4 · 4 players
=Even
Backcourt+2.0 · 3 players
Frontcourt+1.8 · 1 player
→WISBig
Frontcourt+6.7 · 2 players
Bench-0.0 · 2 players
←PURSmall
Bench-2.6 · 5 players
Score, worst to bestPUR betterWIS betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers
Depth chart
Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
Guards
C. Cox24 minG. Harris16 minJ. Benter15 minO. Mayer14 minJ. Rayl2 minJ. Lusk2 min
Forwards
S. KingNewC. PierceNewE. ShahrvinNewR. BurgessNewR. KnightNew
Centers
D. Jacobsen13 minS. HuanNew
Guards
E. Elmer31 min · TRT. Autry29 min · TRB. Carrington18 minJ. Janicki17 minH. Jones7 minZ. Kinziger6 min
Forwards
N. Winter31 minA. Rapp23 minV. Onuetu18 min · TRW. Garlock7 minI. RiddleNew
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.
Matchup stats
2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Points per game
Points per possession
Pace (possessions)
Shooting
Effective FG%
3-point %
3-point attempt rate
Free throw rate
Possessions
Turnover rate
Offensive rebound rate
Assists per game
Defense
Points allowed
Points allowed per possession
Opponent effective FG%
Opponent 3-point %
Turnovers forced
Defensive rebound rate
Steals per game
Blocks per game
| Scoring | ||
|---|---|---|
| 81.6 #35 | Points per game | 83.0 #28 |
| 1.25 #2 | Points per possession | 1.18 #27 |
| 65.4 #333 | Pace (possessions) | 70.0 #119 |
| Shooting | ||
| 57.6 #10 | Effective FG% | 54.5 #52 |
| 38.3 #11 | 3-point % | 36.2 #50 |
| 40.2 #164 | 3-point attempt rate | 52.1 #6 |
| 28.6 #336 | Free throw rate | 31.5 #267 |
| Possessions | ||
| 13.7 #16 | Turnover rate | 12.8 #4 |
| 36.4 #19 | Offensive rebound rate | 29.1 #232 |
| 19.6 #2 | Assists per game | 16.0 #48 |
| Defense | ||
| 70.5 #65 | Points allowed | 76.1 #221 |
| 1.08 #162 | Points allowed per possession | 1.09 #193 |
| 52.4 #232 | Opponent effective FG% | 51.4 #178 |
| 34.1 #192 | Opponent 3-point % | 33.5 #152 |
| 15.3 #263 | Turnovers forced | 14.3 #327 |
| 72.9 #39 | Defensive rebound rate | 71.8 #74 |
| 5.5 #297 | Steals per game | 5.6 #287 |
| 2.8 #257 | Blocks per game | 3.1 #198 |
Purdue
30-9 in 2025-26 overall · 17-7 in conference · Big Ten Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Arizona64–79
- Wvs Texas79–77
- Wvs Miami79–69
- Wvs Queens University Royals104–71
- Wvs Michigan80–72
A week or more of rest.
Wisconsin
24-11 in 2025-26 overall · 16-7 in conference · Big Ten Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs High Point82–83
- Lvs Michigan65–68
- Wvs Illinois91–88
- Wvs Washington85–82
- W@ Purdue97–93
A week or more of rest.