1. NCAAB
  2. Tue, Nov 24
  3. EMU vs KENN
NCAAB · Tue, Nov 24

Eastern Michigan Eagles vs Kennesaw State Owls

Hard Rock Hotel Riviera Maya · Neutral site
#188EMUE Michigan
vs
#148KENNKennesaw St
LineNo line yet 
Total— 
EMUThis seasonKENN
0-0Record0-0
0-0ATS0-0
0-0O/U0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects KENN 76–73 · win probability KENN 59%
Pick this game
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Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
—
model 148.9
Model edge
—
No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: KENN has more of the edges

EMU 0, KENN 4 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games
Context
Tempo
About 71 possessions: EMU plays 68.9 a game (190th fastest), KENN 72.4 (27th). Faster games mean more points
KENNSmall
Free throws
Free throw rate: EMU 29.3, KENN 45.1. Allowed: EMU 35.5, KENN 47.1
KENNSmall
KENN offense vs EMU defense
Offense 126th of 366 against a defense 188th, on the model’s ratings
KENNSmall
Shooting
Effective FG%: EMU 49.6 and allows 50.3; KENN 50.4 and allows 48.3
KENNSmall
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: EMU 27.8%, KENN 35.2%. Defensive: EMU 70.9%, KENN 68.4%
Even
Turnovers
Turnover rate: EMU 17.5%, KENN 16.8%. Forced: EMU 15.5%, KENN 16.0%
Even
EMU offense vs KENN defense
Offense 206th of 366 against a defense 193rd, on the model’s ratings
Even
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: EMU 37%, KENN 32%. Transfers in: EMU 4, KENN 5. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
Context
Neutral floor
No home court: the model takes it out of the line
Even
Three-pointers
EMU hits 32.4% and allows 32.9%; KENN hits 33.4% and allows 33.5%. Threes are 31.8% and 42.5% of their shots
Context
Schedule so far
EMU has played the 157th-hardest schedule, KENN the 156th. A record against a soft schedule means less
Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Market

Open → current
Spread
Opening line not available
Total
 
Moneyline
—

Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.

Model vs market

MarketModelModel edge
Spread—KENN -2.6—
Total—148.9—
Projected score—EMU 73.2 · KENN 75.7

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›
ModelActual
1H spreadKENN -1.4—
1H total69.6—
1H projected scoreEMU 34.1 · KENN 35.5—
The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

E Michigan has the better starters

Position by position: E Michigan 2, Kennesaw St 1, even 2
E MichiganBetterKennesaw St
G J. Fitzpatrick TR15.4 pts · 4.5 reb · 2.6 ast Score 75
EMUSmall
G J. Hill TR10.1 pts · 3.8 reb · 1.6 ast Score 53
G E. Richards TR9.5 pts · 3.2 reb · 1 ast Score 32
Even
G K. Rickard5.5 pts · 2.5 reb · 1.9 ast Score 21
G B. Green4.4 pts · 1.8 reb · 1.4 ast Score 9
KENNSmall
F T. Simpson8 pts · 4.7 reb · 0.6 ast Score 38
F M. Habhab14.2 pts · 8.3 reb · 3.1 ast Score 64
Even
F A. Thomas TR8.3 pts · 6.9 reb · 0.6 ast Score 61
F K. Brockhoff TR10.4 pts · 3.4 reb · 2 ast Score 44
EMUSmall
F A. Enoh TR4.9 pts · 5.1 reb · 0.8 ast Score 19
E MichiganBetterKennesaw St
EMU offense206th of 366 · -6.3
Even
KENN defense193rd of 366 · -4.6
EMU defense188th of 366 · -4.4
KENNSmall
KENN offense126th of 366 · -3.4
Backcourt-3.0 · 3 players
Even
Backcourt-2.3 · 2 players
Frontcourt+0.1 · 2 players
EMUSmall
Frontcourt-2.5 · 3 players
Bench-0.3 · 2 players
Even
Bench-0.4 · 4 players
Score, worst to bestEMU betterKENN betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers
Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
E Michigan
Guards
J. Fitzpatrick36 min · TRE. Richards27 min · TRB. Green20 minG. Lawson18 minS. Harris17 min · TRD. PorterNew
Forwards
M. Habhab36 minK. Brockhoff22 min · TRK. JohnsonNewJ. WrightNewO. SuleimanNew
Kennesaw St
Guards
J. Hill31 min · TRK. Rickard20 minC. Beaumont9 min · TRK. Parker6 min · TRB. TousignautNewA. DanielsNew
Forwards
T. Simpson26 minA. Thomas25 min · TRA. Enoh23 min · TRA. Taylor17 minD. Onyirimba2 minK. BerryNew
In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Shooting
Possessions
Defense
EMUKENN
Scoring
70.2 #282Points per game80.0 #66
1.02 #298Points per possession1.11 #122
68.9 #190Pace (possessions)72.4 #27
Shooting
49.6 #264Effective FG%50.4 #224
32.4 #2593-point %33.4 #203
31.8 #3323-point attempt rate42.5 #127
29.3 #325Free throw rate45.1 #5
Possessions
17.5 #235Turnover rate16.8 #183
27.8 #273Offensive rebound rate35.2 #44
12.4 #261Assists per game13.3 #189
Defense
74.4 #169Points allowed78.3 #272
1.07 #142Points allowed per possession1.08 #159
50.3 #115Opponent effective FG%48.3 #43
32.9 #111Opponent 3-point %33.5 #154
15.5 #249Turnovers forced16.0 #223
70.9 #109Defensive rebound rate68.4 #234
5.7 #269Steals per game6.8 #146
4.1 #61Blocks per game5.3 #10
From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

E Michigan

9-21 in 2025-26 overall · 4-14 in conference · Mid-American Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Bowling Green69–77
  • L@ Buffalo67–72
  • Lvs Miami OH64–74
  • L@ Toledo75–94
  • Wvs C Michigan66–54

A week or more of rest.

Kennesaw St

18-14 in 2025-26 overall · 13-10 in conference · Conference USA

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Gonzaga64–73
  • Wvs Louisiana Tech71–60
  • Wvs Sam Houston79–73
  • Wvs Western KY96–87
  • L@ New Mexico St76–79

A week or more of rest.