Florida A&M Rattlers at Kennesaw State Owls: Model Line and Edge

Mon, Nov 30, 7:00 PM ETVyStar Arena · at Kennesaw St

LineNo line yet

Total—

Season records: Florida A&M and Kennesaw St
FAMU	This season	KENN
0-0	Record	0-0
0-0	ATS	0-0
0-0	O/U	0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects KENN 81–68 · win probability KENN 89%

Pick this game

Your picksMy picks ›

Winner

Line

—

no line yet

Total

—

model 149.1

Model edge

—

No market line yet

Public

—

No split yet for this game

The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: KENN has more of the edges

FAMU 0, KENN 6 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games

KENNBig

KENN offense vs FAMU defense

Offense 126th of 366 against a defense 303rd, on the model’s ratings

Context

Schedule so far

FAMU has played the 323rd-hardest schedule, KENN the 156th. A record against a soft schedule means less

KENNBig

FAMU offense vs KENN defense

Offense 326th of 366 against a defense 193rd, on the model’s ratings

KENNSmall

Shooting

Effective FG%: FAMU 49.2 and allows 51.2; KENN 50.4 and allows 48.3

KENNSmall

Three-pointers

FAMU hits 32.6% and allows 34.9%; KENN hits 33.4% and allows 33.5%. Threes are 37.7% and 42.5% of their shots

KENNSmall

Home court

KENN at home. This season: KENN 0-0 at home, FAMU 0-0 away

KENNSmall

Rebounding

Offensive rebound rate: FAMU 30.9%, KENN 35.2%. Defensive: FAMU 69.1%, KENN 68.4%

Context

Tempo

About 71 possessions: FAMU plays 70.6 a game (92nd fastest), KENN 72.4 (27th). Faster games mean more points

Even

Free throws

Free throw rate: FAMU 37.4, KENN 45.1. Allowed: FAMU 39.6, KENN 47.1

Even

Who is back

Minutes back from last season: FAMU 43%, KENN 32%. Transfers in: FAMU 3, KENN 5. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price

Even

Turnovers

Turnover rate: FAMU 21.5%, KENN 16.8%. Forced: FAMU 19.1%, KENN 16.0%

Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Model vs market

	Market	Model	Model edge
Spread	—	KENN -13.8	—
Total	—	149.1	—
Projected score	—	FAMU 67.6 · KENN 81.4

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›

	Model	Actual
1H spread	KENN -8.1	—
1H total	69.7	—
1H projected score	FAMU 30.8 · KENN 38.9	—

The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

ATS

2025-26 season

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
FAMU WWWWL	16-13	55%	9-7	—
KENN LWWWW	16-16	50%	5-8	—

Venue/role: FAMU away; KENN home. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

2025-26 season

	O-U	Over %	SU
FAMU OUOUO	11-18	38%	13-16
KENN UOUUU	15-17	47%	18-14

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Tap for the score and line.

Last 10 games

2025-26

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
FAMU	7-3 70%	7-3 70%	5-5 50%
KENN	7-3 70%	6-4 60%	4-6 40%

Wins-losses (pushes last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Next 3 games

With how the last meeting with each opponent went

Florida A&M

Date	Game	Last meeting
Dec 4	vs NORF	No recent meeting
Dec 5	vs TNST	No recent meeting
Dec 12	@ TLSA	No recent meeting

Kennesaw St

Date	Game	Last meeting
Dec 5	@ APSU	L69–85LO
Dec 9	@ GAST	W92–69WO

Last meeting: result, against the spread, over / under. Hover a result for its date.

Recent meetings

Since 2021-22

FAMU 0–1 KENNKENN leads · 1 game since 2021-22 · FAMU 0-1 ATS

Date	Result	Line	Covered
Nov 8, 2025-26	KENN 92 @ FAMU 72	FAMU +11.5	KENN W

ATS History · 2025-26

WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total

Florida A&M

29 games played

Straight up

13-16

45% wins

Against the spread

16-13

55% covers · avg +0.9 pts vs the line

Over / Under

11-18

38% overs · avg −1.5 pts vs the total

Straight up

13-1645%

L L L L L W L L L L W W W W W L L L L W L W L W W W W W L

3 of last 4 wonno streak

Against the spread

16-1355%

L L L W W W L W L W W W W W L L L L L W L W L W W W W W L

3 of last 4 coveredno streak

Over / Under

11-1838%

O U U U O U U U O O U O U U U U U O U O U O U U O U O U O

2 of last 4 overno streak

Game by game: lines, results and totals

TableATSO/U

Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total

Date	Opp	Result	Line	ATS	Total	O/U
Nov 3	@USF	L 67-102	+25.5	L −9.5	153.5	O 169
Nov 8	vsKENN	L 72-92	+11.5	L −8.5	166.5	U 164
Nov 11	@UCF	L 60-97	+23.5	L −13.5	169.5	U 157
Nov 17	@UGA	L 57-87	+40.5	W +10.5	170.5	U 144
Dec 2	@JAX	L 82-85	+10.5	W +7.5	138.5	O 167
Dec 17	vsJAX	W 72-65	+3.5	W +10.5	139.5	U 137
Dec 19	@TAR	L 54-78	+14.5	L −9.5	145.5	U 132
Dec 21	@TCU	L 56-80	+29.5	W +5.5	142.5	U 136
Dec 28	@GT	L 65-89	+19.5	L −4.5	146.5	O 154
Jan 3	@BCU	L 83-87	+7.5	W +3.5	145.5	O 170
Jan 10	vsSOU	W 67-59	+4.5	W +12.5	153.5	U 126
Jan 12	vsGRAM	W 91-84	+1.5	W +8.5	141.5	O 175
Jan 17	@UAPB	W 71-67	+2.5	W +6.5	149.5	U 138
Jan 19	@MVSU	W 62-48	-11.5	W +2.5	139.5	U 110
Jan 24	vsALCN	W 66-58	-8.5	L −0.5	141.5	U 124
Jan 26	vsJKST	L 65-66	-7.5	L −8.5	150.5	U 131
Jan 31	@AAMU	L 65-72	+3.5	L −3.5	138.5	U 137
Feb 2	@ALST	L 66-79	+3.5	L −9.5	139.5	O 145
Feb 7	vsTXSO	L 57-62	-1.5	L −6.5	146.5	U 119
Feb 9	vsPV	W 100-96	-3.5	W +0.5	149.5	O 196
Feb 14	@JKST	L 60-80	-2.5	L −22.5	144.5	U 140
Feb 16	@ALCN	W 86-78	-2.5	W +5.5	137.5	O 164
Feb 19	vsAAMU	L 61-63	-1.5	L −3.5	139.5	U 124
Feb 21	vsALST	W 76-63	+1.5	W +14.5	144.5	U 139
Feb 26	@SOU	W 82-71	+8.5	W +19.5	147.5	O 153
Feb 28	@GRAM	W 66-59	+4.5	W +11.5	140.5	U 125
Mar 5	vsBCU	W 81-77	+2.5	W +6.5	145.5	O 158
Mar 11	vsJKST	W 70-60	-6.5	W +3.5	141.5	U 130
Mar 13	vsSOU	L 70-73	+1.5	L −1.5	141.5	O 143

Day

Opp

Result

MissedCovered

Margin

USF

L 67-102

−9.5

KENN

L 72-92

−8.5

UCF

L 60-97

−13.5

UGA

L 57-87

+10.5

JAX

L 82-85

+7.5

JAX

W 72-65

+10.5

TAR

L 54-78

−9.5

TCU

L 56-80

+5.5

L 65-89

−4.5

BCU

L 83-87

+3.5

SOU

W 67-59

+12.5

GRAM

W 91-84

+8.5

UAPB

W 71-67

+6.5

MVSU

W 62-48

+2.5

ALCN

W 66-58

−0.5

JKST

L 65-66

−8.5

AAMU

L 65-72

−3.5

ALST

L 66-79

−9.5

TXSO

L 57-62

−6.5

W 100-96

+0.5

JKST

L 60-80

−22.5

ALCN

W 86-78

+5.5

AAMU

L 61-63

−3.5

ALST

W 76-63

+14.5

SOU

W 82-71

+19.5

GRAM

W 66-59

+11.5

BCU

W 81-77

+6.5

JKST

W 70-60

+3.5

SOU

L 70-73

−1.5

covered 16didn’t cover 13avg +0.9 ptslonger = bigger margin

Day

Opp

Result

UnderOver

Margin

USF

L 67-102

+15.5

KENN

L 72-92

−2.5

UCF

L 60-97

−12.5

UGA

L 57-87

−26.5

JAX

L 82-85

+28.5

JAX

W 72-65

−2.5

TAR

L 54-78

−13.5

TCU

L 56-80

−6.5

L 65-89

+7.5

BCU

L 83-87

+24.5

SOU

W 67-59

−27.5

GRAM

W 91-84

+33.5

UAPB

W 71-67

−11.5

MVSU

W 62-48

−29.5

ALCN

W 66-58

−17.5

JKST

L 65-66

−19.5

AAMU

L 65-72

−1.5

ALST

L 66-79

+5.5

TXSO

L 57-62

−27.5

W 100-96

+46.5

JKST

L 60-80

−4.5

ALCN

W 86-78

+26.5

AAMU

L 61-63

−15.5

ALST

W 76-63

−5.5

SOU

W 82-71

+5.5

GRAM

W 66-59

−15.5

BCU

W 81-77

+12.5

JKST

W 70-60

−11.5

SOU

L 70-73

+1.5

over 11under 18avg −1.5 ptslonger = bigger margin

Kennesaw St

32 games played

Straight up

18-14

56% wins

Against the spread

16-16

50% covers · avg +0.7 pts vs the line

Over / Under

15-17

47% overs · avg +0.5 pts vs the total

Straight up

18-1456%

W L W L W W W L L L L W W W W L L W W L L L W W W W L L W W W L

3 of last 4 wonno streak

Against the spread

16-1650%

W L W L W L W W W L L W W L W L L L W L L L W L W L L L W W W W

4 straight covers4 of last 4 covered

Over / Under

15-1747%

U O O O O O O U U U U O O U U O O U U U O U O U U O O U O U U U

3 straight unders1 of last 4 over

Game by game: lines, results and totals

TableATSO/U

Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total

Date	Opp	Result	Line	ATS	Total	O/U
Nov 8	@FAMU	W 92-72	-11.5	W +8.5	166.5	U 164
Nov 16	vsUSF	L 89-108	+7.5	L −11.5	177.5	O 197
Nov 24	vsRICE	W 89-84	-4.5	W +0.5	159.5	O 173
Nov 25	vsORU	L 83-91	-8.5	L −16.5	166.5	O 174
Nov 26	@FGCU	W 102-100	+1.5	W +3.5	160.5	O 202
Dec 2	vsJKST	W 88-73	-15.5	L −0.5	157.5	O 161
Dec 6	vsGAST	W 92-69	-14.5	W +8.5	158.5	O 161
Dec 17	@MTSU	L 67-68	+3.5	W +2.5	160.5	U 135
Dec 21	vsALA	L 81-92	+20.5	W +9.5	182.5	U 173
Jan 2	@LIB	L 73-81	+7.5	L −0.5	158.5	U 154
Jan 4	@DEL	L 52-67	-8.5	L −23.5	148.5	U 119
Jan 7	vsMOST	W 90-80	-6.5	W +3.5	152.5	O 170
Jan 10	vsJXST	W 88-82	-5.5	W +0.5	149.5	O 170
Jan 14	vsFIU	W 89-86	-5.5	L −2.5	175.5	U 175
Jan 17	@WKU	W 81-65	+7.5	W +23.5	165.5	U 146
Jan 21	@SHSU	L 87-93	+5.5	L −0.5	167.5	O 180
Jan 23	@LT	L 76-82	-1.5	L −7.5	144.5	O 158
Jan 28	vsWKU	W 72-69	-4.5	L −1.5	160.5	U 141
Jan 31	vsNMSU	W 76-53	-3.5	W +19.5	159.5	U 129
Feb 7	@JXST	L 58-77	-1.5	L −20.5	149.5	U 135
Feb 12	vsMTSU	L 87-90	-3.5	L −6.5	148.5	O 177
Feb 14	vsSHSU	L 79-83	-1.5	L −5.5	162.5	U 162
Feb 18	@MOST	W 91-87	+1.5	W +5.5	152.5	O 178
Feb 21	vsLT	W 58-55	-5.5	L −2.5	147.5	U 113
Feb 26	vsLIB	W 74-65	+1.5	W +10.5	152.5	U 139
Feb 28	vsDEL	W 90-82	-11.5	L −3.5	143.5	O 172
Mar 5	@UTEP	L 71-78	-3.5	L −10.5	148.5	O 149
Mar 7	@NMSU	L 76-79	+1.5	L −1.5	157.5	U 155
Mar 12	vsWKU	W 96-87	+1.5	W +10.5	159.5	O 183
Mar 13	vsSHSU	W 79-73	+2.5	W +8.5	159.5	U 152
Mar 14	vsLT	W 71-60	-1.5	W +9.5	142.5	U 131
Mar 19	vsGONZ	L 64-73	+20.5	W +11.5	152.5	U 137

Day

Opp

Result

MissedCovered

Margin

FAMU

W 92-72

+8.5

USF

L 89-108

−11.5

RICE

W 89-84

+0.5

ORU

L 83-91

−16.5

FGCU

W 102-100

+3.5

JKST

W 88-73

−0.5

GAST

W 92-69

+8.5

MTSU

L 67-68

+2.5

ALA

L 81-92

+9.5

LIB

L 73-81

−0.5

DEL

L 52-67

−23.5

MOST

W 90-80

+3.5

JXST

W 88-82

+0.5

FIU

W 89-86

−2.5

WKU

W 81-65

+23.5

SHSU

L 87-93

−0.5

L 76-82

−7.5

WKU

W 72-69

−1.5

NMSU

W 76-53

+19.5

JXST

L 58-77

−20.5

MTSU

L 87-90

−6.5

SHSU

L 79-83

−5.5

MOST

W 91-87

+5.5

W 58-55

−2.5

LIB

W 74-65

+10.5

DEL

W 90-82

−3.5

UTEP

L 71-78

−10.5

NMSU

L 76-79

−1.5

WKU

W 96-87

+10.5

SHSU

W 79-73

+8.5

W 71-60

+9.5

GONZ

L 64-73

+11.5

covered 16didn’t cover 16avg +0.7 ptslonger = bigger margin

Day

Opp

Result

UnderOver

Margin

FAMU

W 92-72

−2.5

USF

L 89-108

+19.5

RICE

W 89-84

+13.5

ORU

L 83-91

+7.5

FGCU

W 102-100

+41.5

JKST

W 88-73

+3.5

GAST

W 92-69

+2.5

MTSU

L 67-68

−25.5

ALA

L 81-92

−9.5

LIB

L 73-81

−4.5

DEL

L 52-67

−29.5

MOST

W 90-80

+17.5

JXST

W 88-82

+20.5

FIU

W 89-86

−0.5

WKU

W 81-65

−19.5

SHSU

L 87-93

+12.5

L 76-82

+13.5

WKU

W 72-69

−19.5

NMSU

W 76-53

−30.5

JXST

L 58-77

−14.5

MTSU

L 87-90

+28.5

SHSU

L 79-83

−0.5

MOST

W 91-87

+25.5

W 58-55

−34.5

LIB

W 74-65

−13.5

DEL

W 90-82

+28.5

UTEP

L 71-78

+0.5

NMSU

L 76-79

−2.5

WKU

W 96-87

+23.5

SHSU

W 79-73

−7.5

W 71-60

−11.5

GONZ

L 64-73

−15.5

over 15under 17avg +0.5 ptslonger = bigger margin

Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.

Kennesaw St has the better starters

Position by position: Florida A&M 1, Kennesaw St 2, even 2

Florida A&MBetterKennesaw St

G J. Kempson TR10.7 pts · 4.4 reb · 2.7 ast Score 33

KENNSmall

G J. Hill TR10.1 pts · 3.8 reb · 1.6 ast Score 53

G J. Sanders12 pts · 3.2 reb · 3.8 ast Score 42

FAMUSmall

G K. Rickard5.5 pts · 2.5 reb · 1.9 ast Score 21

G A. Baker9.6 pts · 3.4 reb · 1.8 ast Score 35

Even

F T. Simpson8 pts · 4.7 reb · 0.6 ast Score 38

G R. Martino6.5 pts · 2.2 reb · 1.2 ast Score 44

KENNSmall

F A. Thomas TR8.3 pts · 6.9 reb · 0.6 ast Score 61

F D. Williford TR2.2 pts · 0.8 reb · 0 ast Not ranked

No call

F A. Enoh TR4.9 pts · 5.1 reb · 0.8 ast Score 19

Florida A&MBetterKennesaw St

FAMU offense326th of 366 · -10.6

KENNBig

KENN defense193rd of 366 · -4.6

FAMU defense303rd of 366 · -7.8

KENNBig

KENN offense126th of 366 · -3.4

Backcourt-5.5 · 4 players

KENNBig

Backcourt-2.3 · 2 players

Frontcourt-0.3 · 1 player

FAMUSmall

Frontcourt-2.5 · 3 players

Bench-0.2 · 2 players

Even

Bench-0.4 · 4 players

Score, worst to bestFAMU betterKENN betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers

Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined

Florida A&M

Guards

J. Kempson32 min · TRJ. Sanders32 minA. Baker27 minR. Martino22 minC. DavisNewA. WilliamsNew

Forwards

D. Williford6 min · TRT. Onuoha5 minM. StijovicNewJ. LomickaNewB. NdourNew

Centers

A. Mbaye1 min · TRJ. MokwezaNew

Kennesaw St

Guards

J. Hill31 min · TRK. Rickard20 minC. Beaumont9 min · TRK. Parker6 min · TRB. TousignautNewA. DanielsNew

Forwards

T. Simpson26 minA. Thomas25 min · TRA. Enoh23 min · TRA. Taylor17 minD. Onyirimba2 minK. BerryNew

In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.

Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams

ChartTable

Scoring

Points per game

FAMU70.0 #285

KENN80.0 #66

Points per possession

FAMU0.99 #334

KENN1.11 #122

Pace (possessions)

FAMU70.6 #92

KENN72.4 #27

Shooting

Effective FG%

FAMU49.2 #283

KENN50.4 #224

3-point %

FAMU32.6 #249

KENN33.4 #203

3-point attempt rate

FAMU37.7 #219

KENN42.5 #127

Free throw rate

FAMU37.4 #116

KENN45.1 #5

Possessions

Turnover rate

FAMU21.5 #359

KENN16.8 #183

Offensive rebound rate

FAMU30.9 #168

KENN35.2 #44

Assists per game

FAMU12.7 #236

KENN13.3 #189

Defense

Points allowed

FAMU75.1 #192

KENN78.3 #272

Points allowed per possession

FAMU1.06 #114

KENN1.08 #159

Opponent effective FG%

FAMU51.2 #171

KENN48.3 #43

Opponent 3-point %

FAMU34.9 #243

KENN33.5 #154

Turnovers forced

FAMU19.1 #43

KENN16.0 #223

Defensive rebound rate

FAMU69.1 #198

KENN68.4 #234

Steals per game

FAMU8.1 #35

KENN6.8 #146

Blocks per game

FAMU3.0 #220

KENN5.3 #10

FAMU		KENN
Scoring
70.0 #285	Points per game	80.0 #66
0.99 #334	Points per possession	1.11 #122
70.6 #92	Pace (possessions)	72.4 #27
Shooting
49.2 #283	Effective FG%	50.4 #224
32.6 #249	3-point %	33.4 #203
37.7 #219	3-point attempt rate	42.5 #127
37.4 #116	Free throw rate	45.1 #5
Possessions
21.5 #359	Turnover rate	16.8 #183
30.9 #168	Offensive rebound rate	35.2 #44
12.7 #236	Assists per game	13.3 #189
Defense
75.1 #192	Points allowed	78.3 #272
1.06 #114	Points allowed per possession	1.08 #159
51.2 #171	Opponent effective FG%	48.3 #43
34.9 #243	Opponent 3-point %	33.5 #154
19.1 #43	Turnovers forced	16.0 #223
69.1 #198	Defensive rebound rate	68.4 #234
8.1 #35	Steals per game	6.8 #146
3.0 #220	Blocks per game	5.3 #10

From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

Florida A&M

13-16 in 2025-26 overall · 12-8 in conference · Southwestern Athletic Conference

Last five, 2025-26

Lvs Southern70–73
Wvs Jackson St70–60
Wvs Bethune81–77
W@ Grambling66–59
W@ Southern82–71

A week or more of rest.

Kennesaw St

18-14 in 2025-26 overall · 13-10 in conference · Conference USA

Last five, 2025-26

Lvs Gonzaga64–73
Wvs Louisiana Tech71–60
Wvs Sam Houston79–73
Wvs Western KY96–87
L@ New Mexico St76–79

A week or more of rest.

Florida A&M Rattlers at Kennesaw State Owls

What could decide it: KENN has more of the edges

Market

Model vs market

1st-half model

ATS

Totals

Last 10 games

Next 3 games

Recent meetings

ATS History · 2025-26

Florida A&M

Kennesaw St

Kennesaw St has the better starters

Depth chart

Matchup stats

Florida A&M

Kennesaw St