1. NCAAB
  2. Tue, Nov 24
  3. RMU vs LAM
NCAAB · Tue, Nov 24

Robert Morris Colonials vs Lamar Cardinals

The Reef · Neutral site
#168RMURobert Morris
vs
#293LAMLamar
LineNo line yet 
Total— 
RMUThis seasonLAM
0-0Record0-0
0-0ATS0-0
0-0O/U0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects RMU 74–68 · win probability RMU 72%
Pick this game
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Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
—
model 142.2
Model edge
—
No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: RMU has more of the edges

RMU 4, LAM 1 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games
RMUBig
Three-pointers
RMU hits 38.0% and allows 33.2%; LAM hits 32.9% and allows 35.3%. Threes are 40.7% and 33.9% of their shots
RMUBig
Shooting
Effective FG%: RMU 54.9 and allows 50.0; LAM 47.8 and allows 50.9
RMUBig
LAM offense vs RMU defense
Offense 334th of 366 against a defense 183rd, on the model’s ratings
LAMSmall
Turnovers
Turnover rate: RMU 18.6%, LAM 18.1%. Forced: RMU 15.8%, LAM 17.3%
RMUSmall
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: RMU 32%, LAM 0%. Transfers in: RMU 4, LAM 6. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
Context
Schedule so far
RMU has played the 280th-hardest schedule, LAM the 328th. A record against a soft schedule means less
Even
RMU offense vs LAM defense
Offense 179th of 366 against a defense 213th, on the model’s ratings
Context
Tempo
About 67 possessions: RMU plays 67.5 a game (256th fastest), LAM 66.1 (311th). Faster games mean more points
Even
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: RMU 37.5%, LAM 35.7%. Defensive: RMU 71.2%, LAM 70.6%
Even
Free throws
Free throw rate: RMU 28.0, LAM 27.9. Allowed: RMU 40.1, LAM 44.4
Context
Neutral floor
No home court: the model takes it out of the line
Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Market

Open → current
Spread
Opening line not available
Total
 
Moneyline
—

Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.

Model vs market

MarketModelModel edge
Spread—RMU -6.6—
Total—142.2—
Projected score—RMU 74.4 · LAM 67.8

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›
ModelActual
1H spreadRMU -4.1—
1H total66.5—
1H projected scoreRMU 35.3 · LAM 31.2—
The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

Robert Morris has the better starters

Position by position: Robert Morris 3, Lamar 1, even 1
Robert MorrisBetterLamar
G A. Valentine TR12 pts · 4 reb · 3.8 ast Score 71
RMUSmall
G F. Radakovic TR9.7 pts · 4.1 reb · 2.5 ast Score 38
G D. Livingston9.6 pts · 2 reb · 2.9 ast Score 23
Even
G N. Moretti TR5.9 pts · 2 reb · 3.2 ast Score 24
G T. Smith6.7 pts · 2.2 reb · 1.4 ast Score 30
LAMSmall
G Q. Berry TR6.1 pts · 2.5 reb · 1.2 ast Score 61
F J. Dunkley TR12.4 pts · 6.7 reb · 1 ast Score 74
RMUBig
G M. Collins TR1.4 pts · 0.7 reb · 1 ast Score 12
F K. Ugwuakazi TR5.2 pts · 5.1 reb · 0.6 ast Score 63
RMUBig
F M. Ljubicic TR5.5 pts · 3.5 reb · 0.6 ast Score 7
Robert MorrisBetterLamar
RMU offense179th of 366 · -5.5
Even
LAM defense213th of 366 · -5.4
RMU defense183rd of 366 · -4.2
RMUBig
LAM offense334th of 366 · -10.9
Backcourt-2.8 · 3 players
RMUSmall
Backcourt-4.6 · 4 players
Frontcourt+1.5 · 2 players
RMUBig
Frontcourt-2.4 · 1 player
Bench-0.3 · 3 players
Even
Bench-0.8 · 1 player
Score, worst to bestRMU betterLAM betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers
Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
Robert Morris
Guards
A. Valentine33 min · TRD. Livingston26 minT. Smith19 minK. Garris16 min · TRE. Cooke9 minL. SloaneNew
Forwards
J. Dunkley29 min · TRK. Ugwuakazi19 min · TRS. Obenjo9 minD. StolbetskiyNewB. OderinloNew
Lamar
Guards
F. Radakovic27 min · TRN. Moretti27 min · TRQ. Berry18 min · TRM. Collins9 min · TRJ. JonesNewS. LynchNew
Forwards
M. Ljubicic20 min · TRM. Reed7 min · TRC. HinkerNewA. AgotNewD. EasonNew
In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Shooting
Possessions
Defense
RMULAM
Scoring
76.8 #122Points per game68.4 #308
1.14 #67Points per possession1.04 #279
67.5 #256Pace (possessions)66.1 #311
Shooting
54.9 #39Effective FG%47.8 #318
38.0 #183-point %32.9 #238
40.7 #1543-point attempt rate33.9 #297
28.0 #343Free throw rate27.9 #344
Possessions
18.6 #305Turnover rate18.1 #273
37.5 #11Offensive rebound rate35.7 #31
17.6 #13Assists per game13.9 #157
Defense
73.4 #139Points allowed70.5 #64
1.08 #174Points allowed per possession1.07 #122
50.0 #100Opponent effective FG%50.9 #153
33.2 #135Opponent 3-point %35.3 #266
15.8 #230Turnovers forced17.3 #130
71.2 #98Defensive rebound rate70.6 #130
5.5 #292Steals per game6.1 #227
2.5 #308Blocks per game4.2 #54
From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

Robert Morris

20-11 in 2025-26 overall · 14-8 in conference · Horizon League

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Detroit Mercy64–70
  • Wvs Youngstown St68–53
  • Wvs Cleveland St83–64
  • Wvs Detroit Mercy73–62
  • W@ Wright St81–68

A week or more of rest.

Lamar

10-19 in 2025-26 overall · 7-15 in conference · Southland Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • L@ Hou Christian53–75
  • L@ Incarnate Word60–72
  • Lvs Nicholls52–53
  • Lvs LSU N Orleans71–77
  • L@ UT Rio Grande65–70

A week or more of rest.