1. NCAAB
  2. Tue, Nov 24
  3. ELON @ FUR
NCAAB · Tue, Nov 24

Elon Phoenix at Furman Paladins

Timmons Arena · at Furman
#231ELONElon
@
#152FURFurman
LineNo line yet 
Total— 
ELONThis seasonFUR
0-0Record0-0
0-0ATS0-0
0-0O/U0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects FUR 78–70 · win probability FUR 75%
Pick this game
Your picksMy picks ›
Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
—
model 148.0
Model edge
—
No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: FUR has more of the edges

ELON 1, FUR 7 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games
FURBig
Shooting
Effective FG%: ELON 52.2 and allows 54.0; FUR 54.8 and allows 50.2
ELONBig
Turnovers
Turnover rate: ELON 16.0%, FUR 17.8%. Forced: ELON 16.4%, FUR 13.7%
FURSmall
Three-pointers
ELON hits 34.3% and allows 36.5%; FUR hits 33.4% and allows 32.3%. Threes are 43.2% and 46.5% of their shots
FURSmall
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: ELON 32.3%, FUR 30.5%. Defensive: ELON 66.5%, FUR 71.8%
FURSmall
ELON offense vs FUR defense
Offense 225th of 366 against a defense 146th, on the model’s ratings
FURSmall
FUR offense vs ELON defense
Offense 166th of 366 against a defense 235th, on the model’s ratings
FURSmall
Home court
FUR at home. This season: FUR 0-0 at home, ELON 0-0 away
FURSmall
Free throws
Free throw rate: ELON 33.5, FUR 32.7. Allowed: ELON 34.6, FUR 28.9
Context
Tempo
About 68 possessions: ELON plays 69.0 a game (178th fastest), FUR 67.2 (273rd). Faster games mean more points
Context
Schedule so far
ELON has played the 186th-hardest schedule, FUR the 224th. A record against a soft schedule means less
Even
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: ELON 30%, FUR 46%. Transfers in: ELON 5, FUR 4. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Market

Open → current
Spread
Opening line not available
Total
 
Moneyline
—

Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.

Model vs market

MarketModelModel edge
Spread—FUR -7.7—
Total—148.0—
Projected score—ELON 70.1 · FUR 77.9

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›
ModelActual
1H spreadFUR -4.5—
1H total69.2—
1H projected scoreELON 32.4 · FUR 36.8—
The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

Furman has the better starters

Position by position: Elon 1, Furman 4, even 0
ElonBetterFurman
G R. Pettus11 pts · 3 reb · 1.3 ast Score 28
FURBig
G J. Bell TR12.3 pts · 5 reb · 1.6 ast Score 76
G B. Cokley12.4 pts · 3.9 reb · 1.3 ast Score 60
ELONSmall
G C. Bowser5.2 pts · 5.3 reb · 0.6 ast Score 31
G I. Mbeng TR4.5 pts · 2.1 reb · 2.6 ast Score 12
FURSmall
G L. Toews TR6.3 pts · 1.6 reb · 2.2 ast Score 45
G C. Thrower TR5.9 pts · 1.7 reb · 1.2 ast Score 33
FURSmall
F M. Kell TR13.6 pts · 4.7 reb · 0.9 ast Score 59
F J. Dalton TR3.4 pts · 2.3 reb · 0.5 ast Score 38
FURSmall
F C. Johnston9.6 pts · 8.9 reb · 1.7 ast Score 66
ElonBetterFurman
ELON offense225th of 366 · -6.9
FURSmall
FUR defense146th of 366 · -3.2
ELON defense235th of 366 · -6.2
FURSmall
FUR offense166th of 366 · -5.1
Backcourt-5.7 · 4 players
FURBig
Backcourt-1.4 · 3 players
Frontcourt-0.5 · 1 player
FURSmall
Frontcourt+0.9 · 2 players
Bench-0.7 · 4 players
ELONSmall
Bench-2.5 · 5 players
Score, worst to bestELON betterFUR betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers
Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
Elon
Guards
R. Pettus28 minB. Cokley27 minI. Mbeng23 min · TRC. Thrower17 min · TRR. Villar12 min · TRK. DixonNew
Forwards
J. Dalton13 min · TRI. Garmendia3 minA. Olander1 minM. ŠarenacNewB. SehlhorstNewC. ZhuNew
Centers
H. Harding7 min · TR
Furman
Guards
J. Bell26 min · TRC. Bowser23 minL. Toews21 min · TRA. Franklin11 minC. O'Neal11 minG. LewisNew
Forwards
M. Kell30 min · TRC. Johnston29 minM. Smith12 minJ. Butler9 min · TRO. Ritger7 minD. MolnarNew
In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Shooting
Possessions
Defense
ELONFUR
Scoring
76.8 #123Points per game74.9 #164
1.12 #111Points per possession1.11 #114
69.0 #178Pace (possessions)67.2 #273
Shooting
52.2 #137Effective FG%54.8 #43
34.3 #1543-point %33.4 #204
43.2 #1073-point attempt rate46.5 #40
33.5 #222Free throw rate32.7 #246
Possessions
16.0 #136Turnover rate17.8 #260
32.3 #116Offensive rebound rate30.5 #180
14.6 #108Assists per game14.9 #91
Defense
79.3 #307Points allowed72.5 #116
1.14 #316Points allowed per possession1.08 #163
54.0 #300Opponent effective FG%50.2 #112
36.5 #328Opponent 3-point %32.3 #75
16.4 #196Turnovers forced13.7 #342
66.5 #307Defensive rebound rate71.8 #72
6.6 #157Steals per game4.4 #357
3.0 #231Blocks per game3.3 #183
From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

Elon

12-18 in 2025-26 overall · 6-13 in conference · Coastal Athletic Association

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs William & Mary62–72
  • Lvs UNC Wilmington57–76
  • L@ Monmouth57–73
  • L@ Towson56–58
  • Lvs NC A&T82–102

A week or more of rest.

Furman

19-13 in 2025-26 overall · 13-8 in conference · Southern Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs UConn71–82
  • Wvs ETSU76–61
  • Wvs UNC Greensboro81–75
  • Wvs Samford86–81
  • L@ W Carolina67–86

A week or more of rest.