1. NCAAB
  2. Tue, Nov 24
  3. VAN @ OSU
NCAAB · Tue, Nov 24

Vanderbilt Commodores at Ohio State Buckeyes

Schottenstein Center · at Ohio State
#22VANVanderbilt AP #24
@
#33OSUOhio State
LineNo line yet 
Total— 
VANThis seasonOSU
0-0Record0-0
0-0ATS0-0
0-0O/U0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects OSU 78–78 · win probability OSU 50%
Pick this game
Your picksMy picks ›
Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
—
model 156.3
Model edge
—
No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: OSU has more of the edges

VAN 1, OSU 2 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games
VANSmall
Turnovers
Turnover rate: VAN 13.5%, OSU 15.3%. Forced: VAN 17.7%, OSU 15.6%
Context
Tempo
About 69 possessions: VAN plays 70.9 a game (80th fastest), OSU 67.2 (275th). Faster games mean more points
OSUSmall
Free throws
Free throw rate: VAN 38.1, OSU 37.2. Allowed: VAN 39.5, OSU 34.7
OSUSmall
Home court
OSU at home. This season: OSU 0-0 at home, VAN 0-0 away
Even
Three-pointers
VAN hits 35.6% and allows 32.6%; OSU hits 35.7% and allows 31.9%. Threes are 44.2% and 40.1% of their shots
Even
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: VAN 31.2%, OSU 30.4%. Defensive: VAN 68.5%, OSU 70.0%
Even
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: VAN 26%, OSU 37%. Transfers in: VAN 5, OSU 4. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
Even
Shooting
Effective FG%: VAN 55.3 and allows 49.0; OSU 56.2 and allows 50.2
Even
VAN offense vs OSU defense
Offense 22nd of 366 against a defense 35th, on the model’s ratings
Context
Schedule so far
VAN has played the 21st-hardest schedule, OSU the 33rd. A record against a soft schedule means less
Even
OSU offense vs VAN defense
Offense 36th of 366 against a defense 29th, on the model’s ratings
Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Market

Open → current
Spread
Opening line not available
Total
 
Moneyline
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Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.

Model vs market

MarketModelModel edge
Spread—VAN -0.1—
Total—156.3—
Projected score—VAN 78.2 · OSU 78.1

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›
ModelActual
1H spreadVAN -0.2—
1H total73.0—
1H projected scoreVAN 36.6 · OSU 36.4—
The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

The starting fives are even

Position by position: Vanderbilt 1, Ohio State 1, even 3
VanderbiltBetterOhio State
G T. Tanner19.5 pts · 3.6 reb · 5.1 ast Score 100
Even
G J. Mobley15.7 pts · 2.4 reb · 2.8 ast Score 93
G A. Glass TR16.1 pts · 3 reb · 2.4 ast Score 86
Even
G J. Pippen TR13.9 pts · 4 reb · 4.6 ast Score 90
F S. Williams-Adams TR7 pts · 3.5 reb · 1.5 ast Score 55
OSUBig
G J. Williams TR14.9 pts · 4.5 reb · 2.6 ast Score 92
F B. Dak TR11.5 pts · 6.5 reb · 1.4 ast Score 90
VANSmall
G C. Givens TR9.4 pts · 2.1 reb · 2.3 ast Score 65
C B. Buyuktuncel TR6.5 pts · 5.6 reb · 1.9 ast Score 61
Even
F A. Bynum9.7 pts · 4.9 reb · 1.1 ast Score 73
VanderbiltBetterOhio State
VAN offense22nd of 366 · +7.6
Even
OSU defense35th of 366 · +3.3
VAN defense29th of 366 · +3.7
Even
OSU offense36th of 366 · +5.2
Backcourt+10.2 · 2 players
VANSmall
Backcourt+9.1 · 4 players
Frontcourt+3.7 · 3 players
VANSmall
Frontcourt+1.1 · 1 player
Bench-0.4 · 3 players
OSUSmall
Bench+1.0 · 3 players
Score, worst to bestVAN betterOSU betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers
Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
Vanderbilt
Guards
T. Tanner34 minA. Glass29 min · TRA. BrownNewM. HawkinsNewB. AllenNewC. ByingtonNew
Forwards
S. Williams-Adams27 min · TRB. Dak26 min · TRT. Barrett23 min · TRC. Bing15 minE. MgbakoNewG. NesmithNew
Centers
B. Buyuktuncel24 min · TRJ. Leverett4 min
Ohio State
Guards
J. Mobley32 minJ. Pippen31 min · TRJ. Williams30 min · TRC. Givens26 min · TRB. Nash2 minM. HerroNew
Forwards
A. Bynum29 minA. Jelavic16 min · TRJ. OjianwunaNewA. ThompsonNewA. SmithNewV. LazarevicNew
Centers
I. Njegovan11 min
In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Shooting
Possessions
Defense
VANOSU
Scoring
85.7 #14Points per game79.3 #76
1.21 #9Points per possession1.18 #31
70.9 #80Pace (possessions)67.2 #275
Shooting
55.3 #31Effective FG%56.2 #19
35.6 #863-point %35.7 #72
44.2 #853-point attempt rate40.1 #170
38.1 #101Free throw rate37.2 #122
Possessions
13.5 #15Turnover rate15.3 #91
31.2 #158Offensive rebound rate30.4 #185
16.3 #40Assists per game14.5 #117
Defense
75.0 #187Points allowed72.6 #120
1.06 #99Points allowed per possession1.08 #164
49.0 #67Opponent effective FG%50.2 #114
32.6 #96Opponent 3-point %31.9 #57
17.7 #112Turnovers forced15.6 #243
68.5 #231Defensive rebound rate70.0 #160
7.9 #40Steals per game4.8 #340
4.5 #36Blocks per game2.4 #311
From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

Vanderbilt

27-9 in 2025-26 overall · 13-8 in conference · Southeastern Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Nebraska72–74
  • Wvs McNeese78–68
  • Lvs Arkansas75–86
  • Wvs Florida91–74
  • Wvs Tennessee75–68

A week or more of rest.

Ohio State

21-13 in 2025-26 overall · 13-9 in conference · Big Ten Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs TCU64–66
  • Lvs Michigan67–71
  • Wvs Iowa72–69
  • Wvs Indiana91–78
  • W@ Penn State94–62

A week or more of rest.