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  2. Sun, Nov 29
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NCAAB · Sun, Nov 29

Lipscomb Bisons at Ohio State Buckeyes

Schottenstein Center · at Ohio State
#214LIPLipscomb
@
#33OSUOhio State
LineNo line yet 
Total— 
LIPThis seasonOSU
0-0Record0-0
0-0ATS0-0
0-0O/U0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects OSU 88–64 · win probability OSU 98%
Pick this game
Your picksMy picks ›
Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
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model 152.3
Model edge
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No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: OSU has more of the edges

LIP 0, OSU 7 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games
Context
Schedule so far
LIP has played the 267th-hardest schedule, OSU the 33rd. A record against a soft schedule means less
OSUBig
OSU offense vs LIP defense
Offense 36th of 366 against a defense 226th, on the model’s ratings
OSUBig
LIP offense vs OSU defense
Offense 191st of 366 against a defense 35th, on the model’s ratings
OSUSmall
Shooting
Effective FG%: LIP 54.1 and allows 53.2; OSU 56.2 and allows 50.2
Context
Tempo
About 69 possessions: LIP plays 70.8 a game (83rd fastest), OSU 67.2 (275th). Faster games mean more points
OSUSmall
Three-pointers
LIP hits 35.7% and allows 34.3%; OSU hits 35.7% and allows 31.9%. Threes are 47.9% and 40.1% of their shots
OSUSmall
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: LIP 25.8%, OSU 30.4%. Defensive: LIP 69.8%, OSU 70.0%
OSUSmall
Free throws
Free throw rate: LIP 26.0, OSU 37.2. Allowed: LIP 29.0, OSU 34.7
OSUSmall
Home court
OSU at home. This season: OSU 0-0 at home, LIP 0-0 away
Even
Turnovers
Turnover rate: LIP 16.0%, OSU 15.3%. Forced: LIP 17.7%, OSU 15.6%
Even
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: LIP 44%, OSU 37%. Transfers in: LIP 2, OSU 4. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Market

Open → current
Spread
Opening line not available
Total
 
Moneyline
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Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.

Model vs market

MarketModelModel edge
Spread—OSU -23.7—
Total—152.3—
Projected score—LIP 64.3 · OSU 88

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›
ModelActual
1H spreadOSU -14.0—
1H total71.2—
1H projected scoreLIP 28.6 · OSU 42.6—
The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

Ohio State has the better starters

Position by position: Lipscomb 0, Ohio State 3, even 2
LipscombBetterOhio State
G T. Simpkins TR12.5 pts · 2.9 reb · 2.4 ast Score 79
Even
G J. Mobley15.7 pts · 2.4 reb · 2.8 ast Score 93
G M. Esmeraldo9.8 pts · 3.9 reb · 6.9 ast Score 81
Even
G J. Pippen TR13.9 pts · 4 reb · 4.6 ast Score 90
F T. Sargiunas9.9 pts · 2 reb · 1.8 ast Score 28
OSUBig
G J. Williams TR14.9 pts · 4.5 reb · 2.6 ast Score 92
F O. Ashkenazi2.7 pts · 2.8 reb · 1.4 ast Score 3
OSUBig
G C. Givens TR9.4 pts · 2.1 reb · 2.3 ast Score 65
F T. Byrne TR3.8 pts · 2.7 reb · 1.9 ast Score 4
OSUBig
F A. Bynum9.7 pts · 4.9 reb · 1.1 ast Score 73
LipscombBetterOhio State
LIP offense191st of 366 · -5.9
OSUBig
OSU defense35th of 366 · +3.3
LIP defense226th of 366 · -6.0
OSUBig
OSU offense36th of 366 · +5.2
Backcourt+3.0 · 2 players
OSUBig
Backcourt+9.1 · 4 players
Frontcourt-6.7 · 3 players
OSUBig
Frontcourt+1.1 · 1 player
Bench-1.1 · 1 player
OSUSmall
Bench+1.0 · 3 players
Score, worst to bestLIP betterOSU betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers
Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
Lipscomb
Guards
T. Simpkins32 min · TRM. Esmeraldo31 minZ. WellsNewV. VisnjicNewH. TidareNewK. QuinnNew
Forwards
T. Sargiunas24 minO. Ashkenazi20 minT. Byrne16 min · TRK. Okpara13 minL. JackNewD. MartinNew
Ohio State
Guards
J. Mobley32 minJ. Pippen31 min · TRJ. Williams30 min · TRC. Givens26 min · TRB. Nash2 minM. HerroNew
Forwards
A. Bynum29 minA. Jelavic16 min · TRJ. OjianwunaNewA. ThompsonNewA. SmithNewV. LazarevicNew
Centers
I. Njegovan11 min
In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Shooting
Possessions
Defense
LIPOSU
Scoring
77.6 #104Points per game79.3 #76
1.10 #142Points per possession1.18 #31
70.8 #83Pace (possessions)67.2 #275
Shooting
54.1 #67Effective FG%56.2 #19
35.7 #753-point %35.7 #72
47.9 #243-point attempt rate40.1 #170
26.0 #357Free throw rate37.2 #122
Possessions
16.0 #142Turnover rate15.3 #91
25.8 #327Offensive rebound rate30.4 #185
17.2 #19Assists per game14.5 #117
Defense
77.0 #242Points allowed72.6 #120
1.09 #187Points allowed per possession1.08 #164
53.2 #273Opponent effective FG%50.2 #114
34.3 #207Opponent 3-point %31.9 #57
17.7 #113Turnovers forced15.6 #243
69.8 #171Defensive rebound rate70.0 #160
6.8 #141Steals per game4.8 #340
2.6 #291Blocks per game2.4 #311
From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

Lipscomb

17-13 in 2025-26 overall · 12-7 in conference · Atlantic Sun Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs FGCU53–77
  • W@ E Kentucky80–77
  • L@ West Georgia78–84
  • Wvs North Alabama73–51
  • W@ Bellarmine75–72

A week or more of rest.

Ohio State

21-13 in 2025-26 overall · 13-9 in conference · Big Ten Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs TCU64–66
  • Lvs Michigan67–71
  • Wvs Iowa72–69
  • Wvs Indiana91–78
  • W@ Penn State94–62

A week or more of rest.