1. NCAAB
  2. Thu, Dec 3
  3. JMU @ ELON
NCAAB · Thu, Dec 3

James Madison Dukes at Elon Phoenix

Schar Center · at Elon
#158JMUJames Madison
@
#231ELONElon
LineNo line yet 
Total— 
JMUThis seasonELON
0-0Record0-0
0-0ATS0-0
0-0O/U0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects ELON 74–74 · win probability ELON 50%
Pick this game
Your picksMy picks ›
Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
—
model 148.2
Model edge
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No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: JMU has more of the edges

JMU 5, ELON 2 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games
JMUBig
Three-pointers
JMU hits 35.4% and allows 32.7%; ELON hits 34.3% and allows 36.5%. Threes are 42.5% and 43.2% of their shots
JMUBig
Shooting
Effective FG%: JMU 53.1 and allows 49.0; ELON 52.2 and allows 54.0
ELONBig
Turnovers
Turnover rate: JMU 17.3%, ELON 16.0%. Forced: JMU 12.8%, ELON 16.4%
Context
Schedule so far
JMU has played the 257th-hardest schedule, ELON the 186th. A record against a soft schedule means less
JMUSmall
ELON offense vs JMU defense
Offense 225th of 366 against a defense 154th, on the model’s ratings
JMUSmall
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: JMU 30.6%, ELON 32.3%. Defensive: JMU 70.5%, ELON 66.5%
JMUSmall
JMU offense vs ELON defense
Offense 181st of 366 against a defense 235th, on the model’s ratings
ELONSmall
Home court
ELON at home. This season: ELON 0-0 at home, JMU 0-0 away
Context
Tempo
About 68 possessions: JMU plays 67.5 a game (253rd fastest), ELON 69.0 (178th). Faster games mean more points
Even
Free throws
Free throw rate: JMU 35.9, ELON 33.5. Allowed: JMU 40.8, ELON 34.6
Even
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: JMU 17%, ELON 30%. Transfers in: JMU 8, ELON 5. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Market

Open → current
Spread
Opening line not available
Total
 
Moneyline
—

Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.

Model vs market

MarketModelModel edge
Spread—ELON -0.1—
Total—148.2—
Projected score—JMU 74.1 · ELON 74.2

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›
ModelActual
1H spreadJMU -0.1—
1H total69.3—
1H projected scoreJMU 34.7 · ELON 34.6—
The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

James Madison has the better starters

Position by position: James Madison 2, Elon 0, even 3
James MadisonBetterElon
G G. Lattimore TR15.5 pts · 4.4 reb · 2.3 ast Score 48
JMUSmall
G R. Pettus11 pts · 3 reb · 1.3 ast Score 28
G A. Myers TR11.1 pts · 4.9 reb · 1 ast Score 73
Even
G B. Cokley12.4 pts · 3.9 reb · 1.3 ast Score 60
G C. Reilly TR3 pts · 1 reb · 1 ast Not ranked
No call
G I. Mbeng TR4.5 pts · 2.1 reb · 2.6 ast Score 12
F J. Hogarth TR10.2 pts · 6.7 reb · 1.4 ast Score 61
JMUSmall
G C. Thrower TR5.9 pts · 1.7 reb · 1.2 ast Score 33
F P. Fowler6.3 pts · 4.4 reb · 0.9 ast Score 25
Even
F J. Dalton TR3.4 pts · 2.3 reb · 0.5 ast Score 38
James MadisonBetterElon
JMU offense181st of 366 · -5.7
JMUSmall
ELON defense235th of 366 · -6.2
JMU defense154th of 366 · -3.4
JMUSmall
ELON offense225th of 366 · -6.9
Backcourt-2.0 · 3 players
JMUBig
Backcourt-5.7 · 4 players
Frontcourt-1.3 · 2 players
Even
Frontcourt-0.5 · 1 player
Bench-3.8 · 5 players
ELONBig
Bench-0.7 · 4 players
Score, worst to bestJMU betterELON betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers
Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
James Madison
Guards
G. Lattimore37 min · TRA. Myers29 min · TRC. Reilly23 min · TRK. Windham13 min · TRP. Jones11 minB. Lee5 min · TR
Forwards
J. Hogarth25 min · TRP. Fowler23 minG. Sundra18 min · TRM. Curtis16 min · TRJ. BrownNewA. EvansNew
Elon
Guards
R. Pettus28 minB. Cokley27 minI. Mbeng23 min · TRC. Thrower17 min · TRR. Villar12 min · TRK. DixonNew
Forwards
J. Dalton13 min · TRI. Garmendia3 minA. Olander1 minM. ŠarenacNewB. SehlhorstNewC. ZhuNew
Centers
H. Harding7 min · TR
In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Shooting
Possessions
Defense
JMUELON
Scoring
74.7 #172Points per game76.8 #123
1.10 #128Points per possession1.12 #111
67.5 #253Pace (possessions)69.0 #178
Shooting
53.1 #97Effective FG%52.2 #137
35.4 #943-point %34.3 #154
42.5 #1283-point attempt rate43.2 #107
35.9 #153Free throw rate33.5 #222
Possessions
17.3 #225Turnover rate16.0 #136
30.6 #175Offensive rebound rate32.3 #116
12.5 #252Assists per game14.6 #108
Defense
74.4 #170Points allowed79.3 #307
1.10 #226Points allowed per possession1.14 #316
49.0 #66Opponent effective FG%54.0 #300
32.7 #101Opponent 3-point %36.5 #328
12.8 #359Turnovers forced16.4 #196
70.5 #134Defensive rebound rate66.5 #307
5.1 #327Steals per game6.6 #157
4.1 #68Blocks per game3.0 #231
From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

James Madison

17-15 in 2025-26 overall · 10-10 in conference · Sun Belt Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Southern Miss80–86
  • Wvs Louisiana87–72
  • Lvs Coastal68–69
  • Wvs GA Southern82–66
  • W@ Georgia St80–65

A week or more of rest.

Elon

12-18 in 2025-26 overall · 6-13 in conference · Coastal Athletic Association

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs William & Mary62–72
  • Lvs UNC Wilmington57–76
  • L@ Monmouth57–73
  • L@ Towson56–58
  • Lvs NC A&T82–102

A week or more of rest.