Montagne Center · at Lamar · Conference game
Closing line
MCN -10.5✓ LAM covered by 9.5
MCN -10.5✓ LAM covered by 9.5Closing total144.5Under by 17.5
| MCN | This season | LAM |
|---|---|---|
| 15-4 | Record | 9-10 |
| 10-9 | ATS | 9-10 |
| 10-9 | O/U | 10-9 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: MCN 76–67 LAM · ✓ MCN (78%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MCN | 31 | 33 | 64 |
| LAM | 23 | 40 | 63 |
1st half: MCN 31, LAM 23 (MCN by 8). The model had MCN by 5.5 and a total of 66.7 (actual 54).
Team stats
| MCN | LAM | |
|---|---|---|
| 20-54 37% | Field goals | 23-61 38% |
| 7-17 41% | 3-pointers | 8-21 38% |
| 17-19 89% | Free throws | 9-12 75% |
| 33 12 off | Rebounds | 43 20 off |
| 11 | Assists | 16 |
| 6 | Steals | 3 |
| 8 | Blocks | 3 |
| 7 | Turnovers | 10 |
| 12 | Fouls | 12 |
| 24 | Points in paint | 16 |
| 20 | Fast-break points | 4 |
Players
| MCN | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Javohn Garcia G | 33 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1-9 | 1-4 |
| Jerrell Colbert F | 33 | 10 | 12 | 2 | 3-6 | 0-0 |
| Larry Johnson G | 30 | 22 | 4 | 2 | 8-14 | 3-4 |
| Tyshawn Archie G | 18 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2-8 | 1-3 |
| Carl Cherenfant G | 11 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Garwey Dual G | 29 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2-7 | 1-2 |
| DJ Richards Jr. G | 20 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Jacolb Fredson-Cole F | 19 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| Peitok Machar F | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Yanis Ndjonga F | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Kaleb Brewer, Akim Mazou, Erik Villarreal, JJ Rembert, T'Johnn Brown
| LAM | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Braden East F | 31 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 5-7 | 0-0 |
| Andrew Holifield F | 30 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 2-13 | 0-4 |
| Rob Lee Jr. G | 30 | 25 | 4 | 2 | 8-17 | 4-9 |
| King-Njhsanni Wilhite G | 28 | 5 | 0 | 6 | 2-5 | 1-2 |
| Cody Pennebaker G | 28 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 0-4 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Errol White F | 22 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 2-5 | 0-0 |
| Eian Lowe G | 12 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-3 | 0-1 |
| Jayden Gambrell G | 10 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 3-6 | 3-4 |
| Janko Bulajic C | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Spencer Ezewiro F | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Izuchukwu Emelife, Christian Thomas, Quinton Sanders, Jayden Barrs, B.B. Knight
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketMCN -10.5
ModelMCN -9.0
Model edgeLAM +1.5
W LAM covered
Total
Market144.5
Model142.4
Model edgeUnder 2.1
W Under
Projected score
MCN 75.7 · LAM 66.7
MCN 64 · LAM 63
Win probability
MCN 78%
1st half
Spread
MCN -5.5
MCN -8.0
Total
66.7
54 points
Projected score
MCN 36.1 · LAM 30.6
MCN 31 · LAM 23
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenMCN -10.5
no move
CloseMCN -10.5
No change since the open
Total
Open144.5
no move
Close144.5
No change since the open
Moneyline
MCN -675 · LAM +490
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened MCN -10.5 · unchangedmodel MCN -9
model MCN -9
Opened 144.5 · unchangedmodel 142.5
model 142.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MCN | 8-2 80% | 3-7 30% | 6-4 60% |
| LAM | 6-4 60% | 6-4 60% | 5-5 50% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 10 since 2021-22
MCN 9–1 LAMMCN leads · 10 games since 2021-22 · MCN has won the last 7 meetings · MCN 4-6 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 2, 2025-26 | LAM 70 @ MCN 82 | MCN -16.5 | LAM W |
| Mar 12, 2024-25 | LAM 54 @ MCN 63 | MCN -12.5 | LAM W |
| Mar 1, 2024-25 | MCN 68 @ LAM 66 | LAM +8.5 | LAM W |
| Jan 18, 2024-25 | LAM 64 @ MCN 75 | MCN -14.5 | LAM W |
| Mar 12, 2023-24 | LAM 57 @ MCN 76 | MCN -13.5 | MCN W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
McNeese
19 games played
Straight up
15-4
79% wins
Against the spread
10-9
53% covers · avg +0.6 pts vs the line
Over / Under
10-9
53% overs · avg +0.7 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7 | @ SCU | L 67-79 | +6.5 | L −5.5 | 151.5 | U 146 |
| Nov 14 | vs UL | W 88-62 | -15.5 | W +10.5 | 134.5 | O 150 |
| Nov 23 | vs GW | W 92-86 | +5.5 | W +11.5 | 157.5 | O 178 |
| Nov 24 | vs MUR | W 73-60 | -2.5 | W +10.5 | 158.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 25 | vs MTSU | W 72-62 | -9.5 | W +0.5 | 147.5 | U 134 |
| Dec 1 | @ UIW | L 67-71 | -10.5 | L −14.5 | 145.5 | U 138 |
| Dec 5 | vs NWST | W 92-54 | -19.5 | W +18.5 | 139.5 | O 146 |
| Dec 9 | @ URI | W 66-64 | -1.5 | W +0.5 | 146.5 | U 130 |
| Dec 12 | vs ETAM | W 102-66 | -20.5 | W +15.5 | 142.5 | O 168 |
| Dec 15 | @ HCU | W 78-68 | -14.5 | L −4.5 | 137.5 | O 146 |
| Dec 29 | @ MICH | L 71-112 | +24.5 | L −16.5 | 161.5 | O 183 |
| Jan 2 | vsLAM | W 82-70 | -16.5 | L −4.5 | 145.5 | O 152 |
| Jan 5 | vs SFA | W 66-64 | -10.5 | L −8.5 | 144.5 | U 130 |
| Jan 10 | vs SELA | W 73-61 | -16.5 | L −4.5 | 138.5 | U 134 |
| Jan 12 | vs NICH | W 94-68 | -15.5 | W +10.5 | 146.5 | O 162 |
| Jan 17 | @ RGV | L 76-79 | -9.5 | L −12.5 | 146.5 | O 155 |
| Jan 19 | @ AMCC | W 69-53 | -9.5 | W +6.5 | 140.5 | U 122 |
| Jan 24 | vs NOLA | W 82-63 | -18.5 | W +0.5 | 156.5 | U 145 |
| Jan 27 | @SELA | W 76-66 | -12.5 | L −2.5 | 139.5 | O 142 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
7
@SCU
SCUL 67-79
−5.5
14
vsUL
ULW 88-62
+10.5
23
vsGW
GWW 92-86
+11.5
24
vsMUR
MURW 73-60
+10.5
25
vsMTSU
MTSUW 72-62
+0.5
1
@UIW
UIWL 67-71
−14.5
5
vsNWST
NWSTW 92-54
+18.5
9
@URI
URIW 66-64
+0.5
12
vsETAM
ETAMW 102-66
+15.5
15
@HCU
HCUW 78-68
−4.5
29
@MICH
MICHL 71-112
−16.5
2
vsLAM
LAMW 82-70
−4.5
5
vsSFA
SFAW 66-64
−8.5
10
vsSELA
SELAW 73-61
−4.5
12
vsNICH
NICHW 94-68
+10.5
17
@RGV
RGVL 76-79
−12.5
19
@AMCC
AMCCW 69-53
+6.5
24
vsNOLA
NOLAW 82-63
+0.5
27
@SELA
SELAW 76-66
−2.5
covered 10didn’t cover 9avg +0.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
7
@SCU
SCUL 67-79
−5.5
14
vsUL
ULW 88-62
+15.5
23
vsGW
GWW 92-86
+20.5
24
vsMUR
MURW 73-60
−25.5
25
vsMTSU
MTSUW 72-62
−13.5
1
@UIW
UIWL 67-71
−7.5
5
vsNWST
NWSTW 92-54
+6.5
9
@URI
URIW 66-64
−16.5
12
vsETAM
ETAMW 102-66
+25.5
15
@HCU
HCUW 78-68
+8.5
29
@MICH
MICHL 71-112
+21.5
2
vsLAM
LAMW 82-70
+6.5
5
vsSFA
SFAW 66-64
−14.5
10
vsSELA
SELAW 73-61
−4.5
12
vsNICH
NICHW 94-68
+15.5
17
@RGV
RGVL 76-79
+8.5
19
@AMCC
AMCCW 69-53
−18.5
24
vsNOLA
NOLAW 82-63
−11.5
27
@SELA
SELAW 76-66
+2.5
over 10under 9avg +0.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Lamar
19 games played
Straight up
9-10
47% wins
Against the spread
9-10
47% covers · avg −0.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
10-9
53% overs · avg +1.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 10 | @ TCU | L 65-78 | +18.5 | W +5.5 | 147.5 | U 143 |
| Nov 17 | @ ULM | W 79-66 | -11.5 | W +1.5 | 140.5 | O 145 |
| Nov 23 | @ MONT | W 68-63 | +4.5 | W +9.5 | 148.5 | U 131 |
| Nov 24 | vs OAK | L 68-83 | +3.5 | L −11.5 | 148.5 | O 151 |
| Dec 3 | vsUL | W 65-55 | -10.5 | L −0.5 | 129.5 | U 120 |
| Dec 6 | vsAMCC | L 49-57 | -3.5 | L −11.5 | 136.5 | U 106 |
| Dec 10 | @ SDSU | L 71-89 | +17.5 | L −0.5 | 135.5 | O 160 |
| Dec 16 | vsRGV | L 72-83 | -3.5 | L −14.5 | 139.5 | O 155 |
| Dec 20 | vs OMA | L 82-85 | -5.5 | L −8.5 | 141.5 | O 167 |
| Dec 29 | @NWST | W 76-61 | -3.5 | W +11.5 | 138.5 | U 137 |
| Dec 31 | @ETAM | W 69-62 | -5.5 | W +1.5 | 143.5 | U 131 |
| Jan 2 | @MCN | L 70-82 | +16.5 | W +4.5 | 145.5 | O 152 |
| Jan 5 | @SELA | L 52-60 | -1.5 | L −9.5 | 135.5 | U 112 |
| Jan 10 | vsUIW | W 63-51 | -1.5 | W +10.5 | 140.5 | U 114 |
| Jan 12 | vsHCU | W 64-56 | -8.5 | L −0.5 | 134.5 | U 120 |
| Jan 17 | @NICH | W 90-80 | +3.5 | W +13.5 | 139.5 | O 170 |
| Jan 19 | @NOLA | L 76-89 | -1.5 | L −14.5 | 144.5 | O 165 |
| Jan 24 | vsSFA | L 81-88 | +4.5 | L −2.5 | 136.5 | O 169 |
| Jan 27 | vsETAM | W 82-61 | -6.5 | W +14.5 | 140.5 | O 143 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
10
@TCU
TCUL 65-78
+5.5
17
@ULM
ULMW 79-66
+1.5
23
@MONT
MONTW 68-63
+9.5
24
vsOAK
OAKL 68-83
−11.5
3
vsUL
ULW 65-55
−0.5
6
vsAMCC
AMCCL 49-57
−11.5
10
@SDSU
SDSUL 71-89
−0.5
16
vsRGV
RGVL 72-83
−14.5
20
vsOMA
OMAL 82-85
−8.5
29
@NWST
NWSTW 76-61
+11.5
31
@ETAM
ETAMW 69-62
+1.5
2
@MCN
MCNL 70-82
+4.5
5
@SELA
SELAL 52-60
−9.5
10
vsUIW
UIWW 63-51
+10.5
12
vsHCU
HCUW 64-56
−0.5
17
@NICH
NICHW 90-80
+13.5
19
@NOLA
NOLAL 76-89
−14.5
24
vsSFA
SFAL 81-88
−2.5
27
vsETAM
ETAMW 82-61
+14.5
covered 9didn’t cover 10avg −0.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
10
@TCU
TCUL 65-78
−4.5
17
@ULM
ULMW 79-66
+4.5
23
@MONT
MONTW 68-63
−17.5
24
vsOAK
OAKL 68-83
+2.5
3
vsUL
ULW 65-55
−9.5
6
vsAMCC
AMCCL 49-57
−30.5
10
@SDSU
SDSUL 71-89
+24.5
16
vsRGV
RGVL 72-83
+15.5
20
vsOMA
OMAL 82-85
+25.5
29
@NWST
NWSTW 76-61
−1.5
31
@ETAM
ETAMW 69-62
−12.5
2
@MCN
MCNL 70-82
+6.5
5
@SELA
SELAL 52-60
−23.5
10
vsUIW
UIWW 63-51
−26.5
12
vsHCU
HCUW 64-56
−14.5
17
@NICH
NICHW 90-80
+30.5
19
@NOLA
NOLAL 76-89
+20.5
24
vsSFA
SFAL 81-88
+32.5
27
vsETAM
ETAMW 82-61
+2.5
over 10under 9avg +1.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
McNeese
15-4 overall · 10-2 in conference · Southland Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ SE Louisiana76–66
- Wvs LSU N Orleans82–63
- W@ Texas A&M-CC69–53
- L@ UT Rio Grande76–79
- Wvs Nicholls94–68
4 days since their last game.
Lamar
9-10 overall · 6-6 in conference · Southland Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs East Texas A&M82–61
- Lvs SF Austin81–88
- L@ LSU N Orleans76–89
- W@ Nicholls90–80
- Wvs Hou Christian64–56
4 days since their last game.