UTRGV Fieldhouse · at UT Rio Grande · Conference game
Closing line
MCN -9.5✓ RGV covered by 12.5
MCN -9.5✓ RGV covered by 12.5Closing total146.5Over by 8.5
| MCN | This season | RGV |
|---|---|---|
| 12-3 | Record | 4-11 |
| 8-7 | ATS | 6-9 |
| 8-7 | O/U | 6-9 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: MCN 78–68 RGV · ✗ MCN (81%) lost
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MCN | 30 | 46 | 76 |
| RGV | 46 | 33 | 79 |
1st half: MCN 30, RGV 46 (RGV by 16). The model had MCN by 6.1 and a total of 68.7 (actual 76).
Team stats
| MCN | RGV | |
|---|---|---|
| 25-63 40% | Field goals | 26-48 54% |
| 5-26 19% | 3-pointers | 13-27 48% |
| 21-24 88% | Free throws | 14-18 78% |
| 35 16 off | Rebounds | 29 6 off |
| 12 | Assists | 20 |
| 8 | Steals | 3 |
| 4 | Blocks | 2 |
| 7 | Turnovers | 13 |
| 19 | Fouls | 15 |
| 34 | Points in paint | 20 |
| 11 | Fast-break points | 5 |
Players
| MCN | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Javohn Garcia G | 36 | 19 | 4 | 0 | 7-13 | 2-6 |
| Garwey Dual G | 27 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 1-3 | 0-2 |
| Larry Johnson G | 19 | 17 | 4 | 1 | 4-10 | 0-4 |
| Jerrell Colbert F | 17 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| Carl Cherenfant G | 14 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Tyshawn Archie G | 29 | 23 | 2 | 3 | 8-17 | 3-9 |
| Jacolb Fredson-Cole F | 24 | 3 | 10 | 1 | 1-7 | 0-1 |
| DJ Richards Jr. G | 15 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0-5 | 0-4 |
| Yanis Ndjonga F | 15 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Peitok Machar F | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: JJ Rembert, Erik Villarreal, Kaleb Brewer, Akim Mazou, T'Johnn Brown
| RGV | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaylen Washington Jr. G | 31 | 13 | 3 | 3 | 4-6 | 1-1 |
| Marvin McGhee III G | 30 | 17 | 7 | 1 | 5-7 | 3-5 |
| Koree Cotton G | 27 | 9 | 2 | 7 | 3-8 | 1-4 |
| Filip Brankovic F | 24 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 2-4 | 1-2 |
| Julien Gomez G | 18 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 2-5 | 1-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Zae Blake G | 28 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 4-6 | 2-4 |
| Jalen Ricks G | 16 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 5-9 | 4-7 |
| Kwo Agwa F | 16 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 1-3 | 0-1 |
| Always Wright G | 9 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Demarris Winters G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Marshal Destremau, Kye Dickson, Mustafo Vanjov, Dane Christensen, Luis Ramirez
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketMCN -9.5
ModelMCN -10.0
Model edgeMCN +0.5
L RGV covered
Total
Market146.5
Model146.6
Model edgeOver 0.1
W Over
Projected score
MCN 78.3 · RGV 68.3
MCN 76 · RGV 79
Win probability
MCN 81%
1st half
Spread
MCN -6.1
RGV -16.0
Total
68.7
76 points
Projected score
MCN 37.4 · RGV 31.3
MCN 30 · RGV 46
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenMCN -9.5
no move
CloseMCN -9.5
No change since the open
Total
Open144.5
▲ 2
Close146.5
Up 2 since the open
Moneyline
—
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened MCN -9.5 · unchangedmodel MCN -10
model MCN -10
Opened 144.5 · closed 146.5 · moved 2 upmodel 146.5 matches the line
model 146.5 = line ✓
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MCN | 8-2 80% | 4-6 40% | 6-4 60% |
| RGV | 3-7 30% | 3-7 30% | 4-6 40% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
MCN 2–0 RGVMCN leads · 2 games since 2021-22 · MCN has won the last 2 meetings · MCN 2-0 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 24, 2024-25 | RGV 65 @ MCN 100 | MCN -14.5 | MCN W |
| Jan 25, 2024-25 | MCN 93 @ RGV 63 | RGV +9.5 | MCN W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
McNeese
15 games played
Straight up
12-3
80% wins
Against the spread
8-7
53% covers · avg +1.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
8-7
53% overs · avg +2.2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7 | @ SCU | L 67-79 | +6.5 | L −5.5 | 151.5 | U 146 |
| Nov 14 | vs UL | W 88-62 | -15.5 | W +10.5 | 134.5 | O 150 |
| Nov 23 | vs GW | W 92-86 | +5.5 | W +11.5 | 157.5 | O 178 |
| Nov 24 | vs MUR | W 73-60 | -2.5 | W +10.5 | 158.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 25 | vs MTSU | W 72-62 | -9.5 | W +0.5 | 147.5 | U 134 |
| Dec 1 | @ UIW | L 67-71 | -10.5 | L −14.5 | 145.5 | U 138 |
| Dec 5 | vs NWST | W 92-54 | -19.5 | W +18.5 | 139.5 | O 146 |
| Dec 9 | @ URI | W 66-64 | -1.5 | W +0.5 | 146.5 | U 130 |
| Dec 12 | vs ETAM | W 102-66 | -20.5 | W +15.5 | 142.5 | O 168 |
| Dec 15 | @ HCU | W 78-68 | -14.5 | L −4.5 | 137.5 | O 146 |
| Dec 29 | @ MICH | L 71-112 | +24.5 | L −16.5 | 161.5 | O 183 |
| Jan 2 | vs LAM | W 82-70 | -16.5 | L −4.5 | 145.5 | O 152 |
| Jan 5 | vs SFA | W 66-64 | -10.5 | L −8.5 | 144.5 | U 130 |
| Jan 10 | vs SELA | W 73-61 | -16.5 | L −4.5 | 138.5 | U 134 |
| Jan 12 | vs NICH | W 94-68 | -15.5 | W +10.5 | 146.5 | O 162 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
7
@SCU
SCUL 67-79
−5.5
14
vsUL
ULW 88-62
+10.5
23
vsGW
GWW 92-86
+11.5
24
vsMUR
MURW 73-60
+10.5
25
vsMTSU
MTSUW 72-62
+0.5
1
@UIW
UIWL 67-71
−14.5
5
vsNWST
NWSTW 92-54
+18.5
9
@URI
URIW 66-64
+0.5
12
vsETAM
ETAMW 102-66
+15.5
15
@HCU
HCUW 78-68
−4.5
29
@MICH
MICHL 71-112
−16.5
2
vsLAM
LAMW 82-70
−4.5
5
vsSFA
SFAW 66-64
−8.5
10
vsSELA
SELAW 73-61
−4.5
12
vsNICH
NICHW 94-68
+10.5
covered 8didn’t cover 7avg +1.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
7
@SCU
SCUL 67-79
−5.5
14
vsUL
ULW 88-62
+15.5
23
vsGW
GWW 92-86
+20.5
24
vsMUR
MURW 73-60
−25.5
25
vsMTSU
MTSUW 72-62
−13.5
1
@UIW
UIWL 67-71
−7.5
5
vsNWST
NWSTW 92-54
+6.5
9
@URI
URIW 66-64
−16.5
12
vsETAM
ETAMW 102-66
+25.5
15
@HCU
HCUW 78-68
+8.5
29
@MICH
MICHL 71-112
+21.5
2
vsLAM
LAMW 82-70
+6.5
5
vsSFA
SFAW 66-64
−14.5
10
vsSELA
SELAW 73-61
−4.5
12
vsNICH
NICHW 94-68
+15.5
over 8under 7avg +2.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
UT Rio Grande
15 games played
Straight up
4-11
27% wins
Against the spread
6-9
40% covers · avg +0.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
6-9
40% overs · avg −6.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ BAY | L 81-96 | +24.5 | W +9.5 | 154.5 | O 177 |
| Nov 8 | @ SUU | W 95-72 | -1.5 | W +21.5 | 160.5 | O 167 |
| Nov 11 | @ BOIS | L 65-85 | +16.5 | L −3.5 | 161.5 | U 150 |
| Nov 22 | @ MOST | L 67-74 | +3.5 | L −3.5 | 149.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 24 | @ ILL | L 73-87 | +33.5 | W +19.5 | 164.5 | U 160 |
| Dec 3 | @SFA | L 60-73 | +6.5 | L −6.5 | 143.5 | U 133 |
| Dec 7 | vs APSU | W 63-50 | -2.5 | W +10.5 | 151.5 | U 113 |
| Dec 11 | vs UTA | L 50-58 | -4.5 | L −12.5 | 145.5 | U 108 |
| Dec 16 | @LAM | W 83-72 | +3.5 | W +14.5 | 139.5 | O 155 |
| Dec 29 | vs NOLA | L 69-85 | -6.5 | L −22.5 | 152.5 | O 154 |
| Dec 31 | vsNICH | L 69-71 | -3.5 | L −5.5 | 145.5 | U 140 |
| Jan 3 | vs AMCC | L 59-63 | -2.5 | L −6.5 | 137.5 | U 122 |
| Jan 5 | vsUIW | W 80-67 | -1.5 | W +11.5 | 146.5 | O 147 |
| Jan 10 | @ETAM | L 69-77 | -3.5 | L −11.5 | 145.5 | O 146 |
| Jan 12 | @NWST | L 63-64 | -2.5 | L −3.5 | 143.5 | U 127 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@BAY
BAYL 81-96
+9.5
8
@SUU
SUUW 95-72
+21.5
11
@BOIS
BOISL 65-85
−3.5
22
@MOST
MOSTL 67-74
−3.5
24
@ILL
ILLL 73-87
+19.5
3
@SFA
SFAL 60-73
−6.5
7
vsAPSU
APSUW 63-50
+10.5
11
vsUTA
UTAL 50-58
−12.5
16
@LAM
LAMW 83-72
+14.5
29
vsNOLA
NOLAL 69-85
−22.5
31
vsNICH
NICHL 69-71
−5.5
3
vsAMCC
AMCCL 59-63
−6.5
5
vsUIW
UIWW 80-67
+11.5
10
@ETAM
ETAML 69-77
−11.5
12
@NWST
NWSTL 63-64
−3.5
covered 6didn’t cover 9avg +0.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@BAY
BAYL 81-96
+22.5
8
@SUU
SUUW 95-72
+6.5
11
@BOIS
BOISL 65-85
−11.5
22
@MOST
MOSTL 67-74
−8.5
24
@ILL
ILLL 73-87
−4.5
3
@SFA
SFAL 60-73
−10.5
7
vsAPSU
APSUW 63-50
−38.5
11
vsUTA
UTAL 50-58
−37.5
16
@LAM
LAMW 83-72
+15.5
29
vsNOLA
NOLAL 69-85
+1.5
31
vsNICH
NICHL 69-71
−5.5
3
vsAMCC
AMCCL 59-63
−15.5
5
vsUIW
UIWW 80-67
+0.5
10
@ETAM
ETAML 69-77
+0.5
12
@NWST
NWSTL 63-64
−16.5
over 6under 9avg −6.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
McNeese
12-3 overall · 7-1 in conference · Southland Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Nicholls94–68
- Wvs SE Louisiana73–61
- Wvs SF Austin66–64
- Wvs Lamar82–70
- L@ Michigan71–112
5 days since their last game.
UT Rio Grande
4-11 overall · 2-6 in conference · Southland Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ N'Western St63–64
- L@ East Texas A&M69–77
- Wvs Incarnate Word80–67
- Lvs Texas A&M-CC59–63
- Lvs Nicholls69–71
5 days since their last game.