1. NCAAB
  2. Thu, Nov 12
  3. CAN @ BRWN
NCAAB · Thu, Nov 12

Canisius Golden Griffins at Brown Bears

Pizzitola Sports Center · at Brown
#359CANCanisius
@
#156BRWNBrown
LineNo line yet 
Total— 
CANThis seasonBRWN
0-0Record0-0
0-0ATS0-0
0-0O/U0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects BRWN 77–61 · win probability BRWN 92%
Pick this game
Your picksMy picks ›
Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
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model 137.8
Model edge
—
No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: BRWN has more of the edges

CAN 2, BRWN 6 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games
BRWNBig
CAN offense vs BRWN defense
Offense 358th of 366 against a defense 124th, on the model’s ratings
BRWNBig
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: CAN 1%, BRWN 100%. Transfers in: CAN 6, BRWN 0. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
Context
Schedule so far
CAN has played the 337th-hardest schedule, BRWN the 176th. A record against a soft schedule means less
BRWNSmall
BRWN offense vs CAN defense
Offense 220th of 366 against a defense 321st, on the model’s ratings
BRWNSmall
Turnovers
Turnover rate: CAN 19.6%, BRWN 19.4%. Forced: CAN 16.0%, BRWN 18.8%
CANSmall
Three-pointers
CAN hits 33.3% and allows 33.0%; BRWN hits 30.3% and allows 33.5%. Threes are 39.5% and 36.3% of their shots
CANSmall
Free throws
Free throw rate: CAN 31.4, BRWN 28.1. Allowed: CAN 35.2, BRWN 37.6
Context
Tempo
About 66 possessions: CAN plays 64.6 a game (353rd fastest), BRWN 68.0 (229th). Faster games mean more points
BRWNSmall
Home court
BRWN at home. This season: BRWN 0-0 at home, CAN 0-0 away
BRWNSmall
Shooting
Effective FG%: CAN 46.3 and allows 52.2; BRWN 48.6 and allows 51.3
Even
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: CAN 29.3%, BRWN 29.0%. Defensive: CAN 70.2%, BRWN 70.0%
Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Market

Open → current
Spread
Opening line not available
Total
 
Moneyline
—

Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.

Model vs market

MarketModelModel edge
Spread—BRWN -15.8—
Total—137.8—
Projected score—CAN 61 · BRWN 76.8

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›
ModelActual
1H spreadBRWN -9.3—
1H total64.5—
1H projected scoreCAN 27.6 · BRWN 36.9—
The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

Brown has the better starters

Position by position: Canisius 0, Brown 3, even 2
CanisiusBetterBrown
G V. Sigona TR7.5 pts · 1 reb · 1.7 ast Score 22
BRWNSmall
G J. Jenkins8.4 pts · 3.8 reb · 5.3 ast Score 47
G M. Wilson TR4.9 pts · 1.5 reb · 0.6 ast Score 18
Even
G A. Uchidiuno9.1 pts · 2.8 reb · 1.1 ast Score 20
G D. Winters TR1.6 pts · 0.6 reb · 0.2 ast Not ranked
No call
G M. Wrisby-Jefferson4.4 pts · 3.6 reb · 2.6 ast Score 25
F P. Ryan TR6.8 pts · 4 reb · 1.1 ast Score 7
BRWNSmall
G D. Rochester5.6 pts · 3.6 reb · 1.7 ast Score 27
F C. Efinda TR4.2 pts · 1.5 reb · 0.6 ast Score 8
BRWNBig
F N. Dabo7.1 pts · 5.7 reb · 1 ast Score 72
CanisiusBetterBrown
CAN offense358th of 366 · -14.0
BRWNBig
BRWN defense124th of 366 · -2.2
CAN defense321st of 366 · -8.3
BRWNSmall
BRWN offense220th of 366 · -6.7
Backcourt-3.5 · 3 players
CANBig
Backcourt-6.6 · 4 players
Frontcourt-4.4 · 2 players
BRWNBig
Frontcourt+1.0 · 1 player
Bench-0.4 · 2 players
CANSmall
Bench-2.4 · 5 players
Score, worst to bestCAN betterBRWN betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers
Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
Canisius
Guards
V. Sigona20 min · TRM. Wilson13 min · TRD. Winters6 min · TRT. Augustine2 minC. FrancisNewW. FowlerNew
Forwards
P. Ryan23 min · TRC. Efinda15 min · TRN. Deer3 min · TRN. FoutsNewW. TaylorNewA. RiakNew
Brown
Guards
J. Jenkins31 minA. Uchidiuno26 minM. Wrisby-Jefferson23 minD. Rochester22 minI. Langham21 minB. Loughlin18 min
Forwards
N. Dabo24 minC. O'Sullivan11 minW. DeGraaf8 minE. JamgbadiNewL. JonesNew
In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Shooting
Possessions
Defense
CANBRWN
Scoring
62.2 #361Points per game67.2 #330
0.96 #349Points per possession0.98 #338
64.6 #353Pace (possessions)68.0 #229
Shooting
46.3 #348Effective FG%48.6 #299
33.3 #2133-point %30.3 #338
39.5 #1823-point attempt rate36.3 #244
31.4 #271Free throw rate28.1 #342
Possessions
19.6 #341Turnover rate19.4 #334
29.3 #226Offensive rebound rate29.0 #236
11.9 #293Assists per game14.8 #99
Defense
71.4 #87Points allowed72.4 #115
1.10 #228Points allowed per possession1.07 #134
52.2 #225Opponent effective FG%51.3 #176
33.0 #124Opponent 3-point %33.5 #157
16.0 #222Turnovers forced18.8 #57
70.2 #151Defensive rebound rate70.0 #164
4.8 #342Steals per game7.5 #82
2.6 #292Blocks per game3.8 #104
From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

Canisius

9-21 in 2025-26 overall · 5-15 in conference · Metro Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Quinnipiac63–67
  • Wvs Merrimack67–62
  • L@ Mount St Marys47–68
  • W@ Rider72–66
  • Lvs Manhattan65–69

A week or more of rest.

Brown

7-18 in 2025-26 overall · 3-11 in conference · Ivy League

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Penn61–82
  • L@ Cornell80–86
  • L@ Columbia62–80
  • Wvs Princeton80–71
  • W@ Dartmouth79–76

A week or more of rest.