1. NCAAB
  2. Sat, Nov 14
  3. BRWN @ SIE
NCAAB · Sat, Nov 14

Brown Bears at Siena Saints

MVP Arena · at Siena
#156BRWNBrown
@
#260SIESiena
LineNo line yet 
Total— 
BRWNThis seasonSIE
0-0Record0-0
0-0ATS0-0
0-0O/U0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects BRWN 70–69 · win probability BRWN 52%
Pick this game
Your picksMy picks ›
Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
—
model 138.7
Model edge
—
No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: SIE has more of the edges

BRWN 2, SIE 5 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games
BRWNBig
SIE offense vs BRWN defense
Offense 309th of 366 against a defense 124th, on the model’s ratings
SIEBig
Free throws
Free throw rate: BRWN 28.1, SIE 33.4. Allowed: BRWN 37.6, SIE 27.5
Context
Schedule so far
BRWN has played the 176th-hardest schedule, SIE the 320th. A record against a soft schedule means less
BRWNBig
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: BRWN 100%, SIE 28%. Transfers in: BRWN 0, SIE 1. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
SIESmall
Shooting
Effective FG%: BRWN 48.6 and allows 51.3; SIE 50.4 and allows 48.5
SIESmall
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: BRWN 29.0%, SIE 31.8%. Defensive: BRWN 70.0%, SIE 70.5%
Context
Tempo
About 66 possessions: BRWN plays 68.0 a game (229th fastest), SIE 64.4 (354th). Faster games mean more points
SIESmall
Turnovers
Turnover rate: BRWN 19.4%, SIE 15.8%. Forced: BRWN 18.8%, SIE 17.0%
SIESmall
Home court
SIE at home. This season: SIE 0-0 at home, BRWN 0-0 away
Even
Three-pointers
BRWN hits 30.3% and allows 33.5%; SIE hits 30.6% and allows 32.4%. Threes are 36.3% and 32.2% of their shots
Even
BRWN offense vs SIE defense
Offense 220th of 366 against a defense 194th, on the model’s ratings
Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Market

Open → current
Spread
Opening line not available
Total
 
Moneyline
—

Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.

Model vs market

MarketModelModel edge
Spread—BRWN -0.5—
Total—138.7—
Projected score—BRWN 69.6 · SIE 69.1

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›
ModelActual
1H spreadBRWN -0.5—
1H total64.9—
1H projected scoreBRWN 32.7 · SIE 32.2—
The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

Brown has the better starters

Position by position: Brown 1, Siena 0, even 4
BrownBetterSiena
G J. Jenkins8.4 pts · 3.8 reb · 5.3 ast Score 47
BRWNSmall
G T. Yildizoglu TR10.4 pts · 3.6 reb · 4.4 ast Score 30
G A. Uchidiuno9.1 pts · 2.8 reb · 1.1 ast Score 20
Even
G B. Coyle8.7 pts · 4.6 reb · 0.9 ast Score 17
G M. Wrisby-Jefferson4.4 pts · 3.6 reb · 2.6 ast Score 25
Even
G I. Henderson3.8 pts · 0.8 reb · 0.5 ast Score 12
G D. Rochester5.6 pts · 3.6 reb · 1.7 ast Score 27
No call
G O. Schlager2.8 pts · 1.2 reb · 0.6 ast Not ranked
F N. Dabo7.1 pts · 5.7 reb · 1 ast Score 72
No call
G C. Torres0.5 pts · 0 reb · 0.3 ast Not ranked
BrownBetterSiena
BRWN offense220th of 366 · -6.7
Even
SIE defense194th of 366 · -4.7
BRWN defense124th of 366 · -2.2
BRWNBig
SIE offense309th of 366 · -9.6
Backcourt-6.6 · 4 players
BRWNSmall
Backcourt-7.7 · 5 players
Frontcourt+1.0 · 1 player
No call
FrontcourtNo numbers yet
Bench-2.4 · 5 players
No call
BenchNo numbers yet
Score, worst to bestBRWN betterSIE betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers
Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
Brown
Guards
J. Jenkins31 minA. Uchidiuno26 minM. Wrisby-Jefferson23 minD. Rochester22 minI. Langham21 minB. Loughlin18 min
Forwards
N. Dabo24 minC. O'Sullivan11 minW. DeGraaf8 minE. JamgbadiNewL. JonesNew
Siena
Guards
T. Yildizoglu32 min · TRB. Coyle31 minI. Henderson14 minO. Schlager10 minC. Torres3 minR. DucharmeNew
In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Shooting
Possessions
Defense
BRWNSIE
Scoring
67.2 #330Points per game70.4 #276
0.98 #338Points per possession1.09 #154
68.0 #229Pace (possessions)64.4 #354
Shooting
48.6 #299Effective FG%50.4 #222
30.3 #3383-point %30.6 #330
36.3 #2443-point attempt rate32.2 #327
28.1 #342Free throw rate33.4 #226
Possessions
19.4 #334Turnover rate15.8 #126
29.0 #236Offensive rebound rate31.8 #133
14.8 #99Assists per game13.5 #182
Defense
72.4 #115Points allowed65.8 #12
1.07 #134Points allowed per possession1.02 #44
51.3 #176Opponent effective FG%48.5 #48
33.5 #157Opponent 3-point %32.4 #82
18.8 #57Turnovers forced17.0 #154
70.0 #164Defensive rebound rate70.5 #133
7.5 #82Steals per game5.8 #262
3.8 #104Blocks per game3.1 #205
From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

Brown

7-18 in 2025-26 overall · 3-11 in conference · Ivy League

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Penn61–82
  • L@ Cornell80–86
  • L@ Columbia62–80
  • Wvs Princeton80–71
  • W@ Dartmouth79–76

A week or more of rest.

Siena

23-12 in 2025-26 overall · 16-7 in conference · Metro Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Duke65–71
  • Wvs Merrimack64–54
  • Wvs Fairfield76–61
  • Wvs Mount St Marys63–58
  • Wvs Rider76–61

A week or more of rest.