1. NCAAB
  2. Sat, Nov 14
  3. IDST @ SEA
NCAAB · Sat, Nov 14

Idaho State Bengals at Seattle U Redhawks

Redhawk Center · at Seattle U
#344IDSTIdaho St
@
#119SEASeattle U
LineNo line yet 
Total— 
IDSTThis seasonSEA
0-0Record0-0
0-0ATS0-0
0-0O/U0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects SEA 80–62 · win probability SEA 94%
Pick this game
Your picksMy picks ›
Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
—
model 142.1
Model edge
—
No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: SEA has more of the edges

IDST 1, SEA 7 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games
SEABig
IDST offense vs SEA defense
Offense 324th of 366 against a defense 76th, on the model’s ratings
IDSTBig
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: IDST 32.8%, SEA 23.7%. Defensive: IDST 72.1%, SEA 68.2%
Context
Schedule so far
IDST has played the 295th-hardest schedule, SEA the 114th. A record against a soft schedule means less
SEABig
Turnovers
Turnover rate: IDST 17.1%, SEA 16.7%. Forced: IDST 14.6%, SEA 21.2%
SEABig
SEA offense vs IDST defense
Offense 183rd of 366 against a defense 349th, on the model’s ratings
SEASmall
Shooting
Effective FG%: IDST 51.9 and allows 54.5; SEA 49.8 and allows 48.4
SEASmall
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: IDST 6%, SEA 50%. Transfers in: IDST 1, SEA 3. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
SEASmall
Three-pointers
IDST hits 33.6% and allows 34.5%; SEA hits 33.7% and allows 32.1%. Threes are 41.9% and 39.4% of their shots
SEASmall
Home court
SEA at home. This season: SEA 0-0 at home, IDST 0-0 away
Context
Tempo
About 68 possessions: IDST plays 67.3 a game (266th fastest), SEA 69.1 (175th). Faster games mean more points
Even
Free throws
Free throw rate: IDST 38.0, SEA 34.2. Allowed: IDST 38.0, SEA 33.0
Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Market

Open → current
Spread
Opening line not available
Total
 
Moneyline
—

Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.

Model vs market

MarketModelModel edge
Spread—SEA -17.3—
Total—142.1—
Projected score—IDST 62.4 · SEA 79.7

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›
ModelActual
1H spreadSEA -10.2—
1H total66.5—
1H projected scoreIDST 28.2 · SEA 38.3—
The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

The starting fives are even

Position by position: Idaho St 0, Seattle U 0, even 5
Idaho StBetterSeattle U
G L. Birley0.5 pts · 0.3 reb · 0.3 ast Not ranked
No call
G T. Boston TR14.5 pts · 3.6 reb · 3.7 ast Score 76
G E. Harel TR0 pts · 0 reb · 0 ast Not ranked
No call
G M. Arington4.9 pts · 3.2 reb · 4 ast Score 41
G A. Goffe NEWNo Division I numbers yet Not ranked
No call
F J. Yeo12.3 pts · 4.1 reb · 1.6 ast Score 45
G J. Dorsey NEWNo Division I numbers yet Not ranked
No call
F W. Heimbrodt12.7 pts · 5.4 reb · 2.3 ast Score 72
F Q. Patterson0.9 pts · 0.6 reb · 0.1 ast Not ranked
No call
F T. Thrastarson TR9.1 pts · 4.2 reb · 1.2 ast Score 54
Idaho StBetterSeattle U
IDST offense324th of 366 · -10.6
SEABig
SEA defense76th of 366 · +0.6
IDST defense349th of 366 · -9.6
SEABig
SEA offense183rd of 366 · -5.7
Backcourt-0.3 · 4 players
Even
Backcourt-0.2 · 2 players
Frontcourt-1.3 · 1 player
SEASmall
Frontcourt+0.6 · 3 players
BenchNo numbers yet
No call
Bench+0.1 · 3 players
Score, worst to bestIDST betterSEA betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers
Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
Idaho St
Guards
L. Birley4 minE. Harel1 min · TRA. GoffeNewJ. DorseyNewM. MorrisNewT. VirgilNew
Forwards
Q. Patterson7 minM. JohnsonNewI. PalmerNewK. DeMuynckNewM. JohnsonNewB. LowenbachNew
Seattle U
Guards
T. Boston33 min · TRM. Arington31 minK. HansenNewM. WilliamsNewJ. WhiteNewJ. HarshmanNew
Forwards
J. Yeo32 minW. Heimbrodt32 minT. Thrastarson23 min · TRY. Kawashima3 minR. Adams2 min
Centers
H. Dzellat8 min · TRL. CoulibalyNew
In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Shooting
Possessions
Defense
IDSTSEA
Scoring
73.6 #213Points per game70.1 #283
1.10 #135Points per possession1.01 #312
67.3 #266Pace (possessions)69.1 #175
Shooting
51.9 #151Effective FG%49.8 #249
33.6 #1923-point %33.7 #186
41.9 #1373-point attempt rate39.4 #185
38.0 #104Free throw rate34.2 #201
Possessions
17.1 #213Turnover rate16.7 #178
32.8 #94Offensive rebound rate23.7 #347
11.8 #302Assists per game13.2 #201
Defense
77.6 #255Points allowed68.2 #34
1.14 #314Points allowed per possession0.99 #20
54.5 #315Opponent effective FG%48.4 #46
34.5 #220Opponent 3-point %32.1 #69
14.6 #316Turnovers forced21.2 #9
72.1 #63Defensive rebound rate68.2 #249
5.2 #322Steals per game7.8 #52
4.0 #78Blocks per game4.9 #20
From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

Idaho St

10-20 in 2025-26 overall · 6-14 in conference · Big Sky Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Portland St78–85
  • Wvs N Arizona73–65
  • L@ Sacramento St65–83
  • Lvs Weber St73–83
  • Wvs Montana St91–76

A week or more of rest.

Seattle U

19-14 in 2025-26 overall · 9-11 in conference · West Coast Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • L@ Auburn85–91
  • Wvs St Thomas67–52
  • Lvs Pacific58–61
  • Wvs San Diego58–56
  • W@ LMU71–66

A week or more of rest.