1. NCAAB
  2. Sat, Nov 28
  3. UCI @ SEA
NCAAB · Sat, Nov 28

UC Irvine Anteaters at Seattle U Redhawks

Redhawk Center · at Seattle U
#149UCIUC Irvine
@
#119SEASeattle U
LineNo line yet 
Total— 
UCIThis seasonSEA
0-0Record0-0
0-0ATS0-0
0-0O/U0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects SEA 72–66 · win probability SEA 69%
Pick this game
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Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
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model 138.2
Model edge
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No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: SEA has more of the edges

UCI 3, SEA 4 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games
SEABig
UCI offense vs SEA defense
Offense 187th of 366 against a defense 76th, on the model’s ratings
UCISmall
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: UCI 30.9%, SEA 23.7%. Defensive: UCI 68.8%, SEA 68.2%
Context
Schedule so far
UCI has played the 215th-hardest schedule, SEA the 114th. A record against a soft schedule means less
UCISmall
Free throws
Free throw rate: UCI 36.0, SEA 34.2. Allowed: UCI 26.7, SEA 33.0
SEASmall
Turnovers
Turnover rate: UCI 17.8%, SEA 16.7%. Forced: UCI 18.8%, SEA 21.2%
Context
Tempo
About 70 possessions: UCI plays 71.5 a game (51st fastest), SEA 69.1 (175th). Faster games mean more points
UCISmall
SEA offense vs UCI defense
Offense 183rd of 366 against a defense 126th, on the model’s ratings
SEASmall
Three-pointers
UCI hits 33.6% and allows 33.7%; SEA hits 33.7% and allows 32.1%. Threes are 28.0% and 39.4% of their shots
SEASmall
Home court
SEA at home. This season: SEA 0-0 at home, UCI 0-0 away
Even
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: UCI 44%, SEA 50%. Transfers in: UCI 2, SEA 3. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
Even
Shooting
Effective FG%: UCI 49.5 and allows 45.9; SEA 49.8 and allows 48.4
Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Market

Open → current
Spread
Opening line not available
Total
 
Moneyline
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Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.

Model vs market

MarketModelModel edge
Spread—SEA -5.6—
Total—138.2—
Projected score—UCI 66.3 · SEA 71.9

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›
ModelActual
1H spreadSEA -3.2—
1H total64.7—
1H projected scoreUCI 30.7 · SEA 34—
The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

The starting fives are even

Position by position: UC Irvine 2, Seattle U 2, even 1
UC IrvineBetterSeattle U
G T. Isaac6 pts · 3.1 reb · 3.5 ast Score 17
SEABig
G T. Boston TR14.5 pts · 3.6 reb · 3.7 ast Score 76
G N. Cooper TR11.8 pts · 4.6 reb · 1.8 ast Score 89
UCIBig
G M. Arington4.9 pts · 3.2 reb · 4 ast Score 41
G J. Jester6.2 pts · 2.8 reb · 2.1 ast Score 63
UCISmall
F J. Yeo12.3 pts · 4.1 reb · 1.6 ast Score 45
F H. Carrington7.9 pts · 3.7 reb · 0.9 ast Score 84
Even
F W. Heimbrodt12.7 pts · 5.4 reb · 2.3 ast Score 72
F E. Chol4.5 pts · 3 reb · 0.5 ast Score 28
SEASmall
F T. Thrastarson TR9.1 pts · 4.2 reb · 1.2 ast Score 54
UC IrvineBetterSeattle U
UCI offense187th of 366 · -5.8
SEASmall
SEA defense76th of 366 · +0.6
UCI defense126th of 366 · -2.3
UCISmall
SEA offense183rd of 366 · -5.7
Backcourt-0.5 · 3 players
Even
Backcourt-0.2 · 2 players
Frontcourt+0.3 · 2 players
Even
Frontcourt+0.6 · 3 players
Bench-1.3 · 3 players
SEASmall
Bench+0.1 · 3 players
Score, worst to bestUCI betterSEA betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers
Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
UC Irvine
Guards
T. Isaac27 minN. Cooper25 min · TRJ. Jester16 minB. Egbo4 minL. RedfieldNewT. LeeNew
Forwards
H. Carrington17 minE. Chol17 minM. HodgesNewP. SpeesNewD. BenthoNew
Centers
N. Emeneke8 minO. Rioux2 min · TR
Seattle U
Guards
T. Boston33 min · TRM. Arington31 minK. HansenNewM. WilliamsNewJ. WhiteNewJ. HarshmanNew
Forwards
J. Yeo32 minW. Heimbrodt32 minT. Thrastarson23 min · TRY. Kawashima3 minR. Adams2 min
Centers
H. Dzellat8 min · TRL. CoulibalyNew
In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Shooting
Possessions
Defense
UCISEA
Scoring
74.2 #188Points per game70.1 #283
1.04 #278Points per possession1.01 #312
71.5 #51Pace (possessions)69.1 #175
Shooting
49.5 #268Effective FG%49.8 #249
33.6 #1913-point %33.7 #186
28.0 #3593-point attempt rate39.4 #185
36.0 #152Free throw rate34.2 #201
Possessions
17.8 #257Turnover rate16.7 #178
30.9 #166Offensive rebound rate23.7 #347
14.8 #103Assists per game13.2 #201
Defense
69.4 #54Points allowed68.2 #34
0.97 #7Points allowed per possession0.99 #20
45.9 #9Opponent effective FG%48.4 #46
33.7 #167Opponent 3-point %32.1 #69
18.8 #56Turnovers forced21.2 #9
68.8 #213Defensive rebound rate68.2 #249
7.8 #51Steals per game7.8 #52
5.8 #5Blocks per game4.9 #20
From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

UC Irvine

21-12 in 2025-26 overall · 16-6 in conference · Big West Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs UNLV72–75
  • Lvs Hawai'i64–71
  • Wvs CSU Northridge93–78
  • Wvs UC Davis79–69
  • Wvs Cal Poly107–85

A week or more of rest.

Seattle U

19-14 in 2025-26 overall · 9-11 in conference · West Coast Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • L@ Auburn85–91
  • Wvs St Thomas67–52
  • Lvs Pacific58–61
  • Wvs San Diego58–56
  • W@ LMU71–66

A week or more of rest.