1. NCAAB
  2. Tue, Nov 24
  3. UVM @ SIE
NCAAB · Tue, Nov 24

Vermont Catamounts at Siena Saints

MVP Arena · at Siena
#186UVMVermont
@
#260SIESiena
LineNo line yet 
Total— 
UVMThis seasonSIE
0-0Record0-0
0-0ATS0-0
0-0O/U0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects SIE 70–69 · win probability SIE 56%
Pick this game
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Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
—
model 138.9
Model edge
—
No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: SIE has more of the edges

UVM 1, SIE 3 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games
UVMBig
SIE offense vs UVM defense
Offense 309th of 366 against a defense 134th, on the model’s ratings
SIEBig
Free throws
Free throw rate: UVM 31.1, SIE 33.4. Allowed: UVM 36.4, SIE 27.5
SIESmall
UVM offense vs SIE defense
Offense 264th of 366 against a defense 194th, on the model’s ratings
SIESmall
Home court
SIE at home. This season: SIE 0-0 at home, UVM 0-0 away
Even
Three-pointers
UVM hits 33.3% and allows 35.3%; SIE hits 30.6% and allows 32.4%. Threes are 44.6% and 32.2% of their shots
Even
Turnovers
Turnover rate: UVM 14.3%, SIE 15.8%. Forced: UVM 14.8%, SIE 17.0%
Even
Shooting
Effective FG%: UVM 53.1 and allows 50.4; SIE 50.4 and allows 48.5
Even
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: UVM 26.2%, SIE 31.8%. Defensive: UVM 77.0%, SIE 70.5%
Context
Tempo
About 65 possessions: UVM plays 65.2 a game (342nd fastest), SIE 64.4 (354th). Faster games mean more points
Even
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: UVM 31%, SIE 28%. Transfers in: UVM 4, SIE 1. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
Context
Schedule so far
UVM has played the 325th-hardest schedule, SIE the 320th. A record against a soft schedule means less
Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Market

Open → current
Spread
Opening line not available
Total
 
Moneyline
—

Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.

Model vs market

MarketModelModel edge
Spread—SIE -1.7—
Total—138.9—
Projected score—UVM 68.6 · SIE 70.3

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›
ModelActual
1H spreadSIE -0.9—
1H total65.0—
1H projected scoreUVM 32.1 · SIE 33—
The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

Vermont has the better starters

Position by position: Vermont 1, Siena 0, even 4
VermontBetterSiena
G D. Yepdo TR10.6 pts · 3.2 reb · 3.3 ast Score 24
Even
G T. Yildizoglu TR10.4 pts · 3.6 reb · 4.4 ast Score 30
G J. Broom TR2 pts · 2.7 reb · 0.4 ast Score 14
Even
G B. Coyle8.7 pts · 4.6 reb · 0.9 ast Score 17
G M. Nkugwa2.9 pts · 2.3 reb · 0.6 ast Score 31
UVMSmall
G I. Henderson3.8 pts · 0.8 reb · 0.5 ast Score 12
F G. Yalden16.1 pts · 5.8 reb · 2.1 ast Score 96
No call
G O. Schlager2.8 pts · 1.2 reb · 0.6 ast Not ranked
F N. Barnett5.7 pts · 3.5 reb · 0.5 ast Score 41
No call
G C. Torres0.5 pts · 0 reb · 0.3 ast Not ranked
VermontBetterSiena
UVM offense264th of 366 · -8.1
SIESmall
SIE defense194th of 366 · -4.7
UVM defense134th of 366 · -2.5
UVMBig
SIE offense309th of 366 · -9.6
Backcourt-5.2 · 3 players
UVMSmall
Backcourt-7.7 · 5 players
Frontcourt+3.3 · 2 players
No call
FrontcourtNo numbers yet
Bench-1.4 · 3 players
No call
BenchNo numbers yet
Score, worst to bestUVM betterSIE betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers
Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
Vermont
Guards
D. Yepdo32 min · TRJ. Broom15 min · TRM. Nkugwa13 minD. Glazkov13 min · TRK. Badru10 min · TRS. Clemons2 min
Forwards
G. Yalden26 minN. Barnett22 minM. BrunettoNewM. MasicNewS. GbiegbaNew
Siena
Guards
T. Yildizoglu32 min · TRB. Coyle31 minI. Henderson14 minO. Schlager10 minC. Torres3 minR. DucharmeNew
In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Shooting
Possessions
Defense
UVMSIE
Scoring
72.1 #237Points per game70.4 #276
1.11 #124Points per possession1.09 #154
65.2 #342Pace (possessions)64.4 #354
Shooting
53.1 #95Effective FG%50.4 #222
33.3 #2083-point %30.6 #330
44.6 #773-point attempt rate32.2 #327
31.1 #279Free throw rate33.4 #226
Possessions
14.3 #34Turnover rate15.8 #126
26.2 #318Offensive rebound rate31.8 #133
12.3 #266Assists per game13.5 #182
Defense
68.8 #44Points allowed65.8 #12
1.05 #96Points allowed per possession1.02 #44
50.4 #121Opponent effective FG%48.5 #48
35.3 #267Opponent 3-point %32.4 #82
14.8 #307Turnovers forced17.0 #154
77.0 #2Defensive rebound rate70.5 #133
4.5 #354Steals per game5.8 #262
2.7 #279Blocks per game3.1 #205
From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

Vermont

20-12 in 2025-26 overall · 14-5 in conference · America East Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • L@ UMBC59–74
  • Wvs NJIT63–54
  • Wvs Bryant77–57
  • Wvs UAlbany69–56
  • Wvs UMass Lowell66–64

A week or more of rest.

Siena

23-12 in 2025-26 overall · 16-7 in conference · Metro Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Duke65–71
  • Wvs Merrimack64–54
  • Wvs Fairfield76–61
  • Wvs Mount St Marys63–58
  • Wvs Rider76–61

A week or more of rest.