1. NCAAB
  2. Tue, Nov 17
  3. MONM @ WAKE
NCAAB · Tue, Nov 17

Monmouth Hawks at Wake Forest Demon Deacons

LJVM Coliseum · at Wake Forest
#155MONMMonmouth
@
#89WAKEWake Forest
LineNo line yet 
Total— 
MONMThis seasonWAKE
0-0Record0-0
0-0ATS0-0
0-0O/U0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects WAKE 81–69 · win probability WAKE 85%
Pick this game
Your picksMy picks ›
Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
—
model 149.2
Model edge
—
No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: WAKE has more of the edges

MONM 1, WAKE 3 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games
Context
Schedule so far
MONM has played the 190th-hardest schedule, WAKE the 64th. A record against a soft schedule means less
WAKESmall
MONM offense vs WAKE defense
Offense 173rd of 366 against a defense 96th, on the model’s ratings
WAKESmall
WAKE offense vs MONM defense
Offense 80th of 366 against a defense 144th, on the model’s ratings
Context
Tempo
About 69 possessions: MONM plays 67.9 a game (234th fastest), WAKE 70.2 (112th). Faster games mean more points
WAKESmall
Home court
WAKE at home. This season: WAKE 0-0 at home, MONM 0-0 away
MONMSmall
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: MONM 37%, WAKE 9%. Transfers in: MONM 5, WAKE 6. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
Even
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: MONM 31.2%, WAKE 30.1%. Defensive: MONM 67.2%, WAKE 67.0%
Even
Three-pointers
MONM hits 34.2% and allows 33.9%; WAKE hits 34.1% and allows 32.9%. Threes are 34.4% and 43.6% of their shots
Even
Shooting
Effective FG%: MONM 49.6 and allows 50.0; WAKE 52.7 and allows 51.8
Even
Free throws
Free throw rate: MONM 32.7, WAKE 35.2. Allowed: MONM 32.2, WAKE 35.7
Even
Turnovers
Turnover rate: MONM 16.7%, WAKE 15.5%. Forced: MONM 19.8%, WAKE 17.7%
Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Market

Open → current
Spread
Opening line not available
Total
 
Moneyline
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Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.

Model vs market

MarketModelModel edge
Spread—WAKE -11.8—
Total—149.2—
Projected score—MONM 68.7 · WAKE 80.5

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›
ModelActual
1H spreadWAKE -6.9—
1H total69.8—
1H projected scoreMONM 31.4 · WAKE 38.3—
The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

Wake Forest has the better starters

Position by position: Monmouth 0, Wake Forest 2, even 3
MonmouthBetterWake Forest
G J. Collins6.9 pts · 4.6 reb · 4.4 ast Score 18
WAKEBig
G K. Kennedy TR18.4 pts · 4.6 reb · 4.2 ast Score 91
G J. Sanders TR10.8 pts · 3.4 reb · 4.4 ast Score 39
WAKESmall
G J. Ray TR11.2 pts · 2.2 reb · 1.2 ast Score 56
G L. Walker TR14.5 pts · 2.5 reb · 1.3 ast Not ranked
No call
G J. McDowell TR3.3 pts · 1.6 reb · 1.1 ast Score 40
G A. Walker TR7.8 pts · 3.7 reb · 3.2 ast Score 47
Even
F R. Nyeri TR8.4 pts · 6.5 reb · 0.6 ast Score 34
F S. Spartalis10.5 pts · 5 reb · 1 ast Score 54
Even
F X. Pintelon TR5.9 pts · 3.5 reb · 0.7 ast Score 47
MonmouthBetterWake Forest
MONM offense173rd of 366 · -5.3
WAKESmall
WAKE defense96th of 366 · -0.5
MONM defense144th of 366 · -3.1
WAKESmall
WAKE offense80th of 366 · +0.5
Backcourt-5.3 · 4 players
WAKEBig
Backcourt+2.2 · 3 players
Frontcourt-0.1 · 1 player
MONMSmall
Frontcourt-1.6 · 2 players
Bench+0.4 · 5 players
MONMSmall
Bench-1.0 · 5 players
Score, worst to bestMONM betterWAKE betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers
Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
Monmouth
Guards
J. Collins35 minJ. Sanders30 min · TRL. Walker28 min · TRA. Walker28 min · TRM. Durr21 min · TRJ. Dobuol6 min
Forwards
S. Spartalis24 minO. Harvey3 minS. Osei3 min · TRQ. Peters2 minD. PerryNewS. MarjanovicNew
Wake Forest
Guards
K. Kennedy37 min · TRJ. Ray29 min · TRJ. McDowell17 min · TRI. Carr13 minA. Beard2 minW. Underwood2 min
Forwards
R. Nyeri26 min · TRX. Pintelon18 min · TRV. Ricchiuti2 minJ. AbsonNewV. ChaudhriNewG. PlacideNew
Centers
A. Dorn9 min · TR
In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Shooting
Possessions
Defense
MONMWAKE
Scoring
72.0 #241Points per game78.8 #83
1.07 #212Points per possession1.12 #94
67.9 #234Pace (possessions)70.2 #112
Shooting
49.6 #259Effective FG%52.7 #117
34.2 #1563-point %34.1 #166
34.4 #2883-point attempt rate43.6 #99
32.7 #244Free throw rate35.2 #170
Possessions
16.7 #176Turnover rate15.5 #107
31.2 #157Offensive rebound rate30.1 #196
13.7 #167Assists per game14.4 #123
Defense
70.9 #73Points allowed76.9 #239
1.04 #74Points allowed per possession1.10 #214
50.0 #103Opponent effective FG%51.8 #202
33.9 #174Opponent 3-point %32.9 #117
19.8 #28Turnovers forced17.7 #114
67.2 #287Defensive rebound rate67.0 #298
7.6 #69Steals per game7.7 #59
4.2 #57Blocks per game3.5 #136
From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

Monmouth

18-15 in 2025-26 overall · 13-8 in conference · Coastal Athletic Association

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Hofstra69–75
  • Wvs Campbell74–64
  • Wvs Drexel65–57
  • W@ Northeastern89–83
  • Wvs Elon73–57

A week or more of rest.

Wake Forest

18-17 in 2025-26 overall · 8-12 in conference · Atlantic Coast Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Illinois St75–78
  • Wvs Navy82–72
  • Lvs Clemson62–71
  • Wvs Virginia Tech95–89
  • Wvs California80–73

A week or more of rest.