1. NCAAB
  2. Tue, Nov 10
  3. LAS @ VILL
NCAAB · Tue, Nov 10

La Salle Explorers at Villanova Wildcats

Finneran Pavilion · at Villanova
#124LASLa Salle
@
#32VILLVillanova
LineNo line yet 
Total— 
LASThis seasonVILL
0-0Record0-1
0-0ATS0-1
0-0O/U1-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects VILL 82–64 · win probability VILL 94%
Pick this game
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Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
—
model 146.2
Model edge
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No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: VILL has more of the edges

LAS 1, VILL 6 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games
VILLBig
Three-pointers
LAS hits 30.0% and allows 36.5%; VILL hits 35.7% and allows 33.4%. Threes are 31.5% and 45.7% of their shots
VILLBig
Shooting
Effective FG%: LAS 45.4 and allows 55.0; VILL 53.8 and allows 51.4
VILLBig
Turnovers
Turnover rate: LAS 18.2%, VILL 15.0%. Forced: LAS 17.2%, VILL 18.6%
VILLBig
LAS offense vs VILL defense
Offense 157th of 366 against a defense 30th, on the model’s ratings
VILLSmall
VILL offense vs LAS defense
Offense 39th of 366 against a defense 111th, on the model’s ratings
LASSmall
Free throws
Free throw rate: LAS 37.5, VILL 30.9. Allowed: LAS 31.5, VILL 30.0
Context
Schedule so far
LAS has played the 92nd-hardest schedule, VILL the 35th. A record against a soft schedule means less
VILLSmall
Home court
VILL at home. This season: VILL 0-0 at home, LAS 0-0 away
Even
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: LAS 56%, VILL 33%. Transfers in: LAS 5, VILL 6. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
Context
Tempo
About 67 possessions: LAS plays 66.4 a game (300th fastest), VILL 67.3 (270th). Faster games mean more points
Even
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: LAS 33.7%, VILL 32.2%. Defensive: LAS 67.7%, VILL 68.2%
Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Market

Open → current
Spread
Opening line not available
Total
 
Moneyline
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Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.

Model vs market

MarketModelModel edge
Spread—VILL -17.5—
Total—146.2—
Projected score—LAS 64.3 · VILL 81.8

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›
ModelActual
1H spreadVILL -10.3—
1H total68.4—
1H projected scoreLAS 29 · VILL 39.3—
The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

Villanova has the better starters

Position by position: La Salle 1, Villanova 4, even 0
La SalleBetterVillanova
G J. Johnson6.3 pts · 2.4 reb · 4.1 ast Score 29
VILLBig
G J. Fiegen TR11 pts · 5 reb · 1 ast Score 82
G R. Dockery12.5 pts · 6.2 reb · 2.3 ast Score 91
LASSmall
G D. Simmons TR16.3 pts · 1.9 reb · 2.8 ast Score 63
F J. Brewer11.3 pts · 4.2 reb · 0.7 ast Score 75
VILLSmall
G T. Perkins18 pts · 4 reb · 3 ast Score 100
F V. Zanki TR8.1 pts · 2.4 reb · 0.8 ast Score 46
VILLBig
F D. Royal TR5 pts · 8 reb · 0 ast Score 100
F A. Finkley TR5.4 pts · 3.2 reb · 1.7 ast Score 19
VILLBig
F K. Evans TR13.3 pts · 7.4 reb · 2 ast Score 95
La SalleBetterVillanova
LAS offense157th of 366 · -4.7
VILLBig
VILL defense30th of 366 · +3.5
LAS defense111th of 366 · -1.3
VILLSmall
VILL offense39th of 366 · +5.0
Backcourt+0.4 · 2 players
VILLBig
Backcourt+7.2 · 3 players
Frontcourt-0.6 · 3 players
VILLBig
Frontcourt+6.1 · 2 players
Bench-3.6 · 5 players
VILLBig
Bench+3.3 · 4 players
Score, worst to bestLAS betterVILL betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers
Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
La Salle
Guards
J. Johnson30 minR. Dockery27 minK. Burton19 min · TRD. Booker8 min · TRA. Masharaliyev1 minT. MossNew
Forwards
J. Brewer27 minV. Zanki21 min · TRA. Finkley19 min · TRN. Collier14 minE. Rink12 min · TRB. Beatty10 min
Villanova
Guards
J. Fiegen38 min · TRD. Simmons36 min · TRT. Perkins35 minE. Crawford26 min · TRW. Chiddick3 minB. MullerNew
Forwards
D. Royal32 min · TRK. Evans31 min · TRM. Hodge28 minA. Samb6 min · TR
Centers
N. OnyekwereNewL. SuigoNew
In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Shooting
Possessions
Defense
LASVILL
Scoring
66.8 #336Points per game77.1 #113
1.00 #322Points per possession1.15 #64
66.4 #300Pace (possessions)67.3 #270
Shooting
45.4 #357Effective FG%53.8 #74
30.0 #3423-point %35.7 #77
31.5 #3333-point attempt rate45.7 #52
37.5 #113Free throw rate30.9 #284
Possessions
18.2 #281Turnover rate15.0 #65
33.7 #75Offensive rebound rate32.2 #118
12.9 #221Assists per game15.5 #66
Defense
75.0 #186Points allowed71.2 #82
1.13 #293Points allowed per possession1.06 #105
55.0 #329Opponent effective FG%51.4 #181
36.5 #324Opponent 3-point %33.4 #148
17.2 #136Turnovers forced18.6 #70
67.7 #274Defensive rebound rate68.2 #246
6.7 #155Steals per game7.4 #93
2.6 #295Blocks per game2.1 #340
From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

La Salle

8-23 in 2025-26 overall · 5-14 in conference · Atlantic 10 Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs St Bonaventure80–99
  • L@ Saint Joseph's76–88
  • Wvs Fordham87–84
  • L@ Davidson64–71
  • Lvs G Washington77–104

A week or more of rest.

Villanova

24-9 in 2025-26 overall · 15-6 in conference · Big East Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Utah State76–86
  • Lvs Georgetown64–78
  • Wvs Xavier91–78
  • W@ DePaul76–57
  • L@ St John's57–89

A week or more of rest.