1. NCAAB
  2. Tue, Nov 10
  3. WIN @ KENN
NCAAB · Tue, Nov 10

Winthrop Eagles at Kennesaw State Owls

VyStar Arena · at Kennesaw St
#205WINWinthrop
@
#148KENNKennesaw St
LineNo line yet 
Total— 
WINThis seasonKENN
0-0Record0-0
0-0ATS0-0
0-0O/U0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects KENN 82–75 · win probability KENN 71%
Pick this game
Your picksMy picks ›
Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
—
model 157.1
Model edge
—
No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it

WIN 3, KENN 3 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games
KENNBig
KENN offense vs WIN defense
Offense 126th of 366 against a defense 298th, on the model’s ratings
WINSmall
Turnovers
Turnover rate: WIN 14.7%, KENN 16.8%. Forced: WIN 16.6%, KENN 16.0%
KENNSmall
Shooting
Effective FG%: WIN 49.7 and allows 51.5; KENN 50.4 and allows 48.3
WINSmall
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: WIN 34.1%, KENN 35.2%. Defensive: WIN 72.3%, KENN 68.4%
WINSmall
WIN offense vs KENN defense
Offense 135th of 366 against a defense 193rd, on the model’s ratings
KENNSmall
Home court
KENN at home. This season: KENN 0-0 at home, WIN 0-0 away
Context
Schedule so far
WIN has played the 206th-hardest schedule, KENN the 156th. A record against a soft schedule means less
Even
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: WIN 13%, KENN 32%. Transfers in: WIN 5, KENN 5. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
Even
Free throws
Free throw rate: WIN 44.0, KENN 45.1. Allowed: WIN 39.0, KENN 47.1
Even
Three-pointers
WIN hits 33.2% and allows 32.9%; KENN hits 33.4% and allows 33.5%. Threes are 44.1% and 42.5% of their shots
Context
Tempo
About 72 possessions: WIN plays 72.0 a game (35th fastest), KENN 72.4 (27th). Faster games mean more points
Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Market

Open → current
Spread
Opening line not available
Total
 
Moneyline
—

Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.

Model vs market

MarketModelModel edge
Spread—KENN -6.3—
Total—157.1—
Projected score—WIN 75.4 · KENN 81.7

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›
ModelActual
1H spreadKENN -3.6—
1H total73.4—
1H projected scoreWIN 34.9 · KENN 38.5—
The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

The starting fives are even

Position by position: Winthrop 2, Kennesaw St 2, even 1
WinthropBetterKennesaw St
G M. Davis TR9.5 pts · 2.1 reb · 2.9 ast Score 12
KENNBig
G J. Hill TR10.1 pts · 3.8 reb · 1.6 ast Score 53
G S. Sims TR9.7 pts · 1.8 reb · 0.8 ast Score 30
Even
G K. Rickard5.5 pts · 2.5 reb · 1.9 ast Score 21
G A. Smith TR7.6 pts · 2 reb · 2.1 ast Score 60
WINSmall
F T. Simpson8 pts · 4.7 reb · 0.6 ast Score 38
G S. Hendawy5.2 pts · 4 reb · 1 ast Score 30
KENNSmall
F A. Thomas TR8.3 pts · 6.9 reb · 0.6 ast Score 61
F G. Natsvlishvili TR7.7 pts · 4.8 reb · 1 ast Score 43
WINSmall
F A. Enoh TR4.9 pts · 5.1 reb · 0.8 ast Score 19
WinthropBetterKennesaw St
WIN offense135th of 366 · -3.9
WINSmall
KENN defense193rd of 366 · -4.6
WIN defense298th of 366 · -7.6
KENNBig
KENN offense126th of 366 · -3.4
Backcourt-5.8 · 4 players
KENNBig
Backcourt-2.3 · 2 players
Frontcourt-0.5 · 1 player
WINSmall
Frontcourt-2.5 · 3 players
Bench-1.7 · 4 players
KENNSmall
Bench-0.4 · 4 players
Score, worst to bestWIN betterKENN betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers
Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
Winthrop
Guards
M. Davis26 min · TRS. Sims25 min · TRA. Smith18 min · TRS. Hendawy16 minK. Fisher11 min · TRH. Harrison2 min
Forwards
G. Natsvlishvili20 min · TRT. Hamilton7 minT. HarrisNewJ. CwikNew
Kennesaw St
Guards
J. Hill31 min · TRK. Rickard20 minC. Beaumont9 min · TRK. Parker6 min · TRB. TousignautNewA. DanielsNew
Forwards
T. Simpson26 minA. Thomas25 min · TRA. Enoh23 min · TRA. Taylor17 minD. Onyirimba2 minK. BerryNew
In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Shooting
Possessions
Defense
WINKENN
Scoring
81.5 #40Points per game80.0 #66
1.13 #79Points per possession1.11 #122
72.0 #35Pace (possessions)72.4 #27
Shooting
49.7 #250Effective FG%50.4 #224
33.2 #2173-point %33.4 #203
44.1 #883-point attempt rate42.5 #127
44.0 #10Free throw rate45.1 #5
Possessions
14.7 #52Turnover rate16.8 #183
34.1 #63Offensive rebound rate35.2 #44
13.6 #177Assists per game13.3 #189
Defense
77.7 #261Points allowed78.3 #272
1.08 #154Points allowed per possession1.08 #159
51.5 #182Opponent effective FG%48.3 #43
32.9 #113Opponent 3-point %33.5 #154
16.6 #174Turnovers forced16.0 #223
72.3 #55Defensive rebound rate68.4 #234
6.6 #161Steals per game6.8 #146
2.7 #281Blocks per game5.3 #10
From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

Winthrop

20-11 in 2025-26 overall · 15-4 in conference · Big South Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs High Point76–91
  • Wvs Presbyterian73–71
  • Wvs Charleston So86–81
  • Wvs Presbyterian74–70
  • L@ Charleston So84–86

A week or more of rest.

Kennesaw St

18-14 in 2025-26 overall · 13-10 in conference · Conference USA

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Gonzaga64–73
  • Wvs Louisiana Tech71–60
  • Wvs Sam Houston79–73
  • Wvs Western KY96–87
  • L@ New Mexico St76–79

A week or more of rest.