1. NCAAB
  2. Tue, Nov 17
  3. KENN @ ALA
NCAAB · Tue, Nov 17

Kennesaw State Owls at Alabama Crimson Tide

Coleman Coliseum · at Alabama
#148KENNKennesaw St
@
#15ALAAlabama AP #20
LineNo line yet 
Total— 
KENNThis seasonALA
0-0Record0-0
0-0ATS0-0
0-0O/U0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects ALA 96–70 · win probability ALA 99%
Pick this game
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Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
—
model 165.8
Model edge
—
No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: ALA has more of the edges

KENN 1, ALA 6 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games
ALABig
ALA offense vs KENN defense
Offense 2nd of 366 against a defense 193rd, on the model’s ratings
Context
Schedule so far
KENN has played the 156th-hardest schedule, ALA the 1st. A record against a soft schedule means less
ALASmall
Shooting
Effective FG%: KENN 50.4 and allows 48.3; ALA 55.2 and allows 49.2
ALASmall
KENN offense vs ALA defense
Offense 126th of 366 against a defense 54th, on the model’s ratings
KENNSmall
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: KENN 35.2%, ALA 32.4%. Defensive: KENN 68.4%, ALA 67.2%
ALASmall
Three-pointers
KENN hits 33.4% and allows 33.5%; ALA hits 35.8% and allows 33.8%. Threes are 42.5% and 54.3% of their shots
ALASmall
Free throws
Free throw rate: KENN 45.1, ALA 36.0. Allowed: KENN 47.1, ALA 32.0
ALASmall
Home court
ALA at home. This season: ALA 0-0 at home, KENN 0-0 away
Even
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: KENN 32%, ALA 46%. Transfers in: KENN 5, ALA 3. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
Even
Turnovers
Turnover rate: KENN 16.8%, ALA 13.1%. Forced: KENN 16.0%, ALA 12.8%
Context
Tempo
About 74 possessions: KENN plays 72.4 a game (27th fastest), ALA 74.7 (7th). Faster games mean more points
Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Market

Open → current
Spread
Opening line not available
Total
 
Moneyline
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Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.

Model vs market

MarketModelModel edge
Spread—ALA -25.5—
Total—165.8—
Projected score—KENN 70.1 · ALA 95.7

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›
ModelActual
1H spreadALA -15.1—
1H total77.4—
1H projected scoreKENN 31.2 · ALA 46.2—
The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

Alabama has the better starters

Position by position: Kennesaw St 0, Alabama 4, even 1
Kennesaw StBetterAlabama
G J. Hill TR10.1 pts · 3.8 reb · 1.6 ast Score 53
ALABig
G A. Holloway16.8 pts · 2.8 reb · 3.8 ast Score 99
G K. Rickard5.5 pts · 2.5 reb · 1.9 ast Score 21
ALABig
G A. Allen11.4 pts · 6.9 reb · 3.1 ast Score 94
F T. Simpson8 pts · 4.7 reb · 0.6 ast Score 38
ALABig
F D. Fielder TR14.4 pts · 5.4 reb · 1.1 ast Score 98
F A. Thomas TR8.3 pts · 6.9 reb · 0.6 ast Score 61
Even
F J. Davis-Fleming TR3.7 pts · 4.8 reb · 0.7 ast Score 59
F A. Enoh TR4.9 pts · 5.1 reb · 0.8 ast Score 19
ALABig
F B. Garrison TR4.7 pts · 4.1 reb · 1.1 ast Score 73
Kennesaw StBetterAlabama
KENN offense126th of 366 · -3.4
ALASmall
ALA defense54th of 366 · +1.5
KENN defense193rd of 366 · -4.6
ALABig
ALA offense2nd of 366 · +13.7
Backcourt-2.3 · 2 players
ALABig
Backcourt+8.7 · 2 players
Frontcourt-2.5 · 3 players
ALABig
Frontcourt+5.2 · 3 players
Bench-0.4 · 4 players
Even
Bench+0.5 · 4 players
Score, worst to bestKENN betterALA betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers
Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
Kennesaw St
Guards
J. Hill31 min · TRK. Rickard20 minC. Beaumont9 min · TRK. Parker6 min · TRB. TousignautNewA. DanielsNew
Forwards
T. Simpson26 minA. Thomas25 min · TRA. Enoh23 min · TRA. Taylor17 minD. Onyirimba2 minK. BerryNew
Alabama
Guards
A. Holloway28 minA. Allen28 minP. Murphy3 minC. CloerNewQ. SamuelsNewA. DiazNew
Forwards
D. Fielder24 min · TRJ. Davis-Fleming20 min · TRB. Garrison16 min · TRL. Jemison16 minK. Bristow13 minJ. RichardsonNew
Centers
C. Onyejiaka6 minT. St. LouisNew
In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Shooting
Possessions
Defense
KENNALA
Scoring
80.0 #66Points per game91.2 #1
1.11 #122Points per possession1.22 #5
72.4 #27Pace (possessions)74.7 #7
Shooting
50.4 #224Effective FG%55.2 #34
33.4 #2033-point %35.8 #66
42.5 #1273-point attempt rate54.3 #1
45.1 #5Free throw rate36.0 #150
Possessions
16.8 #183Turnover rate13.1 #10
35.2 #44Offensive rebound rate32.4 #111
13.3 #189Assists per game16.3 #39
Defense
78.3 #272Points allowed82.7 #343
1.08 #159Points allowed per possession1.11 #232
48.3 #43Opponent effective FG%49.2 #73
33.5 #154Opponent 3-point %33.8 #170
16.0 #223Turnovers forced12.8 #361
68.4 #234Defensive rebound rate67.2 #295
6.8 #146Steals per game6.4 #186
5.3 #10Blocks per game5.0 #17
From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

Kennesaw St

18-14 in 2025-26 overall · 13-10 in conference · Conference USA

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Gonzaga64–73
  • Wvs Louisiana Tech71–60
  • Wvs Sam Houston79–73
  • Wvs Western KY96–87
  • L@ New Mexico St76–79

A week or more of rest.

Alabama

25-10 in 2025-26 overall · 13-6 in conference · Southeastern Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Michigan77–90
  • Wvs Texas Tech90–65
  • Wvs Hofstra90–70
  • Lvs Ole Miss79–80
  • Wvs Auburn96–84

A week or more of rest.