1. NCAAB
  2. Fri, Nov 13
  3. LIU @ FOR
NCAAB · Fri, Nov 13

Long Island University Sharks at Fordham Rams

Rose Hill Gym · at Fordham
#324LIULong Island
@
#100FORFordham
LineNo line yet 
Total— 
LIUThis seasonFOR
0-0Record0-0
0-0ATS0-0
0-0O/U0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects FOR 79–61 · win probability FOR 95%
Pick this game
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Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
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model 140.1
Model edge
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No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: FOR has more of the edges

LIU 2, FOR 5 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games
FORBig
LIU offense vs FOR defense
Offense 339th of 366 against a defense 71st, on the model’s ratings
LIUBig
Three-pointers
LIU hits 35.8% and allows 32.2%; FOR hits 28.9% and allows 33.4%. Threes are 29.3% and 38.3% of their shots
FORBig
FOR offense vs LIU defense
Offense 119th of 366 against a defense 283rd, on the model’s ratings
Context
Schedule so far
LIU has played the 290th-hardest schedule, FOR the 136th. A record against a soft schedule means less
FORBig
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: LIU 33.9%, FOR 34.1%. Defensive: LIU 67.0%, FOR 73.2%
FORSmall
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: LIU 6%, FOR 63%. Transfers in: LIU 6, FOR 4. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
LIUSmall
Shooting
Effective FG%: LIU 52.8 and allows 50.0; FOR 48.6 and allows 49.9
Context
Tempo
About 67 possessions: LIU plays 68.5 a game (206th fastest), FOR 64.8 (349th). Faster games mean more points
FORSmall
Home court
FOR at home. This season: FOR 0-0 at home, LIU 0-0 away
Even
Free throws
Free throw rate: LIU 34.0, FOR 26.4. Allowed: LIU 34.7, FOR 30.3
Even
Turnovers
Turnover rate: LIU 19.0%, FOR 17.2%. Forced: LIU 18.7%, FOR 17.2%
Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Market

Open → current
Spread
Opening line not available
Total
 
Moneyline
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Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.

Model vs market

MarketModelModel edge
Spread—FOR -18.7—
Total—140.1—
Projected score—LIU 60.7 · FOR 79.4

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›
ModelActual
1H spreadFOR -11.0—
1H total65.6—
1H projected scoreLIU 27.3 · FOR 38.3—
The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

Fordham has the better starters

Position by position: Long Island 0, Fordham 3, even 2
Long IslandBetterFordham
G J. Pickett TR5.7 pts · 1.5 reb · 2.2 ast Score 2
FORBig
G A. Lindsey TR17.9 pts · 3.3 reb · 4.9 ast Score 79
G K. Jones TR4.4 pts · 1 reb · 0.4 ast Score 13
FORBig
G L. Patrick TR15 pts · 3.2 reb · 1.8 ast Score 68
G D. Davis TR0.7 pts · 0.3 reb · 1 ast Not ranked
No call
F R. Schulte10.4 pts · 9.2 reb · 1.5 ast Score 82
G D. Jean-Charles TR0.8 pts · 1.3 reb · 0.5 ast Not ranked
No call
F A. Jacobs7.2 pts · 4.8 reb · 0.8 ast Score 27
F J. Johnson TR6.5 pts · 2.4 reb · 0.8 ast Score 33
FORSmall
C J. Whitbourn8.4 pts · 8.4 reb · 0.7 ast Score 63
Long IslandBetterFordham
LIU offense339th of 366 · -11.1
FORBig
FOR defense71st of 366 · +0.8
LIU defense283rd of 366 · -7.1
FORBig
FOR offense119th of 366 · -2.7
Backcourt-6.7 · 4 players
FORBig
Backcourt+2.1 · 2 players
Frontcourt-0.8 · 1 player
FORSmall
Frontcourt+1.3 · 3 players
Bench-1.6 · 3 players
FORSmall
Bench+0.2 · 5 players
Score, worst to bestLIU betterFOR betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers
Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
Long Island
Guards
J. Pickett27 min · TRK. Jones11 min · TRD. Davis9 min · TRD. Jean-Charles9 min · TRM. Ndlovu-Fraser8 minV. AlletteNew
Forwards
J. Johnson15 min · TRJ. Howard7 min · TRX. Li4 minM. BewleyNewR. BewleyNewT. BowlesNew
Fordham
Guards
A. Lindsey38 min · TRL. Patrick29 min · TRK. Odih5 min · TRJ. Laboy4 min · TRA. Crotty1 minM. Miller1 min
Forwards
R. Schulte31 minA. Jacobs29 minA. Bodija19 minR. Akhuar19 minF. Siaca BeyNew
Centers
J. Whitbourn24 minO. EssamNew
In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Shooting
Possessions
Defense
LIUFOR
Scoring
73.6 #214Points per game67.5 #323
1.08 #185Points per possession1.04 #262
68.5 #206Pace (possessions)64.8 #349
Shooting
52.8 #112Effective FG%48.6 #300
35.8 #673-point %28.9 #356
29.3 #3543-point attempt rate38.3 #205
34.0 #207Free throw rate26.4 #354
Possessions
19.0 #320Turnover rate17.2 #219
33.9 #70Offensive rebound rate34.1 #64
13.7 #170Assists per game13.2 #200
Defense
71.7 #99Points allowed66.3 #17
1.04 #80Points allowed per possession1.02 #47
50.0 #102Opponent effective FG%49.9 #95
32.2 #72Opponent 3-point %33.4 #149
18.7 #61Turnovers forced17.2 #138
67.0 #299Defensive rebound rate73.2 #29
7.8 #56Steals per game7.0 #126
5.4 #9Blocks per game2.2 #335
From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

Long Island

24-11 in 2025-26 overall · 18-3 in conference · Northeast Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Arizona58–92
  • Wvs Mercyhurst79–70
  • Wvs Wagner64–56
  • Wvs Chicago St79–75
  • Wvs FDU74–60

A week or more of rest.

Fordham

14-15 in 2025-26 overall · 8-11 in conference · Atlantic 10 Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs G Washington62–66
  • Wvs Rhode Island61–49
  • L@ La Salle84–87
  • L@ VCU63–82
  • Wvs Davidson63–59

A week or more of rest.