1. NCAAB
  2. Fri, Nov 13
  3. HARV @ GW
NCAAB · Fri, Nov 13

Harvard Crimson at George Washington Revolutionaries

Charles E. Smith Center · at G Washington
#136HARVHarvard
@
#101GWG Washington
LineNo line yet 
Total— 
HARVThis seasonGW
0-0Record0-0
0-0ATS0-0
0-0O/U0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects GW 75–66 · win probability GW 76%
Pick this game
Your picksMy picks ›
Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
—
model 141.0
Model edge
—
No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: GW has more of the edges

HARV 1, GW 3 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games
GWBig
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: HARV 26.8%, GW 35.8%. Defensive: HARV 71.8%, GW 71.3%
HARVBig
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: HARV 81%, GW 13%. Transfers in: HARV 0, GW 9. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
Context
Tempo
About 67 possessions: HARV plays 64.7 a game (350th fastest), GW 70.2 (107th). Faster games mean more points
GWBig
HARV offense vs GW defense
Offense 216th of 366 against a defense 95th, on the model’s ratings
Context
Schedule so far
HARV has played the 153rd-hardest schedule, GW the 95th. A record against a soft schedule means less
GWSmall
Home court
GW at home. This season: GW 0-0 at home, HARV 0-0 away
Even
Shooting
Effective FG%: HARV 53.2 and allows 50.4; GW 54.4 and allows 52.4
Even
Three-pointers
HARV hits 34.7% and allows 32.6%; GW hits 35.1% and allows 33.9%. Threes are 40.2% and 47.0% of their shots
Even
GW offense vs HARV defense
Offense 112th of 366 against a defense 94th, on the model’s ratings
Even
Free throws
Free throw rate: HARV 25.7, GW 34.9. Allowed: HARV 26.6, GW 35.0
Even
Turnovers
Turnover rate: HARV 17.5%, GW 18.1%. Forced: HARV 17.1%, GW 17.8%
Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Market

Open → current
Spread
Opening line not available
Total
 
Moneyline
—

Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.

Model vs market

MarketModelModel edge
Spread—GW -8.2—
Total—141.0—
Projected score—HARV 66.4 · GW 74.6

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›
ModelActual
1H spreadGW -4.8—
1H total66.0—
1H projected scoreHARV 30.6 · GW 35.4—
The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

Harvard has the better starters

Position by position: Harvard 2, G Washington 1, even 2
HarvardBetterG Washington
G T. Barbour13.6 pts · 5.2 reb · 1.5 ast Score 74
HARVSmall
G A. Phillips TR13.8 pts · 4.5 reb · 1.3 ast Score 50
G R. Hinton17 pts · 4.9 reb · 2.2 ast Score 88
HARVBig
G O. Witherspoon TR7.5 pts · 3 reb · 2.5 ast Score 34
G B. Eisendrath5.3 pts · 2.2 reb · 3.3 ast Score 16
GWBig
G J. Aranguren8.1 pts · 4.1 reb · 3.2 ast Score 70
G A. Hunt6.8 pts · 3.5 reb · 1.1 ast Score 42
Even
G F. Kossaras TR4.6 pts · 1.5 reb · 0.4 ast Score 37
G F. Mannino1.8 pts · 1.2 reb · 0.5 ast Score 36
Even
F A. Shaw TR4.5 pts · 6.2 reb · 0.7 ast Score 48
HarvardBetterG Washington
HARV offense216th of 366 · -6.6
GWSmall
GW defense95th of 366 · -0.5
HARV defense94th of 366 · -0.4
Even
GW offense112th of 366 · -1.9
Backcourt-0.7 · 5 players
HARVSmall
Backcourt-2.8 · 4 players
FrontcourtNo numbers yet
No call
Frontcourt-0.4 · 1 player
Bench-2.0 · 5 players
GWSmall
Bench-0.5 · 5 players
Score, worst to bestHARV betterGW betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers
Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
Harvard
Guards
T. Barbour34 minR. Hinton34 minB. Eisendrath29 minA. Hunt23 minF. Mannino9 minX. Nesbitt5 min
Forwards
R. Sullivan7 minK. Parrish6 minL. Ace-Nasteski6 minA. Dror2 minT. BattiesNewA. TouomouNew
Centers
J. AdigunNew
G Washington
Guards
A. Phillips34 min · TRO. Witherspoon28 min · TRJ. Aranguren24 minF. Kossaras16 min · TRT. Arceneaux16 min · TRA. Arrington1 min
Forwards
A. Shaw26 min · TRA. Vukovic15 min · TRD. James15 min · TRM. Arrington14 min · TRR. Frost7 min · TRL. UrbihaNew
In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Shooting
Possessions
Defense
HARVGW
Scoring
69.8 #290Points per game80.9 #46
1.08 #184Points per possession1.15 #63
64.7 #350Pace (possessions)70.2 #107
Shooting
53.2 #94Effective FG%54.4 #55
34.7 #1353-point %35.1 #106
40.2 #1673-point attempt rate47.0 #33
25.7 #359Free throw rate34.9 #184
Possessions
17.5 #236Turnover rate18.1 #276
26.8 #302Offensive rebound rate35.8 #26
14.2 #129Assists per game15.4 #69
Defense
67.3 #22Points allowed75.2 #195
1.04 #70Points allowed per possession1.08 #149
50.4 #122Opponent effective FG%52.4 #234
32.6 #94Opponent 3-point %33.9 #175
17.1 #147Turnovers forced17.8 #110
71.8 #69Defensive rebound rate71.3 #91
7.1 #111Steals per game7.2 #103
3.7 #109Blocks per game3.5 #142
From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

Harvard

16-12 in 2025-26 overall · 10-5 in conference · Ivy League

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Penn60–62
  • Wvs Columbia81–71
  • L@ Penn61–64
  • W@ Princeton58–56
  • W@ Cornell73–54

A week or more of rest.

G Washington

18-16 in 2025-26 overall · 9-11 in conference · Atlantic 10 Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • L@ New Mexico61–86
  • W@ Utah Valley79–78
  • Lvs Saint Louis81–88
  • Wvs Fordham66–62
  • L@ Loyola Chicago62–68

A week or more of rest.