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  2. Fri, Nov 20
  3. GW vs UAB
NCAAB · Fri, Nov 20

George Washington Revolutionaries vs UAB Blazers

Colonial Hall · Neutral site
#101GWG Washington
vs
#102UABUAB
LineNo line yet 
Total— 
GWThis seasonUAB
0-0Record0-0
0-0ATS0-0
0-0O/U0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects GW 77–76 · win probability GW 53%
Pick this game
Your picksMy picks ›
Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
—
model 152.6
Model edge
—
No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it

GW 2, UAB 2 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games
UABSmall
Free throws
Free throw rate: GW 34.9, UAB 36.4. Allowed: GW 35.0, UAB 28.6
GWSmall
Three-pointers
GW hits 35.1% and allows 33.9%; UAB hits 27.8% and allows 32.6%. Threes are 47.0% and 30.5% of their shots
UABSmall
Turnovers
Turnover rate: GW 18.1%, UAB 12.6%. Forced: GW 17.8%, UAB 16.1%
GWSmall
Shooting
Effective FG%: GW 54.4 and allows 52.4; UAB 48.4 and allows 50.0
Context
Schedule so far
GW has played the 95th-hardest schedule, UAB the 129th. A record against a soft schedule means less
Even
GW offense vs UAB defense
Offense 112th of 366 against a defense 141st, on the model’s ratings
Context
Tempo
About 71 possessions: GW plays 70.2 a game (107th fastest), UAB 71.2 (61st). Faster games mean more points
Even
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: GW 35.8%, UAB 32.5%. Defensive: GW 71.3%, UAB 72.3%
Even
UAB offense vs GW defense
Offense 82nd of 366 against a defense 95th, on the model’s ratings
Context
Neutral floor
No home court: the model takes it out of the line
Even
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: GW 13%, UAB 10%. Transfers in: GW 9, UAB 6. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Market

Open → current
Spread
Opening line not available
Total
 
Moneyline
—

Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.

Model vs market

MarketModelModel edge
Spread—GW -0.9—
Total—152.6—
Projected score—GW 76.8 · UAB 75.8

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›
ModelActual
1H spreadGW -0.7—
1H total71.3—
1H projected scoreGW 36 · UAB 35.3—
The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

UAB has the better starters

Position by position: G Washington 0, UAB 3, even 2
G WashingtonBetterUAB
G A. Phillips TR13.8 pts · 4.5 reb · 1.3 ast Score 50
Even
G J. Fernandez TR16.6 pts · 4.6 reb · 2.1 ast Score 56
G O. Witherspoon TR7.5 pts · 3 reb · 2.5 ast Score 34
UABSmall
G J. Elyzee TR11.1 pts · 4.5 reb · 1.7 ast Score 61
G J. Aranguren8.1 pts · 4.1 reb · 3.2 ast Score 70
UABSmall
G D. Jones TR16.4 pts · 4 reb · 3.4 ast Score 91
G F. Kossaras TR4.6 pts · 1.5 reb · 0.4 ast Score 37
UABBig
G E. Duval TR15.6 pts · 4 reb · 3.5 ast Score 74
F A. Shaw TR4.5 pts · 6.2 reb · 0.7 ast Score 48
Even
G T. Caldwell TR9 pts · 2.6 reb · 1 ast Score 56
G WashingtonBetterUAB
GW offense112th of 366 · -1.9
Even
UAB defense141st of 366 · -3.1
GW defense95th of 366 · -0.5
Even
UAB offense82nd of 366 · +0.4
Backcourt-2.8 · 4 players
UABBig
Backcourt+2.8 · 5 players
Frontcourt-0.4 · 1 player
No call
FrontcourtNo numbers yet
Bench-0.5 · 5 players
Even
Bench-1.4 · 2 players
Score, worst to bestGW betterUAB betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers
Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
G Washington
Guards
A. Phillips34 min · TRO. Witherspoon28 min · TRJ. Aranguren24 minF. Kossaras16 min · TRT. Arceneaux16 min · TRA. Arrington1 min
Forwards
A. Shaw26 min · TRA. Vukovic15 min · TRD. James15 min · TRM. Arrington14 min · TRR. Frost7 min · TRL. UrbihaNew
UAB
Guards
J. Fernandez37 min · TRJ. Elyzee30 min · TRD. Jones29 min · TRE. Duval27 min · TRT. Caldwell20 min · TRS. London20 min
Forwards
A. Alston8 min · TRA. Sandlin-ElNew
Centers
M. MboleNewK. DavisNew
In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Shooting
Possessions
Defense
GWUAB
Scoring
80.9 #46Points per game78.2 #92
1.15 #63Points per possession1.10 #141
70.2 #107Pace (possessions)71.2 #61
Shooting
54.4 #55Effective FG%48.4 #305
35.1 #1063-point %27.8 #364
47.0 #333-point attempt rate30.5 #350
34.9 #184Free throw rate36.4 #141
Possessions
18.1 #276Turnover rate12.6 #2
35.8 #26Offensive rebound rate32.5 #104
15.4 #69Assists per game14.2 #135
Defense
75.2 #195Points allowed74.3 #168
1.08 #149Points allowed per possession1.04 #79
52.4 #234Opponent effective FG%50.0 #98
33.9 #175Opponent 3-point %32.6 #95
17.8 #110Turnovers forced16.1 #217
71.3 #91Defensive rebound rate72.3 #53
7.2 #103Steals per game7.5 #74
3.5 #142Blocks per game3.5 #139
From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

G Washington

18-16 in 2025-26 overall · 9-11 in conference · Atlantic 10 Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • L@ New Mexico61–86
  • W@ Utah Valley79–78
  • Lvs Saint Louis81–88
  • Wvs Fordham66–62
  • L@ Loyola Chicago62–68

A week or more of rest.

UAB

19-12 in 2025-26 overall · 11-8 in conference · American Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Charlotte78–83
  • Wvs East Carolina90–83
  • W@ Charlotte80–74
  • Lvs North Texas58–62
  • W@ Memphis78–67

A week or more of rest.