1. NCAAB
  2. Sun, Nov 22
  3. USD vs FOR
NCAAB · Sun, Nov 22

San Diego Toreros vs Fordham Rams

Acrisure Arena · Neutral site
#146USDSan Diego
vs
#100FORFordham
LineNo line yet 
Total— 
USDThis seasonFOR
0-0Record0-0
0-0ATS0-0
0-0O/U0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects FOR 76–70 · win probability FOR 70%
Pick this game
Your picksMy picks ›
Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
—
model 145.3
Model edge
—
No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: FOR has more of the edges

USD 1, FOR 6 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games
FORBig
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: USD 28.1%, FOR 34.1%. Defensive: USD 65.5%, FOR 73.2%
USDBig
Three-pointers
USD hits 34.6% and allows 32.7%; FOR hits 28.9% and allows 33.4%. Threes are 43.7% and 38.3% of their shots
FORSmall
Free throws
Free throw rate: USD 25.8, FOR 26.4. Allowed: USD 38.8, FOR 30.3
Context
Tempo
About 67 possessions: USD plays 69.6 a game (139th fastest), FOR 64.8 (349th). Faster games mean more points
FORSmall
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: USD 7%, FOR 63%. Transfers in: USD 7, FOR 4. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
FORSmall
FOR offense vs USD defense
Offense 119th of 366 against a defense 189th, on the model’s ratings
FORSmall
USD offense vs FOR defense
Offense 127th of 366 against a defense 71st, on the model’s ratings
FORSmall
Shooting
Effective FG%: USD 51.2 and allows 54.7; FOR 48.6 and allows 49.9
Even
Turnovers
Turnover rate: USD 17.6%, FOR 17.2%. Forced: USD 18.8%, FOR 17.2%
Context
Neutral floor
No home court: the model takes it out of the line
Context
Schedule so far
USD has played the 130th-hardest schedule, FOR the 136th. A record against a soft schedule means less
Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Market

Open → current
Spread
Opening line not available
Total
 
Moneyline
—

Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.

Model vs market

MarketModelModel edge
Spread—FOR -6.0—
Total—145.3—
Projected score—USD 69.7 · FOR 75.7

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›
ModelActual
1H spreadFOR -3.4—
1H total68.0—
1H projected scoreUSD 32.3 · FOR 35.7—
The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

San Diego has the better starters

Position by position: San Diego 2, Fordham 1, even 2
San DiegoBetterFordham
G M. Worthy TR16.6 pts · 4.7 reb · 3 ast Score 72
Even
G A. Lindsey TR17.9 pts · 3.3 reb · 4.9 ast Score 79
G D. Hill TR14.2 pts · 4.5 reb · 2.3 ast Score 92
USDSmall
G L. Patrick TR15 pts · 3.2 reb · 1.8 ast Score 68
G D. Stromer TR6.4 pts · 2.7 reb · 1.1 ast Score 29
FORBig
F R. Schulte10.4 pts · 9.2 reb · 1.5 ast Score 82
F T. McMorris TR7.5 pts · 5.6 reb · 1.4 ast Score 47
USDSmall
F A. Jacobs7.2 pts · 4.8 reb · 0.8 ast Score 27
F A. Munoz TR12.7 pts · 3.5 reb · 1.9 ast Score 56
Even
C J. Whitbourn8.4 pts · 8.4 reb · 0.7 ast Score 63
San DiegoBetterFordham
USD offense127th of 366 · -3.5
FORSmall
FOR defense71st of 366 · +0.8
USD defense189th of 366 · -4.4
FORSmall
FOR offense119th of 366 · -2.7
Backcourt+2.0 · 3 players
Even
Backcourt+2.1 · 2 players
Frontcourt-0.4 · 2 players
FORSmall
Frontcourt+1.3 · 3 players
Bench+0.3 · 5 players
Even
Bench+0.2 · 5 players
Score, worst to bestUSD betterFOR betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers
Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
San Diego
Guards
M. Worthy35 min · TRD. Hill27 min · TRD. Stromer23 min · TRC. Versher2 minN. Del Bosque1 minB. RomanNew
Forwards
T. McMorris26 min · TRA. Munoz25 min · TRJ. Roberto Tanchyn19 min · TRS. Konneh13 min · TRA. Aviles11 minJ. HillNew
Fordham
Guards
A. Lindsey38 min · TRL. Patrick29 min · TRK. Odih5 min · TRJ. Laboy4 min · TRA. Crotty1 minM. Miller1 min
Forwards
R. Schulte31 minA. Jacobs29 minA. Bodija19 minR. Akhuar19 minF. Siaca BeyNew
Centers
J. Whitbourn24 minO. EssamNew
In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Shooting
Possessions
Defense
USDFOR
Scoring
72.8 #228Points per game67.5 #323
1.05 #251Points per possession1.04 #262
69.6 #139Pace (possessions)64.8 #349
Shooting
51.2 #185Effective FG%48.6 #300
34.6 #1413-point %28.9 #356
43.7 #963-point attempt rate38.3 #205
25.8 #358Free throw rate26.4 #354
Possessions
17.6 #242Turnover rate17.2 #219
28.1 #262Offensive rebound rate34.1 #64
15.4 #68Assists per game13.2 #200
Defense
78.8 #290Points allowed66.3 #17
1.13 #286Points allowed per possession1.02 #47
54.7 #320Opponent effective FG%49.9 #95
32.7 #100Opponent 3-point %33.4 #149
18.8 #55Turnovers forced17.2 #138
65.5 #328Defensive rebound rate73.2 #29
7.7 #65Steals per game7.0 #126
2.6 #294Blocks per game2.2 #335
From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

San Diego

10-21 in 2025-26 overall · 6-14 in conference · West Coast Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Seattle U56–58
  • Wvs LMU66–62
  • L@ Portland74–87
  • L@ Oregon St82–92
  • Lvs LMU65–77

A week or more of rest.

Fordham

14-15 in 2025-26 overall · 8-11 in conference · Atlantic 10 Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs G Washington62–66
  • Wvs Rhode Island61–49
  • L@ La Salle84–87
  • L@ VCU63–82
  • Wvs Davidson63–59

A week or more of rest.