1. NCAAB
  2. Tue, Dec 1
  3. BU @ FOR
NCAAB · Tue, Dec 1

Boston University Terriers at Fordham Rams

Rose Hill Gym · at Fordham
#261BUBoston U
@
#100FORFordham
LineNo line yet 
Total— 
BUThis seasonFOR
0-0Record0-0
0-0ATS0-0
0-0O/U0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects FOR 79–62 · win probability FOR 94%
Pick this game
Your picksMy picks ›
Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
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model 140.5
Model edge
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No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: FOR has more of the edges

BU 2, FOR 5 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games
FORBig
BU offense vs FOR defense
Offense 305th of 366 against a defense 71st, on the model’s ratings
Context
Schedule so far
BU has played the 296th-hardest schedule, FOR the 136th. A record against a soft schedule means less
FORBig
Turnovers
Turnover rate: BU 17.7%, FOR 17.2%. Forced: BU 13.0%, FOR 17.2%
FORBig
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: BU 28.0%, FOR 34.1%. Defensive: BU 72.0%, FOR 73.2%
BUSmall
Three-pointers
BU hits 38.9% and allows 36.6%; FOR hits 28.9% and allows 33.4%. Threes are 43.8% and 38.3% of their shots
FORSmall
FOR offense vs BU defense
Offense 119th of 366 against a defense 201st, on the model’s ratings
FORSmall
Home court
FOR at home. This season: FOR 0-0 at home, BU 0-0 away
BUSmall
Shooting
Effective FG%: BU 57.5 and allows 53.6; FOR 48.6 and allows 49.9
Even
Free throws
Free throw rate: BU 31.4, FOR 26.4. Allowed: BU 30.5, FOR 30.3
Even
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: BU 52%, FOR 63%. Transfers in: BU 1, FOR 4. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
Context
Tempo
About 65 possessions: BU plays 65.2 a game (340th fastest), FOR 64.8 (349th). Faster games mean more points
Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Market

Open → current
Spread
Opening line not available
Total
 
Moneyline
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Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.

Model vs market

MarketModelModel edge
Spread—FOR -17.6—
Total—140.5—
Projected score—BU 61.5 · FOR 79

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›
ModelActual
1H spreadFOR -10.3—
1H total65.8—
1H projected scoreBU 27.7 · FOR 38—
The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

Fordham has the better starters

Position by position: Boston U 0, Fordham 4, even 1
Boston UBetterFordham
G A. Abdullah8.2 pts · 3.4 reb · 1.4 ast Score 13
FORBig
G A. Lindsey TR17.9 pts · 3.3 reb · 4.9 ast Score 79
G D. Tisinger6.1 pts · 2 reb · 1.8 ast Score 37
FORSmall
G L. Patrick TR15 pts · 3.2 reb · 1.8 ast Score 68
G K. Alexander1 pts · 2 reb · 0 ast Not ranked
No call
F R. Schulte10.4 pts · 9.2 reb · 1.5 ast Score 82
F S. Hughes9.2 pts · 3.5 reb · 1.3 ast Score 10
FORSmall
F A. Jacobs7.2 pts · 4.8 reb · 0.8 ast Score 27
F Q. Nielsen1 pts · 2.3 reb · 0.1 ast Score 5
FORBig
C J. Whitbourn8.4 pts · 8.4 reb · 0.7 ast Score 63
Boston UBetterFordham
BU offense305th of 366 · -9.5
FORBig
FOR defense71st of 366 · +0.8
BU defense201st of 366 · -5.0
FORSmall
FOR offense119th of 366 · -2.7
Backcourt-5.1 · 3 players
FORBig
Backcourt+2.1 · 2 players
Frontcourt-4.3 · 2 players
FORBig
Frontcourt+1.3 · 3 players
Bench-0.1 · 3 players
Even
Bench+0.2 · 5 players
Score, worst to bestBU betterFOR betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers
Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
Boston U
Guards
A. Abdullah30 minD. Tisinger20 minK. Alexander11 minP. Carr2 minA. ZakheimNewJ. TerryNew
Forwards
S. Hughes30 minQ. Nielsen8 minM. Oberti4 min · TRA. Bhesania3 minM. BaptisteNewD. LloydNew
Fordham
Guards
A. Lindsey38 min · TRL. Patrick29 min · TRK. Odih5 min · TRJ. Laboy4 min · TRA. Crotty1 minM. Miller1 min
Forwards
R. Schulte31 minA. Jacobs29 minA. Bodija19 minR. Akhuar19 minF. Siaca BeyNew
Centers
J. Whitbourn24 minO. EssamNew
In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Shooting
Possessions
Defense
BUFOR
Scoring
74.5 #176Points per game67.5 #323
1.14 #72Points per possession1.04 #262
65.2 #340Pace (possessions)64.8 #349
Shooting
57.5 #11Effective FG%48.6 #300
38.9 #53-point %28.9 #356
43.8 #923-point attempt rate38.3 #205
31.4 #270Free throw rate26.4 #354
Possessions
17.7 #252Turnover rate17.2 #219
28.0 #269Offensive rebound rate34.1 #64
14.2 #131Assists per game13.2 #200
Defense
74.5 #174Points allowed66.3 #17
1.14 #310Points allowed per possession1.02 #47
53.6 #288Opponent effective FG%49.9 #95
36.6 #330Opponent 3-point %33.4 #149
13.0 #353Turnovers forced17.2 #138
72.0 #65Defensive rebound rate73.2 #29
4.7 #346Steals per game7.0 #126
3.3 #181Blocks per game2.2 #335
From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

Boston U

16-17 in 2025-26 overall · 12-9 in conference · Patriot League

Last five, 2025-26
  • L@ Lehigh60–74
  • W@ Navy73–72
  • Wvs American75–73
  • W@ American68–65
  • Wvs Holy Cross78–63

A week or more of rest.

Fordham

14-15 in 2025-26 overall · 8-11 in conference · Atlantic 10 Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs G Washington62–66
  • Wvs Rhode Island61–49
  • L@ La Salle84–87
  • L@ VCU63–82
  • Wvs Davidson63–59

A week or more of rest.