1. NCAAB
  2. Sat, Dec 5
  3. UNH @ BU
NCAAB · Sat, Dec 5

New Hampshire Wildcats at Boston University Terriers

Case Gym · at Boston U
#286UNHNew Hampshire
@
#261BUBoston U
LineNo line yet 
Total— 
UNHThis seasonBU
0-0Record0-0
0-0ATS0-0
0-0O/U0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects BU 74–70 · win probability BU 63%
Pick this game
Your picksMy picks ›
Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
—
model 143.6
Model edge
—
No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: BU has more of the edges

UNH 2, BU 5 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games
BUBig
Shooting
Effective FG%: UNH 46.7 and allows 53.5; BU 57.5 and allows 53.6
UNHSmall
Turnovers
Turnover rate: UNH 16.5%, BU 17.7%. Forced: UNH 15.8%, BU 13.0%
BUSmall
Three-pointers
UNH hits 30.5% and allows 34.3%; BU hits 38.9% and allows 36.6%. Threes are 43.1% and 43.8% of their shots
BUSmall
Free throws
Free throw rate: UNH 28.5, BU 31.4. Allowed: UNH 35.8, BU 30.5
BUSmall
UNH offense vs BU defense
Offense 300th of 366 against a defense 201st, on the model’s ratings
Context
Tempo
About 67 possessions: UNH plays 68.9 a game (186th fastest), BU 65.2 (340th). Faster games mean more points
Context
Schedule so far
UNH has played the 237th-hardest schedule, BU the 296th. A record against a soft schedule means less
BUSmall
Home court
BU at home. This season: BU 0-0 at home, UNH 0-0 away
UNHSmall
BU offense vs UNH defense
Offense 305th of 366 against a defense 255th, on the model’s ratings
Even
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: UNH 25.7%, BU 28.0%. Defensive: UNH 73.1%, BU 72.0%
Even
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: UNH 47%, BU 52%. Transfers in: UNH 3, BU 1. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Market

Open → current
Spread
Opening line not available
Total
 
Moneyline
—

Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.

Model vs market

MarketModelModel edge
Spread—BU -3.9—
Total—143.6—
Projected score—UNH 69.8 · BU 73.7

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›
ModelActual
1H spreadBU -2.2—
1H total67.2—
1H projected scoreUNH 32.5 · BU 34.7—
The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

New Hampshire has the better starters

Position by position: New Hampshire 3, Boston U 1, even 1
New HampshireBetterBoston U
G T. Bike7.5 pts · 1.7 reb · 1.9 ast Score 34
UNHSmall
G A. Abdullah8.2 pts · 3.4 reb · 1.4 ast Score 13
G E. Oliver-Bush TR3.2 pts · 2 reb · 0.8 ast Score 7
BUSmall
G D. Tisinger6.1 pts · 2 reb · 1.8 ast Score 37
F D. Poser6.9 pts · 2.9 reb · 1.6 ast Score 11
No call
G K. Alexander1 pts · 2 reb · 0 ast Not ranked
F J. Squire5.8 pts · 5.8 reb · 1.4 ast Score 34
UNHSmall
F S. Hughes9.2 pts · 3.5 reb · 1.3 ast Score 10
F D. McKenna TR3.9 pts · 2.5 reb · 0.6 ast Score 47
UNHBig
F Q. Nielsen1 pts · 2.3 reb · 0.1 ast Score 5
New HampshireBetterBoston U
UNH offense300th of 366 · -9.3
BUSmall
BU defense201st of 366 · -5.0
UNH defense255th of 366 · -6.7
Even
BU offense305th of 366 · -9.5
Backcourt-3.5 · 2 players
UNHSmall
Backcourt-5.1 · 3 players
Frontcourt-4.5 · 3 players
Even
Frontcourt-4.3 · 2 players
Bench-2.3 · 4 players
BUSmall
Bench-0.1 · 3 players
Score, worst to bestUNH betterBU betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers
Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
New Hampshire
Guards
T. Bike24 minE. Oliver-Bush16 min · TRM. Blackley2 minA. SquireNewJ. ColemanNewJ. FaumuinaNew
Forwards
D. Poser29 minJ. Squire27 minD. McKenna11 min · TRR. Zan8 min · TRJ. O'Neill6 minK. MyersNew
Centers
G. Xanthopoulos6 min
Boston U
Guards
A. Abdullah30 minD. Tisinger20 minK. Alexander11 minP. Carr2 minA. ZakheimNewJ. TerryNew
Forwards
S. Hughes30 minQ. Nielsen8 minM. Oberti4 min · TRA. Bhesania3 minM. BaptisteNewD. LloydNew
In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Shooting
Possessions
Defense
UNHBU
Scoring
66.6 #339Points per game74.5 #176
0.96 #347Points per possession1.14 #72
68.9 #186Pace (possessions)65.2 #340
Shooting
46.7 #344Effective FG%57.5 #11
30.5 #3333-point %38.9 #5
43.1 #1103-point attempt rate43.8 #92
28.5 #338Free throw rate31.4 #270
Possessions
16.5 #166Turnover rate17.7 #252
25.7 #329Offensive rebound rate28.0 #269
10.6 #348Assists per game14.2 #131
Defense
76.4 #227Points allowed74.5 #174
1.11 #247Points allowed per possession1.14 #310
53.5 #282Opponent effective FG%53.6 #288
34.3 #204Opponent 3-point %36.6 #330
15.8 #227Turnovers forced13.0 #353
73.1 #32Defensive rebound rate72.0 #65
6.1 #222Steals per game4.7 #346
2.0 #345Blocks per game3.3 #181
From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

New Hampshire

7-21 in 2025-26 overall · 5-12 in conference · America East Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • L@ UMBC69–84
  • Wvs Bryant88–83
  • L@ UAlbany61–84
  • L@ Binghamton63–65
  • Lvs Maine58–61

A week or more of rest.

Boston U

16-17 in 2025-26 overall · 12-9 in conference · Patriot League

Last five, 2025-26
  • L@ Lehigh60–74
  • W@ Navy73–72
  • Wvs American75–73
  • W@ American68–65
  • Wvs Holy Cross78–63

A week or more of rest.