Baha Mar Convention Center · Neutral site
#67HALLSeton Hall
vs
#41WISWisconsin
LineNo line yet 
Total— 
Season records: Seton Hall and Wisconsin
HALLThis seasonWIS
0-0Record0-0
0-0ATS0-0
0-0O/U0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects WIS 76–71 · win probability WIS 68%
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Winner
Line
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no line yet
Total
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model 147.4
Model edge
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No market line yet
Public
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No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: WIS has more of the edges

HALL 1, WIS 5 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games
WISBig
Three-pointers
HALL hits 30.5% and allows 32.4%; WIS hits 36.2% and allows 33.5%. Threes are 26.8% and 52.1% of their shots
Context
Tempo
About 68 possessions: HALL plays 66.5 a game (296th fastest), WIS 70.0 (119th). Faster games mean more points
WISSmall
Free throws
Free throw rate: HALL 35.3, WIS 31.5. Allowed: HALL 42.1, WIS 29.9
HALLSmall
Turnovers
Turnover rate: HALL 16.6%, WIS 12.8%. Forced: HALL 21.5%, WIS 14.3%
WISSmall
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: HALL 18%, WIS 54%. Transfers in: HALL 9, WIS 3. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
WISSmall
Shooting
Effective FG%: HALL 47.6 and allows 47.3; WIS 54.5 and allows 51.4
WISSmall
HALL offense vs WIS defense
Offense 97th of 366 against a defense 40th, on the model’s ratings
Context
Schedule so far
HALL has played the 55th-hardest schedule, WIS the 24th. A record against a soft schedule means less
Even
WIS offense vs HALL defense
Offense 44th of 366 against a defense 28th, on the model’s ratings
Even
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: HALL 35.6%, WIS 29.1%. Defensive: HALL 68.1%, WIS 71.8%
Context
Neutral floor
No home court: the model takes it out of the line

Market

Open → current
Spread
Opening line not available
Total
 
Moneyline
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Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.

Model vs market

MarketModelModel edge
Spread—WIS -5.2—
Total—147.4—
Projected score—HALL 71.1 · WIS 76.3

1st-half model

ModelActual
1H spreadWIS -3.0—
1H total69.0—
1H projected scoreHALL 33 · WIS 36—

Wisconsin has the better starters

Position by position: Seton Hall 0, Wisconsin 2, even 3
Seton HallBetterWisconsin
G R. Brown TR13.9 pts · 2.4 reb · 1.7 ast Score 59
Even
G E. Elmer TR12.8 pts · 6.1 reb · 1.1 ast Score 68
G D. Jones TR17.9 pts · 3.7 reb · 3.3 ast Score 74
Even
G T. Autry TR10.9 pts · 3.6 reb · 1.4 ast Score 61
G K. Thomas TR15.9 pts · 2.8 reb · 1.5 ast Score 71
WISSmall
G B. Carrington8.3 pts · 2.4 reb · 1.1 ast Score 90
G R. Anderson TR10.9 pts · 3.3 reb · 2.2 ast Score 81
WISSmall
F N. Winter13.1 pts · 8.5 reb · 1.5 ast Score 96
F D. Williams TR7.5 pts · 5.2 reb · 1.4 ast Score 71
Even
F A. Rapp9.7 pts · 4 reb · 1.6 ast Score 83
Seton HallBetterWisconsin
HALL offense97th of 366 · -0.8
WISSmall
WIS defense40th of 366 · +2.9
HALL defense28th of 366 · +3.7
Even
WIS offense44th of 366 · +4.5
Backcourt+2.6 · 4 players
Even
Backcourt+2.0 · 3 players
Frontcourt+0.9 · 1 player
WISBig
Frontcourt+6.7 · 2 players
Bench-0.2 · 5 players
HALLSmall
Bench-2.6 · 5 players
Score, worst to bestHALL betterWIS betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
Seton Hall
Guards
R. Brown33 min · TRD. Jones33 min · TRK. Thomas30 min · TRR. Anderson24 min · TRE. Fisher21 minS. Wilcher19 min · TR
Forwards
D. Williams24 min · TRM. Wol20 min · TRT. CopelandNewT. AirhienbuwaNewI. DolinskiNew
Centers
A. Fanta Kabba17 min · TR
Wisconsin
Guards
E. Elmer31 min · TRT. Autry29 min · TRB. Carrington18 minJ. Janicki17 minH. Jones7 minZ. Kinziger6 min
Forwards
N. Winter31 minA. Rapp23 minV. Onuetu18 min · TRW. Garlock7 minI. RiddleNew
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Shooting
Possessions
Defense
HALLWIS
Scoring
70.3 #278Points per game83.0 #28
1.06 #238Points per possession1.18 #27
66.5 #296Pace (possessions)70.0 #119
Shooting
47.6 #321Effective FG%54.5 #52
30.5 #3343-point %36.2 #50
26.8 #3623-point attempt rate52.1 #6
35.3 #168Free throw rate31.5 #267
Possessions
16.6 #173Turnover rate12.8 #4
35.6 #33Offensive rebound rate29.1 #232
13.1 #206Assists per game16.0 #48
Defense
65.3 #8Points allowed76.1 #221
0.98 #16Points allowed per possession1.09 #193
47.3 #25Opponent effective FG%51.4 #178
32.4 #87Opponent 3-point %33.5 #152
21.5 #5Turnovers forced14.3 #327
68.1 #251Defensive rebound rate71.8 #74
9.2 #7Steals per game5.6 #287
5.7 #7Blocks per game3.1 #198

Seton Hall

21-12 in 2025-26 overall · 11-11 in conference · Big East Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • L@ St John's68–78
  • Wvs Creighton72–61
  • Lvs St John's65–72
  • W@ Xavier77–68
  • L@ UConn67–71

A week or more of rest.

Wisconsin

24-11 in 2025-26 overall · 16-7 in conference · Big Ten Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs High Point82–83
  • Lvs Michigan65–68
  • Wvs Illinois91–88
  • Wvs Washington85–82
  • W@ Purdue97–93

A week or more of rest.