Baha Mar Convention Center · Neutral site
LineNo line yet
Total—
| This season | WIS | |
|---|---|---|
| 0-0 | Record | 0-0 |
| 0-0 | ATS | 0-0 |
| 0-0 | O/U | 0-0 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model: projects WIS 76–71 · win probability WIS 68%
Pick this game
Your picksMy picks ›
Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
—
model 147.4
Model edge
—
No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record
What could decide it: WIS has more of the edges
HALL 1, WIS 5 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games
Three-pointers
HALL hits 30.5% and allows 32.4%; WIS hits 36.2% and allows 33.5%. Threes are 26.8% and 52.1% of their shots
Context
Tempo
About 68 possessions: HALL plays 66.5 a game (296th fastest), WIS 70.0 (119th). Faster games mean more points
Free throws
Free throw rate: HALL 35.3, WIS 31.5. Allowed: HALL 42.1, WIS 29.9
Turnovers
Turnover rate: HALL 16.6%, WIS 12.8%. Forced: HALL 21.5%, WIS 14.3%
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: HALL 18%, WIS 54%. Transfers in: HALL 9, WIS 3. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
Shooting
Effective FG%: HALL 47.6 and allows 47.3; WIS 54.5 and allows 51.4
HALL offense vs WIS defense
Offense 97th of 366 against a defense 40th, on the model’s ratings
Context
Schedule so far
HALL has played the 55th-hardest schedule, WIS the 24th. A record against a soft schedule means less
Even
WIS offense vs HALL defense
Offense 44th of 366 against a defense 28th, on the model’s ratings
Even
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: HALL 35.6%, WIS 29.1%. Defensive: HALL 68.1%, WIS 71.8%
Context
Neutral floor
No home court: the model takes it out of the line
Market
Open → current
Spread
Open—
no open
Now—
Opening line not available
Total
Open—
no open
Now—
Moneyline
—
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | — | WIS -5.2 | — |
| Total | — | 147.4 | — |
| Projected score | — | HALL 71.1 · WIS 76.3 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | WIS -3.0 | — |
| 1H total | 69.0 | — |
| 1H projected score | HALL 33 · WIS 36 | — |
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.
Last 10 games
2025-26
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5-5 50% | 6-4 60% | 4-6 40% | |
| 6-4 60% | 6-4 60% | 7-3 70% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Seton Hall
33 games played
Straight up
21-12
64% wins
Against the spread
19-14
58% covers · avg +1.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
13-20
39% overs · avg −3.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs | W 77-50 | -13.5 | W +13.5 | 129.5 | U 127 |
| Nov 7 | vs | W 68-61 | -21.5 | L −14.5 | 134.5 | U 129 |
| Nov 10 | vs | W 82-59 | -14.5 | W +8.5 | 137.5 | O 141 |
| Nov 13 | vs | W 70-58 | -15.5 | L −3.5 | 135.5 | U 128 |
| Nov 18 | vs | W 68-45 | -25.5 | L −2.5 | 129.5 | U 113 |
| Nov 24 | vs | W 85-74 | +7.5 | W +18.5 | 143.5 | O 159 |
| Nov 25 | vs | L 81-83 | +6.5 | W +4.5 | 145.5 | O 164 |
| Nov 26 | vs | W 75-61 | -8.5 | W +5.5 | 147.5 | U 136 |
| Dec 3 | vs | W 77-61 | -18.5 | L −2.5 | 128.5 | O 138 |
| Dec 6 | @ | W 78-67 | +2.5 | W +13.5 | 148.5 | U 145 |
| Dec 13 | vs | W 81-59 | -13.5 | W +8.5 | 136.5 | O 140 |
| Dec 19 | @ | W 72-67 | +1.5 | W +6.5 | 152.5 | U 139 |
| Dec 23 | vs | L 56-64 | -1.5 | L −9.5 | 135.5 | U 120 |
| Dec 30 | @ | W 79-73 | +1.5 | W +7.5 | 145.5 | O 152 |
| Jan 4 | vs | W 56-54 | -3.5 | L −1.5 | 143.5 | U 110 |
| Jan 10 | @ | W 76-67 | -1.5 | W +7.5 | 137.5 | O 143 |
| Jan 13 | vs | L 64-69 | +6.5 | W +1.5 | 132.5 | O 133 |
| Jan 17 | vs | L 66-77 | -6.5 | L −17.5 | 144.5 | U 143 |
| Jan 20 | @ | L 60-65 | +11.5 | W +6.5 | 145.5 | U 125 |
| Jan 24 | @ | L 60-67 | -2.5 | L −9.5 | 135.5 | U 127 |
| Jan 28 | vs | W 86-68 | -5.5 | W +12.5 | 145.5 | O 154 |
| Jan 31 | vs | W 69-64 | -6.5 | L −1.5 | 143.5 | U 133 |
| Feb 4 | @ | L 60-72 | +5.5 | L −6.5 | 134.5 | U 132 |
| Feb 7 | @ | L 68-69 | +1.5 | W +0.5 | 140.5 | U 137 |
| Feb 11 | vs | W 87-80 | -4.5 | W +2.5 | 150.5 | O 167 |
| Feb 15 | @ | W 63-56 | -5.5 | W +1.5 | 138.5 | U 119 |
| Feb 18 | vs | L 57-69 | -7.5 | L −19.5 | 129.5 | U 126 |
| Feb 21 | vs | W 51-47 | -6.5 | L −2.5 | 136.5 | U 98 |
| Feb 28 | @ | L 67-71 | +12.5 | W +8.5 | 130.5 | O 138 |
| Mar 3 | @ | W 77-68 | -1.5 | W +7.5 | 144.5 | O 145 |
| Mar 6 | vs | L 65-72 | +5.5 | L −1.5 | 138.5 | U 137 |
| Mar 12 | vs | W 72-61 | -2.5 | W +8.5 | 136.5 | U 133 |
| Mar 13 | @ | L 68-78 | +8.5 | L −1.5 | 135.5 | O 146 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vs
SPU
W 77-50
+13.5
7
vs
WAG
W 68-61
−14.5
10
vs
FAIR
W 82-59
+8.5
13
vs
MONM
W 70-58
−3.5
18
vs
NHVN
W 68-45
−2.5
24
vs
NCSU
W 85-74
+18.5
25
vs
USC
L 81-83
+4.5
26
vs
WSU
W 75-61
+5.5
3
vs
CCSU
W 77-61
−2.5
6
@
KSU
W 78-67
+13.5
13
vs
RUTG
W 81-59
+8.5
19
@
PROV
W 72-67
+6.5
23
vs
VILL
L 56-64
−9.5
30
@
MARQ
W 79-73
+7.5
4
vs
CREI
W 56-54
−1.5
10
@
GTWN
W 76-67
+7.5
13
vs
CONN
L 64-69
+1.5
17
vs
BTLR
L 66-77
−17.5
20
@
SJU
L 60-65
+6.5
24
@
DEP
L 60-67
−9.5
28
vs
XAV
W 86-68
+12.5
31
vs
MARQ
W 69-64
−1.5
4
@
VILL
L 60-72
−6.5
7
@
CREI
L 68-69
+0.5
11
vs
PROV
W 87-80
+2.5
15
@
BTLR
W 63-56
+1.5
18
vs
DEP
L 57-69
−19.5
21
vs
GTWN
W 51-47
−2.5
28
@
CONN
L 67-71
+8.5
3
@
XAV
W 77-68
+7.5
6
vs
SJU
L 65-72
−1.5
12
vs
CREI
W 72-61
+8.5
13
@
SJU
L 68-78
−1.5
covered 19didn’t cover 14avg +1.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vs
SPU
W 77-50
−2.5
7
vs
WAG
W 68-61
−5.5
10
vs
FAIR
W 82-59
+3.5
13
vs
MONM
W 70-58
−7.5
18
vs
NHVN
W 68-45
−16.5
24
vs
NCSU
W 85-74
+15.5
25
vs
USC
L 81-83
+18.5
26
vs
WSU
W 75-61
−11.5
3
vs
CCSU
W 77-61
+9.5
6
@
KSU
W 78-67
−3.5
13
vs
RUTG
W 81-59
+3.5
19
@
PROV
W 72-67
−13.5
23
vs
VILL
L 56-64
−15.5
30
@
MARQ
W 79-73
+6.5
4
vs
CREI
W 56-54
−33.5
10
@
GTWN
W 76-67
+5.5
13
vs
CONN
L 64-69
+0.5
17
vs
BTLR
L 66-77
−1.5
20
@
SJU
L 60-65
−20.5
24
@
DEP
L 60-67
−8.5
28
vs
XAV
W 86-68
+8.5
31
vs
MARQ
W 69-64
−10.5
4
@
VILL
L 60-72
−2.5
7
@
CREI
L 68-69
−3.5
11
vs
PROV
W 87-80
+16.5
15
@
BTLR
W 63-56
−19.5
18
vs
DEP
L 57-69
−3.5
21
vs
GTWN
W 51-47
−38.5
28
@
CONN
L 67-71
+7.5
3
@
XAV
W 77-68
+0.5
6
vs
SJU
L 65-72
−1.5
12
vs
CREI
W 72-61
−3.5
13
@
SJU
L 68-78
+10.5
over 13under 20avg −3.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Wisconsin
35 games played
Straight up
24-11
69% wins
Against the spread
21-14
60% covers · avg +1.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
22-13
63% overs · avg +3.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs | W 96-64 | -20.5 | W +11.5 | 151.5 | O 160 |
| Nov 7 | vs | W 97-72 | -28.5 | L −3.5 | 157.5 | O 169 |
| Nov 11 | vs | W 86-55 | -26.5 | W +4.5 | 156.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 17 | vs | W 94-69 | -25.5 | L −0.5 | 146.5 | O 163 |
| Nov 21 | @ | L 70-98 | +4.5 | L −23.5 | 165.5 | O 168 |
| Nov 27 | vs | W 104-83 | -6.5 | W +14.5 | 166.5 | O 187 |
| Nov 28 | vs | L 63-74 | -5.5 | L −16.5 | 157.5 | U 137 |
| Dec 3 | vs | W 85-73 | -10.5 | W +1.5 | 155.5 | O 158 |
| Dec 6 | vs | W 96-76 | -11.5 | W +8.5 | 160.5 | O 172 |
| Dec 10 | @ | L 60-90 | +1.5 | L −28.5 | 158.5 | U 150 |
| Dec 19 | vs | L 66-76 | -3.5 | L −13.5 | 152.5 | U 142 |
| Dec 22 | vs | W 88-61 | -26.5 | W +0.5 | 152.5 | U 149 |
| Dec 30 | vs | W 80-60 | -19.5 | W +0.5 | 157.5 | U 140 |
| Jan 3 | vs | L 73-89 | +5.5 | L −10.5 | 153.5 | O 162 |
| Jan 6 | vs | W 80-72 | -3.5 | W +4.5 | 152.5 | U 152 |
| Jan 10 | @ | W 91-88 | +19.5 | W +22.5 | 169.5 | O 179 |
| Jan 13 | @ | W 78-75 | -1.5 | W +1.5 | 146.5 | O 153 |
| Jan 17 | vs | W 96-87 | -15.5 | L −6.5 | 149.5 | O 183 |
| Jan 22 | @ | W 98-71 | -5.5 | W +21.5 | 157.5 | O 169 |
| Jan 25 | vs | L 71-73 | -7.5 | L −9.5 | 158.5 | U 144 |
| Jan 28 | vs | W 67-63 | -9.5 | L −5.5 | 146.5 | U 130 |
| Jan 31 | vs | W 92-82 | -4.5 | W +5.5 | 155.5 | O 174 |
| Feb 7 | @ | L 77-78 | +3.5 | W +2.5 | 157.5 | U 155 |
| Feb 10 | @ | W 92-90 | +9.5 | W +11.5 | 153.5 | O 182 |
| Feb 13 | vs | W 92-71 | +1.5 | W +22.5 | 149.5 | O 163 |
| Feb 17 | @ | L 69-86 | +1.5 | L −15.5 | 157.5 | U 155 |
| Feb 22 | vs | W 84-71 | -2.5 | W +10.5 | 147.5 | O 155 |
| Feb 25 | @ | L 71-85 | -5.5 | L −19.5 | 152.5 | O 156 |
| Feb 28 | @ | W 90-73 | -1.5 | W +15.5 | 153.5 | O 163 |
| Mar 4 | vs | W 78-45 | -14.5 | W +18.5 | 153.5 | U 123 |
| Mar 7 | @ | W 97-93 | +9.5 | W +13.5 | 154.5 | O 190 |
| Mar 12 | vs | W 85-82 | -6.5 | L −3.5 | 157.5 | O 167 |
| Mar 13 | vs | W 91-88 | +8.5 | W +11.5 | 158.5 | O 179 |
| Mar 14 | vs | L 65-68 | +12.5 | W +9.5 | 161.5 | U 133 |
| Mar 19 | vs | L 82-83 | -10.5 | L −11.5 | 161.5 | O 165 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vs
CAM
W 96-64
+11.5
7
vs
NIU
W 97-72
−3.5
11
vs
BALL
W 86-55
+4.5
17
vs
SIUE
W 94-69
−0.5
21
@
BYU
L 70-98
−23.5
27
vs
PROV
W 104-83
+14.5
28
vs
TCU
L 63-74
−16.5
3
vs
NU
W 85-73
+1.5
6
vs
MARQ
W 96-76
+8.5
10
@
NEB
L 60-90
−28.5
19
vs
VILL
L 66-76
−13.5
22
vs
CMU
W 88-61
+0.5
30
vs
MILW
W 80-60
+0.5
3
vs
PUR
L 73-89
−10.5
6
vs
UCLA
W 80-72
+4.5
10
@
MICH
W 91-88
+22.5
13
@
MINN
W 78-75
+1.5
17
vs
RUTG
W 96-87
−6.5
22
@
PSU
W 98-71
+21.5
25
vs
USC
L 71-73
−9.5
28
vs
MINN
W 67-63
−5.5
31
vs
OSU
W 92-82
+5.5
7
@
IU
L 77-78
+2.5
10
@
ILL
W 92-90
+11.5
13
vs
MSU
W 92-71
+22.5
17
@
OSU
L 69-86
−15.5
22
vs
IOWA
W 84-71
+10.5
25
@
ORE
L 71-85
−19.5
28
@
WASH
W 90-73
+15.5
4
vs
MD
W 78-45
+18.5
7
@
PUR
W 97-93
+13.5
12
vs
WASH
W 85-82
−3.5
13
vs
ILL
W 91-88
+11.5
14
vs
MICH
L 65-68
+9.5
19
vs
HPU
L 82-83
−11.5
covered 21didn’t cover 14avg +1.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vs
CAM
W 96-64
+8.5
7
vs
NIU
W 97-72
+11.5
11
vs
BALL
W 86-55
−15.5
17
vs
SIUE
W 94-69
+16.5
21
@
BYU
L 70-98
+2.5
27
vs
PROV
W 104-83
+20.5
28
vs
TCU
L 63-74
−20.5
3
vs
NU
W 85-73
+2.5
6
vs
MARQ
W 96-76
+11.5
10
@
NEB
L 60-90
−8.5
19
vs
VILL
L 66-76
−10.5
22
vs
CMU
W 88-61
−3.5
30
vs
MILW
W 80-60
−17.5
3
vs
PUR
L 73-89
+8.5
6
vs
UCLA
W 80-72
−0.5
10
@
MICH
W 91-88
+9.5
13
@
MINN
W 78-75
+6.5
17
vs
RUTG
W 96-87
+33.5
22
@
PSU
W 98-71
+11.5
25
vs
USC
L 71-73
−14.5
28
vs
MINN
W 67-63
−16.5
31
vs
OSU
W 92-82
+18.5
7
@
IU
L 77-78
−2.5
10
@
ILL
W 92-90
+28.5
13
vs
MSU
W 92-71
+13.5
17
@
OSU
L 69-86
−2.5
22
vs
IOWA
W 84-71
+7.5
25
@
ORE
L 71-85
+3.5
28
@
WASH
W 90-73
+9.5
4
vs
MD
W 78-45
−30.5
7
@
PUR
W 97-93
+35.5
12
vs
WASH
W 85-82
+9.5
13
vs
ILL
W 91-88
+20.5
14
vs
MICH
L 65-68
−28.5
19
vs
HPU
L 82-83
+3.5
over 22under 13avg +3.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Wisconsin has the better starters
Position by position: Seton Hall 0, Wisconsin 2, even 3
Seton HallBetterWisconsin
G R. Brown TR13.9 pts · 2.4 reb · 1.7 ast
Score 59
=Even
G E. Elmer TR12.8 pts · 6.1 reb · 1.1 ast
Score 68
G D. Jones TR17.9 pts · 3.7 reb · 3.3 ast
Score 74
=Even
G T. Autry TR10.9 pts · 3.6 reb · 1.4 ast
Score 61
G K. Thomas TR15.9 pts · 2.8 reb · 1.5 ast
Score 71
→WISSmall
G B. Carrington8.3 pts · 2.4 reb · 1.1 ast
Score 90
G R. Anderson TR10.9 pts · 3.3 reb · 2.2 ast
Score 81
→WISSmall
F N. Winter13.1 pts · 8.5 reb · 1.5 ast
Score 96
F D. Williams TR7.5 pts · 5.2 reb · 1.4 ast
Score 71
=Even
F A. Rapp9.7 pts · 4 reb · 1.6 ast
Score 83
Seton HallBetterWisconsin
HALL offense97th of 366 · -0.8
→WISSmall
WIS defense40th of 366 · +2.9
HALL defense28th of 366 · +3.7
=Even
WIS offense44th of 366 · +4.5
Backcourt+2.6 · 4 players
=Even
Backcourt+2.0 · 3 players
Frontcourt+0.9 · 1 player
→WISBig
Frontcourt+6.7 · 2 players
Bench-0.2 · 5 players
←HALLSmall
Bench-2.6 · 5 players
Score, worst to bestHALL betterWIS betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers
Depth chart
Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
Guards
R. Brown33 min · TRD. Jones33 min · TRK. Thomas30 min · TRR. Anderson24 min · TRE. Fisher21 minS. Wilcher19 min · TR
Forwards
D. Williams24 min · TRM. Wol20 min · TRT. CopelandNewT. AirhienbuwaNewI. DolinskiNew
Centers
A. Fanta Kabba17 min · TR
Guards
E. Elmer31 min · TRT. Autry29 min · TRB. Carrington18 minJ. Janicki17 minH. Jones7 minZ. Kinziger6 min
Forwards
N. Winter31 minA. Rapp23 minV. Onuetu18 min · TRW. Garlock7 minI. RiddleNew
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.
Matchup stats
2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Points per game
Points per possession
Pace (possessions)
Shooting
Effective FG%
3-point %
3-point attempt rate
Free throw rate
Possessions
Turnover rate
Offensive rebound rate
Assists per game
Defense
Points allowed
Points allowed per possession
Opponent effective FG%
Opponent 3-point %
Turnovers forced
Defensive rebound rate
Steals per game
Blocks per game
| Scoring | ||
|---|---|---|
| 70.3 #278 | Points per game | 83.0 #28 |
| 1.06 #238 | Points per possession | 1.18 #27 |
| 66.5 #296 | Pace (possessions) | 70.0 #119 |
| Shooting | ||
| 47.6 #321 | Effective FG% | 54.5 #52 |
| 30.5 #334 | 3-point % | 36.2 #50 |
| 26.8 #362 | 3-point attempt rate | 52.1 #6 |
| 35.3 #168 | Free throw rate | 31.5 #267 |
| Possessions | ||
| 16.6 #173 | Turnover rate | 12.8 #4 |
| 35.6 #33 | Offensive rebound rate | 29.1 #232 |
| 13.1 #206 | Assists per game | 16.0 #48 |
| Defense | ||
| 65.3 #8 | Points allowed | 76.1 #221 |
| 0.98 #16 | Points allowed per possession | 1.09 #193 |
| 47.3 #25 | Opponent effective FG% | 51.4 #178 |
| 32.4 #87 | Opponent 3-point % | 33.5 #152 |
| 21.5 #5 | Turnovers forced | 14.3 #327 |
| 68.1 #251 | Defensive rebound rate | 71.8 #74 |
| 9.2 #7 | Steals per game | 5.6 #287 |
| 5.7 #7 | Blocks per game | 3.1 #198 |
Seton Hall
21-12 in 2025-26 overall · 11-11 in conference · Big East Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ St John's68–78
- Wvs Creighton72–61
- Lvs St John's65–72
- W@ Xavier77–68
- L@ UConn67–71
A week or more of rest.
Wisconsin
24-11 in 2025-26 overall · 16-7 in conference · Big Ten Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs High Point82–83
- Lvs Michigan65–68
- Wvs Illinois91–88
- Wvs Washington85–82
- W@ Purdue97–93
A week or more of rest.