1. NCAAB
  2. Wed, Nov 25
  3. NE @ WIS
NCAAB · Wed, Nov 25

Northeastern Huskies at Wisconsin Badgers

Kohl Center · at Wisconsin
#228NENortheastern
@
#41WISWisconsin
LineNo line yet 
Total— 
NEThis seasonWIS
0-0Record0-0
0-0ATS0-0
0-0O/U0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects WIS 91–65 · win probability WIS 99%
Pick this game
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Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
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model 156.2
Model edge
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No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: WIS has more of the edges

NE 0, WIS 7 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games
WISBig
WIS offense vs NE defense
Offense 44th of 366 against a defense 263rd, on the model’s ratings
Context
Schedule so far
NE has played the 185th-hardest schedule, WIS the 24th. A record against a soft schedule means less
WISBig
Free throws
Free throw rate: NE 29.4, WIS 31.5. Allowed: NE 41.9, WIS 29.9
WISBig
NE offense vs WIS defense
Offense 194th of 366 against a defense 40th, on the model’s ratings
WISBig
Three-pointers
NE hits 33.7% and allows 35.8%; WIS hits 36.2% and allows 33.5%. Threes are 37.8% and 52.1% of their shots
WISBig
Shooting
Effective FG%: NE 52.4 and allows 56.4; WIS 54.5 and allows 51.4
WISSmall
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: NE 27.3%, WIS 29.1%. Defensive: NE 69.8%, WIS 71.8%
WISSmall
Home court
WIS at home. This season: WIS 0-0 at home, NE 0-0 away
Even
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: NE 43%, WIS 54%. Transfers in: NE 3, WIS 3. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
Even
Turnovers
Turnover rate: NE 16.3%, WIS 12.8%. Forced: NE 16.8%, WIS 14.3%
Context
Tempo
About 70 possessions: NE plays 69.9 a game (120th fastest), WIS 70.0 (119th). Faster games mean more points
Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Market

Open → current
Spread
Opening line not available
Total
 
Moneyline
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Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.

Model vs market

MarketModelModel edge
Spread—WIS -25.4—
Total—156.2—
Projected score—NE 65.4 · WIS 90.8

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›
ModelActual
1H spreadWIS -15.0—
1H total73.0—
1H projected scoreNE 29 · WIS 44—
The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

Wisconsin has the better starters

Position by position: Northeastern 0, Wisconsin 3, even 2
NortheasternBetterWisconsin
G M. Loughnane10.2 pts · 2.9 reb · 3.8 ast Score 45
WISSmall
G E. Elmer TR12.8 pts · 6.1 reb · 1.1 ast Score 68
G R. King TR5.8 pts · 2.1 reb · 1.2 ast Score 46
WISSmall
G T. Autry TR10.9 pts · 3.6 reb · 1.4 ast Score 61
G M. Newton5.4 pts · 2 reb · 0.9 ast Not ranked
No call
G B. Carrington8.3 pts · 2.4 reb · 1.1 ast Score 90
G R. Williams7.4 pts · 1.1 reb · 1.6 ast Score 89
Even
F N. Winter13.1 pts · 8.5 reb · 1.5 ast Score 96
C P. Pinter3.3 pts · 2.1 reb · 0.4 ast Score 5
WISBig
F A. Rapp9.7 pts · 4 reb · 1.6 ast Score 83
NortheasternBetterWisconsin
NE offense194th of 366 · -6.0
WISBig
WIS defense40th of 366 · +2.9
NE defense263rd of 366 · -6.8
WISBig
WIS offense44th of 366 · +4.5
Backcourt-0.9 · 4 players
WISSmall
Backcourt+2.0 · 3 players
Frontcourt-2.0 · 1 player
WISBig
Frontcourt+6.7 · 2 players
Bench-1.8 · 3 players
Even
Bench-2.6 · 5 players
Score, worst to bestNE betterWIS betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers
Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
Northeastern
Guards
M. Loughnane31 minR. King19 min · TRM. Newton17 minR. Williams15 minL. Bond14 min · TRD. GrosberNew
Forwards
B. Young5 min · TRJ. IcitovicNewD. JungNewS. BaptisteNew
Centers
P. Pinter14 minL. Koelsch9 min
Wisconsin
Guards
E. Elmer31 min · TRT. Autry29 min · TRB. Carrington18 minJ. Janicki17 minH. Jones7 minZ. Kinziger6 min
Forwards
N. Winter31 minA. Rapp23 minV. Onuetu18 min · TRW. Garlock7 minI. RiddleNew
In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Shooting
Possessions
Defense
NEWIS
Scoring
74.9 #168Points per game83.0 #28
1.07 #210Points per possession1.18 #27
69.9 #120Pace (possessions)70.0 #119
Shooting
52.4 #130Effective FG%54.5 #52
33.7 #1873-point %36.2 #50
37.8 #2183-point attempt rate52.1 #6
29.4 #324Free throw rate31.5 #267
Possessions
16.3 #159Turnover rate12.8 #4
27.3 #286Offensive rebound rate29.1 #232
15.3 #75Assists per game16.0 #48
Defense
80.9 #331Points allowed76.1 #221
1.16 #335Points allowed per possession1.09 #193
56.4 #351Opponent effective FG%51.4 #178
35.8 #297Opponent 3-point %33.5 #152
16.8 #163Turnovers forced14.3 #327
69.8 #169Defensive rebound rate71.8 #74
7.0 #131Steals per game5.6 #287
3.0 #229Blocks per game3.1 #198
From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

Northeastern

7-24 in 2025-26 overall · 3-17 in conference · Coastal Athletic Association

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Drexel77–84
  • Wvs NC A&T88–72
  • Lvs Monmouth83–89
  • L@ Hampton65–76
  • L@ William & Mary77–84

A week or more of rest.

Wisconsin

24-11 in 2025-26 overall · 16-7 in conference · Big Ten Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs High Point82–83
  • Lvs Michigan65–68
  • Wvs Illinois91–88
  • Wvs Washington85–82
  • W@ Purdue97–93

A week or more of rest.