1. NCAAB
  2. Thu, Nov 5
  3. BCU @ TTU
NCAAB · Thu, Nov 5

Bethune-Cookman Wildcats at Texas Tech Red Raiders

United Supermarkets Arena · at Texas Tech
#202BCUBethune
@
#12TTUTexas Tech AP #19
LineNo line yet 
Total— 
BCUThis seasonTTU
0-0Record0-0
0-0ATS0-0
0-0O/U0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects TTU 93–61 · win probability TTU 100%
Pick this game
Your picksMy picks ›
Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
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model 153.6
Model edge
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No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: TTU has more of the edges

BCU 1, TTU 7 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games
Context
Schedule so far
BCU has played the 244th-hardest schedule, TTU the 12th. A record against a soft schedule means less
TTUBig
TTU offense vs BCU defense
Offense 12th of 366 against a defense 218th, on the model’s ratings
TTUBig
BCU offense vs TTU defense
Offense 188th of 366 against a defense 12th, on the model’s ratings
TTUBig
Three-pointers
BCU hits 33.0% and allows 32.9%; TTU hits 39.1% and allows 32.1%. Threes are 29.7% and 47.6% of their shots
Context
Tempo
About 70 possessions: BCU plays 71.8 a game (43rd fastest), TTU 68.2 (222nd). Faster games mean more points
TTUSmall
Shooting
Effective FG%: BCU 51.0 and allows 49.7; TTU 56.1 and allows 49.7
TTUSmall
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: BCU 30.1%, TTU 33.3%. Defensive: BCU 68.3%, TTU 69.4%
TTUSmall
Turnovers
Turnover rate: BCU 19.2%, TTU 15.8%. Forced: BCU 15.8%, TTU 14.8%
BCUSmall
Free throws
Free throw rate: BCU 40.9, TTU 27.7. Allowed: BCU 38.6, TTU 31.4
TTUSmall
Home court
TTU at home. This season: TTU 0-0 at home, BCU 0-0 away
Even
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: BCU 25%, TTU 45%. Transfers in: BCU 9, TTU 5. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Market

Open → current
Spread
Opening line not available
Total
 
Moneyline
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Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.

Model vs market

MarketModelModel edge
Spread—TTU -31.9—
Total—153.6—
Projected score—BCU 60.8 · TTU 92.8

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›
ModelActual
1H spreadTTU -18.9—
1H total71.8—
1H projected scoreBCU 26.5 · TTU 45.3—
The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

Texas Tech has the better starters

Position by position: Bethune 0, Texas Tech 5, even 0
BethuneBetterTexas Tech
G K. Branch TR11.7 pts · 2.6 reb · 1.4 ast Score 24
TTUBig
G C. Davis TR20.1 pts · 3.5 reb · 4.6 ast Score 91
G J. Morris TR11.2 pts · 2.5 reb · 2.9 ast Score 49
TTUBig
G D. Atwell13.5 pts · 3.2 reb · 0.8 ast Score 88
G J. Jones TR9.8 pts · 3.5 reb · 2.4 ast Score 43
TTUBig
G D. Gibbs-Lawhorn TR20.7 pts · 3.1 reb · 2.5 ast Score 95
F Q. Heady10.2 pts · 3.8 reb · 1.2 ast Score 55
TTUBig
F J. Toppin21.8 pts · 10.8 reb · 2.1 ast Score 100
F D. Johnson TR10 pts · 5 reb · 0.6 ast Score 52
TTUSmall
F D. Williams TR14 pts · 4.6 reb · 2.8 ast Score 76
BethuneBetterTexas Tech
BCU offense188th of 366 · -5.8
TTUBig
TTU defense12th of 366 · +6.6
BCU defense218th of 366 · -5.7
TTUBig
TTU offense12th of 366 · +9.9
Backcourt-4.2 · 3 players
TTUBig
Backcourt+10.4 · 3 players
Frontcourt-0.3 · 2 players
TTUBig
Frontcourt+10.8 · 2 players
Bench-1.6 · 5 players
TTUBig
Bench+7.2 · 4 players
Score, worst to bestBCU betterTTU betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers
Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
Bethune
Guards
K. Branch30 min · TRJ. Morris30 min · TRJ. Jones28 min · TRM. Jordan13 min · TRK. Patton8 min · TRK. MurphyNew
Forwards
Q. Heady26 minD. Johnson26 min · TRD. Perez-Rouzan24 minV. Boskovic21 min · TRI. Ezuma8 min · TRJ. SmithNew
Centers
M. Martinez16 min · TR
Texas Tech
Guards
C. Davis39 min · TRD. Atwell35 minD. Gibbs-Lawhorn35 min · TRD. Dennis24 min · TRD. SpearNewA. BarrettNew
Forwards
J. Toppin35 minD. Williams30 min · TRJ. Stillwell28 min · TRJ. Moseley14 minM. Akuentok6 minL. HooverNew
In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Shooting
Possessions
Defense
BCUTTU
Scoring
74.5 #175Points per game80.3 #62
1.04 #273Points per possession1.18 #35
71.8 #43Pace (possessions)68.2 #222
Shooting
51.0 #195Effective FG%56.1 #21
33.0 #2303-point %39.1 #4
29.7 #3533-point attempt rate47.6 #29
40.9 #48Free throw rate27.7 #347
Possessions
19.2 #329Turnover rate15.8 #123
30.1 #194Offensive rebound rate33.3 #82
13.3 #195Assists per game15.7 #59
Defense
77.5 #251Points allowed73.1 #134
1.08 #157Points allowed per possession1.07 #138
49.7 #88Opponent effective FG%49.7 #86
32.9 #112Opponent 3-point %32.1 #67
15.8 #229Turnovers forced14.8 #305
68.3 #242Defensive rebound rate69.4 #186
6.8 #147Steals per game6.0 #239
4.5 #34Blocks per game3.8 #103
From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

Bethune

16-15 in 2025-26 overall · 14-5 in conference · Southwestern Athletic Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Prairie View67–71
  • L@ Florida A&M77–81
  • W@ Southern82–79
  • W@ Grambling76–71
  • Wvs Alabama A&M85–76

A week or more of rest.

Texas Tech

23-11 in 2025-26 overall · 12-7 in conference · Big 12 Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Alabama65–90
  • Wvs Akron91–71
  • Lvs Iowa State53–75
  • L@ BYU76–82
  • Lvs TCU65–73

A week or more of rest.