1. NCAAB
  2. Sat, Nov 7
  3. BCU @ GCU
NCAAB · Sat, Nov 7

Bethune-Cookman Wildcats at Grand Canyon Lopes

Global Credit Union Arena · at Grand Canyon
#202BCUBethune
@
#80GCUGrand Canyon
LineNo line yet 
Total— 
BCUThis seasonGCU
0-0Record0-0
0-0ATS0-0
0-0O/U0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects GCU 84–66 · win probability GCU 94%
Pick this game
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Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
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model 149.7
Model edge
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No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: GCU has more of the edges

BCU 0, GCU 7 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games
GCUBig
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: BCU 30.1%, GCU 31.3%. Defensive: BCU 68.3%, GCU 74.7%
Context
Schedule so far
BCU has played the 244th-hardest schedule, GCU the 107th. A record against a soft schedule means less
GCUBig
GCU offense vs BCU defense
Offense 83rd of 366 against a defense 218th, on the model’s ratings
GCUBig
BCU offense vs GCU defense
Offense 188th of 366 against a defense 78th, on the model’s ratings
GCUSmall
Turnovers
Turnover rate: BCU 19.2%, GCU 17.6%. Forced: BCU 15.8%, GCU 17.4%
Context
Tempo
About 71 possessions: BCU plays 71.8 a game (43rd fastest), GCU 69.3 (166th). Faster games mean more points
GCUSmall
Home court
GCU at home. This season: GCU 0-0 at home, BCU 0-0 away
GCUSmall
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: BCU 25%, GCU 51%. Transfers in: BCU 9, GCU 9. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
GCUSmall
Shooting
Effective FG%: BCU 51.0 and allows 49.7; GCU 51.7 and allows 47.4
Even
Free throws
Free throw rate: BCU 40.9, GCU 39.5. Allowed: BCU 38.6, GCU 39.0
Even
Three-pointers
BCU hits 33.0% and allows 32.9%; GCU hits 31.8% and allows 31.9%. Threes are 29.7% and 38.9% of their shots
Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Market

Open → current
Spread
Opening line not available
Total
 
Moneyline
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Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.

Model vs market

MarketModelModel edge
Spread—GCU -17.4—
Total—149.7—
Projected score—BCU 66.1 · GCU 83.5

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›
ModelActual
1H spreadGCU -10.2—
1H total70.0—
1H projected scoreBCU 29.9 · GCU 40.1—
The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

Grand Canyon has the better starters

Position by position: Bethune 0, Grand Canyon 3, even 2
BethuneBetterGrand Canyon
G K. Branch TR11.7 pts · 2.6 reb · 1.4 ast Score 24
Even
G J. Zimmerman TR15.2 pts · 2.3 reb · 2.3 ast Score 32
G J. Morris TR11.2 pts · 2.5 reb · 2.9 ast Score 49
Even
G M. Tucker TR13 pts · 2.1 reb · 3 ast Score 56
G J. Jones TR9.8 pts · 3.5 reb · 2.4 ast Score 43
GCUBig
G J. Henley17.7 pts · 5.7 reb · 2.9 ast Score 97
F Q. Heady10.2 pts · 3.8 reb · 1.2 ast Score 55
GCUSmall
G M. Williams14 pts · 2.7 reb · 2.5 ast Score 89
F D. Johnson TR10 pts · 5 reb · 0.6 ast Score 52
GCUBig
F B. Barkley TR14.7 pts · 5.9 reb · 1.2 ast Score 89
BethuneBetterGrand Canyon
BCU offense188th of 366 · -5.8
GCUSmall
GCU defense78th of 366 · +0.5
BCU defense218th of 366 · -5.7
GCUBig
GCU offense83rd of 366 · +0.4
Backcourt-4.2 · 3 players
GCUBig
Backcourt+4.6 · 4 players
Frontcourt-0.3 · 2 players
GCUBig
Frontcourt+3.0 · 1 player
Bench-1.6 · 5 players
GCUBig
Bench+2.6 · 5 players
Score, worst to bestBCU betterGCU betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers
Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
Bethune
Guards
K. Branch30 min · TRJ. Morris30 min · TRJ. Jones28 min · TRM. Jordan13 min · TRK. Patton8 min · TRK. MurphyNew
Forwards
Q. Heady26 minD. Johnson26 min · TRD. Perez-Rouzan24 minV. Boskovic21 min · TRI. Ezuma8 min · TRJ. SmithNew
Centers
M. Martinez16 min · TR
Grand Canyon
Guards
J. Zimmerman33 min · TRM. Tucker32 min · TRJ. Henley32 minM. Williams27 minT. Holloman26 min · TRD. Skillings25 min · TR
Forwards
B. Barkley29 min · TRT. Behrend22 min · TRA. Dickerson22 min · TRO. Biliew20 min · TRJ. SawyerNewJ. WhortonNew
Centers
E. Demirel23 min
In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Shooting
Possessions
Defense
BCUGCU
Scoring
74.5 #175Points per game75.6 #153
1.04 #273Points per possession1.09 #158
71.8 #43Pace (possessions)69.3 #166
Shooting
51.0 #195Effective FG%51.7 #162
33.0 #2303-point %31.8 #286
29.7 #3533-point attempt rate38.9 #192
40.9 #48Free throw rate39.5 #67
Possessions
19.2 #329Turnover rate17.6 #245
30.1 #194Offensive rebound rate31.3 #150
13.3 #195Assists per game12.8 #230
Defense
77.5 #251Points allowed68.7 #42
1.08 #157Points allowed per possession0.99 #22
49.7 #88Opponent effective FG%47.4 #28
32.9 #112Opponent 3-point %31.9 #60
15.8 #229Turnovers forced17.4 #129
68.3 #242Defensive rebound rate74.7 #12
6.8 #147Steals per game6.6 #165
4.5 #34Blocks per game3.6 #123
From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

Bethune

16-15 in 2025-26 overall · 14-5 in conference · Southwestern Athletic Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Prairie View67–71
  • L@ Florida A&M77–81
  • W@ Southern82–79
  • W@ Grambling76–71
  • Wvs Alabama A&M85–76

A week or more of rest.

Grand Canyon

20-12 in 2025-26 overall · 13-8 in conference · Mountain West Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Nevada80–84
  • Wvs Fresno St85–60
  • W@ Air Force86–60
  • L@ Utah State69–74
  • Wvs UNLV80–67

A week or more of rest.