1. NCAAB
  2. Wed, Nov 25
  3. BCU @ RICH
NCAAB · Wed, Nov 25

Bethune-Cookman Wildcats at Richmond Spiders

Robins Center · at Richmond
#202BCUBethune
@
#104RICHRichmond
LineNo line yet 
Total— 
BCUThis seasonRICH
0-0Record0-0
0-0ATS0-0
0-0O/U0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects RICH 81–69 · win probability RICH 85%
Pick this game
Your picksMy picks ›
Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
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model 149.8
Model edge
—
No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: RICH has more of the edges

BCU 1, RICH 5 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games
RICHBig
Turnovers
Turnover rate: BCU 19.2%, RICH 14.3%. Forced: BCU 15.8%, RICH 17.8%
Context
Schedule so far
BCU has played the 244th-hardest schedule, RICH the 125th. A record against a soft schedule means less
RICHSmall
Three-pointers
BCU hits 33.0% and allows 32.9%; RICH hits 37.1% and allows 32.7%. Threes are 29.7% and 42.6% of their shots
RICHSmall
RICH offense vs BCU defense
Offense 113th of 366 against a defense 218th, on the model’s ratings
RICHSmall
BCU offense vs RICH defense
Offense 188th of 366 against a defense 105th, on the model’s ratings
Context
Tempo
About 70 possessions: BCU plays 71.8 a game (43rd fastest), RICH 68.8 (194th). Faster games mean more points
BCUSmall
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: BCU 30.1%, RICH 25.0%. Defensive: BCU 68.3%, RICH 69.0%
RICHSmall
Home court
RICH at home. This season: RICH 0-0 at home, BCU 0-0 away
Even
Shooting
Effective FG%: BCU 51.0 and allows 49.7; RICH 52.7 and allows 52.0
Even
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: BCU 25%, RICH 29%. Transfers in: BCU 9, RICH 6. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
Even
Free throws
Free throw rate: BCU 40.9, RICH 36.9. Allowed: BCU 38.6, RICH 35.1
Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Market

Open → current
Spread
Opening line not available
Total
 
Moneyline
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Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.

Model vs market

MarketModelModel edge
Spread—RICH -12.0—
Total—149.8—
Projected score—BCU 68.9 · RICH 80.9

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›
ModelActual
1H spreadRICH -7.0—
1H total70.0—
1H projected scoreBCU 31.5 · RICH 38.5—
The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

Richmond has the better starters

Position by position: Bethune 0, Richmond 2, even 3
BethuneBetterRichmond
G K. Branch TR11.7 pts · 2.6 reb · 1.4 ast Score 24
RICHSmall
G D. Saran TR11.3 pts · 5 reb · 3.1 ast Score 52
G J. Morris TR11.2 pts · 2.5 reb · 2.9 ast Score 49
RICHBig
G A. Argabright10.8 pts · 2 reb · 2 ast Score 87
G J. Jones TR9.8 pts · 3.5 reb · 2.4 ast Score 43
Even
G D. Stewart TR6.6 pts · 2.2 reb · 1.6 ast Score 44
F Q. Heady10.2 pts · 3.8 reb · 1.2 ast Score 55
Even
F J. Kaiser TR9.5 pts · 4.3 reb · 1 ast Score 60
F D. Johnson TR10 pts · 5 reb · 0.6 ast Score 52
Even
C A. Dorries TR16.2 pts · 4.4 reb · 1.4 ast Score 62
BethuneBetterRichmond
BCU offense188th of 366 · -5.8
RICHSmall
RICH defense105th of 366 · -1.0
BCU defense218th of 366 · -5.7
RICHSmall
RICH offense113th of 366 · -2.0
Backcourt-4.2 · 3 players
RICHBig
Backcourt+0.4 · 3 players
Frontcourt-0.3 · 2 players
RICHSmall
Frontcourt+1.5 · 2 players
Bench-1.6 · 5 players
Even
Bench-1.0 · 5 players
Score, worst to bestBCU betterRICH betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers
Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
Bethune
Guards
K. Branch30 min · TRJ. Morris30 min · TRJ. Jones28 min · TRM. Jordan13 min · TRK. Patton8 min · TRK. MurphyNew
Forwards
Q. Heady26 minD. Johnson26 min · TRD. Perez-Rouzan24 minV. Boskovic21 min · TRI. Ezuma8 min · TRJ. SmithNew
Centers
M. Martinez16 min · TR
Richmond
Guards
D. Saran30 min · TRA. Argabright24 minD. Stewart23 min · TRC. Tanner18 minW. Harper11 minK. Mooney5 min
Forwards
J. Kaiser29 min · TRA. Ball21 min · TRJ. McCaffery10 min · TRC. CookNewD. CaldwellNew
Centers
A. Dorries33 min · TRD. HomenickNew
In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Shooting
Possessions
Defense
BCURICH
Scoring
74.5 #175Points per game76.5 #132
1.04 #273Points per possession1.11 #119
71.8 #43Pace (possessions)68.8 #194
Shooting
51.0 #195Effective FG%52.7 #115
33.0 #2303-point %37.1 #28
29.7 #3533-point attempt rate42.6 #126
40.9 #48Free throw rate36.9 #133
Possessions
19.2 #329Turnover rate14.3 #32
30.1 #194Offensive rebound rate25.0 #340
13.3 #195Assists per game14.0 #145
Defense
77.5 #251Points allowed74.5 #175
1.08 #157Points allowed per possession1.09 #183
49.7 #88Opponent effective FG%52.0 #216
32.9 #112Opponent 3-point %32.7 #103
15.8 #229Turnovers forced17.8 #111
68.3 #242Defensive rebound rate69.0 #200
6.8 #147Steals per game6.8 #139
4.5 #34Blocks per game2.3 #323
From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

Bethune

16-15 in 2025-26 overall · 14-5 in conference · Southwestern Athletic Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Prairie View67–71
  • L@ Florida A&M77–81
  • W@ Southern82–79
  • W@ Grambling76–71
  • Wvs Alabama A&M85–76

A week or more of rest.

Richmond

14-17 in 2025-26 overall · 5-14 in conference · Atlantic 10 Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Loyola Chicago67–75
  • L@ Duquesne77–79
  • Lvs Dayton60–65
  • L@ Loyola Chicago66–69
  • Wvs St Bonaventure99–94

A week or more of rest.