1. NCAAB
  2. Sat, Nov 28
  3. BCU @ SF
NCAAB · Sat, Nov 28

Bethune-Cookman Wildcats at San Francisco Dons

The Sobrato Center · at San Francisco
#202BCUBethune
@
#161SFSan Francisco
LineNo line yet 
Total— 
BCUThis seasonSF
0-0Record0-0
0-0ATS0-0
0-0O/U0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects SF 78–71 · win probability SF 71%
Pick this game
Your picksMy picks ›
Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
—
model 148.7
Model edge
—
No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: SF has more of the edges

BCU 0, SF 4 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games
Context
Schedule so far
BCU has played the 244th-hardest schedule, SF the 98th. A record against a soft schedule means less
Context
Tempo
About 70 possessions: BCU plays 71.8 a game (43rd fastest), SF 67.3 (271st). Faster games mean more points
SFSmall
Free throws
Free throw rate: BCU 40.9, SF 40.1. Allowed: BCU 38.6, SF 29.6
SFSmall
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: BCU 30.1%, SF 31.4%. Defensive: BCU 68.3%, SF 71.0%
SFSmall
Home court
SF at home. This season: SF 0-0 at home, BCU 0-0 away
SFSmall
Turnovers
Turnover rate: BCU 19.2%, SF 15.9%. Forced: BCU 15.8%, SF 14.1%
Even
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: BCU 25%, SF 3%. Transfers in: BCU 9, SF 3. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
Even
SF offense vs BCU defense
Offense 178th of 366 against a defense 218th, on the model’s ratings
Even
BCU offense vs SF defense
Offense 188th of 366 against a defense 165th, on the model’s ratings
Even
Shooting
Effective FG%: BCU 51.0 and allows 49.7; SF 51.3 and allows 50.8
Even
Three-pointers
BCU hits 33.0% and allows 32.9%; SF hits 34.6% and allows 34.1%. Threes are 29.7% and 46.1% of their shots
Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Market

Open → current
Spread
Opening line not available
Total
 
Moneyline
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Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.

Model vs market

MarketModelModel edge
Spread—SF -6.4—
Total—148.7—
Projected score—BCU 71.2 · SF 77.5

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›
ModelActual
1H spreadSF -3.7—
1H total69.5—
1H projected scoreBCU 32.9 · SF 36.6—
The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

The starting fives are even

Position by position: Bethune 0, San Francisco 0, even 5
BethuneBetterSan Francisco
G K. Branch TR11.7 pts · 2.6 reb · 1.4 ast Score 24
No call
G A. Bashir TR2.4 pts · 0.6 reb · 0.6 ast Not ranked
G J. Morris TR11.2 pts · 2.5 reb · 2.9 ast Score 49
No call
G A. Braccia0.4 pts · 0.5 reb · 0.3 ast Not ranked
G J. Jones TR9.8 pts · 3.5 reb · 2.4 ast Score 43
Even
F B. Oosterbaan TR7.6 pts · 4.1 reb · 1.5 ast Score 31
F Q. Heady10.2 pts · 3.8 reb · 1.2 ast Score 55
No call
F N. Newbury NEWNo Division I numbers yet Not ranked
F D. Johnson TR10 pts · 5 reb · 0.6 ast Score 52
No call
C I. Diagne TR1.1 pts · 2.4 reb · 0.1 ast Not ranked
BethuneBetterSan Francisco
BCU offense188th of 366 · -5.8
Even
SF defense165th of 366 · -3.7
BCU defense218th of 366 · -5.7
Even
SF offense178th of 366 · -5.5
Backcourt-4.2 · 3 players
SFBig
Backcourt-0.9 · 2 players
Frontcourt-0.3 · 2 players
BCUSmall
Frontcourt-1.6 · 3 players
Bench-1.6 · 5 players
No call
BenchNo numbers yet
Score, worst to bestBCU betterSF betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers
Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
Bethune
Guards
K. Branch30 min · TRJ. Morris30 min · TRJ. Jones28 min · TRM. Jordan13 min · TRK. Patton8 min · TRK. MurphyNew
Forwards
Q. Heady26 minD. Johnson26 min · TRD. Perez-Rouzan24 minV. Boskovic21 min · TRI. Ezuma8 min · TRJ. SmithNew
Centers
M. Martinez16 min · TR
San Francisco
Guards
A. Bashir10 min · TRA. Braccia5 minW. FodeNewM. MageeNewY. VitlemNewD. BordonNew
Forwards
B. Oosterbaan25 min · TRN. NewburyNewA. TysonNewG. KnudsenNewD. WileyNewJ. PihtovsNew
Centers
I. Diagne7 min · TR
In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Shooting
Possessions
Defense
BCUSF
Scoring
74.5 #175Points per game73.9 #198
1.04 #273Points per possession1.10 #131
71.8 #43Pace (possessions)67.3 #271
Shooting
51.0 #195Effective FG%51.3 #184
33.0 #2303-point %34.6 #140
29.7 #3533-point attempt rate46.1 #45
40.9 #48Free throw rate40.1 #59
Possessions
19.2 #329Turnover rate15.9 #129
30.1 #194Offensive rebound rate31.4 #148
13.3 #195Assists per game13.6 #174
Defense
77.5 #251Points allowed73.8 #149
1.08 #157Points allowed per possession1.09 #206
49.7 #88Opponent effective FG%50.8 #143
32.9 #112Opponent 3-point %34.1 #187
15.8 #229Turnovers forced14.1 #331
68.3 #242Defensive rebound rate71.0 #105
6.8 #147Steals per game5.1 #332
4.5 #34Blocks per game2.9 #238
From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

Bethune

16-15 in 2025-26 overall · 14-5 in conference · Southwestern Athletic Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Prairie View67–71
  • L@ Florida A&M77–81
  • W@ Southern82–79
  • W@ Grambling76–71
  • Wvs Alabama A&M85–76

A week or more of rest.

San Francisco

16-16 in 2025-26 overall · 9-11 in conference · West Coast Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Oregon St77–78
  • Wvs Portland82–65
  • W@ Pacific72–61
  • Lvs Santa Clara73–94
  • Lvs Gonzaga59–80

A week or more of rest.