1. NCAAB
  2. Wed, Nov 25
  3. CSUN @ WEB
NCAAB · Wed, Nov 25

Cal State Northridge Matadors at Weber State Wildcats

Dee Events Center · at Weber St
#194CSUNCSU Northridge
@
#313WEBWeber St
LineNo line yet 
Total— 
CSUNThis seasonWEB
0-0Record0-0
0-0ATS0-0
0-0O/U0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects CSUN 80–77 · win probability CSUN 61%
Pick this game
Your picksMy picks ›
Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
—
model 156.4
Model edge
—
No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: WEB has more of the edges

CSUN 2, WEB 3 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games
CSUNBig
CSUN offense vs WEB defense
Offense 140th of 366 against a defense 336th, on the model’s ratings
Context
Schedule so far
CSUN has played the 219th-hardest schedule, WEB the 316th. A record against a soft schedule means less
WEBSmall
Three-pointers
CSUN hits 32.4% and allows 34.4%; WEB hits 34.5% and allows 33.5%. Threes are 33.6% and 32.8% of their shots
CSUNSmall
Shooting
Effective FG%: CSUN 51.3 and allows 51.6; WEB 51.7 and allows 54.5
WEBSmall
Turnovers
Turnover rate: CSUN 17.5%, WEB 15.7%. Forced: CSUN 16.5%, WEB 16.3%
WEBSmall
Home court
WEB at home. This season: WEB 0-0 at home, CSUN 0-0 away
Context
Tempo
About 73 possessions: CSUN plays 75.6 a game (2nd fastest), WEB 70.7 (85th). Faster games mean more points
Even
Free throws
Free throw rate: CSUN 34.2, WEB 39.1. Allowed: CSUN 34.3, WEB 36.4
Even
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: CSUN 18%, WEB 9%. Transfers in: CSUN 7, WEB 2. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
Even
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: CSUN 31.9%, WEB 31.8%. Defensive: CSUN 73.4%, WEB 72.3%
Even
WEB offense vs CSUN defense
Offense 280th of 366 against a defense 271st, on the model’s ratings
Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Market

Open → current
Spread
Opening line not available
Total
 
Moneyline
—

Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.

Model vs market

MarketModelModel edge
Spread—CSUN -3.1—
Total—156.4—
Projected score—CSUN 79.8 · WEB 76.6

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›
ModelActual
1H spreadCSUN -2.0—
1H total73.1—
1H projected scoreCSUN 37.5 · WEB 35.5—
The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

CSU Northridge has the better starters

Position by position: CSU Northridge 1, Weber St 0, even 4
CSU NorthridgeBetterWeber St
G J. Davis16.2 pts · 4.7 reb · 7.5 ast Score 71
CSUNBig
G A. Grayson3.3 pts · 1.2 reb · 1 ast Score 6
G C. Smith TR7.1 pts · 7.1 reb · 1.4 ast Score 36
No call
F B. Felder TR2.3 pts · 1.8 reb · 0 ast Not ranked
G M. Ballew TR8.3 pts · 1.8 reb · 0.8 ast Score 19
No call
F D. Thompson NEWNo Division I numbers yet Not ranked
G B. Hicks TR8.6 pts · 3.5 reb · 0.8 ast Score 49
No call
C A. Ekwe TR2.4 pts · 2.2 reb · 0.1 ast Not ranked
G K. Ekissi TR4.7 pts · 1.7 reb · 1.8 ast Score 29
No call
C D. Cutler1.2 pts · 1.4 reb · 0.1 ast Not ranked
CSU NorthridgeBetterWeber St
CSUN offense140th of 366 · -4.2
CSUNBig
WEB defense336th of 366 · -8.9
CSUN defense271st of 366 · -6.8
Even
WEB offense280th of 366 · -8.6
Backcourt-4.7 · 5 players
WEBBig
Backcourt-1.7 · 1 player
FrontcourtNo numbers yet
No call
Frontcourt-0.8 · 4 players
Bench-2.4 · 4 players
No call
BenchNo numbers yet
Score, worst to bestCSUN betterWEB betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers
Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
CSU Northridge
Guards
J. Davis34 minC. Smith30 min · TRM. Ballew23 min · TRB. Hicks22 min · TRK. Ekissi17 min · TRG. Gazarian2 min
Forwards
J. Martin7 min · TRB. OmotNew
Centers
E. Stephen15 min · TRL. Niang8 min · TR
Weber St
Guards
A. Grayson12 minA. JacksonNewA. PowellNewM. AbittanNewS. Marius JonesNewH. HansenNew
Forwards
B. Felder6 min · TRD. ThompsonNewD. WarlickNewC. BurgessNew
Centers
A. Ekwe10 min · TRD. Cutler6 min
In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Shooting
Possessions
Defense
CSUNWEB
Scoring
80.6 #54Points per game78.8 #82
1.06 #219Points per possession1.11 #112
75.6 #2Pace (possessions)70.7 #85
Shooting
51.3 #183Effective FG%51.7 #163
32.4 #2603-point %34.5 #143
33.6 #3083-point attempt rate32.8 #320
34.2 #200Free throw rate39.1 #76
Possessions
17.5 #237Turnover rate15.7 #115
31.9 #130Offensive rebound rate31.8 #132
16.7 #31Assists per game12.6 #241
Defense
81.3 #336Points allowed79.1 #300
1.08 #153Points allowed per possession1.12 #269
51.6 #191Opponent effective FG%54.5 #316
34.4 #210Opponent 3-point %33.5 #160
16.5 #187Turnovers forced16.3 #204
73.4 #26Defensive rebound rate72.3 #56
6.6 #166Steals per game6.9 #133
2.8 #259Blocks per game1.5 #360
From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

CSU Northridge

18-14 in 2025-26 overall · 13-9 in conference · Big West Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs UC Irvine78–93
  • Wvs UC San Diego80–70
  • Lvs Fullerton77–90
  • W@ Bakersfield86–84
  • L@ UC Riverside84–95

A week or more of rest.

Weber St

14-16 in 2025-26 overall · 10-9 in conference · Big Sky Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs E Washington79–84
  • L@ Portland St60–84
  • W@ Idaho St83–73
  • Wvs Montana92–72
  • Wvs Montana St82–79

A week or more of rest.