Premier America Credit Union Arena · at CSU Northridge · Conference game
Closing line
CSUN -6.5✓ CP covered by 1.5
CSUN -6.5✓ CP covered by 1.5Closing total175.5Over by 9.5
 CP | This season | CSUN |
|---|---|---|
| 4-10 | Record | 7-7 |
| 6-8 | ATS | 7-7 |
| 8-6 | O/U | 9-5 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: CP 83–88 CSUN · ✓ CSUN (68%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| CP | 44 | 46 | 90 |
| CSUN | 41 | 54 | 95 |
1st half: CP 44, CSUN 41 (CP by 3). The model had CSUN by 3.0 and a total of 80.2 (actual 85).
Team stats
| CP | CSUN | |
|---|---|---|
| 29-70 41% | Field goals | 35-67 52% |
| 16-44 36% | 3-pointers | 9-20 45% |
| 16-21 76% | Free throws | 16-27 59% |
| 32 10 off | Rebounds | 49 15 off |
| 12 | Assists | 20 |
| 12 | Steals | 6 |
| 2 | Blocks | 0 |
| 13 | Turnovers | 14 |
| 20 | Fouls | 20 |
| 26 | Points in paint | 52 |
| 20 | Fast-break points | 15 |
Players
| CP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cayden Ward G | 36 | 21 | 5 | 2 | 6-13 | 4-6 |
| Peter Bandelj G | 35 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 4-12 | 2-7 |
| Hamad Mousa G | 35 | 34 | 7 | 3 | 11-25 | 7-16 |
| Jake Davis G | 25 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| Kieran Elliott G | 23 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3-4 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Guzman Vasilic G | 31 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 3-12 | 3-12 |
| Ali Assran F | 9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| Luka Tarlac G | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Aaron Price Jr. PF | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Austin Goode F | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Jackson Mosley, Troy Plumtree, Braden Freeman, Jess Esso Essis, Jason Scott, Eric Brown
| CSUN | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josiah Davis G | 40 | 23 | 8 | 15 | 8-11 | 1-1 |
| Joshua O'Garro G | 35 | 20 | 11 | 0 | 7-16 | 1-3 |
| Mahmoud Fofana F | 29 | 16 | 7 | 0 | 7-8 | 0-0 |
| Davius Loury F | 26 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 1-8 | 1-4 |
| Jai Chisolm G | 24 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 1-6 | 1-6 |
| Bench | ||||||
| James Evans Jr. G | 28 | 17 | 5 | 2 | 6-10 | 5-6 |
| Grady Lewis F | 12 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 4-6 | 0-0 |
| Aleks Szymczyk C | 6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Jordan Brinson, Omer Dahan, Max Rehl, Larry Hughes II, Greg Gazarian, Robert Thibiant, Jalen Barbee, Joseph Barrio, Quinton Webb
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketCSUN -6.5
ModelCSUN -5.2
Model edgeCP +1.3
W CP covered
Total
Market175.5
Model171.4
Model edgeUnder 4.1
L Over
Projected score
CP 83.1 · CSUN 88.3
CP 90 · CSUN 95
Win probability
CSUN 68%
1st half
Spread
CSUN -3.0
CP -3.0
Total
80.2
85 points
Projected score
CP 38.6 · CSUN 41.6
CP 44 · CSUN 41
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenCSUN -5.5
1 → CSUN
CloseCSUN -6.5
1 pt toward CSUN
Total
Open173.5
▲ 2
Close175.5
Up 2 since the open
Moneyline
CP +260 · CSUN -325
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened CSUN -5.5 · closed CSUN -6.5 · moved 1 toward CSUNmodel CSUN -5
model CSUN -5
Opened 173.5 · closed 175.5 · moved 2 upmodel 171.5
model 171.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| CP | 3-7 30% | 4-6 40% | 6-4 60% |
| CSUN | 5-5 50% | 5-5 50% | 6-4 60% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 8 since 2021-22
CP 1–7 CSUNCSUN leads · 8 games since 2021-22 · CSUN has won the last 5 meetings · CP 2-6 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2024-25 | CP 85 @ CSUN 89 | CSUN -9.5 | CP W |
| Dec 7, 2024-25 | CSUN 102 @ CP 91 | CP +2.5 | CSUN W |
| Feb 8, 2023-24 | CP 65 @ CSUN 78 | CSUN -10.5 | CSUN W |
| Dec 28, 2023-24 | CSUN 83 @ CP 73 | CP +2.5 | CSUN W |
| Feb 11, 2022-23 | CP 53 @ CSUN 64 | CSUN -1.5 | CSUN W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Cal Poly
14 games played
Straight up
4-10
29% wins
Against the spread
6-8
43% covers · avg +0.9 pts vs the line
Over / Under
8-6
57% overs · avg −1.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ USC | L 64-94 | +24.5 | L −5.5 | 163.5 | U 158 |
| Nov 8 | @ SEA | W 73-71 | +10.5 | W +12.5 | 164.5 | U 144 |
| Nov 12 | @ CSU | L 79-93 | +18.5 | W +4.5 | 165.5 | O 172 |
| Nov 14 | @ MONT | L 82-90 | +7.5 | L −0.5 | 168.5 | O 172 |
| Nov 20 | @ UTAH | W 92-85 | +14.5 | W +21.5 | 167.5 | O 177 |
| Nov 24 | @ NAU | L 87-93 | -1.5 | L −7.5 | 164.5 | O 180 |
| Nov 25 | vs SEMO | L 68-84 | +1.5 | L −14.5 | 170.5 | U 152 |
| Dec 4 | @ CSUF | W 94-91 | +1.5 | W +4.5 | 177.5 | O 185 |
| Dec 6 | vs UCR | L 84-88 | -5.5 | L −9.5 | 162.5 | O 172 |
| Dec 16 | vs MTST | L 80-83 | +2.5 | L −0.5 | 159.5 | O 163 |
| Dec 19 | @ UCLA | L 87-108 | +24.5 | W +3.5 | 161.5 | O 195 |
| Dec 21 | vs IDHO | L 80-83 | +1.5 | L −1.5 | 167.5 | U 163 |
| Jan 1 | vs UCSD | W 67-65 | +8.5 | W +10.5 | 174.5 | U 132 |
| Jan 3 | @ LBSU | L 66-74 | +2.5 | L −5.5 | 162.5 | U 140 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@USC
USCL 64-94
−5.5
8
@SEA
SEAW 73-71
+12.5
12
@CSU
CSUL 79-93
+4.5
14
@MONT
MONTL 82-90
−0.5
20
@UTAH
UTAHW 92-85
+21.5
24
@NAU
NAUL 87-93
−7.5
25
vsSEMO
SEMOL 68-84
−14.5
4
@CSUF
CSUFW 94-91
+4.5
6
vsUCR
UCRL 84-88
−9.5
16
vsMTST
MTSTL 80-83
−0.5
19
@UCLA
UCLAL 87-108
+3.5
21
vsIDHO
IDHOL 80-83
−1.5
1
vsUCSD
UCSDW 67-65
+10.5
3
@LBSU
LBSUL 66-74
−5.5
covered 6didn’t cover 8avg +0.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@USC
USCL 64-94
−5.5
8
@SEA
SEAW 73-71
−20.5
12
@CSU
CSUL 79-93
+6.5
14
@MONT
MONTL 82-90
+3.5
20
@UTAH
UTAHW 92-85
+9.5
24
@NAU
NAUL 87-93
+15.5
25
vsSEMO
SEMOL 68-84
−18.5
4
@CSUF
CSUFW 94-91
+7.5
6
vsUCR
UCRL 84-88
+9.5
16
vsMTST
MTSTL 80-83
+3.5
19
@UCLA
UCLAL 87-108
+33.5
21
vsIDHO
IDHOL 80-83
−4.5
1
vsUCSD
UCSDW 67-65
−42.5
3
@LBSU
LBSUL 66-74
−22.5
over 8under 6avg −1.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
CSU Northridge
14 games played
Straight up
7-7
50% wins
Against the spread
7-7
50% covers · avg −1.6 pts vs the line
Over / Under
9-5
64% overs · avg +3.1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6 | @ UNI | L 57-86 | +9.5 | L −19.5 | 153.5 | U 143 |
| Nov 9 | @ UND | W 93-85 | -6.5 | W +1.5 | 158.5 | O 178 |
| Nov 11 | @ NDSU | L 68-90 | +4.5 | L −17.5 | 156.5 | O 158 |
| Nov 16 | vs TROY | W 94-85 | +4.5 | W +13.5 | 157.5 | O 179 |
| Nov 26 | vsIDHO | L 64-78 | +1.5 | L −12.5 | 159.5 | U 142 |
| Nov 28 | vs IDST | L 50-82 | +1.5 | L −30.5 | 148.5 | U 132 |
| Dec 4 | vs CSUB | W 87-66 | -5.5 | W +15.5 | 155.5 | U 153 |
| Dec 6 | @ UCI | L 71-85 | +7.5 | L −6.5 | 152.5 | O 156 |
| Dec 10 | vs FRES | W 89-87 | -3.5 | L −1.5 | 161.5 | O 176 |
| Dec 13 | @ DEL | W 88-66 | +1.5 | W +23.5 | 144.5 | O 154 |
| Dec 22 | vs SAC | W 100-88 | -8.5 | W +3.5 | 164.5 | O 188 |
| Dec 27 | @ STAN | L 80-88 | +15.5 | W +7.5 | 160.5 | O 168 |
| Jan 1 | @ UCD | L 80-89 | +3.5 | L −5.5 | 162.5 | O 169 |
| Jan 3 | vs UCSB | W 74-65 | -2.5 | W +6.5 | 156.5 | U 139 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
6
@UNI
UNIL 57-86
−19.5
9
@UND
UNDW 93-85
+1.5
11
@NDSU
NDSUL 68-90
−17.5
16
vsTROY
TROYW 94-85
+13.5
26
vsIDHO
IDHOL 64-78
−12.5
28
vsIDST
IDSTL 50-82
−30.5
4
vsCSUB
CSUBW 87-66
+15.5
6
@UCI
UCIL 71-85
−6.5
10
vsFRES
FRESW 89-87
−1.5
13
@DEL
DELW 88-66
+23.5
22
vsSAC
SACW 100-88
+3.5
27
@STAN
STANL 80-88
+7.5
1
@UCD
UCDL 80-89
−5.5
3
vsUCSB
UCSBW 74-65
+6.5
covered 7didn’t cover 7avg −1.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
6
@UNI
UNIL 57-86
−10.5
9
@UND
UNDW 93-85
+19.5
11
@NDSU
NDSUL 68-90
+1.5
16
vsTROY
TROYW 94-85
+21.5
26
vsIDHO
IDHOL 64-78
−17.5
28
vsIDST
IDSTL 50-82
−16.5
4
vsCSUB
CSUBW 87-66
−2.5
6
@UCI
UCIL 71-85
+3.5
10
vsFRES
FRESW 89-87
+14.5
13
@DEL
DELW 88-66
+9.5
22
vsSAC
SACW 100-88
+23.5
27
@STAN
STANL 80-88
+7.5
1
@UCD
UCDL 80-89
+6.5
3
vsUCSB
UCSBW 74-65
−17.5
over 9under 5avg +3.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Cal Poly
4-10 overall · 2-2 in conference · Big West Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Long Beach St66–74
- Wvs UC San Diego67–65
- Lvs Idaho80–83
- L@ UCLA87–108
- Lvs Montana St80–83
5 days since their last game.
CSU Northridge
7-7 overall · 2-2 in conference · Big West Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Santa Barbara74–65
- L@ UC Davis80–89
- L@ Stanford80–88
- Wvs Sacramento St100–88
- W@ Delaware88–66
5 days since their last game.