Icardo Center · at Bakersfield · Conference game
Closing line
CSUN -8.5✓ CSUB covered by 6.5
CSUN -8.5✓ CSUB covered by 6.5Closing total163.5Over by 6.5
| CSUN | This season | CSUB |
|---|---|---|
| 16-12 | Record | 6-22 |
| 13-15 | ATS | 11-17 |
| 17-11 | O/U | 14-14 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: CSUN 85–78 CSUB · ✓ CSUN (72%) won
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| CSUN | 36 | 50 | 86 |
| CSUB | 34 | 50 | 84 |
1st half: CSUN 36, CSUB 34 (CSUN by 2). The model had CSUN by 4.0 and a total of 76.3 (actual 70).
Team stats
| CSUN | CSUB | |
|---|---|---|
| 33-72 46% | Field goals | 31-69 45% |
| 6-27 22% | 3-pointers | 8-24 33% |
| 14-18 78% | Free throws | 14-22 64% |
| 50 18 off | Rebounds | 34 10 off |
| 14 | Assists | 17 |
| 7 | Steals | 13 |
| 3 | Blocks | 5 |
| 17 | Turnovers | 10 |
| 19 | Fouls | 13 |
| 48 | Points in paint | 38 |
| 8 | Fast-break points | 19 |
Players
| CSUN | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Larry Hughes II G | 33 | 14 | 4 | 0 | 4-18 | 2-10 |
| Joshua O'Garro G | 32 | 25 | 11 | 1 | 10-15 | 3-5 |
| Josiah Davis G | 32 | 14 | 6 | 6 | 6-11 | 0-2 |
| Mahmoud Fofana F | 31 | 15 | 8 | 3 | 6-11 | 0-0 |
| Davius Loury F | 23 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 3-7 | 1-5 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jordan Brinson G | 23 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0-3 | 0-2 |
| Grady Lewis F | 21 | 9 | 7 | 0 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| James Evans Jr. G | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-3 | 0-3 |
| Jai Chisolm G | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Quinton Webb, Joseph Barrio, Jalen Barbee, Robert Thibiant, Greg Gazarian, Aleks Szymczyk, Max Rehl, Omer Dahan
| CSUB | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CJ Hardy G | 38 | 10 | 5 | 4 | 4-9 | 0-2 |
| Ronald Jessamy F | 37 | 23 | 9 | 1 | 10-16 | 0-0 |
| Dailin Smith G | 35 | 23 | 2 | 1 | 7-16 | 3-9 |
| Kadar Waller G | 29 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 1-5 | 1-2 |
| Tom Mark F | 19 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 4-8 | 0-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Mike Price G | 28 | 12 | 1 | 4 | 4-12 | 3-8 |
| Bentley Waller G | 11 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1-3 | 1-1 |
| Dylan Purnell G | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Caleb McCarty, Jaden Alexander, Colin Darby, Pierre Geneste Jr., TJ James Jr., AJ George
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenCSUN -8.5
no move
CloseCSUN -8.5
No change since the open
Total
Open165.5
▼ 2
Close163.5
Down 2 since the open
Moneyline
CSUN -395 · CSUB +310
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened CSUN -8.5 · unchangedmodel CSUN -6.5
model CSUN -6.5
Opened 165.5 · closed 163.5 · moved 2 downmodel 163.5 matches the line
model 163.5 = line ✓
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | CSUN -8.5 | CSUN -6.6 | CSUB +1.9 | W CSUB covered |
| Total | 163.5 | 163.3 | Under 0.2 | L Over |
| Projected score | — | CSUN 85 · CSUB 78.4 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | CSUN -4.0 | CSUN -2.0 |
| 1H total | 76.3 | 70 |
| 1H projected score | CSUN 40.2 · CSUB 36.1 | CSUN 36 · CSUB 34 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| CSUN | 7-3 70% | 5-5 50% | 5-5 50% |
| CSUB | 0-10 0% | 3-7 30% | 7-3 70% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 10 since 2021-22
CSUN 5–5 CSUBSeries tied · 10 games since 2021-22 · CSUN has won the last 2 meetings · CSUN 5-5 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 4, 2025-26 | CSUB 66 @ CSUN 87 | CSUN -5.5 | CSUN W |
| Feb 1, 2024-25 | CSUB 62 @ CSUN 88 | CSUN -10.5 | CSUN W |
| Jan 11, 2024-25 | CSUN 90 @ CSUB 94 | CSUB +4.5 | CSUB W |
| Feb 15, 2023-24 | CSUN 76 @ CSUB 71 | CSUB +2.5 | CSUN W |
| Jan 25, 2023-24 | CSUB 64 @ CSUN 56 | CSUN -3.5 | CSUB W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
CSU Northridge
28 games played
Straight up
16-12
57% wins
Against the spread
13-15
46% covers · avg +0.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
17-11
61% overs · avg +2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6 | @ UNI | L 57-86 | +9.5 | L −19.5 | 153.5 | U 143 |
| Nov 9 | @ UND | W 93-85 | -6.5 | W +1.5 | 158.5 | O 178 |
| Nov 11 | @ NDSU | L 68-90 | +4.5 | L −17.5 | 156.5 | O 158 |
| Nov 16 | vs TROY | W 94-85 | +4.5 | W +13.5 | 157.5 | O 179 |
| Nov 26 | vs IDHO | L 64-78 | +1.5 | L −12.5 | 159.5 | U 142 |
| Nov 28 | vs IDST | L 50-82 | +1.5 | L −30.5 | 148.5 | U 132 |
| Dec 4 | vsCSUB | W 87-66 | -5.5 | W +15.5 | 155.5 | U 153 |
| Dec 6 | @ UCI | L 71-85 | +7.5 | L −6.5 | 152.5 | O 156 |
| Dec 10 | vs FRES | W 89-87 | -3.5 | L −1.5 | 161.5 | O 176 |
| Dec 13 | @ DEL | W 88-66 | +1.5 | W +23.5 | 144.5 | O 154 |
| Dec 22 | vs SAC | W 100-88 | -8.5 | W +3.5 | 164.5 | O 188 |
| Dec 27 | @ STAN | L 80-88 | +15.5 | W +7.5 | 160.5 | O 168 |
| Jan 1 | @ UCD | L 80-89 | +3.5 | L −5.5 | 162.5 | O 169 |
| Jan 3 | vs UCSB | W 74-65 | -2.5 | W +6.5 | 156.5 | U 139 |
| Jan 8 | vs CP | W 95-90 | -6.5 | L −1.5 | 175.5 | O 185 |
| Jan 10 | @ CSUF | L 79-86 | +1.5 | L −5.5 | 173.5 | U 165 |
| Jan 15 | @ UCSD | W 84-79 | +7.5 | W +12.5 | 159.5 | O 163 |
| Jan 17 | vs LBSU | L 80-87 | -7.5 | L −14.5 | 158.5 | O 167 |
| Jan 24 | @ HAW | L 68-89 | +10.5 | L −10.5 | 158.5 | U 157 |
| Jan 29 | vsUCD | W 94-78 | -3.5 | W +12.5 | 163.5 | O 172 |
| Jan 31 | vsUCSD | W 81-64 | +1.5 | W +18.5 | 160.5 | U 145 |
| Feb 5 | @CP | W 97-96 | -2.5 | L −1.5 | 177.5 | O 193 |
| Feb 7 | vs UCR | W 88-74 | -10.5 | W +3.5 | 160.5 | O 162 |
| Feb 14 | vsHAW | W 84-60 | +2.5 | W +26.5 | 162.5 | U 144 |
| Feb 19 | @UCSB | W 85-83 | +5.5 | W +7.5 | 156.5 | O 168 |
| Feb 21 | @LBSU | W 78-76 | -2.5 | L −0.5 | 157.5 | U 154 |
| Feb 26 | vsUCI | L 67-68 | -1.5 | L −2.5 | 153.5 | U 135 |
| Feb 28 | @UCR | L 84-95 | -4.5 | L −15.5 | 158.5 | O 179 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
6
@UNI
UNIL 57-86
−19.5
9
@UND
UNDW 93-85
+1.5
11
@NDSU
NDSUL 68-90
−17.5
16
vsTROY
TROYW 94-85
+13.5
26
vsIDHO
IDHOL 64-78
−12.5
28
vsIDST
IDSTL 50-82
−30.5
4
vsCSUB
CSUBW 87-66
+15.5
6
@UCI
UCIL 71-85
−6.5
10
vsFRES
FRESW 89-87
−1.5
13
@DEL
DELW 88-66
+23.5
22
vsSAC
SACW 100-88
+3.5
27
@STAN
STANL 80-88
+7.5
1
@UCD
UCDL 80-89
−5.5
3
vsUCSB
UCSBW 74-65
+6.5
8
vsCP
CPW 95-90
−1.5
10
@CSUF
CSUFL 79-86
−5.5
15
@UCSD
UCSDW 84-79
+12.5
17
vsLBSU
LBSUL 80-87
−14.5
24
@HAW
HAWL 68-89
−10.5
29
vsUCD
UCDW 94-78
+12.5
31
vsUCSD
UCSDW 81-64
+18.5
5
@CP
CPW 97-96
−1.5
7
vsUCR
UCRW 88-74
+3.5
14
vsHAW
HAWW 84-60
+26.5
19
@UCSB
UCSBW 85-83
+7.5
21
@LBSU
LBSUW 78-76
−0.5
26
vsUCI
UCIL 67-68
−2.5
28
@UCR
UCRL 84-95
−15.5
covered 13didn’t cover 15avg +0.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
6
@UNI
UNIL 57-86
−10.5
9
@UND
UNDW 93-85
+19.5
11
@NDSU
NDSUL 68-90
+1.5
16
vsTROY
TROYW 94-85
+21.5
26
vsIDHO
IDHOL 64-78
−17.5
28
vsIDST
IDSTL 50-82
−16.5
4
vsCSUB
CSUBW 87-66
−2.5
6
@UCI
UCIL 71-85
+3.5
10
vsFRES
FRESW 89-87
+14.5
13
@DEL
DELW 88-66
+9.5
22
vsSAC
SACW 100-88
+23.5
27
@STAN
STANL 80-88
+7.5
1
@UCD
UCDL 80-89
+6.5
3
vsUCSB
UCSBW 74-65
−17.5
8
vsCP
CPW 95-90
+9.5
10
@CSUF
CSUFL 79-86
−8.5
15
@UCSD
UCSDW 84-79
+3.5
17
vsLBSU
LBSUL 80-87
+8.5
24
@HAW
HAWL 68-89
−1.5
29
vsUCD
UCDW 94-78
+8.5
31
vsUCSD
UCSDW 81-64
−15.5
5
@CP
CPW 97-96
+15.5
7
vsUCR
UCRW 88-74
+1.5
14
vsHAW
HAWW 84-60
−18.5
19
@UCSB
UCSBW 85-83
+11.5
21
@LBSU
LBSUW 78-76
−3.5
26
vsUCI
UCIL 67-68
−18.5
28
@UCR
UCRL 84-95
+20.5
over 17under 11avg +2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Bakersfield
28 games played
Straight up
6-22
21% wins
Against the spread
11-17
39% covers · avg −3.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
14-14
50% overs · avg +4.9 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ CAL | L 60-87 | +15.5 | L −11.5 | 147.5 | U 147 |
| Nov 11 | vs WIU | W 74-58 | -7.5 | W +8.5 | 141.5 | U 132 |
| Nov 14 | @ MISS | L 60-82 | +23.5 | W +1.5 | 140.5 | O 142 |
| Nov 17 | @ PRST | L 80-93 | +8.5 | L −4.5 | 141.5 | O 173 |
| Nov 22 | vs MVSU | W 86-70 | -21.5 | L −5.5 | 138.5 | O 156 |
| Nov 25 | @ FSU | L 59-89 | +26.5 | L −3.5 | 159.5 | U 148 |
| Nov 30 | vsFRES | W 76-71 | +10.5 | W +15.5 | 150.5 | U 147 |
| Dec 4 | @CSUN | L 66-87 | +5.5 | L −15.5 | 155.5 | U 153 |
| Dec 6 | @UCSB | L 84-109 | +12.5 | L −12.5 | 145.5 | O 193 |
| Dec 11 | vsNDSU | L 69-80 | +7.5 | L −3.5 | 149.5 | U 149 |
| Dec 13 | vs PEPP | L 62-70 | -1.5 | L −9.5 | 147.5 | U 132 |
| Dec 23 | vsIDHO | W 64-63 | +7.5 | W +8.5 | 150.5 | U 127 |
| Jan 1 | vsUCI | L 77-81 | +11.5 | W +7.5 | 143.5 | O 158 |
| Jan 3 | @UCD | W 81-79 | +9.5 | W +11.5 | 151.5 | O 160 |
| Jan 8 | vsUCR | W 67-66 | -3.5 | L −2.5 | 147.5 | U 133 |
| Jan 10 | @LBSU | L 75-81 | +6.5 | W +0.5 | 142.5 | O 156 |
| Jan 15 | vsUCSB | L 69-75 | +7.5 | W +1.5 | 144.5 | U 144 |
| Jan 17 | vsUCSD | L 62-83 | +8.5 | L −12.5 | 147.5 | U 145 |
| Jan 22 | @HAW | L 71-98 | +17.5 | L −9.5 | 144.5 | O 169 |
| Jan 29 | vsCP | L 79-104 | +1.5 | L −23.5 | 161.5 | O 183 |
| Jan 31 | vsUCD | L 72-80 | +5.5 | L −2.5 | 152.5 | U 152 |
| Feb 5 | @UCI | L 62-78 | +16.5 | W +0.5 | 144.5 | U 140 |
| Feb 7 | @CSUF | L 66-82 | +9.5 | L −6.5 | 157.5 | U 148 |
| Feb 12 | vsHAW | L 74-89 | +13.5 | L −1.5 | 151.5 | O 163 |
| Feb 19 | @UCR | L 65-93 | +6.5 | L −21.5 | 150.5 | O 158 |
| Feb 21 | vsCSUF | L 80-88 | +5.5 | L −2.5 | 160.5 | O 168 |
| Feb 26 | @UCSD | L 72-84 | +14.5 | W +2.5 | 148.5 | O 156 |
| Feb 28 | vsLBSU | L 87-88 | +3.5 | W +2.5 | 152.5 | O 175 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@CAL
CALL 60-87
−11.5
11
vsWIU
WIUW 74-58
+8.5
14
@MISS
MISSL 60-82
+1.5
17
@PRST
PRSTL 80-93
−4.5
22
vsMVSU
MVSUW 86-70
−5.5
25
@FSU
FSUL 59-89
−3.5
30
vsFRES
FRESW 76-71
+15.5
4
@CSUN
CSUNL 66-87
−15.5
6
@UCSB
UCSBL 84-109
−12.5
11
vsNDSU
NDSUL 69-80
−3.5
13
vsPEPP
PEPPL 62-70
−9.5
23
vsIDHO
IDHOW 64-63
+8.5
1
vsUCI
UCIL 77-81
+7.5
3
@UCD
UCDW 81-79
+11.5
8
vsUCR
UCRW 67-66
−2.5
10
@LBSU
LBSUL 75-81
+0.5
15
vsUCSB
UCSBL 69-75
+1.5
17
vsUCSD
UCSDL 62-83
−12.5
22
@HAW
HAWL 71-98
−9.5
29
vsCP
CPL 79-104
−23.5
31
vsUCD
UCDL 72-80
−2.5
5
@UCI
UCIL 62-78
+0.5
7
@CSUF
CSUFL 66-82
−6.5
12
vsHAW
HAWL 74-89
−1.5
19
@UCR
UCRL 65-93
−21.5
21
vsCSUF
CSUFL 80-88
−2.5
26
@UCSD
UCSDL 72-84
+2.5
28
vsLBSU
LBSUL 87-88
+2.5
covered 11didn’t cover 17avg −3.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@CAL
CALL 60-87
−0.5
11
vsWIU
WIUW 74-58
−9.5
14
@MISS
MISSL 60-82
+1.5
17
@PRST
PRSTL 80-93
+31.5
22
vsMVSU
MVSUW 86-70
+17.5
25
@FSU
FSUL 59-89
−11.5
30
vsFRES
FRESW 76-71
−3.5
4
@CSUN
CSUNL 66-87
−2.5
6
@UCSB
UCSBL 84-109
+47.5
11
vsNDSU
NDSUL 69-80
−0.5
13
vsPEPP
PEPPL 62-70
−15.5
23
vsIDHO
IDHOW 64-63
−23.5
1
vsUCI
UCIL 77-81
+14.5
3
@UCD
UCDW 81-79
+8.5
8
vsUCR
UCRW 67-66
−14.5
10
@LBSU
LBSUL 75-81
+13.5
15
vsUCSB
UCSBL 69-75
−0.5
17
vsUCSD
UCSDL 62-83
−2.5
22
@HAW
HAWL 71-98
+24.5
29
vsCP
CPL 79-104
+21.5
31
vsUCD
UCDL 72-80
−0.5
5
@UCI
UCIL 62-78
−4.5
7
@CSUF
CSUFL 66-82
−9.5
12
vsHAW
HAWL 74-89
+11.5
19
@UCR
UCRL 65-93
+7.5
21
vsCSUF
CSUFL 80-88
+7.5
26
@UCSD
UCSDL 72-84
+7.5
28
vsLBSU
LBSUL 87-88
+22.5
over 14under 14avg +4.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
CSU Northridge
16-12 overall · 11-7 in conference · Big West Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ UC Riverside84–95
- Lvs UC Irvine67–68
- W@ Long Beach St78–76
- W@ Santa Barbara85–83
- Wvs Hawai'i84–60
5 days since their last game.
Bakersfield
6-22 overall · 2-16 in conference · Big West Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Long Beach St87–88
- L@ UC San Diego72–84
- Lvs Fullerton80–88
- L@ UC Riverside65–93
- Lvs Hawai'i74–89
5 days since their last game.