Icardo Center · at Bakersfield · Conference game
Closing line
CP -1.5✓ CP covered by 23.5
CP -1.5✓ CP covered by 23.5Closing total161.5Over by 21.5
| CP | This season | CSUB |
|---|---|---|
| 5-14 | Record | 6-13 |
| 8-11 | ATS | 8-11 |
| 10-9 | O/U | 8-11 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: CP 82–83 CSUB · ✗ CSUB (53%) lost
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| CP | 56 | 48 | 104 |
| CSUB | 35 | 44 | 79 |
1st half: CP 56, CSUB 35 (CP by 21). The model had CSUB by 0.5 and a total of 77.3 (actual 91).
Team stats
| CP | CSUB | |
|---|---|---|
| 36-65 55% | Field goals | 31-66 47% |
| 12-31 39% | 3-pointers | 10-24 42% |
| 20-20 100% | Free throws | 7-14 50% |
| 38 14 off | Rebounds | 29 14 off |
| 24 | Assists | 14 |
| 10 | Steals | 8 |
| 4 | Blocks | 5 |
| 19 | Turnovers | 17 |
| 15 | Fouls | 17 |
| 48 | Points in paint | 34 |
| 10 | Fast-break points | 8 |
Players
| CP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peter Bandelj G | 30 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 1-4 | 1-3 |
| Cayden Ward G | 28 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 4-6 | 1-3 |
| Hamad Mousa G | 28 | 15 | 4 | 1 | 3-10 | 3-8 |
| Guzman Vasilic G | 17 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 3-8 | 1-6 |
| Jake Davis G | 13 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Troy Plumtree F | 24 | 31 | 6 | 2 | 13-17 | 3-4 |
| Aaron Price Jr. PF | 19 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 4-4 | 1-1 |
| Austin Goode F | 17 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 2-6 | 1-2 |
| Jackson Mosley PG | 16 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 3-6 | 1-4 |
| Ali Assran F | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Kieran Elliott G | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Eric Brown, Jason Scott, Jess Esso Essis, Braden Freeman, Luka Tarlac
| CSUB | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AJ George G | 32 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 4-9 | 0-0 |
| Dailin Smith G | 31 | 25 | 1 | 0 | 9-20 | 6-12 |
| Kadar Waller G | 30 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 0-3 | 0-1 |
| Pierre Geneste Jr. C | 19 | 4 | 9 | 1 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| Tom Mark F | 18 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1-2 | 1-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Mike Price G | 24 | 15 | 0 | 1 | 5-11 | 3-7 |
| Ronald Jessamy F | 23 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 4-8 | 0-0 |
| Bentley Waller G | 14 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 4-5 | 0-0 |
| TJ James Jr. G | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1-4 | 0-3 |
| Dylan Purnell G | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Colin Darby, CJ Hardy, Caleb McCarty, Jaden Alexander
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenCSUB -1.5
3 → CP
CloseCP -1.5
3 pts toward CP
Total
Open161.5
no move
Close161.5
No change since the open
Moneyline
CP -122 · CSUB +102
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened CSUB -1.5 · closed CP -1.5 · moved 3 toward CPmodel CSUB -1
model CSUB -1
Opened 161.5 · unchangedmodel 165
model 165
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | CP -1.5 | CSUB -1.0 | CSUB +2.5 | L CP covered |
| Total | 161.5 | 165.2 | Over 3.7 | W Over |
| Projected score | — | CP 82.1 · CSUB 83.1 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | CSUB -0.5 | CP -21.0 |
| 1H total | 77.3 | 91 |
| 1H projected score | CP 38.4 · CSUB 38.9 | CP 56 · CSUB 35 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| CP | 2-8 20% | 4-6 40% | 4-6 40% |
| CSUB | 3-7 30% | 5-5 50% | 4-6 40% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 8 since 2021-22
CP 2–6 CSUBCSUB leads · 8 games since 2021-22 · CP has won the last 2 meetings · CP 3-5 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2024-25 | CSUB 72 @ CP 98 | CP -3.5 | CP W |
| Jan 30, 2024-25 | CP 90 @ CSUB 81 | CSUB -3.5 | CP W |
| Mar 2, 2023-24 | CSUB 68 @ CP 56 | CP +6.5 | CSUB W |
| Jan 20, 2023-24 | CP 53 @ CSUB 65 | CSUB -9.5 | CSUB W |
| Feb 15, 2022-23 | CSUB 70 @ CP 62 | CP -3.5 | CSUB W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Cal Poly
19 games played
Straight up
5-14
26% wins
Against the spread
8-11
42% covers · avg −2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
10-9
53% overs · avg −1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ USC | L 64-94 | +24.5 | L −5.5 | 163.5 | U 158 |
| Nov 8 | @ SEA | W 73-71 | +10.5 | W +12.5 | 164.5 | U 144 |
| Nov 12 | @ CSU | L 79-93 | +18.5 | W +4.5 | 165.5 | O 172 |
| Nov 14 | @ MONT | L 82-90 | +7.5 | L −0.5 | 168.5 | O 172 |
| Nov 20 | @ UTAH | W 92-85 | +14.5 | W +21.5 | 167.5 | O 177 |
| Nov 24 | @ NAU | L 87-93 | -1.5 | L −7.5 | 164.5 | O 180 |
| Nov 25 | vs SEMO | L 68-84 | +1.5 | L −14.5 | 170.5 | U 152 |
| Dec 4 | @ CSUF | W 94-91 | +1.5 | W +4.5 | 177.5 | O 185 |
| Dec 6 | vs UCR | L 84-88 | -5.5 | L −9.5 | 162.5 | O 172 |
| Dec 16 | vs MTST | L 80-83 | +2.5 | L −0.5 | 159.5 | O 163 |
| Dec 19 | @ UCLA | L 87-108 | +24.5 | W +3.5 | 161.5 | O 195 |
| Dec 21 | vs IDHO | L 80-83 | +1.5 | L −1.5 | 167.5 | U 163 |
| Jan 1 | vs UCSD | W 67-65 | +8.5 | W +10.5 | 174.5 | U 132 |
| Jan 3 | @ LBSU | L 66-74 | +2.5 | L −5.5 | 162.5 | U 140 |
| Jan 8 | @ CSUN | L 90-95 | +6.5 | W +1.5 | 175.5 | O 185 |
| Jan 10 | vs UCD | W 84-78 | +1.5 | W +7.5 | 168.5 | U 162 |
| Jan 15 | vs HAW | L 66-86 | +5.5 | L −14.5 | 160.5 | U 152 |
| Jan 22 | @ UCSB | L 67-107 | +8.5 | L −31.5 | 159.5 | O 174 |
| Jan 24 | vsCSUF | L 78-93 | +1.5 | L −13.5 | 173.5 | U 171 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@USC
USCL 64-94
−5.5
8
@SEA
SEAW 73-71
+12.5
12
@CSU
CSUL 79-93
+4.5
14
@MONT
MONTL 82-90
−0.5
20
@UTAH
UTAHW 92-85
+21.5
24
@NAU
NAUL 87-93
−7.5
25
vsSEMO
SEMOL 68-84
−14.5
4
@CSUF
CSUFW 94-91
+4.5
6
vsUCR
UCRL 84-88
−9.5
16
vsMTST
MTSTL 80-83
−0.5
19
@UCLA
UCLAL 87-108
+3.5
21
vsIDHO
IDHOL 80-83
−1.5
1
vsUCSD
UCSDW 67-65
+10.5
3
@LBSU
LBSUL 66-74
−5.5
8
@CSUN
CSUNL 90-95
+1.5
10
vsUCD
UCDW 84-78
+7.5
15
vsHAW
HAWL 66-86
−14.5
22
@UCSB
UCSBL 67-107
−31.5
24
vsCSUF
CSUFL 78-93
−13.5
covered 8didn’t cover 11avg −2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@USC
USCL 64-94
−5.5
8
@SEA
SEAW 73-71
−20.5
12
@CSU
CSUL 79-93
+6.5
14
@MONT
MONTL 82-90
+3.5
20
@UTAH
UTAHW 92-85
+9.5
24
@NAU
NAUL 87-93
+15.5
25
vsSEMO
SEMOL 68-84
−18.5
4
@CSUF
CSUFW 94-91
+7.5
6
vsUCR
UCRL 84-88
+9.5
16
vsMTST
MTSTL 80-83
+3.5
19
@UCLA
UCLAL 87-108
+33.5
21
vsIDHO
IDHOL 80-83
−4.5
1
vsUCSD
UCSDW 67-65
−42.5
3
@LBSU
LBSUL 66-74
−22.5
8
@CSUN
CSUNL 90-95
+9.5
10
vsUCD
UCDW 84-78
−6.5
15
vsHAW
HAWL 66-86
−8.5
22
@UCSB
UCSBL 67-107
+14.5
24
vsCSUF
CSUFL 78-93
−2.5
over 10under 9avg −1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Bakersfield
19 games played
Straight up
6-13
32% wins
Against the spread
8-11
42% covers · avg −1.9 pts vs the line
Over / Under
8-11
42% overs · avg +3.9 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ CAL | L 60-87 | +15.5 | L −11.5 | 147.5 | U 147 |
| Nov 11 | vs WIU | W 74-58 | -7.5 | W +8.5 | 141.5 | U 132 |
| Nov 14 | @ MISS | L 60-82 | +23.5 | W +1.5 | 140.5 | O 142 |
| Nov 17 | @ PRST | L 80-93 | +8.5 | L −4.5 | 141.5 | O 173 |
| Nov 22 | vs MVSU | W 86-70 | -21.5 | L −5.5 | 138.5 | O 156 |
| Nov 25 | @ FSU | L 59-89 | +26.5 | L −3.5 | 159.5 | U 148 |
| Nov 30 | vs FRES | W 76-71 | +10.5 | W +15.5 | 150.5 | U 147 |
| Dec 4 | @CSUN | L 66-87 | +5.5 | L −15.5 | 155.5 | U 153 |
| Dec 6 | @UCSB | L 84-109 | +12.5 | L −12.5 | 145.5 | O 193 |
| Dec 11 | vs NDSU | L 69-80 | +7.5 | L −3.5 | 149.5 | U 149 |
| Dec 13 | vs PEPP | L 62-70 | -1.5 | L −9.5 | 147.5 | U 132 |
| Dec 23 | vsIDHO | W 64-63 | +7.5 | W +8.5 | 150.5 | U 127 |
| Jan 1 | vs UCI | L 77-81 | +11.5 | W +7.5 | 143.5 | O 158 |
| Jan 3 | @UCD | W 81-79 | +9.5 | W +11.5 | 151.5 | O 160 |
| Jan 8 | vsUCR | W 67-66 | -3.5 | L −2.5 | 147.5 | U 133 |
| Jan 10 | @LBSU | L 75-81 | +6.5 | W +0.5 | 142.5 | O 156 |
| Jan 15 | vsUCSB | L 69-75 | +7.5 | W +1.5 | 144.5 | U 144 |
| Jan 17 | vsUCSD | L 62-83 | +8.5 | L −12.5 | 147.5 | U 145 |
| Jan 22 | @HAW | L 71-98 | +17.5 | L −9.5 | 144.5 | O 169 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@CAL
CALL 60-87
−11.5
11
vsWIU
WIUW 74-58
+8.5
14
@MISS
MISSL 60-82
+1.5
17
@PRST
PRSTL 80-93
−4.5
22
vsMVSU
MVSUW 86-70
−5.5
25
@FSU
FSUL 59-89
−3.5
30
vsFRES
FRESW 76-71
+15.5
4
@CSUN
CSUNL 66-87
−15.5
6
@UCSB
UCSBL 84-109
−12.5
11
vsNDSU
NDSUL 69-80
−3.5
13
vsPEPP
PEPPL 62-70
−9.5
23
vsIDHO
IDHOW 64-63
+8.5
1
vsUCI
UCIL 77-81
+7.5
3
@UCD
UCDW 81-79
+11.5
8
vsUCR
UCRW 67-66
−2.5
10
@LBSU
LBSUL 75-81
+0.5
15
vsUCSB
UCSBL 69-75
+1.5
17
vsUCSD
UCSDL 62-83
−12.5
22
@HAW
HAWL 71-98
−9.5
covered 8didn’t cover 11avg −1.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@CAL
CALL 60-87
−0.5
11
vsWIU
WIUW 74-58
−9.5
14
@MISS
MISSL 60-82
+1.5
17
@PRST
PRSTL 80-93
+31.5
22
vsMVSU
MVSUW 86-70
+17.5
25
@FSU
FSUL 59-89
−11.5
30
vsFRES
FRESW 76-71
−3.5
4
@CSUN
CSUNL 66-87
−2.5
6
@UCSB
UCSBL 84-109
+47.5
11
vsNDSU
NDSUL 69-80
−0.5
13
vsPEPP
PEPPL 62-70
−15.5
23
vsIDHO
IDHOW 64-63
−23.5
1
vsUCI
UCIL 77-81
+14.5
3
@UCD
UCDW 81-79
+8.5
8
vsUCR
UCRW 67-66
−14.5
10
@LBSU
LBSUL 75-81
+13.5
15
vsUCSB
UCSBL 69-75
−0.5
17
vsUCSD
UCSDL 62-83
−2.5
22
@HAW
HAWL 71-98
+24.5
over 8under 11avg +3.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Cal Poly
5-14 overall · 3-6 in conference · Big West Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Fullerton78–93
- L@ Santa Barbara67–107
- Lvs Hawai'i66–86
- Wvs UC Davis84–78
- L@ CSU Northridge90–95
5 days since their last game.
Bakersfield
6-13 overall · 2-7 in conference · Big West Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Hawai'i71–98
- Lvs UC San Diego62–83
- Lvs Santa Barbara69–75
- L@ Long Beach St75–81
- Wvs UC Riverside67–66
A week or more of rest.