Mott Athletics Center · at Cal Poly · Conference game
Closing line
HAW -5.5✓ HAW covered by 14.5
HAW -5.5✓ HAW covered by 14.5Closing total160.5Under by 8.5
| HAW | This season | CP |
|---|---|---|
| 10-3 | Record | 5-11 |
| 5-6 | ATS | 8-8 |
| 3-8 | O/U | 9-7 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: HAW 83–75 CP · ✓ HAW (75%) won
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| HAW | 41 | 45 | 86 |
| CP | 36 | 30 | 66 |
1st half: HAW 41, CP 36 (HAW by 5). The model had HAW by 4.7 and a total of 73.7 (actual 77).
Team stats
| HAW | CP | |
|---|---|---|
| 34-66 52% | Field goals | 24-61 39% |
| 6-23 26% | 3-pointers | 8-32 25% |
| 12-14 86% | Free throws | 10-17 59% |
| 35 10 off | Rebounds | 36 14 off |
| 13 | Assists | 6 |
| 13 | Steals | 6 |
| 5 | Blocks | 4 |
| 15 | Turnovers | 23 |
| 19 | Fouls | 17 |
| 44 | Points in paint | 32 |
| 6 | Fast-break points | 10 |
Players
| HAW | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hunter Erickson G | 34 | 15 | 2 | 1 | 5-10 | 3-6 |
| Aaron Hunkin-Claytor G | 28 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 1-3 | 0-1 |
| Dre Bullock G | 26 | 20 | 1 | 1 | 8-13 | 1-2 |
| Harry Rouhliadeff F | 25 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 2-4 | 1-3 |
| Isaac Johnson C | 20 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 4-10 | 0-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Gytis Nemeiksa F | 28 | 21 | 11 | 2 | 10-15 | 1-4 |
| Isaiah Kerr G | 19 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 2-5 | 0-3 |
| Isaac Finlinson F | 11 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2-4 | 0-0 |
| Yacine Toumi F | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| AJ Economou G | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
Did not play: Hunter Carter, Tanner Cuff, Jalen Myers
| CP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cayden Ward G | 34 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 4-12 | 1-6 |
| Hamad Mousa G | 34 | 17 | 4 | 1 | 6-19 | 2-13 |
| Peter Bandelj G | 33 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4-9 | 2-7 |
| Kieran Elliott G | 18 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Jake Davis G | 14 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 3-4 | 2-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jackson Mosley PG | 21 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 3-6 | 1-2 |
| Luka Tarlac G | 14 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| Aaron Price Jr. PF | 10 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 3-5 | 0-0 |
| Austin Goode F | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Ali Assran F | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Eric Brown F | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Troy Plumtree F | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Guzman Vasilic, Jason Scott, Jess Esso Essis, Braden Freeman
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenHAW -6.5
1 → CP
CloseHAW -5.5
1 pt toward CP
Total
Open153.5
▲ 7
Close160.5
Up 7 since the open
Moneyline
HAW -265 · CP +215
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened HAW -6.5 · closed HAW -5.5 · moved 1 toward CPmodel HAW -7.5
model HAW -7.5
Opened 153.5 · closed 160.5 · moved 7 upmodel 157.5
model 157.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | HAW -5.5 | HAW -7.6 | HAW +2.1 | W HAW covered |
| Total | 160.5 | 157.4 | Under 3.1 | W Under |
| Projected score | — | HAW 82.5 · CP 74.9 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | HAW -4.7 | HAW -5.0 |
| 1H total | 73.7 | 77 |
| 1H projected score | HAW 39.2 · CP 34.5 | HAW 41 · CP 36 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| HAW | 8-2 80% | 3-5 38% | 2-6 25% |
| CP | 3-7 30% | 5-5 50% | 5-5 50% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 8 since 2021-22
HAW 7–1 CPHAW leads · 8 games since 2021-22 · HAW 4-4 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 6, 2024-25 | HAW 63 @ CP 79 | CP +1.5 | CP W |
| Jan 4, 2024-25 | CP 55 @ HAW 68 | HAW -5.5 | HAW W |
| Feb 15, 2023-24 | HAW 80 @ CP 51 | CP +8.5 | HAW W |
| Jan 27, 2023-24 | CP 73 @ HAW 83 | HAW -15.5 | CP W |
| Feb 4, 2022-23 | HAW 69 @ CP 56 | CP +7.5 | HAW W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Hawai'i
13 games played
Straight up
10-3
77% wins
Against the spread
5-6
45% covers · avg +3.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
3-8
27% overs · avg −4.9 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | @ ORE | L 59-60 | +11.5 | W +10.5 | 144.5 | U 119 |
| Nov 10 | vs ETAM | W 100-74 | -18.5 | W +7.5 | 145.5 | O 174 |
| Nov 12 | vs MVSU | W 88-56 | -41.5 | L −9.5 | 151.5 | U 144 |
| Nov 14 | vs MAN | W 86-56 | -15.5 | W +14.5 | 156.5 | U 142 |
| Nov 15 | vs UTU | W 68-62 | -16.5 | L −10.5 | 149.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 20 | vs ASU | L 76-83 | -1.5 | L −8.5 | 143.5 | O 159 |
| Nov 28 | vs UND | W 92-55 | -18.5 | W +18.5 | 149.5 | U 147 |
| Dec 4 | vs UCD | W 75-69 | — | — | — | — |
| Dec 6 | vs CSUF | W 69-59 | — | — | — | — |
| Dec 13 | vs UTEP | W 66-61 | -12.5 | L −7.5 | 138.5 | U 127 |
| Jan 1 | @ UCR | W 88-45 | -8.5 | W +34.5 | 149.5 | U 133 |
| Jan 3 | @ UCSD | L 73-83 | +2.5 | L −7.5 | 148.5 | O 156 |
| Jan 10 | vs UCI | W 67-66 | -4.5 | L −3.5 | 140.5 | U 133 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
@ORE
OREL 59-60
+10.5
10
vsETAM
ETAMW 100-74
+7.5
12
vsMVSU
MVSUW 88-56
−9.5
14
vsMAN
MANW 86-56
+14.5
15
vsUTU
UTUW 68-62
−10.5
20
vsASU
ASUL 76-83
−8.5
28
vsUND
UNDW 92-55
+18.5
13
vsUTEP
UTEPW 66-61
−7.5
1
@UCR
UCRW 88-45
+34.5
3
@UCSD
UCSDL 73-83
−7.5
10
vsUCI
UCIW 67-66
−3.5
covered 5didn’t cover 6avg +3.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
@ORE
OREL 59-60
−25.5
10
vsETAM
ETAMW 100-74
+28.5
12
vsMVSU
MVSUW 88-56
−7.5
14
vsMAN
MANW 86-56
−14.5
15
vsUTU
UTUW 68-62
−19.5
20
vsASU
ASUL 76-83
+15.5
28
vsUND
UNDW 92-55
−2.5
13
vsUTEP
UTEPW 66-61
−11.5
1
@UCR
UCRW 88-45
−16.5
3
@UCSD
UCSDL 73-83
+7.5
10
vsUCI
UCIW 67-66
−7.5
over 3under 8avg −4.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Cal Poly
16 games played
Straight up
5-11
31% wins
Against the spread
8-8
50% covers · avg +1.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
9-7
56% overs · avg −1.4 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ USC | L 64-94 | +24.5 | L −5.5 | 163.5 | U 158 |
| Nov 8 | @ SEA | W 73-71 | +10.5 | W +12.5 | 164.5 | U 144 |
| Nov 12 | @ CSU | L 79-93 | +18.5 | W +4.5 | 165.5 | O 172 |
| Nov 14 | @ MONT | L 82-90 | +7.5 | L −0.5 | 168.5 | O 172 |
| Nov 20 | @ UTAH | W 92-85 | +14.5 | W +21.5 | 167.5 | O 177 |
| Nov 24 | @ NAU | L 87-93 | -1.5 | L −7.5 | 164.5 | O 180 |
| Nov 25 | vs SEMO | L 68-84 | +1.5 | L −14.5 | 170.5 | U 152 |
| Dec 4 | @CSUF | W 94-91 | +1.5 | W +4.5 | 177.5 | O 185 |
| Dec 6 | vsUCR | L 84-88 | -5.5 | L −9.5 | 162.5 | O 172 |
| Dec 16 | vs MTST | L 80-83 | +2.5 | L −0.5 | 159.5 | O 163 |
| Dec 19 | @ UCLA | L 87-108 | +24.5 | W +3.5 | 161.5 | O 195 |
| Dec 21 | vs IDHO | L 80-83 | +1.5 | L −1.5 | 167.5 | U 163 |
| Jan 1 | vsUCSD | W 67-65 | +8.5 | W +10.5 | 174.5 | U 132 |
| Jan 3 | @ LBSU | L 66-74 | +2.5 | L −5.5 | 162.5 | U 140 |
| Jan 8 | @ CSUN | L 90-95 | +6.5 | W +1.5 | 175.5 | O 185 |
| Jan 10 | vsUCD | W 84-78 | +1.5 | W +7.5 | 168.5 | U 162 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@USC
USCL 64-94
−5.5
8
@SEA
SEAW 73-71
+12.5
12
@CSU
CSUL 79-93
+4.5
14
@MONT
MONTL 82-90
−0.5
20
@UTAH
UTAHW 92-85
+21.5
24
@NAU
NAUL 87-93
−7.5
25
vsSEMO
SEMOL 68-84
−14.5
4
@CSUF
CSUFW 94-91
+4.5
6
vsUCR
UCRL 84-88
−9.5
16
vsMTST
MTSTL 80-83
−0.5
19
@UCLA
UCLAL 87-108
+3.5
21
vsIDHO
IDHOL 80-83
−1.5
1
vsUCSD
UCSDW 67-65
+10.5
3
@LBSU
LBSUL 66-74
−5.5
8
@CSUN
CSUNL 90-95
+1.5
10
vsUCD
UCDW 84-78
+7.5
covered 8didn’t cover 8avg +1.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@USC
USCL 64-94
−5.5
8
@SEA
SEAW 73-71
−20.5
12
@CSU
CSUL 79-93
+6.5
14
@MONT
MONTL 82-90
+3.5
20
@UTAH
UTAHW 92-85
+9.5
24
@NAU
NAUL 87-93
+15.5
25
vsSEMO
SEMOL 68-84
−18.5
4
@CSUF
CSUFW 94-91
+7.5
6
vsUCR
UCRL 84-88
+9.5
16
vsMTST
MTSTL 80-83
+3.5
19
@UCLA
UCLAL 87-108
+33.5
21
vsIDHO
IDHOL 80-83
−4.5
1
vsUCSD
UCSDW 67-65
−42.5
3
@LBSU
LBSUL 66-74
−22.5
8
@CSUN
CSUNL 90-95
+9.5
10
vsUCD
UCDW 84-78
−6.5
over 9under 7avg −1.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Hawai'i
10-3 overall · 4-1 in conference · Mountain West Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs UC Irvine67–66
- L@ UC San Diego73–83
- W@ UC Riverside88–45
- Wvs UTEP66–61
- Wvs Fullerton69–59
5 days since their last game.
Cal Poly
5-11 overall · 3-3 in conference · Big West Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs UC Davis84–78
- L@ CSU Northridge90–95
- L@ Long Beach St66–74
- Wvs UC San Diego67–65
- Lvs Idaho80–83
5 days since their last game.