The Thunderdome · at Santa Barbara · Conference game
Closing line
UCSB -5.5✓ CSUN covered by 7.5
Closing total156.5Over by 11.5
| This season | UCSB | |
|---|---|---|
| 14-10 | Record | 15-9 |
| 12-12 | ATS | 10-14 |
| 15-9 | O/U | 13-11 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: CSUN 77–81 UCSB · ✗ UCSB (63%) lost
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | OT | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CSUN | 32 | 44 | 9 | 85 |
| UCSB | 27 | 49 | 7 | 83 |
1st half: CSUN 32, UCSB 27 (CSUN by 5). The model had UCSB by 2.2 and a total of 74.2 (actual 59).
Team stats
| CSUN | UCSB | |
|---|---|---|
| 31-80 39% | Field goals | 22-65 34% |
| 3-17 18% | 3-pointers | 13-40 33% |
| 20-30 67% | Free throws | 26-32 81% |
| 52 17 off | Rebounds | 49 13 off |
| 15 | Assists | 15 |
| 7 | Steals | 3 |
| 4 | Blocks | 5 |
| 6 | Turnovers | 16 |
| 25 | Fouls | 25 |
| 52 | Points in paint | 16 |
| 17 | Fast-break points | 18 |
Players
| CSUN | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josiah Davis G | 43 | 31 | 14 | 7 | 10-24 | 0-0 |
| Joshua O'Garro G | 42 | 20 | 8 | 2 | 8-15 | 2-4 |
| Larry Hughes II G | 38 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 3-11 | 1-7 |
| Mahmoud Fofana F | 31 | 14 | 14 | 2 | 6-13 | 0-0 |
| James Evans Jr. G | 16 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2-9 | 0-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jordan Brinson G | 24 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Davius Loury F | 12 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| Grady Lewis F | 11 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Jai Chisolm G | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-3 | 0-3 |
| Aleks Szymczyk C | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Greg Gazarian, Omer Dahan, Max Rehl, Robert Thibiant, Jalen Barbee, Joseph Barrio, Quinton Webb
| UCSB | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CJ Shaw G | 42 | 22 | 4 | 5 | 5-13 | 3-7 |
| Aidan Mahaney G | 38 | 19 | 3 | 1 | 5-16 | 5-11 |
| Colin Smith F | 38 | 16 | 3 | 3 | 5-13 | 1-6 |
| Hosana Kitenge F | 34 | 7 | 11 | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Zion Sensley G | 27 | 6 | 11 | 0 | 2-11 | 1-9 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Marvin McGhee IV G | 29 | 13 | 7 | 3 | 4-9 | 3-7 |
| Michael Simcoe F | 9 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| Evans Kipruto C | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Koat Keat Tong F | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Luke Zuffelato, Kyle Haughy, John Simcoe, ZZ Clark, Bryce Bedgood, Miro Little, Jason Fontenet II, Isaac Shingange
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenUCSB -3.5
2 → UCSB
CloseUCSB -5.5
2 pts toward UCSB
Total
Open157.5
▼ 1
Close156.5
Down 1 since the open
Moneyline
CSUN +205 · UCSB -250
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened UCSB -3.5 · closed UCSB -5.5 · moved 2 toward UCSBmodel UCSB -4
model UCSB -4
Opened 157.5 · closed 156.5 · moved 1 downmodel 159
model 159
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | UCSB -5.5 | UCSB -3.9 | CSUN +1.6 | W CSUN covered |
| Total | 156.5 | 158.8 | Over 2.3 | W Over |
| Projected score | — | CSUN 77.4 · UCSB 81.4 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | UCSB -2.2 | CSUN -5.0 |
| 1H total | 74.2 | 59 |
| 1H projected score | CSUN 36 · UCSB 38.2 | CSUN 32 · UCSB 27 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7-3 70% | 5-5 50% | 6-4 60% | |
| 8-2 80% | 6-4 60% | 5-5 50% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 11 since 2021-22
CSUN 6–5 UCSBCSUN leads · 11 games since 2021-22 · CSUN 7-4 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 3, 2025-26 | UCSB 65 @ CSUN 74 | CSUN -2.5 | CSUN W |
| Mar 13, 2024-25 | UCSB 78 vs CSUN 72 | CSUN -3.5 | UCSB W |
| Mar 1, 2024-25 | UCSB 77 @ CSUN 103 | CSUN -4.5 | CSUN W |
| Jan 30, 2024-25 | CSUN 78 @ UCSB 71 | UCSB -2.5 | CSUN W |
| Mar 13, 2023-24 | CSUN 87 vs UCSB 84 | UCSB -4.5 | CSUN W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
CSU Northridge
24 games played
Straight up
14-10
58% wins
Against the spread
12-12
50% covers · avg +0.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
15-9
63% overs · avg +1.9 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6 | @ | L 57-86 | +9.5 | L −19.5 | 153.5 | U 143 |
| Nov 9 | @ | W 93-85 | -6.5 | W +1.5 | 158.5 | O 178 |
| Nov 11 | @ | L 68-90 | +4.5 | L −17.5 | 156.5 | O 158 |
| Nov 16 | vs | W 94-85 | +4.5 | W +13.5 | 157.5 | O 179 |
| Nov 26 | vs | L 64-78 | +1.5 | L −12.5 | 159.5 | U 142 |
| Nov 28 | vs | L 50-82 | +1.5 | L −30.5 | 148.5 | U 132 |
| Dec 4 | vs | W 87-66 | -5.5 | W +15.5 | 155.5 | U 153 |
| Dec 6 | @ | L 71-85 | +7.5 | L −6.5 | 152.5 | O 156 |
| Dec 10 | vs | W 89-87 | -3.5 | L −1.5 | 161.5 | O 176 |
| Dec 13 | @ | W 88-66 | +1.5 | W +23.5 | 144.5 | O 154 |
| Dec 22 | vs | W 100-88 | -8.5 | W +3.5 | 164.5 | O 188 |
| Dec 27 | @ | L 80-88 | +15.5 | W +7.5 | 160.5 | O 168 |
| Jan 1 | @ | L 80-89 | +3.5 | L −5.5 | 162.5 | O 169 |
| Jan 3 | vs | W 74-65 | -2.5 | W +6.5 | 156.5 | U 139 |
| Jan 8 | vs | W 95-90 | -6.5 | L −1.5 | 175.5 | O 185 |
| Jan 10 | @ | L 79-86 | +1.5 | L −5.5 | 173.5 | U 165 |
| Jan 15 | @ | W 84-79 | +7.5 | W +12.5 | 159.5 | O 163 |
| Jan 17 | vs | L 80-87 | -7.5 | L −14.5 | 158.5 | O 167 |
| Jan 24 | @ | L 68-89 | +10.5 | L −10.5 | 158.5 | U 157 |
| Jan 29 | vs | W 94-78 | -3.5 | W +12.5 | 163.5 | O 172 |
| Jan 31 | vs | W 81-64 | +1.5 | W +18.5 | 160.5 | U 145 |
| Feb 5 | @ | W 97-96 | -2.5 | L −1.5 | 177.5 | O 193 |
| Feb 7 | vs | W 88-74 | -10.5 | W +3.5 | 160.5 | O 162 |
| Feb 14 | vs | W 84-60 | +2.5 | W +26.5 | 162.5 | U 144 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
6
@
UNI
L 57-86
−19.5
9
@
UND
W 93-85
+1.5
11
@
NDSU
L 68-90
−17.5
16
vs
TROY
W 94-85
+13.5
26
vs
IDHO
L 64-78
−12.5
28
vs
IDST
L 50-82
−30.5
4
vs
CSUB
W 87-66
+15.5
6
@
UCI
L 71-85
−6.5
10
vs
FRES
W 89-87
−1.5
13
@
DEL
W 88-66
+23.5
22
vs
SAC
W 100-88
+3.5
27
@
STAN
L 80-88
+7.5
1
@
UCD
L 80-89
−5.5
3
vs
UCSB
W 74-65
+6.5
8
vs
CP
W 95-90
−1.5
10
@
CSUF
L 79-86
−5.5
15
@
UCSD
W 84-79
+12.5
17
vs
LBSU
L 80-87
−14.5
24
@
HAW
L 68-89
−10.5
29
vs
UCD
W 94-78
+12.5
31
vs
UCSD
W 81-64
+18.5
5
@
CP
W 97-96
−1.5
7
vs
UCR
W 88-74
+3.5
14
vs
HAW
W 84-60
+26.5
covered 12didn’t cover 12avg +0.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
6
@
UNI
L 57-86
−10.5
9
@
UND
W 93-85
+19.5
11
@
NDSU
L 68-90
+1.5
16
vs
TROY
W 94-85
+21.5
26
vs
IDHO
L 64-78
−17.5
28
vs
IDST
L 50-82
−16.5
4
vs
CSUB
W 87-66
−2.5
6
@
UCI
L 71-85
+3.5
10
vs
FRES
W 89-87
+14.5
13
@
DEL
W 88-66
+9.5
22
vs
SAC
W 100-88
+23.5
27
@
STAN
L 80-88
+7.5
1
@
UCD
L 80-89
+6.5
3
vs
UCSB
W 74-65
−17.5
8
vs
CP
W 95-90
+9.5
10
@
CSUF
L 79-86
−8.5
15
@
UCSD
W 84-79
+3.5
17
vs
LBSU
L 80-87
+8.5
24
@
HAW
L 68-89
−1.5
29
vs
UCD
W 94-78
+8.5
31
vs
UCSD
W 81-64
−15.5
5
@
CP
W 97-96
+15.5
7
vs
UCR
W 88-74
+1.5
14
vs
HAW
W 84-60
−18.5
over 15under 9avg +1.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Santa Barbara
24 games played
Straight up
15-9
63% wins
Against the spread
10-14
42% covers · avg −0.4 pts vs the line
Over / Under
13-11
54% overs · avg +4.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8 | vs | W 85-74 | -9.5 | W +1.5 | 146.5 | O 159 |
| Nov 11 | @ | W 92-87 | -7.5 | L −2.5 | 161.5 | O 179 |
| Nov 17 | vs | L 74-78 | -3.5 | L −7.5 | 145.5 | O 152 |
| Nov 22 | @ | L 64-77 | +5.5 | L −7.5 | 147.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 28 | vs | W 72-70 | -10.5 | L −8.5 | 146.5 | U 142 |
| Nov 29 | vs | W 74-71 | +2.5 | W +5.5 | 142.5 | O 145 |
| Dec 4 | vs | W 84-77 | -13.5 | L −6.5 | 141.5 | O 161 |
| Dec 6 | vs | W 109-84 | -12.5 | W +12.5 | 145.5 | O 193 |
| Dec 13 | vs | L 53-68 | +5.5 | L −9.5 | 146.5 | U 121 |
| Dec 17 | @ | L 64-67 | -7.5 | L −10.5 | 140.5 | U 131 |
| Dec 22 | vs | W 79-61 | -9.5 | W +8.5 | 147.5 | U 140 |
| Jan 1 | @ | L 84-95 | -3.5 | L −14.5 | 155.5 | O 179 |
| Jan 3 | @ | L 65-74 | +2.5 | L −6.5 | 156.5 | U 139 |
| Jan 8 | vs | L 86-93 | -4.5 | L −11.5 | 147.5 | O 179 |
| Jan 15 | @ | W 75-69 | -7.5 | L −1.5 | 144.5 | U 144 |
| Jan 17 | vs | W 77-62 | +2.5 | W +17.5 | 143.5 | U 139 |
| Jan 22 | vs | W 107-67 | -8.5 | W +31.5 | 159.5 | O 174 |
| Jan 24 | @ | W 74-71 | -4.5 | L −1.5 | 144.5 | O 145 |
| Jan 29 | @ | W 62-48 | +4.5 | W +18.5 | 145.5 | U 110 |
| Jan 31 | vs | W 83-69 | -8.5 | W +5.5 | 153.5 | U 152 |
| Feb 5 | @ | L 75-85 | -3.5 | L −13.5 | 147.5 | O 160 |
| Feb 7 | vs | W 84-79 | -2.5 | W +2.5 | 141.5 | O 163 |
| Feb 12 | @ | W 76-68 | -6.5 | W +1.5 | 145.5 | U 144 |
| Feb 14 | @ | L 79-89 | -3.5 | L −13.5 | 159.5 | O 168 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
8
vs
SJSU
W 85-74
+1.5
11
@
SAC
W 92-87
−2.5
17
vs
LMU
L 74-78
−7.5
22
@
NEV
L 64-77
−7.5
28
vs
LEH
W 72-70
−8.5
29
vs
SEA
W 74-71
+5.5
4
vs
LBSU
W 84-77
−6.5
6
vs
CSUB
W 109-84
+12.5
13
vs
UVU
L 53-68
−9.5
17
@
GB
L 64-67
−10.5
22
vs
PORT
W 79-61
+8.5
1
@
CSUF
L 84-95
−14.5
3
@
CSUN
L 65-74
−6.5
8
vs
UCD
L 86-93
−11.5
15
@
CSUB
W 75-69
−1.5
17
vs
HAW
W 77-62
+17.5
22
vs
CP
W 107-67
+31.5
24
@
LBSU
W 74-71
−1.5
29
@
UCSD
W 62-48
+18.5
31
vs
CSUF
W 83-69
+5.5
5
@
UCD
L 75-85
−13.5
7
vs
UCI
W 84-79
+2.5
12
@
UCR
W 76-68
+1.5
14
@
CP
L 79-89
−13.5
covered 10didn’t cover 14avg −0.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
8
vs
SJSU
W 85-74
+12.5
11
@
SAC
W 92-87
+17.5
17
vs
LMU
L 74-78
+6.5
22
@
NEV
L 64-77
−6.5
28
vs
LEH
W 72-70
−4.5
29
vs
SEA
W 74-71
+2.5
4
vs
LBSU
W 84-77
+19.5
6
vs
CSUB
W 109-84
+47.5
13
vs
UVU
L 53-68
−25.5
17
@
GB
L 64-67
−9.5
22
vs
PORT
W 79-61
−7.5
1
@
CSUF
L 84-95
+23.5
3
@
CSUN
L 65-74
−17.5
8
vs
UCD
L 86-93
+31.5
15
@
CSUB
W 75-69
−0.5
17
vs
HAW
W 77-62
−4.5
22
vs
CP
W 107-67
+14.5
24
@
LBSU
W 74-71
+0.5
29
@
UCSD
W 62-48
−35.5
31
vs
CSUF
W 83-69
−1.5
5
@
UCD
L 75-85
+12.5
7
vs
UCI
W 84-79
+21.5
12
@
UCR
W 76-68
−1.5
14
@
CP
L 79-89
+8.5
over 13under 11avg +4.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
CSU Northridge
14-10 overall · 9-5 in conference · Big West Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Hawai'i84–60
- Wvs UC Riverside88–74
- W@ Cal Poly97–96
- Wvs UC San Diego81–64
- Wvs UC Davis94–78
5 days since their last game.
Santa Barbara
15-9 overall · 10-5 in conference · Big West Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Cal Poly79–89
- W@ UC Riverside76–68
- Wvs UC Irvine84–79
- L@ UC Davis75–85
- Wvs Fullerton83–69
5 days since their last game.