Lee's Family Forum · Neutral site · Conference game · Conference tournament
Closing line
UCSD -1.5✓ CSUN covered by 11.5
UCSD -1.5✓ CSUN covered by 11.5Closing total153.5Under by 3.5
| UCSD | This season | CSUN |
|---|---|---|
| 21-10 | Record | 17-13 |
| 16-15 | ATS | 13-17 |
| 12-19 | O/U | 18-12 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: UCSD 79–75 CSUN · ✗ UCSD (63%) lost
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UCSD | 36 | 34 | 70 |
| CSUN | 32 | 48 | 80 |
1st half: UCSD 36, CSUN 32 (UCSD by 4). The model had UCSD by 2.3 and a total of 72.3 (actual 68).
Team stats
| UCSD | CSUN | |
|---|---|---|
| 23-61 38% | Field goals | 30-61 49% |
| 9-33 27% | 3-pointers | 8-28 29% |
| 15-17 88% | Free throws | 12-15 80% |
| 35 10 off | Rebounds | 36 7 off |
| 16 | Assists | 19 |
| 5 | Steals | 5 |
| 3 | Blocks | 6 |
| 15 | Turnovers | 10 |
| 13 | Fouls | 16 |
| 28 | Points in paint | 34 |
| 5 | Fast-break points | 14 |
Players
| UCSD | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tom Beattie G | 36 | 22 | 7 | 5 | 8-15 | 5-12 |
| Hudson Mayes G | 34 | 17 | 5 | 4 | 5-11 | 2-4 |
| Leo Beath F | 33 | 11 | 6 | 2 | 4-14 | 0-8 |
| Alex Chaikin G | 29 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0-8 | 0-6 |
| Bol Dengdit C | 21 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 0-3 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Dimitrije Vukicevic C | 15 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 3-5 | 0-0 |
| Aidan Burke G | 12 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 2-2 | 2-2 |
| Emanuel Prospere II G | 11 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Jaden Vance F | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Trap Johnson, Ryder Elisaldez, Christopher Cox, Tyson Dunn, Yaqub Mir, Jasen Brooks, Cade Pendleton
| CSUN | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Larry Hughes II G | 40 | 34 | 3 | 1 | 14-25 | 6-16 |
| Josiah Davis G | 35 | 14 | 5 | 9 | 4-9 | 0-0 |
| Joshua O'Garro G | 34 | 15 | 6 | 4 | 6-10 | 1-4 |
| Mahmoud Fofana F | 32 | 4 | 12 | 2 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| Davius Loury F | 10 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Grady Lewis F | 21 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| Jordan Brinson G | 15 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1-3 | 1-3 |
| Jai Chisolm G | 11 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-4 | 0-3 |
| James Evans Jr. G | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Joseph Barrio, Jalen Barbee, Robert Thibiant, Greg Gazarian, Max Rehl, Omer Dahan, Quinton Webb, Aleks Szymczyk
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenUCSD -3.5
2 → CSUN
CloseUCSD -1.5
2 pts toward CSUN
Total
Open152.5
▲ 1
Close153.5
Up 1 since the open
Moneyline
UCSD -125 · CSUN +105
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened UCSD -3.5 · closed UCSD -1.5 · moved 2 toward CSUNmodel UCSD -3.5
model UCSD -3.5
Opened 152.5 · closed 153.5 · moved 1 upmodel 154.5
model 154.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | UCSD -1.5 | UCSD -3.7 | UCSD +2.2 | L CSUN covered |
| Total | 153.5 | 154.6 | Over 1.1 | L Under |
| Projected score | — | UCSD 79.2 · CSUN 75.4 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | UCSD -2.3 | UCSD -4.0 |
| 1H total | 72.3 | 68 |
| 1H projected score | UCSD 37.3 · CSUN 35 | UCSD 36 · CSUN 32 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UCSD | 8-2 80% | 5-5 50% | 2-8 20% |
| CSUN | 7-3 70% | 4-6 40% | 5-5 50% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 10 since 2021-22
UCSD 8–2 CSUNUCSD leads · 10 games since 2021-22 · CSUN has won the last 2 meetings · UCSD 8-2 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2025-26 | UCSD 64 @ CSUN 81 | CSUN +1.5 | CSUN W |
| Jan 15, 2025-26 | CSUN 84 @ UCSD 79 | UCSD -7.5 | CSUN W |
| Feb 27, 2024-25 | UCSD 77 @ CSUN 71 | CSUN +5.5 | UCSD W |
| Jan 25, 2024-25 | CSUN 54 @ UCSD 79 | UCSD -10.5 | UCSD W |
| Mar 2, 2023-24 | UCSD 79 @ CSUN 69 | CSUN +4.5 | UCSD W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
UC San Diego
31 games played
Straight up
21-10
68% wins
Against the spread
16-15
52% covers · avg +0 pts vs the line
Over / Under
12-19
39% overs · avg −6.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8 | vs HCU | W 78-60 | -7.5 | W +10.5 | 141.5 | U 138 |
| Nov 12 | @ FRES | W 78-73 | +1.5 | W +6.5 | 148.5 | O 151 |
| Nov 15 | vs IDHO | W 75-67 | -5.5 | W +2.5 | 148.5 | U 142 |
| Nov 24 | vs TEM | W 91-76 | +1.5 | W +16.5 | 148.5 | O 167 |
| Nov 25 | vs BRAD | W 87-77 | +1.5 | W +11.5 | 145.5 | O 164 |
| Nov 26 | vs TOW | W 87-73 | -1.5 | W +12.5 | 138.5 | O 160 |
| Dec 2 | @ NEV | L 70-76 | +5.5 | L −0.5 | 149.5 | U 146 |
| Dec 6 | @ LBSU | W 80-74 | -8.5 | L −2.5 | 145.5 | O 154 |
| Dec 13 | vs TULN | W 93-67 | -5.5 | W +20.5 | 149.5 | O 160 |
| Dec 16 | @ LMU | W 67-57 | -1.5 | W +8.5 | 150.5 | U 124 |
| Dec 19 | vs USD | L 80-82 | -12.5 | L −14.5 | 156.5 | O 162 |
| Jan 1 | @ CP | L 65-67 | -8.5 | L −10.5 | 174.5 | U 132 |
| Jan 3 | vs HAW | W 83-73 | -2.5 | W +7.5 | 148.5 | O 156 |
| Jan 8 | vs CSUF | L 71-88 | -13.5 | L −30.5 | 166.5 | U 159 |
| Jan 10 | @ UCR | W 69-66 | -10.5 | L −7.5 | 149.5 | U 135 |
| Jan 15 | vsCSUN | L 79-84 | -7.5 | L −12.5 | 159.5 | O 163 |
| Jan 17 | @ CSUB | W 83-62 | -8.5 | W +12.5 | 147.5 | U 145 |
| Jan 22 | @ UCD | W 80-74 | -1.5 | W +4.5 | 152.5 | O 154 |
| Jan 24 | vs UCI | L 59-61 | -2.5 | L −4.5 | 146.5 | U 120 |
| Jan 29 | vs UCSB | L 48-62 | -4.5 | L −18.5 | 145.5 | U 110 |
| Jan 31 | @CSUN | L 64-81 | -1.5 | L −18.5 | 160.5 | U 145 |
| Feb 5 | vsLBSU | W 77-74 | -10.5 | L −7.5 | 144.5 | O 151 |
| Feb 7 | @HAW | L 67-72 | +6.5 | W +1.5 | 149.5 | U 139 |
| Feb 12 | vsUCD | W 68-51 | -5.5 | W +11.5 | 150.5 | U 119 |
| Feb 14 | vsUCR | W 72-66 | -11.5 | L −5.5 | 147.5 | U 138 |
| Feb 21 | @UCI | W 71-69 | +3.5 | W +5.5 | 143.5 | U 140 |
| Feb 26 | vsCSUB | W 84-72 | -14.5 | L −2.5 | 148.5 | O 156 |
| Feb 28 | vsCP | W 80-64 | -7.5 | W +8.5 | 164.5 | U 144 |
| Mar 5 | @CSUF | L 71-75 | -2.5 | L −6.5 | 156.5 | U 146 |
| Mar 7 | @UCSB | W 64-63 | +2.5 | W +3.5 | 141.5 | U 127 |
| Mar 11 | vsCP | W 72-69 | -4.5 | L −1.5 | 162.5 | U 141 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
8
vsHCU
HCUW 78-60
+10.5
12
@FRES
FRESW 78-73
+6.5
15
vsIDHO
IDHOW 75-67
+2.5
24
vsTEM
TEMW 91-76
+16.5
25
vsBRAD
BRADW 87-77
+11.5
26
vsTOW
TOWW 87-73
+12.5
2
@NEV
NEVL 70-76
−0.5
6
@LBSU
LBSUW 80-74
−2.5
13
vsTULN
TULNW 93-67
+20.5
16
@LMU
LMUW 67-57
+8.5
19
vsUSD
USDL 80-82
−14.5
1
@CP
CPL 65-67
−10.5
3
vsHAW
HAWW 83-73
+7.5
8
vsCSUF
CSUFL 71-88
−30.5
10
@UCR
UCRW 69-66
−7.5
15
vsCSUN
CSUNL 79-84
−12.5
17
@CSUB
CSUBW 83-62
+12.5
22
@UCD
UCDW 80-74
+4.5
24
vsUCI
UCIL 59-61
−4.5
29
vsUCSB
UCSBL 48-62
−18.5
31
@CSUN
CSUNL 64-81
−18.5
5
vsLBSU
LBSUW 77-74
−7.5
7
@HAW
HAWL 67-72
+1.5
12
vsUCD
UCDW 68-51
+11.5
14
vsUCR
UCRW 72-66
−5.5
21
@UCI
UCIW 71-69
+5.5
26
vsCSUB
CSUBW 84-72
−2.5
28
vsCP
CPW 80-64
+8.5
5
@CSUF
CSUFL 71-75
−6.5
7
@UCSB
UCSBW 64-63
+3.5
11
vsCP
CPW 72-69
−1.5
covered 16didn’t cover 15avg +0 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
8
vsHCU
HCUW 78-60
−3.5
12
@FRES
FRESW 78-73
+2.5
15
vsIDHO
IDHOW 75-67
−6.5
24
vsTEM
TEMW 91-76
+18.5
25
vsBRAD
BRADW 87-77
+18.5
26
vsTOW
TOWW 87-73
+21.5
2
@NEV
NEVL 70-76
−3.5
6
@LBSU
LBSUW 80-74
+8.5
13
vsTULN
TULNW 93-67
+10.5
16
@LMU
LMUW 67-57
−26.5
19
vsUSD
USDL 80-82
+5.5
1
@CP
CPL 65-67
−42.5
3
vsHAW
HAWW 83-73
+7.5
8
vsCSUF
CSUFL 71-88
−7.5
10
@UCR
UCRW 69-66
−14.5
15
vsCSUN
CSUNL 79-84
+3.5
17
@CSUB
CSUBW 83-62
−2.5
22
@UCD
UCDW 80-74
+1.5
24
vsUCI
UCIL 59-61
−26.5
29
vsUCSB
UCSBL 48-62
−35.5
31
@CSUN
CSUNL 64-81
−15.5
5
vsLBSU
LBSUW 77-74
+6.5
7
@HAW
HAWL 67-72
−10.5
12
vsUCD
UCDW 68-51
−31.5
14
vsUCR
UCRW 72-66
−9.5
21
@UCI
UCIW 71-69
−3.5
26
vsCSUB
CSUBW 84-72
+7.5
28
vsCP
CPW 80-64
−20.5
5
@CSUF
CSUFL 71-75
−10.5
7
@UCSB
UCSBW 64-63
−14.5
11
vsCP
CPW 72-69
−21.5
over 12under 19avg −6.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
CSU Northridge
30 games played
Straight up
17-13
57% wins
Against the spread
13-17
43% covers · avg −0.6 pts vs the line
Over / Under
18-12
60% overs · avg +2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6 | @ UNI | L 57-86 | +9.5 | L −19.5 | 153.5 | U 143 |
| Nov 9 | @ UND | W 93-85 | -6.5 | W +1.5 | 158.5 | O 178 |
| Nov 11 | @ NDSU | L 68-90 | +4.5 | L −17.5 | 156.5 | O 158 |
| Nov 16 | vs TROY | W 94-85 | +4.5 | W +13.5 | 157.5 | O 179 |
| Nov 26 | vsIDHO | L 64-78 | +1.5 | L −12.5 | 159.5 | U 142 |
| Nov 28 | vs IDST | L 50-82 | +1.5 | L −30.5 | 148.5 | U 132 |
| Dec 4 | vsCSUB | W 87-66 | -5.5 | W +15.5 | 155.5 | U 153 |
| Dec 6 | @UCI | L 71-85 | +7.5 | L −6.5 | 152.5 | O 156 |
| Dec 10 | vsFRES | W 89-87 | -3.5 | L −1.5 | 161.5 | O 176 |
| Dec 13 | @ DEL | W 88-66 | +1.5 | W +23.5 | 144.5 | O 154 |
| Dec 22 | vs SAC | W 100-88 | -8.5 | W +3.5 | 164.5 | O 188 |
| Dec 27 | @ STAN | L 80-88 | +15.5 | W +7.5 | 160.5 | O 168 |
| Jan 1 | @UCD | L 80-89 | +3.5 | L −5.5 | 162.5 | O 169 |
| Jan 3 | vsUCSB | W 74-65 | -2.5 | W +6.5 | 156.5 | U 139 |
| Jan 8 | vsCP | W 95-90 | -6.5 | L −1.5 | 175.5 | O 185 |
| Jan 10 | @CSUF | L 79-86 | +1.5 | L −5.5 | 173.5 | U 165 |
| Jan 15 | @UCSD | W 84-79 | +7.5 | W +12.5 | 159.5 | O 163 |
| Jan 17 | vsLBSU | L 80-87 | -7.5 | L −14.5 | 158.5 | O 167 |
| Jan 24 | @HAW | L 68-89 | +10.5 | L −10.5 | 158.5 | U 157 |
| Jan 29 | vsUCD | W 94-78 | -3.5 | W +12.5 | 163.5 | O 172 |
| Jan 31 | vsUCSD | W 81-64 | +1.5 | W +18.5 | 160.5 | U 145 |
| Feb 5 | @CP | W 97-96 | -2.5 | L −1.5 | 177.5 | O 193 |
| Feb 7 | vsUCR | W 88-74 | -10.5 | W +3.5 | 160.5 | O 162 |
| Feb 14 | vsHAW | W 84-60 | +2.5 | W +26.5 | 162.5 | U 144 |
| Feb 19 | @UCSB | W 85-83 | +5.5 | W +7.5 | 156.5 | O 168 |
| Feb 21 | @LBSU | W 78-76 | -2.5 | L −0.5 | 157.5 | U 154 |
| Feb 26 | vsUCI | L 67-68 | -1.5 | L −2.5 | 153.5 | U 135 |
| Feb 28 | @UCR | L 84-95 | -4.5 | L −15.5 | 158.5 | O 179 |
| Mar 5 | @CSUB | W 86-84 | -8.5 | L −6.5 | 163.5 | O 170 |
| Mar 7 | vsCSUF | L 77-90 | -5.5 | L −18.5 | 170.5 | U 167 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
6
@UNI
UNIL 57-86
−19.5
9
@UND
UNDW 93-85
+1.5
11
@NDSU
NDSUL 68-90
−17.5
16
vsTROY
TROYW 94-85
+13.5
26
vsIDHO
IDHOL 64-78
−12.5
28
vsIDST
IDSTL 50-82
−30.5
4
vsCSUB
CSUBW 87-66
+15.5
6
@UCI
UCIL 71-85
−6.5
10
vsFRES
FRESW 89-87
−1.5
13
@DEL
DELW 88-66
+23.5
22
vsSAC
SACW 100-88
+3.5
27
@STAN
STANL 80-88
+7.5
1
@UCD
UCDL 80-89
−5.5
3
vsUCSB
UCSBW 74-65
+6.5
8
vsCP
CPW 95-90
−1.5
10
@CSUF
CSUFL 79-86
−5.5
15
@UCSD
UCSDW 84-79
+12.5
17
vsLBSU
LBSUL 80-87
−14.5
24
@HAW
HAWL 68-89
−10.5
29
vsUCD
UCDW 94-78
+12.5
31
vsUCSD
UCSDW 81-64
+18.5
5
@CP
CPW 97-96
−1.5
7
vsUCR
UCRW 88-74
+3.5
14
vsHAW
HAWW 84-60
+26.5
19
@UCSB
UCSBW 85-83
+7.5
21
@LBSU
LBSUW 78-76
−0.5
26
vsUCI
UCIL 67-68
−2.5
28
@UCR
UCRL 84-95
−15.5
5
@CSUB
CSUBW 86-84
−6.5
7
vsCSUF
CSUFL 77-90
−18.5
covered 13didn’t cover 17avg −0.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
6
@UNI
UNIL 57-86
−10.5
9
@UND
UNDW 93-85
+19.5
11
@NDSU
NDSUL 68-90
+1.5
16
vsTROY
TROYW 94-85
+21.5
26
vsIDHO
IDHOL 64-78
−17.5
28
vsIDST
IDSTL 50-82
−16.5
4
vsCSUB
CSUBW 87-66
−2.5
6
@UCI
UCIL 71-85
+3.5
10
vsFRES
FRESW 89-87
+14.5
13
@DEL
DELW 88-66
+9.5
22
vsSAC
SACW 100-88
+23.5
27
@STAN
STANL 80-88
+7.5
1
@UCD
UCDL 80-89
+6.5
3
vsUCSB
UCSBW 74-65
−17.5
8
vsCP
CPW 95-90
+9.5
10
@CSUF
CSUFL 79-86
−8.5
15
@UCSD
UCSDW 84-79
+3.5
17
vsLBSU
LBSUL 80-87
+8.5
24
@HAW
HAWL 68-89
−1.5
29
vsUCD
UCDW 94-78
+8.5
31
vsUCSD
UCSDW 81-64
−15.5
5
@CP
CPW 97-96
+15.5
7
vsUCR
UCRW 88-74
+1.5
14
vsHAW
HAWW 84-60
−18.5
19
@UCSB
UCSBW 85-83
+11.5
21
@LBSU
LBSUW 78-76
−3.5
26
vsUCI
UCIL 67-68
−18.5
28
@UCR
UCRL 84-95
+20.5
5
@CSUB
CSUBW 86-84
+6.5
7
vsCSUF
CSUFL 77-90
−3.5
over 18under 12avg +2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
UC San Diego
21-10 overall · 13-8 in conference · Big West Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Cal Poly72–69
- W@ Santa Barbara64–63
- L@ Fullerton71–75
- Wvs Cal Poly80–64
- Wvs Bakersfield84–72
1 day since their last game.
CSU Northridge
17-13 overall · 12-8 in conference · Big West Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Fullerton77–90
- W@ Bakersfield86–84
- L@ UC Riverside84–95
- Lvs UC Irvine67–68
- W@ Long Beach St78–76
5 days since their last game.