The Thunderdome · at Santa Barbara · Conference game
Closing line
UCSB -2.5✓ UCSD covered by 3.5
UCSB -2.5✓ UCSD covered by 3.5Closing total141.5Under by 14.5
 UCSD | This season | UCSB |
|---|---|---|
| 19-10 | Record | 16-12 |
| 15-14 | ATS | 12-16 |
| 12-17 | O/U | 15-13 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: UCSD 71–72 UCSB · ✗ UCSB (52%) lost
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UCSD | 31 | 33 | 64 |
| UCSB | 29 | 34 | 63 |
1st half: UCSD 31, UCSB 29 (UCSD by 2). The model had UCSB by 0.1 and a total of 67.0 (actual 60).
Team stats
| UCSD | UCSB | |
|---|---|---|
| 25-54 46% | Field goals | 22-48 46% |
| 2-15 13% | 3-pointers | 10-27 37% |
| 12-18 67% | Free throws | 9-9 100% |
| 26 7 off | Rebounds | 34 7 off |
| 9 | Assists | 12 |
| 16 | Steals | 2 |
| 1 | Blocks | 1 |
| 7 | Turnovers | 17 |
| 14 | Fouls | 18 |
| 44 | Points in paint | 18 |
| 11 | Fast-break points | 5 |
Players
| UCSD | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tom Beattie G | 36 | 14 | 3 | 4 | 6-11 | 1-2 |
| Leo Beath F | 33 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 3-8 | 1-4 |
| Bol Dengdit C | 27 | 15 | 4 | 0 | 5-12 | 0-3 |
| Alex Chaikin G | 26 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-5 | 0-3 |
| Hudson Mayes G | 24 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 5-6 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jaden Vance F | 24 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 4-7 | 0-1 |
| Emanuel Prospere II G | 14 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| Aidan Burke G | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
| Dimitrije Vukicevic C | 7 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Trap Johnson, Ryder Elisaldez, Christopher Cox, Yaqub Mir, Tyson Dunn, Jasen Brooks, Cade Pendleton
| UCSB | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aidan Mahaney G | 36 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 4-9 | 2-7 |
| Colin Smith F | 36 | 13 | 5 | 1 | 4-11 | 2-5 |
| Miro Little G | 34 | 10 | 8 | 7 | 3-7 | 2-6 |
| Hosana Kitenge F | 20 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| Zion Sensley G | 16 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 2-6 | 0-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| CJ Shaw G | 30 | 13 | 2 | 3 | 4-9 | 3-6 |
| Marvin McGhee IV G | 16 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Evans Kipruto C | 11 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Michael Simcoe F | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Jason Fontenet II, Bryce Bedgood, ZZ Clark, Isaac Shingange, Koat Keat Tong, Luke Zuffelato, John Simcoe, Kyle Haughy
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenUCSB -2.5
no move
CloseUCSB -2.5
No change since the open
Total
Open140.5
▲ 1
Close141.5
Up 1 since the open
Moneyline
UCSD +114 · UCSB -135
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened UCSB -2.5 · unchangedmodel UCSB -0.5
model UCSB -0.5
Opened 140.5 · closed 141.5 · moved 1 upmodel 143.5
model 143.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | UCSB -2.5 | UCSB -0.5 | UCSD +2.0 | W UCSD covered |
| Total | 141.5 | 143.3 | Over 1.8 | L Under |
| Projected score | — | UCSD 71.4 · UCSB 71.9 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | UCSB -0.1 | UCSD -2.0 |
| 1H total | 67.0 | 60 |
| 1H projected score | UCSD 33.4 · UCSB 33.6 | UCSD 31 · UCSB 29 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UCSD | 6-4 60% | 4-6 40% | 2-8 20% |
| UCSB | 5-5 50% | 6-4 60% | 5-5 50% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 10 since 2021-22
UCSD 6–4 UCSBUCSD leads · 10 games since 2021-22 · UCSD 6-4 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 29, 2025-26 | UCSB 62 @ UCSD 48 | UCSD -4.5 | UCSB W |
| Mar 14, 2024-25 | UCSB 51 vs UCSD 69 | UCSD -11.5 | UCSD W |
| Jan 23, 2024-25 | UCSB 63 @ UCSD 77 | UCSD -9.5 | UCSD W |
| Dec 5, 2024-25 | UCSD 84 @ UCSB 76 | UCSB -2.5 | UCSD W |
| Feb 15, 2023-24 | UCSB 46 @ UCSD 61 | UCSD -5.5 | UCSD W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
UC San Diego
29 games played
Straight up
19-10
66% wins
Against the spread
15-14
52% covers · avg −0.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
12-17
41% overs · avg −5.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8 | vs HCU | W 78-60 | -7.5 | W +10.5 | 141.5 | U 138 |
| Nov 12 | @ FRES | W 78-73 | +1.5 | W +6.5 | 148.5 | O 151 |
| Nov 15 | vs IDHO | W 75-67 | -5.5 | W +2.5 | 148.5 | U 142 |
| Nov 24 | vs TEM | W 91-76 | +1.5 | W +16.5 | 148.5 | O 167 |
| Nov 25 | vs BRAD | W 87-77 | +1.5 | W +11.5 | 145.5 | O 164 |
| Nov 26 | vs TOW | W 87-73 | -1.5 | W +12.5 | 138.5 | O 160 |
| Dec 2 | @ NEV | L 70-76 | +5.5 | L −0.5 | 149.5 | U 146 |
| Dec 6 | @ LBSU | W 80-74 | -8.5 | L −2.5 | 145.5 | O 154 |
| Dec 13 | vs TULN | W 93-67 | -5.5 | W +20.5 | 149.5 | O 160 |
| Dec 16 | @ LMU | W 67-57 | -1.5 | W +8.5 | 150.5 | U 124 |
| Dec 19 | vs USD | L 80-82 | -12.5 | L −14.5 | 156.5 | O 162 |
| Jan 1 | @ CP | L 65-67 | -8.5 | L −10.5 | 174.5 | U 132 |
| Jan 3 | vs HAW | W 83-73 | -2.5 | W +7.5 | 148.5 | O 156 |
| Jan 8 | vs CSUF | L 71-88 | -13.5 | L −30.5 | 166.5 | U 159 |
| Jan 10 | @ UCR | W 69-66 | -10.5 | L −7.5 | 149.5 | U 135 |
| Jan 15 | vs CSUN | L 79-84 | -7.5 | L −12.5 | 159.5 | O 163 |
| Jan 17 | @ CSUB | W 83-62 | -8.5 | W +12.5 | 147.5 | U 145 |
| Jan 22 | @ UCD | W 80-74 | -1.5 | W +4.5 | 152.5 | O 154 |
| Jan 24 | vs UCI | L 59-61 | -2.5 | L −4.5 | 146.5 | U 120 |
| Jan 29 | vsUCSB | L 48-62 | -4.5 | L −18.5 | 145.5 | U 110 |
| Jan 31 | @CSUN | L 64-81 | -1.5 | L −18.5 | 160.5 | U 145 |
| Feb 5 | vsLBSU | W 77-74 | -10.5 | L −7.5 | 144.5 | O 151 |
| Feb 7 | @HAW | L 67-72 | +6.5 | W +1.5 | 149.5 | U 139 |
| Feb 12 | vsUCD | W 68-51 | -5.5 | W +11.5 | 150.5 | U 119 |
| Feb 14 | vsUCR | W 72-66 | -11.5 | L −5.5 | 147.5 | U 138 |
| Feb 21 | @UCI | W 71-69 | +3.5 | W +5.5 | 143.5 | U 140 |
| Feb 26 | vsCSUB | W 84-72 | -14.5 | L −2.5 | 148.5 | O 156 |
| Feb 28 | vsCP | W 80-64 | -7.5 | W +8.5 | 164.5 | U 144 |
| Mar 5 | @CSUF | L 71-75 | -2.5 | L −6.5 | 156.5 | U 146 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
8
vsHCU
HCUW 78-60
+10.5
12
@FRES
FRESW 78-73
+6.5
15
vsIDHO
IDHOW 75-67
+2.5
24
vsTEM
TEMW 91-76
+16.5
25
vsBRAD
BRADW 87-77
+11.5
26
vsTOW
TOWW 87-73
+12.5
2
@NEV
NEVL 70-76
−0.5
6
@LBSU
LBSUW 80-74
−2.5
13
vsTULN
TULNW 93-67
+20.5
16
@LMU
LMUW 67-57
+8.5
19
vsUSD
USDL 80-82
−14.5
1
@CP
CPL 65-67
−10.5
3
vsHAW
HAWW 83-73
+7.5
8
vsCSUF
CSUFL 71-88
−30.5
10
@UCR
UCRW 69-66
−7.5
15
vsCSUN
CSUNL 79-84
−12.5
17
@CSUB
CSUBW 83-62
+12.5
22
@UCD
UCDW 80-74
+4.5
24
vsUCI
UCIL 59-61
−4.5
29
vsUCSB
UCSBL 48-62
−18.5
31
@CSUN
CSUNL 64-81
−18.5
5
vsLBSU
LBSUW 77-74
−7.5
7
@HAW
HAWL 67-72
+1.5
12
vsUCD
UCDW 68-51
+11.5
14
vsUCR
UCRW 72-66
−5.5
21
@UCI
UCIW 71-69
+5.5
26
vsCSUB
CSUBW 84-72
−2.5
28
vsCP
CPW 80-64
+8.5
5
@CSUF
CSUFL 71-75
−6.5
covered 15didn’t cover 14avg −0.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
8
vsHCU
HCUW 78-60
−3.5
12
@FRES
FRESW 78-73
+2.5
15
vsIDHO
IDHOW 75-67
−6.5
24
vsTEM
TEMW 91-76
+18.5
25
vsBRAD
BRADW 87-77
+18.5
26
vsTOW
TOWW 87-73
+21.5
2
@NEV
NEVL 70-76
−3.5
6
@LBSU
LBSUW 80-74
+8.5
13
vsTULN
TULNW 93-67
+10.5
16
@LMU
LMUW 67-57
−26.5
19
vsUSD
USDL 80-82
+5.5
1
@CP
CPL 65-67
−42.5
3
vsHAW
HAWW 83-73
+7.5
8
vsCSUF
CSUFL 71-88
−7.5
10
@UCR
UCRW 69-66
−14.5
15
vsCSUN
CSUNL 79-84
+3.5
17
@CSUB
CSUBW 83-62
−2.5
22
@UCD
UCDW 80-74
+1.5
24
vsUCI
UCIL 59-61
−26.5
29
vsUCSB
UCSBL 48-62
−35.5
31
@CSUN
CSUNL 64-81
−15.5
5
vsLBSU
LBSUW 77-74
+6.5
7
@HAW
HAWL 67-72
−10.5
12
vsUCD
UCDW 68-51
−31.5
14
vsUCR
UCRW 72-66
−9.5
21
@UCI
UCIW 71-69
−3.5
26
vsCSUB
CSUBW 84-72
+7.5
28
vsCP
CPW 80-64
−20.5
5
@CSUF
CSUFL 71-75
−10.5
over 12under 17avg −5.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Santa Barbara
28 games played
Straight up
16-12
57% wins
Against the spread
12-16
43% covers · avg −0.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
15-13
54% overs · avg +3.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8 | vs SJSU | W 85-74 | -9.5 | W +1.5 | 146.5 | O 159 |
| Nov 11 | @ SAC | W 92-87 | -7.5 | L −2.5 | 161.5 | O 179 |
| Nov 17 | vsLMU | L 74-78 | -3.5 | L −7.5 | 145.5 | O 152 |
| Nov 22 | @NEV | L 64-77 | +5.5 | L −7.5 | 147.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 28 | vs LEH | W 72-70 | -10.5 | L −8.5 | 146.5 | U 142 |
| Nov 29 | vs SEA | W 74-71 | +2.5 | W +5.5 | 142.5 | O 145 |
| Dec 4 | vsLBSU | W 84-77 | -13.5 | L −6.5 | 141.5 | O 161 |
| Dec 6 | vsCSUB | W 109-84 | -12.5 | W +12.5 | 145.5 | O 193 |
| Dec 13 | vs UVU | L 53-68 | +5.5 | L −9.5 | 146.5 | U 121 |
| Dec 17 | @ GB | L 64-67 | -7.5 | L −10.5 | 140.5 | U 131 |
| Dec 22 | vs PORT | W 79-61 | -9.5 | W +8.5 | 147.5 | U 140 |
| Jan 1 | @CSUF | L 84-95 | -3.5 | L −14.5 | 155.5 | O 179 |
| Jan 3 | @CSUN | L 65-74 | +2.5 | L −6.5 | 156.5 | U 139 |
| Jan 8 | vsUCD | L 86-93 | -4.5 | L −11.5 | 147.5 | O 179 |
| Jan 15 | @CSUB | W 75-69 | -7.5 | L −1.5 | 144.5 | U 144 |
| Jan 17 | vsHAW | W 77-62 | +2.5 | W +17.5 | 143.5 | U 139 |
| Jan 22 | vsCP | W 107-67 | -8.5 | W +31.5 | 159.5 | O 174 |
| Jan 24 | @LBSU | W 74-71 | -4.5 | L −1.5 | 144.5 | O 145 |
| Jan 29 | @UCSD | W 62-48 | +4.5 | W +18.5 | 145.5 | U 110 |
| Jan 31 | vsCSUF | W 83-69 | -8.5 | W +5.5 | 153.5 | U 152 |
| Feb 5 | @UCD | L 75-85 | -3.5 | L −13.5 | 147.5 | O 160 |
| Feb 7 | vsUCI | W 84-79 | -2.5 | W +2.5 | 141.5 | O 163 |
| Feb 12 | @UCR | W 76-68 | -6.5 | W +1.5 | 145.5 | U 144 |
| Feb 14 | @CP | L 79-89 | -3.5 | L −13.5 | 159.5 | O 168 |
| Feb 19 | vsCSUN | L 83-85 | -5.5 | L −7.5 | 156.5 | O 168 |
| Feb 21 | @HAW | L 75-78 | +5.5 | W +2.5 | 145.5 | O 153 |
| Feb 26 | vsUCR | W 70-59 | -10.5 | W +0.5 | 145.5 | U 129 |
| Feb 28 | @UCI | L 60-64 | +3.5 | L −0.5 | 138.5 | U 124 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
8
vsSJSU
SJSUW 85-74
+1.5
11
@SAC
SACW 92-87
−2.5
17
vsLMU
LMUL 74-78
−7.5
22
@NEV
NEVL 64-77
−7.5
28
vsLEH
LEHW 72-70
−8.5
29
vsSEA
SEAW 74-71
+5.5
4
vsLBSU
LBSUW 84-77
−6.5
6
vsCSUB
CSUBW 109-84
+12.5
13
vsUVU
UVUL 53-68
−9.5
17
@GB
GBL 64-67
−10.5
22
vsPORT
PORTW 79-61
+8.5
1
@CSUF
CSUFL 84-95
−14.5
3
@CSUN
CSUNL 65-74
−6.5
8
vsUCD
UCDL 86-93
−11.5
15
@CSUB
CSUBW 75-69
−1.5
17
vsHAW
HAWW 77-62
+17.5
22
vsCP
CPW 107-67
+31.5
24
@LBSU
LBSUW 74-71
−1.5
29
@UCSD
UCSDW 62-48
+18.5
31
vsCSUF
CSUFW 83-69
+5.5
5
@UCD
UCDL 75-85
−13.5
7
vsUCI
UCIW 84-79
+2.5
12
@UCR
UCRW 76-68
+1.5
14
@CP
CPL 79-89
−13.5
19
vsCSUN
CSUNL 83-85
−7.5
21
@HAW
HAWL 75-78
+2.5
26
vsUCR
UCRW 70-59
+0.5
28
@UCI
UCIL 60-64
−0.5
covered 12didn’t cover 16avg −0.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
8
vsSJSU
SJSUW 85-74
+12.5
11
@SAC
SACW 92-87
+17.5
17
vsLMU
LMUL 74-78
+6.5
22
@NEV
NEVL 64-77
−6.5
28
vsLEH
LEHW 72-70
−4.5
29
vsSEA
SEAW 74-71
+2.5
4
vsLBSU
LBSUW 84-77
+19.5
6
vsCSUB
CSUBW 109-84
+47.5
13
vsUVU
UVUL 53-68
−25.5
17
@GB
GBL 64-67
−9.5
22
vsPORT
PORTW 79-61
−7.5
1
@CSUF
CSUFL 84-95
+23.5
3
@CSUN
CSUNL 65-74
−17.5
8
vsUCD
UCDL 86-93
+31.5
15
@CSUB
CSUBW 75-69
−0.5
17
vsHAW
HAWW 77-62
−4.5
22
vsCP
CPW 107-67
+14.5
24
@LBSU
LBSUW 74-71
+0.5
29
@UCSD
UCSDW 62-48
−35.5
31
vsCSUF
CSUFW 83-69
−1.5
5
@UCD
UCDL 75-85
+12.5
7
vsUCI
UCIW 84-79
+21.5
12
@UCR
UCRW 76-68
−1.5
14
@CP
CPL 79-89
+8.5
19
vsCSUN
CSUNL 83-85
+11.5
21
@HAW
HAWL 75-78
+7.5
26
vsUCR
UCRW 70-59
−16.5
28
@UCI
UCIL 60-64
−14.5
over 15under 13avg +3.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
UC San Diego
19-10 overall · 11-8 in conference · Big West Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Fullerton71–75
- Wvs Cal Poly80–64
- Wvs Bakersfield84–72
- W@ UC Irvine71–69
- Wvs UC Riverside72–66
2 days since their last game.
Santa Barbara
16-12 overall · 11-8 in conference · Big West Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ UC Irvine60–64
- Wvs UC Riverside70–59
- L@ Hawai'i75–78
- Lvs CSU Northridge83–85
- L@ Cal Poly79–89
A week or more of rest.