LionTree Arena · at UC San Diego · Conference game
Closing line
UCSD -7.5✓ UCSD covered by 8.5
UCSD -7.5✓ UCSD covered by 8.5Closing total164.5Under by 20.5
 CP | This season | UCSD |
|---|---|---|
| 11-16 | Record | 18-9 |
| 15-12 | ATS | 14-13 |
| 16-11 | O/U | 12-15 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: CP 76–85 UCSD · ✓ UCSD (78%) won
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| CP | 24 | 40 | 64 |
| UCSD | 42 | 38 | 80 |
1st half: CP 24, UCSD 42 (UCSD by 18). The model had UCSD by 5.1 and a total of 75.4 (actual 66).
Team stats
| CP | UCSD | |
|---|---|---|
| 22-58 38% | Field goals | 31-67 46% |
| 12-39 31% | 3-pointers | 8-24 33% |
| 8-8 100% | Free throws | 10-16 63% |
| 38 7 off | Rebounds | 39 10 off |
| 14 | Assists | 18 |
| 3 | Steals | 10 |
| 2 | Blocks | 3 |
| 15 | Turnovers | 6 |
| 15 | Fouls | 14 |
| 20 | Points in paint | 40 |
| 4 | Fast-break points | 23 |
Players
| CP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hamad Mousa G | 34 | 19 | 9 | 2 | 7-14 | 3-9 |
| Peter Bandelj G | 33 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 3-8 | 2-5 |
| Cayden Ward G | 32 | 12 | 10 | 3 | 4-12 | 2-7 |
| Guzman Vasilic G | 29 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3-6 | 2-4 |
| Austin Goode F | 17 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jake Davis G | 20 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 3-7 | 3-6 |
| Jess Esso Essis G | 14 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0-5 | 0-4 |
| Troy Plumtree F | 11 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| Ali Assran F | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Jackson Mosley PG | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Aaron Price Jr. PF | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Braden Freeman, Kieran Elliott, Jason Scott, Eric Brown, Luka Tarlac
| UCSD | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Chaikin G | 31 | 17 | 2 | 1 | 4-11 | 4-9 |
| Tom Beattie G | 30 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 3-7 | 0-2 |
| Hudson Mayes G | 30 | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7-13 | 1-2 |
| Leo Beath F | 30 | 12 | 7 | 5 | 5-13 | 2-7 |
| Bol Dengdit C | 19 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 2-7 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jaden Vance F | 27 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 4-6 | 1-3 |
| Emanuel Prospere II G | 15 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 4-5 | 0-0 |
| Aidan Burke G | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-1 |
| Dimitrije Vukicevic C | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Tyson Dunn, Christopher Cox, Ryder Elisaldez, Trap Johnson, Yaqub Mir, Jasen Brooks, Cade Pendleton
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenUCSD -6.5
1 → UCSD
CloseUCSD -7.5
1 pt toward UCSD
Total
Open159.5
▲ 5
Close164.5
Up 5 since the open
Moneyline
CP +260 · UCSD -325
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened UCSD -6.5 · closed UCSD -7.5 · moved 1 toward UCSDmodel UCSD -9
model UCSD -9
Opened 159.5 · closed 164.5 · moved 5 upmodel 161.5
model 161.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | UCSD -7.5 | UCSD -8.8 | UCSD +1.3 | W UCSD covered |
| Total | 164.5 | 161.4 | Under 3.1 | W Under |
| Projected score | — | CP 76.3 · UCSD 85.1 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | UCSD -5.1 | UCSD -18.0 |
| 1H total | 75.4 | 66 |
| 1H projected score | CP 35.2 · UCSD 40.3 | CP 24 · UCSD 42 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| CP | 6-4 60% | 7-3 70% | 7-3 70% |
| UCSD | 6-4 60% | 4-6 40% | 3-7 30% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 8 since 2021-22
CP 3–5 UCSDUCSD leads · 8 games since 2021-22 · CP 4-4 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 1, 2025-26 | UCSD 65 @ CP 67 | CP +8.5 | CP W |
| Feb 20, 2024-25 | UCSD 81 @ CP 67 | CP +12.5 | UCSD W |
| Jan 9, 2024-25 | CP 68 @ UCSD 95 | UCSD -14.5 | UCSD W |
| Mar 9, 2023-24 | CP 87 @ UCSD 92 | UCSD -17.5 | CP W |
| Jan 13, 2023-24 | UCSD 86 @ CP 61 | CP +11.5 | UCSD W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Cal Poly
27 games played
Straight up
11-16
41% wins
Against the spread
15-12
56% covers · avg +1.6 pts vs the line
Over / Under
16-11
59% overs · avg +0.9 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ USC | L 64-94 | +24.5 | L −5.5 | 163.5 | U 158 |
| Nov 8 | @ SEA | W 73-71 | +10.5 | W +12.5 | 164.5 | U 144 |
| Nov 12 | @ CSU | L 79-93 | +18.5 | W +4.5 | 165.5 | O 172 |
| Nov 14 | @ MONT | L 82-90 | +7.5 | L −0.5 | 168.5 | O 172 |
| Nov 20 | @ UTAH | W 92-85 | +14.5 | W +21.5 | 167.5 | O 177 |
| Nov 24 | @ NAU | L 87-93 | -1.5 | L −7.5 | 164.5 | O 180 |
| Nov 25 | vs SEMO | L 68-84 | +1.5 | L −14.5 | 170.5 | U 152 |
| Dec 4 | @ CSUF | W 94-91 | +1.5 | W +4.5 | 177.5 | O 185 |
| Dec 6 | vs UCR | L 84-88 | -5.5 | L −9.5 | 162.5 | O 172 |
| Dec 16 | vs MTST | L 80-83 | +2.5 | L −0.5 | 159.5 | O 163 |
| Dec 19 | @ UCLA | L 87-108 | +24.5 | W +3.5 | 161.5 | O 195 |
| Dec 21 | vs IDHO | L 80-83 | +1.5 | L −1.5 | 167.5 | U 163 |
| Jan 1 | vsUCSD | W 67-65 | +8.5 | W +10.5 | 174.5 | U 132 |
| Jan 3 | @ LBSU | L 66-74 | +2.5 | L −5.5 | 162.5 | U 140 |
| Jan 8 | @ CSUN | L 90-95 | +6.5 | W +1.5 | 175.5 | O 185 |
| Jan 10 | vs UCD | W 84-78 | +1.5 | W +7.5 | 168.5 | U 162 |
| Jan 15 | vs HAW | L 66-86 | +5.5 | L −14.5 | 160.5 | U 152 |
| Jan 22 | @ UCSB | L 67-107 | +8.5 | L −31.5 | 159.5 | O 174 |
| Jan 24 | vsCSUF | L 78-93 | +1.5 | L −13.5 | 173.5 | U 171 |
| Jan 29 | @ CSUB | W 104-79 | -1.5 | W +23.5 | 161.5 | O 183 |
| Jan 31 | @UCR | W 94-87 | +1.5 | W +8.5 | 162.5 | O 181 |
| Feb 5 | vsCSUN | L 96-97 | +2.5 | W +1.5 | 177.5 | O 193 |
| Feb 7 | @UCD | L 58-67 | +5.5 | L −3.5 | 169.5 | U 125 |
| Feb 12 | vs UCI | W 79-73 | +5.5 | W +11.5 | 161.5 | U 152 |
| Feb 14 | vsUCSB | W 89-79 | +3.5 | W +13.5 | 159.5 | O 168 |
| Feb 19 | @HAW | W 86-75 | +11.5 | W +22.5 | 160.5 | O 161 |
| Feb 26 | vsLBSU | W 102-92 | -5.5 | W +4.5 | 162.5 | O 194 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@USC
USCL 64-94
−5.5
8
@SEA
SEAW 73-71
+12.5
12
@CSU
CSUL 79-93
+4.5
14
@MONT
MONTL 82-90
−0.5
20
@UTAH
UTAHW 92-85
+21.5
24
@NAU
NAUL 87-93
−7.5
25
vsSEMO
SEMOL 68-84
−14.5
4
@CSUF
CSUFW 94-91
+4.5
6
vsUCR
UCRL 84-88
−9.5
16
vsMTST
MTSTL 80-83
−0.5
19
@UCLA
UCLAL 87-108
+3.5
21
vsIDHO
IDHOL 80-83
−1.5
1
vsUCSD
UCSDW 67-65
+10.5
3
@LBSU
LBSUL 66-74
−5.5
8
@CSUN
CSUNL 90-95
+1.5
10
vsUCD
UCDW 84-78
+7.5
15
vsHAW
HAWL 66-86
−14.5
22
@UCSB
UCSBL 67-107
−31.5
24
vsCSUF
CSUFL 78-93
−13.5
29
@CSUB
CSUBW 104-79
+23.5
31
@UCR
UCRW 94-87
+8.5
5
vsCSUN
CSUNL 96-97
+1.5
7
@UCD
UCDL 58-67
−3.5
12
vsUCI
UCIW 79-73
+11.5
14
vsUCSB
UCSBW 89-79
+13.5
19
@HAW
HAWW 86-75
+22.5
26
vsLBSU
LBSUW 102-92
+4.5
covered 15didn’t cover 12avg +1.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@USC
USCL 64-94
−5.5
8
@SEA
SEAW 73-71
−20.5
12
@CSU
CSUL 79-93
+6.5
14
@MONT
MONTL 82-90
+3.5
20
@UTAH
UTAHW 92-85
+9.5
24
@NAU
NAUL 87-93
+15.5
25
vsSEMO
SEMOL 68-84
−18.5
4
@CSUF
CSUFW 94-91
+7.5
6
vsUCR
UCRL 84-88
+9.5
16
vsMTST
MTSTL 80-83
+3.5
19
@UCLA
UCLAL 87-108
+33.5
21
vsIDHO
IDHOL 80-83
−4.5
1
vsUCSD
UCSDW 67-65
−42.5
3
@LBSU
LBSUL 66-74
−22.5
8
@CSUN
CSUNL 90-95
+9.5
10
vsUCD
UCDW 84-78
−6.5
15
vsHAW
HAWL 66-86
−8.5
22
@UCSB
UCSBL 67-107
+14.5
24
vsCSUF
CSUFL 78-93
−2.5
29
@CSUB
CSUBW 104-79
+21.5
31
@UCR
UCRW 94-87
+18.5
5
vsCSUN
CSUNL 96-97
+15.5
7
@UCD
UCDL 58-67
−44.5
12
vsUCI
UCIW 79-73
−9.5
14
vsUCSB
UCSBW 89-79
+8.5
19
@HAW
HAWW 86-75
+0.5
26
vsLBSU
LBSUW 102-92
+31.5
over 16under 11avg +0.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
UC San Diego
27 games played
Straight up
18-9
67% wins
Against the spread
14-13
52% covers · avg −0.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
12-15
44% overs · avg −4.7 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8 | vs HCU | W 78-60 | -7.5 | W +10.5 | 141.5 | U 138 |
| Nov 12 | @ FRES | W 78-73 | +1.5 | W +6.5 | 148.5 | O 151 |
| Nov 15 | vsIDHO | W 75-67 | -5.5 | W +2.5 | 148.5 | U 142 |
| Nov 24 | vs TEM | W 91-76 | +1.5 | W +16.5 | 148.5 | O 167 |
| Nov 25 | vs BRAD | W 87-77 | +1.5 | W +11.5 | 145.5 | O 164 |
| Nov 26 | vs TOW | W 87-73 | -1.5 | W +12.5 | 138.5 | O 160 |
| Dec 2 | @ NEV | L 70-76 | +5.5 | L −0.5 | 149.5 | U 146 |
| Dec 6 | @LBSU | W 80-74 | -8.5 | L −2.5 | 145.5 | O 154 |
| Dec 13 | vs TULN | W 93-67 | -5.5 | W +20.5 | 149.5 | O 160 |
| Dec 16 | @ LMU | W 67-57 | -1.5 | W +8.5 | 150.5 | U 124 |
| Dec 19 | vs USD | L 80-82 | -12.5 | L −14.5 | 156.5 | O 162 |
| Jan 1 | @CP | L 65-67 | -8.5 | L −10.5 | 174.5 | U 132 |
| Jan 3 | vsHAW | W 83-73 | -2.5 | W +7.5 | 148.5 | O 156 |
| Jan 8 | vsCSUF | L 71-88 | -13.5 | L −30.5 | 166.5 | U 159 |
| Jan 10 | @UCR | W 69-66 | -10.5 | L −7.5 | 149.5 | U 135 |
| Jan 15 | vsCSUN | L 79-84 | -7.5 | L −12.5 | 159.5 | O 163 |
| Jan 17 | @CSUB | W 83-62 | -8.5 | W +12.5 | 147.5 | U 145 |
| Jan 22 | @UCD | W 80-74 | -1.5 | W +4.5 | 152.5 | O 154 |
| Jan 24 | vsUCI | L 59-61 | -2.5 | L −4.5 | 146.5 | U 120 |
| Jan 29 | vsUCSB | L 48-62 | -4.5 | L −18.5 | 145.5 | U 110 |
| Jan 31 | @CSUN | L 64-81 | -1.5 | L −18.5 | 160.5 | U 145 |
| Feb 5 | vsLBSU | W 77-74 | -10.5 | L −7.5 | 144.5 | O 151 |
| Feb 7 | @HAW | L 67-72 | +6.5 | W +1.5 | 149.5 | U 139 |
| Feb 12 | vsUCD | W 68-51 | -5.5 | W +11.5 | 150.5 | U 119 |
| Feb 14 | vsUCR | W 72-66 | -11.5 | L −5.5 | 147.5 | U 138 |
| Feb 21 | @UCI | W 71-69 | +3.5 | W +5.5 | 143.5 | U 140 |
| Feb 26 | vsCSUB | W 84-72 | -14.5 | L −2.5 | 148.5 | O 156 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
8
vsHCU
HCUW 78-60
+10.5
12
@FRES
FRESW 78-73
+6.5
15
vsIDHO
IDHOW 75-67
+2.5
24
vsTEM
TEMW 91-76
+16.5
25
vsBRAD
BRADW 87-77
+11.5
26
vsTOW
TOWW 87-73
+12.5
2
@NEV
NEVL 70-76
−0.5
6
@LBSU
LBSUW 80-74
−2.5
13
vsTULN
TULNW 93-67
+20.5
16
@LMU
LMUW 67-57
+8.5
19
vsUSD
USDL 80-82
−14.5
1
@CP
CPL 65-67
−10.5
3
vsHAW
HAWW 83-73
+7.5
8
vsCSUF
CSUFL 71-88
−30.5
10
@UCR
UCRW 69-66
−7.5
15
vsCSUN
CSUNL 79-84
−12.5
17
@CSUB
CSUBW 83-62
+12.5
22
@UCD
UCDW 80-74
+4.5
24
vsUCI
UCIL 59-61
−4.5
29
vsUCSB
UCSBL 48-62
−18.5
31
@CSUN
CSUNL 64-81
−18.5
5
vsLBSU
LBSUW 77-74
−7.5
7
@HAW
HAWL 67-72
+1.5
12
vsUCD
UCDW 68-51
+11.5
14
vsUCR
UCRW 72-66
−5.5
21
@UCI
UCIW 71-69
+5.5
26
vsCSUB
CSUBW 84-72
−2.5
covered 14didn’t cover 13avg −0.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
8
vsHCU
HCUW 78-60
−3.5
12
@FRES
FRESW 78-73
+2.5
15
vsIDHO
IDHOW 75-67
−6.5
24
vsTEM
TEMW 91-76
+18.5
25
vsBRAD
BRADW 87-77
+18.5
26
vsTOW
TOWW 87-73
+21.5
2
@NEV
NEVL 70-76
−3.5
6
@LBSU
LBSUW 80-74
+8.5
13
vsTULN
TULNW 93-67
+10.5
16
@LMU
LMUW 67-57
−26.5
19
vsUSD
USDL 80-82
+5.5
1
@CP
CPL 65-67
−42.5
3
vsHAW
HAWW 83-73
+7.5
8
vsCSUF
CSUFL 71-88
−7.5
10
@UCR
UCRW 69-66
−14.5
15
vsCSUN
CSUNL 79-84
+3.5
17
@CSUB
CSUBW 83-62
−2.5
22
@UCD
UCDW 80-74
+1.5
24
vsUCI
UCIL 59-61
−26.5
29
vsUCSB
UCSBL 48-62
−35.5
31
@CSUN
CSUNL 64-81
−15.5
5
vsLBSU
LBSUW 77-74
+6.5
7
@HAW
HAWL 67-72
−10.5
12
vsUCD
UCDW 68-51
−31.5
14
vsUCR
UCRW 72-66
−9.5
21
@UCI
UCIW 71-69
−3.5
26
vsCSUB
CSUBW 84-72
+7.5
over 12under 15avg −4.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Cal Poly
11-16 overall · 9-8 in conference · Big West Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Long Beach St102–92
- W@ Hawai'i86–75
- Wvs Santa Barbara89–79
- Wvs UC Irvine79–73
- L@ UC Davis58–67
2 days since their last game.
UC San Diego
18-9 overall · 10-7 in conference · Big West Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Bakersfield84–72
- W@ UC Irvine71–69
- Wvs UC Riverside72–66
- Wvs UC Davis68–51
- L@ Hawai'i67–72
2 days since their last game.