Lee's Family Forum · Neutral site · Conference game · Conference tournament
Closing line
UCSD -4.5✓ CP covered by 1.5
UCSD -4.5✓ CP covered by 1.5Closing total162.5Under by 21.5
 CP | This season | UCSD |
|---|---|---|
| 12-18 | Record | 20-10 |
| 16-14 | ATS | 16-14 |
| 18-12 | O/U | 12-18 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: CP 77–84 UCSD · ✓ UCSD (71%) won
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| CP | 35 | 34 | 69 |
| UCSD | 26 | 46 | 72 |
1st half: CP 35, UCSD 26 (CP by 9). The model had UCSD by 3.6 and a total of 75.2 (actual 61).
Team stats
| CP | UCSD | |
|---|---|---|
| 25-65 38% | Field goals | 25-55 45% |
| 6-32 19% | 3-pointers | 5-20 25% |
| 13-16 81% | Free throws | 17-25 68% |
| 39 11 off | Rebounds | 38 7 off |
| 15 | Assists | 15 |
| 5 | Steals | 5 |
| 0 | Blocks | 2 |
| 12 | Turnovers | 13 |
| 22 | Fouls | 17 |
| 38 | Points in paint | 36 |
| 9 | Fast-break points | 17 |
Players
| CP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hamad Mousa G | 35 | 21 | 6 | 3 | 8-22 | 0-6 |
| Austin Goode F | 34 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 2-5 | 0-1 |
| Peter Bandelj G | 33 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 3-12 | 1-9 |
| Cayden Ward G | 31 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 3-9 | 1-5 |
| Guzman Vasilic G | 14 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 2-5 | 2-5 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jake Davis G | 20 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1-3 | 0-2 |
| Jackson Mosley PG | 12 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 3-6 | 2-4 |
| Ali Assran F | 11 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Troy Plumtree F | 10 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Braden Freeman, Jess Esso Essis, Jason Scott, Kieran Elliott, Eric Brown, Aaron Price Jr., Luka Tarlac
| UCSD | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leo Beath F | 35 | 5 | 8 | 1 | 2-6 | 0-2 |
| Tom Beattie G | 35 | 20 | 5 | 4 | 8-12 | 2-5 |
| Alex Chaikin G | 33 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 2-8 | 2-8 |
| Hudson Mayes G | 31 | 23 | 6 | 2 | 10-16 | 1-1 |
| Bol Dengdit C | 26 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 3-8 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jaden Vance F | 20 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
| Emanuel Prospere II G | 15 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0-3 | 0-1 |
| Aidan Burke G | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Tyson Dunn, Christopher Cox, Ryder Elisaldez, Trap Johnson, Dimitrije Vukicevic, Yaqub Mir, Jasen Brooks, Cade Pendleton
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenUCSD -5.5
1 → CP
CloseUCSD -4.5
1 pt toward CP
Total
Open158.5
▲ 4
Close162.5
Up 4 since the open
Moneyline
CP +170 · UCSD -205
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened UCSD -5.5 · closed UCSD -4.5 · moved 1 toward CPmodel UCSD -6.5
model UCSD -6.5
Opened 158.5 · closed 162.5 · moved 4 upmodel 161
model 161
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | UCSD -4.5 | UCSD -6.3 | UCSD +1.8 | L CP covered |
| Total | 162.5 | 160.9 | Under 1.6 | W Under |
| Projected score | — | CP 77.3 · UCSD 83.6 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | UCSD -3.6 | CP -9.0 |
| 1H total | 75.2 | 61 |
| 1H projected score | CP 35.8 · UCSD 39.4 | CP 35 · UCSD 26 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| CP | 6-4 60% | 7-3 70% | 7-3 70% |
| UCSD | 7-3 70% | 5-5 50% | 2-8 20% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 9 since 2021-22
CP 3–6 UCSDUCSD leads · 9 games since 2021-22 · CP 4-5 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2025-26 | CP 64 @ UCSD 80 | UCSD -7.5 | UCSD W |
| Jan 1, 2025-26 | UCSD 65 @ CP 67 | CP +8.5 | CP W |
| Feb 20, 2024-25 | UCSD 81 @ CP 67 | CP +12.5 | UCSD W |
| Jan 9, 2024-25 | CP 68 @ UCSD 95 | UCSD -14.5 | UCSD W |
| Mar 9, 2023-24 | CP 87 @ UCSD 92 | UCSD -17.5 | CP W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Cal Poly
30 games played
Straight up
12-18
40% wins
Against the spread
16-14
53% covers · avg +1.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
18-12
60% overs · avg +1.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ USC | L 64-94 | +24.5 | L −5.5 | 163.5 | U 158 |
| Nov 8 | @ SEA | W 73-71 | +10.5 | W +12.5 | 164.5 | U 144 |
| Nov 12 | @ CSU | L 79-93 | +18.5 | W +4.5 | 165.5 | O 172 |
| Nov 14 | @ MONT | L 82-90 | +7.5 | L −0.5 | 168.5 | O 172 |
| Nov 20 | @ UTAH | W 92-85 | +14.5 | W +21.5 | 167.5 | O 177 |
| Nov 24 | @ NAU | L 87-93 | -1.5 | L −7.5 | 164.5 | O 180 |
| Nov 25 | vs SEMO | L 68-84 | +1.5 | L −14.5 | 170.5 | U 152 |
| Dec 4 | @ CSUF | W 94-91 | +1.5 | W +4.5 | 177.5 | O 185 |
| Dec 6 | vs UCR | L 84-88 | -5.5 | L −9.5 | 162.5 | O 172 |
| Dec 16 | vs MTST | L 80-83 | +2.5 | L −0.5 | 159.5 | O 163 |
| Dec 19 | @ UCLA | L 87-108 | +24.5 | W +3.5 | 161.5 | O 195 |
| Dec 21 | vs IDHO | L 80-83 | +1.5 | L −1.5 | 167.5 | U 163 |
| Jan 1 | vsUCSD | W 67-65 | +8.5 | W +10.5 | 174.5 | U 132 |
| Jan 3 | @ LBSU | L 66-74 | +2.5 | L −5.5 | 162.5 | U 140 |
| Jan 8 | @ CSUN | L 90-95 | +6.5 | W +1.5 | 175.5 | O 185 |
| Jan 10 | vs UCD | W 84-78 | +1.5 | W +7.5 | 168.5 | U 162 |
| Jan 15 | vs HAW | L 66-86 | +5.5 | L −14.5 | 160.5 | U 152 |
| Jan 22 | @ UCSB | L 67-107 | +8.5 | L −31.5 | 159.5 | O 174 |
| Jan 24 | vsCSUF | L 78-93 | +1.5 | L −13.5 | 173.5 | U 171 |
| Jan 29 | @ CSUB | W 104-79 | -1.5 | W +23.5 | 161.5 | O 183 |
| Jan 31 | @UCR | W 94-87 | +1.5 | W +8.5 | 162.5 | O 181 |
| Feb 5 | vsCSUN | L 96-97 | +2.5 | W +1.5 | 177.5 | O 193 |
| Feb 7 | @UCD | L 58-67 | +5.5 | L −3.5 | 169.5 | U 125 |
| Feb 12 | vs UCI | W 79-73 | +5.5 | W +11.5 | 161.5 | U 152 |
| Feb 14 | vsUCSB | W 89-79 | +3.5 | W +13.5 | 159.5 | O 168 |
| Feb 19 | @HAW | W 86-75 | +11.5 | W +22.5 | 160.5 | O 161 |
| Feb 26 | vsLBSU | W 102-92 | -5.5 | W +4.5 | 162.5 | O 194 |
| Feb 28 | @UCSD | L 64-80 | +7.5 | L −8.5 | 164.5 | U 144 |
| Mar 5 | @UCI | L 85-107 | +9.5 | L −12.5 | 160.5 | O 192 |
| Mar 7 | vsCSUB | W 108-76 | -8.5 | W +23.5 | 174.5 | O 184 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@USC
USCL 64-94
−5.5
8
@SEA
SEAW 73-71
+12.5
12
@CSU
CSUL 79-93
+4.5
14
@MONT
MONTL 82-90
−0.5
20
@UTAH
UTAHW 92-85
+21.5
24
@NAU
NAUL 87-93
−7.5
25
vsSEMO
SEMOL 68-84
−14.5
4
@CSUF
CSUFW 94-91
+4.5
6
vsUCR
UCRL 84-88
−9.5
16
vsMTST
MTSTL 80-83
−0.5
19
@UCLA
UCLAL 87-108
+3.5
21
vsIDHO
IDHOL 80-83
−1.5
1
vsUCSD
UCSDW 67-65
+10.5
3
@LBSU
LBSUL 66-74
−5.5
8
@CSUN
CSUNL 90-95
+1.5
10
vsUCD
UCDW 84-78
+7.5
15
vsHAW
HAWL 66-86
−14.5
22
@UCSB
UCSBL 67-107
−31.5
24
vsCSUF
CSUFL 78-93
−13.5
29
@CSUB
CSUBW 104-79
+23.5
31
@UCR
UCRW 94-87
+8.5
5
vsCSUN
CSUNL 96-97
+1.5
7
@UCD
UCDL 58-67
−3.5
12
vsUCI
UCIW 79-73
+11.5
14
vsUCSB
UCSBW 89-79
+13.5
19
@HAW
HAWW 86-75
+22.5
26
vsLBSU
LBSUW 102-92
+4.5
28
@UCSD
UCSDL 64-80
−8.5
5
@UCI
UCIL 85-107
−12.5
7
vsCSUB
CSUBW 108-76
+23.5
covered 16didn’t cover 14avg +1.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@USC
USCL 64-94
−5.5
8
@SEA
SEAW 73-71
−20.5
12
@CSU
CSUL 79-93
+6.5
14
@MONT
MONTL 82-90
+3.5
20
@UTAH
UTAHW 92-85
+9.5
24
@NAU
NAUL 87-93
+15.5
25
vsSEMO
SEMOL 68-84
−18.5
4
@CSUF
CSUFW 94-91
+7.5
6
vsUCR
UCRL 84-88
+9.5
16
vsMTST
MTSTL 80-83
+3.5
19
@UCLA
UCLAL 87-108
+33.5
21
vsIDHO
IDHOL 80-83
−4.5
1
vsUCSD
UCSDW 67-65
−42.5
3
@LBSU
LBSUL 66-74
−22.5
8
@CSUN
CSUNL 90-95
+9.5
10
vsUCD
UCDW 84-78
−6.5
15
vsHAW
HAWL 66-86
−8.5
22
@UCSB
UCSBL 67-107
+14.5
24
vsCSUF
CSUFL 78-93
−2.5
29
@CSUB
CSUBW 104-79
+21.5
31
@UCR
UCRW 94-87
+18.5
5
vsCSUN
CSUNL 96-97
+15.5
7
@UCD
UCDL 58-67
−44.5
12
vsUCI
UCIW 79-73
−9.5
14
vsUCSB
UCSBW 89-79
+8.5
19
@HAW
HAWW 86-75
+0.5
26
vsLBSU
LBSUW 102-92
+31.5
28
@UCSD
UCSDL 64-80
−20.5
5
@UCI
UCIL 85-107
+31.5
7
vsCSUB
CSUBW 108-76
+9.5
over 18under 12avg +1.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
UC San Diego
30 games played
Straight up
20-10
67% wins
Against the spread
16-14
53% covers · avg +0.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
12-18
40% overs · avg −5.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8 | vs HCU | W 78-60 | -7.5 | W +10.5 | 141.5 | U 138 |
| Nov 12 | @ FRES | W 78-73 | +1.5 | W +6.5 | 148.5 | O 151 |
| Nov 15 | vsIDHO | W 75-67 | -5.5 | W +2.5 | 148.5 | U 142 |
| Nov 24 | vs TEM | W 91-76 | +1.5 | W +16.5 | 148.5 | O 167 |
| Nov 25 | vs BRAD | W 87-77 | +1.5 | W +11.5 | 145.5 | O 164 |
| Nov 26 | vs TOW | W 87-73 | -1.5 | W +12.5 | 138.5 | O 160 |
| Dec 2 | @ NEV | L 70-76 | +5.5 | L −0.5 | 149.5 | U 146 |
| Dec 6 | @LBSU | W 80-74 | -8.5 | L −2.5 | 145.5 | O 154 |
| Dec 13 | vs TULN | W 93-67 | -5.5 | W +20.5 | 149.5 | O 160 |
| Dec 16 | @ LMU | W 67-57 | -1.5 | W +8.5 | 150.5 | U 124 |
| Dec 19 | vs USD | L 80-82 | -12.5 | L −14.5 | 156.5 | O 162 |
| Jan 1 | @CP | L 65-67 | -8.5 | L −10.5 | 174.5 | U 132 |
| Jan 3 | vsHAW | W 83-73 | -2.5 | W +7.5 | 148.5 | O 156 |
| Jan 8 | vsCSUF | L 71-88 | -13.5 | L −30.5 | 166.5 | U 159 |
| Jan 10 | @UCR | W 69-66 | -10.5 | L −7.5 | 149.5 | U 135 |
| Jan 15 | vsCSUN | L 79-84 | -7.5 | L −12.5 | 159.5 | O 163 |
| Jan 17 | @CSUB | W 83-62 | -8.5 | W +12.5 | 147.5 | U 145 |
| Jan 22 | @UCD | W 80-74 | -1.5 | W +4.5 | 152.5 | O 154 |
| Jan 24 | vsUCI | L 59-61 | -2.5 | L −4.5 | 146.5 | U 120 |
| Jan 29 | vsUCSB | L 48-62 | -4.5 | L −18.5 | 145.5 | U 110 |
| Jan 31 | @CSUN | L 64-81 | -1.5 | L −18.5 | 160.5 | U 145 |
| Feb 5 | vsLBSU | W 77-74 | -10.5 | L −7.5 | 144.5 | O 151 |
| Feb 7 | @HAW | L 67-72 | +6.5 | W +1.5 | 149.5 | U 139 |
| Feb 12 | vsUCD | W 68-51 | -5.5 | W +11.5 | 150.5 | U 119 |
| Feb 14 | vsUCR | W 72-66 | -11.5 | L −5.5 | 147.5 | U 138 |
| Feb 21 | @UCI | W 71-69 | +3.5 | W +5.5 | 143.5 | U 140 |
| Feb 26 | vsCSUB | W 84-72 | -14.5 | L −2.5 | 148.5 | O 156 |
| Feb 28 | vsCP | W 80-64 | -7.5 | W +8.5 | 164.5 | U 144 |
| Mar 5 | @CSUF | L 71-75 | -2.5 | L −6.5 | 156.5 | U 146 |
| Mar 7 | @UCSB | W 64-63 | +2.5 | W +3.5 | 141.5 | U 127 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
8
vsHCU
HCUW 78-60
+10.5
12
@FRES
FRESW 78-73
+6.5
15
vsIDHO
IDHOW 75-67
+2.5
24
vsTEM
TEMW 91-76
+16.5
25
vsBRAD
BRADW 87-77
+11.5
26
vsTOW
TOWW 87-73
+12.5
2
@NEV
NEVL 70-76
−0.5
6
@LBSU
LBSUW 80-74
−2.5
13
vsTULN
TULNW 93-67
+20.5
16
@LMU
LMUW 67-57
+8.5
19
vsUSD
USDL 80-82
−14.5
1
@CP
CPL 65-67
−10.5
3
vsHAW
HAWW 83-73
+7.5
8
vsCSUF
CSUFL 71-88
−30.5
10
@UCR
UCRW 69-66
−7.5
15
vsCSUN
CSUNL 79-84
−12.5
17
@CSUB
CSUBW 83-62
+12.5
22
@UCD
UCDW 80-74
+4.5
24
vsUCI
UCIL 59-61
−4.5
29
vsUCSB
UCSBL 48-62
−18.5
31
@CSUN
CSUNL 64-81
−18.5
5
vsLBSU
LBSUW 77-74
−7.5
7
@HAW
HAWL 67-72
+1.5
12
vsUCD
UCDW 68-51
+11.5
14
vsUCR
UCRW 72-66
−5.5
21
@UCI
UCIW 71-69
+5.5
26
vsCSUB
CSUBW 84-72
−2.5
28
vsCP
CPW 80-64
+8.5
5
@CSUF
CSUFL 71-75
−6.5
7
@UCSB
UCSBW 64-63
+3.5
covered 16didn’t cover 14avg +0.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
8
vsHCU
HCUW 78-60
−3.5
12
@FRES
FRESW 78-73
+2.5
15
vsIDHO
IDHOW 75-67
−6.5
24
vsTEM
TEMW 91-76
+18.5
25
vsBRAD
BRADW 87-77
+18.5
26
vsTOW
TOWW 87-73
+21.5
2
@NEV
NEVL 70-76
−3.5
6
@LBSU
LBSUW 80-74
+8.5
13
vsTULN
TULNW 93-67
+10.5
16
@LMU
LMUW 67-57
−26.5
19
vsUSD
USDL 80-82
+5.5
1
@CP
CPL 65-67
−42.5
3
vsHAW
HAWW 83-73
+7.5
8
vsCSUF
CSUFL 71-88
−7.5
10
@UCR
UCRW 69-66
−14.5
15
vsCSUN
CSUNL 79-84
+3.5
17
@CSUB
CSUBW 83-62
−2.5
22
@UCD
UCDW 80-74
+1.5
24
vsUCI
UCIL 59-61
−26.5
29
vsUCSB
UCSBL 48-62
−35.5
31
@CSUN
CSUNL 64-81
−15.5
5
vsLBSU
LBSUW 77-74
+6.5
7
@HAW
HAWL 67-72
−10.5
12
vsUCD
UCDW 68-51
−31.5
14
vsUCR
UCRW 72-66
−9.5
21
@UCI
UCIW 71-69
−3.5
26
vsCSUB
CSUBW 84-72
+7.5
28
vsCP
CPW 80-64
−20.5
5
@CSUF
CSUFL 71-75
−10.5
7
@UCSB
UCSBW 64-63
−14.5
over 12under 18avg −5.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Cal Poly
12-18 overall · 10-10 in conference · Big West Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Bakersfield108–76
- L@ UC Irvine85–107
- L@ UC San Diego64–80
- Wvs Long Beach St102–92
- W@ Hawai'i86–75
4 days since their last game.
UC San Diego
20-10 overall · 12-8 in conference · Big West Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Santa Barbara64–63
- L@ Fullerton71–75
- Wvs Cal Poly80–64
- Wvs Bakersfield84–72
- W@ UC Irvine71–69
4 days since their last game.