1. NCAAB
  2. Tue, Nov 24
  3. GCU vs SLU
NCAAB · Tue, Nov 24

Grand Canyon Lopes vs Saint Louis Billikens

Acrisure Arena · Neutral site
#80GCUGrand Canyon
vs
#69SLUSaint Louis
LineNo line yet 
Total— 
GCUThis seasonSLU
0-0Record0-0
0-0ATS0-0
0-0O/U0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects SLU 78–76 · win probability SLU 57%
Pick this game
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Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
—
model 153.0
Model edge
—
No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: SLU has more of the edges

GCU 1, SLU 2 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games
SLUBig
Three-pointers
GCU hits 31.8% and allows 31.9%; SLU hits 39.9% and allows 30.3%. Threes are 38.9% and 45.1% of their shots
SLUSmall
Shooting
Effective FG%: GCU 51.7 and allows 47.4; SLU 59.7 and allows 45.2
Context
Tempo
About 71 possessions: GCU plays 69.3 a game (166th fastest), SLU 72.1 (32nd). Faster games mean more points
GCUSmall
Free throws
Free throw rate: GCU 39.5, SLU 33.7. Allowed: GCU 39.0, SLU 37.1
Even
Turnovers
Turnover rate: GCU 17.6%, SLU 17.2%. Forced: GCU 17.4%, SLU 15.9%
Even
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: GCU 31.3%, SLU 30.7%. Defensive: GCU 74.7%, SLU 72.8%
Even
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: GCU 51%, SLU 63%. Transfers in: GCU 9, SLU 2. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
Even
SLU offense vs GCU defense
Offense 61st of 366 against a defense 78th, on the model’s ratings
Context
Schedule so far
GCU has played the 107th-hardest schedule, SLU the 99th. A record against a soft schedule means less
Context
Neutral floor
No home court: the model takes it out of the line
Even
GCU offense vs SLU defense
Offense 83rd of 366 against a defense 87th, on the model’s ratings
Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Market

Open → current
Spread
Opening line not available
Total
 
Moneyline
—

Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.

Model vs market

MarketModelModel edge
Spread—SLU -2.1—
Total—153.0—
Projected score—GCU 75.5 · SLU 77.5

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›
ModelActual
1H spreadSLU -1.1—
1H total71.5—
1H projected scoreGCU 35.2 · SLU 36.3—
The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

The starting fives are even

Position by position: Grand Canyon 2, Saint Louis 2, even 1
Grand CanyonBetterSaint Louis
G J. Zimmerman TR15.2 pts · 2.3 reb · 2.3 ast Score 32
SLUSmall
G Q. Jones9 pts · 3.8 reb · 2.9 ast Score 51
G M. Tucker TR13 pts · 2.1 reb · 3 ast Score 56
SLUSmall
G T. Green11.1 pts · 2.9 reb · 1.7 ast Score 86
G J. Henley17.7 pts · 5.7 reb · 2.9 ast Score 97
Even
G A. McCottry10.5 pts · 5.3 reb · 2.9 ast Score 84
G M. Williams14 pts · 2.7 reb · 2.5 ast Score 89
GCUSmall
F I. Sharma9.2 pts · 2.7 reb · 1.4 ast Score 67
F B. Barkley TR14.7 pts · 5.9 reb · 1.2 ast Score 89
GCUSmall
F A. Michaeli TR7.1 pts · 3.9 reb · 1 ast Score 58
Grand CanyonBetterSaint Louis
GCU offense83rd of 366 · +0.4
Even
SLU defense87th of 366 · -0.1
GCU defense78th of 366 · +0.5
Even
SLU offense61st of 366 · +2.6
Backcourt+4.6 · 4 players
GCUSmall
Backcourt+2.6 · 3 players
Frontcourt+3.0 · 1 player
GCUSmall
Frontcourt+0.6 · 2 players
Bench+2.6 · 5 players
SLUSmall
Bench+3.7 · 5 players
Score, worst to bestGCU betterSLU betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers
Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
Grand Canyon
Guards
J. Zimmerman33 min · TRM. Tucker32 min · TRJ. Henley32 minM. Williams27 minT. Holloman26 min · TRD. Skillings25 min · TR
Forwards
B. Barkley29 min · TRT. Behrend22 min · TRA. Dickerson22 min · TRO. Biliew20 min · TRJ. SawyerNewJ. WhortonNew
Centers
E. Demirel23 min
Saint Louis
Guards
Q. Jones27 minT. Green24 minA. McCottry23 minK. Thames17 minC. Hutson4 minI. Holmes2 min
Forwards
I. Sharma22 minA. Michaeli18 min · TRE. Strong17 min · TRJ. Kerr6 minS. PearsonNewB. DiakiteNew
In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Shooting
Possessions
Defense
GCUSLU
Scoring
75.6 #153Points per game86.4 #7
1.09 #158Points per possession1.20 #14
69.3 #166Pace (possessions)72.1 #32
Shooting
51.7 #162Effective FG%59.7 #2
31.8 #2863-point %39.9 #2
38.9 #1923-point attempt rate45.1 #64
39.5 #67Free throw rate33.7 #221
Possessions
17.6 #245Turnover rate17.2 #218
31.3 #150Offensive rebound rate30.7 #173
12.8 #230Assists per game18.3 #8
Defense
68.7 #42Points allowed71.6 #94
0.99 #22Points allowed per possession0.99 #21
47.4 #28Opponent effective FG%45.2 #3
31.9 #60Opponent 3-point %30.3 #14
17.4 #129Turnovers forced15.9 #224
74.7 #12Defensive rebound rate72.8 #43
6.6 #165Steals per game7.1 #117
3.6 #123Blocks per game3.4 #168
From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

Grand Canyon

20-12 in 2025-26 overall · 13-8 in conference · Mountain West Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Nevada80–84
  • Wvs Fresno St85–60
  • W@ Air Force86–60
  • L@ Utah State69–74
  • Wvs UNLV80–67

A week or more of rest.

Saint Louis

28-6 in 2025-26 overall · 16-4 in conference · Atlantic 10 Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Michigan72–95
  • Wvs Georgia102–77
  • Lvs Dayton69–70
  • Wvs G Washington88–81
  • L@ George Mason57–86

A week or more of rest.