1. NCAAB
  2. Sun, Dec 6
  3. SEMO @ SLU
NCAAB · Sun, Dec 6

Southeast Missouri State Redhawks at Saint Louis Billikens

Chaifetz Arena · at Saint Louis
#306SEMOSE Missouri
@
#69SLUSaint Louis
LineNo line yet 
Total— 
SEMOThis seasonSLU
0-0Record0-0
0-0ATS0-0
0-0O/U0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects SLU 87–64 · win probability SLU 98%
Pick this game
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Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
—
model 150.8
Model edge
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No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: SLU has more of the edges

SEMO 1, SLU 6 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games
Context
Schedule so far
SEMO has played the 351st-hardest schedule, SLU the 99th. A record against a soft schedule means less
SLUBig
SEMO offense vs SLU defense
Offense 312th of 366 against a defense 87th, on the model’s ratings
SLUBig
SLU offense vs SEMO defense
Offense 61st of 366 against a defense 284th, on the model’s ratings
SLUBig
Three-pointers
SEMO hits 30.9% and allows 33.1%; SLU hits 39.9% and allows 30.3%. Threes are 36.0% and 45.1% of their shots
SLUBig
Shooting
Effective FG%: SEMO 49.8 and allows 48.8; SLU 59.7 and allows 45.2
SEMOSmall
Turnovers
Turnover rate: SEMO 16.8%, SLU 17.2%. Forced: SEMO 18.1%, SLU 15.9%
SLUSmall
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: SEMO 26%, SLU 63%. Transfers in: SEMO 1, SLU 2. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
SLUSmall
Home court
SLU at home. This season: SLU 0-0 at home, SEMO 0-0 away
Even
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: SEMO 29.6%, SLU 30.7%. Defensive: SEMO 71.8%, SLU 72.8%
Context
Tempo
About 71 possessions: SEMO plays 70.2 a game (109th fastest), SLU 72.1 (32nd). Faster games mean more points
Even
Free throws
Free throw rate: SEMO 38.8, SLU 33.7. Allowed: SEMO 48.0, SLU 37.1
Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Market

Open → current
Spread
Opening line not available
Total
 
Moneyline
—

Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.

Model vs market

MarketModelModel edge
Spread—SLU -22.9—
Total—150.8—
Projected score—SEMO 63.9 · SLU 86.8

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›
ModelActual
1H spreadSLU -13.5—
1H total70.5—
1H projected scoreSEMO 28.5 · SLU 42—
The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

Saint Louis has the better starters

Position by position: SE Missouri 1, Saint Louis 2, even 2
SE MissouriBetterSaint Louis
G M. Bell8.6 pts · 5 reb · 1.7 ast Score 69
SEMOSmall
G Q. Jones9 pts · 3.8 reb · 2.9 ast Score 51
G L. Blocker4.8 pts · 3.6 reb · 0.5 ast Score 33
SLUBig
G T. Green11.1 pts · 2.9 reb · 1.7 ast Score 86
G P. Farmer1.6 pts · 1.3 reb · 0.8 ast Score 11
SLUBig
G A. McCottry10.5 pts · 5.3 reb · 2.9 ast Score 84
F D. Sutton TR3.8 pts · 3.9 reb · 0.7 ast Score 63
Even
F I. Sharma9.2 pts · 2.7 reb · 1.4 ast Score 67
F T. Sadler0.2 pts · 0.1 reb · 0 ast Not ranked
No call
F A. Michaeli TR7.1 pts · 3.9 reb · 1 ast Score 58
SE MissouriBetterSaint Louis
SEMO offense312th of 366 · -10.0
SLUBig
SLU defense87th of 366 · -0.1
SEMO defense284th of 366 · -7.1
SLUBig
SLU offense61st of 366 · +2.6
Backcourt-1.7 · 3 players
SLUBig
Backcourt+2.6 · 3 players
Frontcourt+0.0 · 2 players
Even
Frontcourt+0.6 · 2 players
BenchNo numbers yet
No call
Bench+3.7 · 5 players
Score, worst to bestSEMO betterSLU betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers
Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
SE Missouri
Guards
M. Bell22 minL. Blocker18 minP. Farmer9 minK. PruettNewF. WilliamsNewM. EavesNew
Forwards
D. Sutton13 min · TRT. Sadler3 minC. JewellNewD. CooperNewA. PerryNew
Saint Louis
Guards
Q. Jones27 minT. Green24 minA. McCottry23 minK. Thames17 minC. Hutson4 minI. Holmes2 min
Forwards
I. Sharma22 minA. Michaeli18 min · TRE. Strong17 min · TRJ. Kerr6 minS. PearsonNewB. DiakiteNew
In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Shooting
Possessions
Defense
SEMOSLU
Scoring
73.2 #217Points per game86.4 #7
1.04 #267Points per possession1.20 #14
70.2 #109Pace (possessions)72.1 #32
Shooting
49.8 #244Effective FG%59.7 #2
30.9 #3243-point %39.9 #2
36.0 #2503-point attempt rate45.1 #64
38.8 #84Free throw rate33.7 #221
Possessions
16.8 #192Turnover rate17.2 #218
29.6 #218Offensive rebound rate30.7 #173
11.7 #306Assists per game18.3 #8
Defense
72.3 #112Points allowed71.6 #94
1.03 #58Points allowed per possession0.99 #21
48.8 #57Opponent effective FG%45.2 #3
33.1 #130Opponent 3-point %30.3 #14
18.1 #91Turnovers forced15.9 #224
71.8 #76Defensive rebound rate72.8 #43
6.4 #190Steals per game7.1 #117
3.6 #121Blocks per game3.4 #168
From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

SE Missouri

17-13 in 2025-26 overall · 15-7 in conference · Ohio Valley Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Morehead St61–66
  • Wvs Lindenwood Lions68–66
  • Wvs Tennessee Tech89–73
  • Lvs Tennessee St71–79
  • W@ Little Rock70–65

A week or more of rest.

Saint Louis

28-6 in 2025-26 overall · 16-4 in conference · Atlantic 10 Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Michigan72–95
  • Wvs Georgia102–77
  • Lvs Dayton69–70
  • Wvs G Washington88–81
  • L@ George Mason57–86

A week or more of rest.