1. NCAAB
  2. Thu, Nov 5
  3. TOW @ UTAH
NCAAB · Thu, Nov 5

Towson Tigers at Utah Utes

Jon M. Huntsman Center · at Utah
#165TOWTowson
@
#73UTAHUtah
LineNo line yet 
Total— 
TOWThis seasonUTAH
0-0Record0-0
0-0ATS0-0
0-0O/U0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects UTAH 78–64 · win probability UTAH 89%
Pick this game
Your picksMy picks ›
Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
—
model 141.6
Model edge
—
No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it

TOW 2, UTAH 2 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games
UTAHBig
TOW offense vs UTAH defense
Offense 266th of 366 against a defense 68th, on the model’s ratings
TOWBig
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: TOW 36.0%, UTAH 29.3%. Defensive: TOW 70.9%, UTAH 68.4%
Context
Schedule so far
TOW has played the 140th-hardest schedule, UTAH the 53rd. A record against a soft schedule means less
Context
Tempo
About 66 possessions: TOW plays 64.0 a game (360th fastest), UTAH 68.3 (211th). Faster games mean more points
TOWSmall
Turnovers
Turnover rate: TOW 15.8%, UTAH 16.7%. Forced: TOW 15.1%, UTAH 13.3%
UTAHSmall
Home court
UTAH at home. This season: UTAH 0-0 at home, TOW 0-0 away
Even
UTAH offense vs TOW defense
Offense 79th of 366 against a defense 113th, on the model’s ratings
Even
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: TOW 27%, UTAH 14%. Transfers in: TOW 3, UTAH 6. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
Even
Shooting
Effective FG%: TOW 46.5 and allows 48.5; UTAH 52.0 and allows 53.9
Even
Three-pointers
TOW hits 29.4% and allows 30.9%; UTAH hits 35.3% and allows 35.1%. Threes are 34.9% and 37.5% of their shots
Even
Free throws
Free throw rate: TOW 30.4, UTAH 31.7. Allowed: TOW 29.3, UTAH 29.9
Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Market

Open → current
Spread
Opening line not available
Total
 
Moneyline
—

Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.

Model vs market

MarketModelModel edge
Spread—UTAH -14.1—
Total—141.6—
Projected score—TOW 63.8 · UTAH 77.8

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›
ModelActual
1H spreadUTAH -8.2—
1H total66.3—
1H projected scoreTOW 29 · UTAH 37.3—
The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

Utah has the better starters

Position by position: Towson 1, Utah 3, even 1
TowsonBetterUtah
G B. Roseborough TR11.7 pts · 1.6 reb · 0.8 ast Score 50
UTAHBig
G T. Campbell TR13.7 pts · 3.8 reb · 3.9 ast Score 85
G J. Womack6.8 pts · 3.9 reb · 0.5 ast Score 61
UTAHBig
G J. Holcombe TR15.9 pts · 6.5 reb · 3.6 ast Score 97
G C. Ndefo2.5 pts · 2.7 reb · 0.1 ast Score 32
UTAHBig
G T. Burch TR12.8 pts · 2.5 reb · 3.4 ast Score 88
F C. Embeya3.5 pts · 5.9 reb · 0.5 ast Score 37
TOWSmall
G O. Abbey2.5 pts · 1.6 reb · 2.2 ast Score 12
F D. Badalau TR3.1 pts · 1.7 reb · 0.9 ast Score 32
Even
C M. Gomma TR8 pts · 6.8 reb · 1.4 ast Score 28
TowsonBetterUtah
TOW offense266th of 366 · -8.1
UTAHBig
UTAH defense68th of 366 · +0.9
TOW defense113th of 366 · -1.4
Even
UTAH offense79th of 366 · +0.7
Backcourt-1.4 · 3 players
UTAHBig
Backcourt+6.8 · 4 players
Frontcourt-1.5 · 2 players
Even
Frontcourt-1.4 · 1 player
Bench-0.1 · 2 players
Even
Bench-0.7 · 3 players
Score, worst to bestTOW betterUTAH betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers
Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
Towson
Guards
B. Roseborough28 min · TRJ. Womack19 minC. Ndefo12 minZ. Stanford5 min · TRR. Skerry2 minC. DoerrNew
Forwards
C. Embeya21 minD. Badalau13 min · TRA. AtkinsonNewB. HolmesNewD. KirkNew
Utah
Guards
T. Campbell34 min · TRJ. Holcombe31 min · TRT. Burch25 min · TRO. Abbey15 minT. Chatman13 min · TRL. Langarita12 min
Forwards
G. Gaddis1 min · TRB. FayeNewZ. LoubakiNewJ. JohnsonNewA. AnigbataNew
Centers
M. Gomma26 min · TRF. SchottNewL. McCannaNew
In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Shooting
Possessions
Defense
TOWUTAH
Scoring
67.1 #332Points per game74.3 #185
1.05 #256Points per possession1.08 #173
64.0 #360Pace (possessions)68.3 #211
Shooting
46.5 #345Effective FG%52.0 #142
29.4 #3493-point %35.3 #98
34.9 #2773-point attempt rate37.5 #222
30.4 #299Free throw rate31.7 #262
Possessions
15.8 #128Turnover rate16.7 #175
36.0 #24Offensive rebound rate29.3 #224
9.5 #364Assists per game13.7 #169
Defense
66.4 #18Points allowed79.1 #302
1.04 #73Points allowed per possession1.16 #337
48.5 #49Opponent effective FG%53.9 #298
30.9 #33Opponent 3-point %35.1 #254
15.1 #271Turnovers forced13.3 #348
70.9 #117Defensive rebound rate68.4 #233
5.8 #253Steals per game5.3 #315
3.3 #175Blocks per game3.4 #160
From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

Towson

17-15 in 2025-26 overall · 11-10 in conference · Coastal Athletic Association

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Hofstra65–68
  • Wvs Charleston81–56
  • Wvs Hampton74–68
  • W@ Stony Brook69–57
  • Wvs Campbell71–67

A week or more of rest.

Utah

10-22 in 2025-26 overall · 2-17 in conference · Big 12 Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Cincinnati66–73
  • L@ Baylor75–101
  • Lvs Colorado78–92
  • L@ Arizona St60–73
  • Lvs Iowa State59–75

A week or more of rest.