1. NCAAB
  2. Thu, Nov 12
  3. L-MD @ TOW
NCAAB · Thu, Nov 12

Loyola Maryland Greyhounds at Towson Tigers

SECU Arena · at Towson
#314L-MDLoyola MD
@
#165TOWTowson
LineNo line yet 
Total— 
L-MDThis seasonTOW
0-0Record0-0
0-0ATS0-0
0-0O/U0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects TOW 78–65 · win probability TOW 86%
Pick this game
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Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
—
model 142.5
Model edge
—
No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: TOW has more of the edges

L-MD 0, TOW 5 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games
TOWBig
L-MD offense vs TOW defense
Offense 307th of 366 against a defense 113th, on the model’s ratings
Context
Schedule so far
L-MD has played the 299th-hardest schedule, TOW the 140th. A record against a soft schedule means less
TOWBig
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: L-MD 27.6%, TOW 36.0%. Defensive: L-MD 71.0%, TOW 70.9%
Context
Tempo
About 67 possessions: L-MD plays 69.3 a game (165th fastest), TOW 64.0 (360th). Faster games mean more points
TOWSmall
Shooting
Effective FG%: L-MD 50.4 and allows 54.7; TOW 46.5 and allows 48.5
TOWSmall
Home court
TOW at home. This season: TOW 0-0 at home, L-MD 0-0 away
TOWSmall
TOW offense vs L-MD defense
Offense 266th of 366 against a defense 313th, on the model’s ratings
Even
Free throws
Free throw rate: L-MD 29.9, TOW 30.4. Allowed: L-MD 32.7, TOW 29.3
Even
Turnovers
Turnover rate: L-MD 15.4%, TOW 15.8%. Forced: L-MD 15.4%, TOW 15.1%
Even
Three-pointers
L-MD hits 32.5% and allows 32.8%; TOW hits 29.4% and allows 30.9%. Threes are 47.2% and 34.9% of their shots
Even
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: L-MD 33%, TOW 27%. Transfers in: L-MD 5, TOW 3. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Market

Open → current
Spread
Opening line not available
Total
 
Moneyline
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Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.

Model vs market

MarketModelModel edge
Spread—TOW -12.5—
Total—142.5—
Projected score—L-MD 65 · TOW 77.5

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›
ModelActual
1H spreadTOW -7.3—
1H total66.7—
1H projected scoreL-MD 29.7 · TOW 37—
The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

Towson has the better starters

Position by position: Loyola MD 0, Towson 3, even 2
Loyola MDBetterTowson
G T. Cicero5.4 pts · 2.2 reb · 0.7 ast Score 53
Even
G B. Roseborough TR11.7 pts · 1.6 reb · 0.8 ast Score 50
G C. Berg-McLean3.5 pts · 2.3 reb · 1.4 ast Score 21
TOWBig
G J. Womack6.8 pts · 3.9 reb · 0.5 ast Score 61
F S. Springer4.4 pts · 2 reb · 0.6 ast Score 4
TOWSmall
G C. Ndefo2.5 pts · 2.7 reb · 0.1 ast Score 32
F S. Emenalo3.1 pts · 3.1 reb · 0.4 ast Score 11
TOWSmall
F C. Embeya3.5 pts · 5.9 reb · 0.5 ast Score 37
F D. Harrison TR2.6 pts · 1.8 reb · 0 ast Not ranked
No call
F D. Badalau TR3.1 pts · 1.7 reb · 0.9 ast Score 32
Loyola MDBetterTowson
L-MD offense307th of 366 · -9.5
TOWBig
TOW defense113th of 366 · -1.4
L-MD defense313th of 366 · -8.1
Even
TOW offense266th of 366 · -8.1
Backcourt-1.4 · 2 players
Even
Backcourt-1.4 · 3 players
Frontcourt-4.7 · 3 players
TOWBig
Frontcourt-1.5 · 2 players
Bench-3.1 · 5 players
TOWBig
Bench-0.1 · 2 players
Score, worst to bestL-MD betterTOW betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers
Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
Loyola MD
Guards
T. Cicero14 minC. Berg-McLean14 minM. Ortega8 min · TRL. RickettsNewR. LongNewS. BiegNew
Forwards
S. Springer17 minS. Emenalo15 minD. Harrison12 min · TRE. Barnes8 minM. Hagedorn7 min · TRA. Huguet7 min · TR
Towson
Guards
B. Roseborough28 min · TRJ. Womack19 minC. Ndefo12 minZ. Stanford5 min · TRR. Skerry2 minC. DoerrNew
Forwards
C. Embeya21 minD. Badalau13 min · TRA. AtkinsonNewB. HolmesNewD. KirkNew
In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Shooting
Possessions
Defense
L-MDTOW
Scoring
73.7 #212Points per game67.1 #332
1.06 #227Points per possession1.05 #256
69.3 #165Pace (possessions)64.0 #360
Shooting
50.4 #219Effective FG%46.5 #345
32.5 #2513-point %29.4 #349
47.2 #303-point attempt rate34.9 #277
29.9 #312Free throw rate30.4 #299
Possessions
15.4 #101Turnover rate15.8 #128
27.6 #279Offensive rebound rate36.0 #24
12.6 #246Assists per game9.5 #364
Defense
78.5 #280Points allowed66.4 #18
1.14 #304Points allowed per possession1.04 #73
54.7 #321Opponent effective FG%48.5 #49
32.8 #106Opponent 3-point %30.9 #33
15.4 #261Turnovers forced15.1 #271
71.0 #103Defensive rebound rate70.9 #117
6.1 #221Steals per game5.8 #253
3.4 #156Blocks per game3.3 #175
From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

Loyola MD

10-20 in 2025-26 overall · 8-11 in conference · Patriot League

Last five, 2025-26
  • L@ Colgate77–90
  • W@ Holy Cross76–62
  • Lvs Navy51–78
  • L@ Colgate98–101
  • Lvs Army77–87

A week or more of rest.

Towson

17-15 in 2025-26 overall · 11-10 in conference · Coastal Athletic Association

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Hofstra65–68
  • Wvs Charleston81–56
  • Wvs Hampton74–68
  • W@ Stony Brook69–57
  • Wvs Campbell71–67

A week or more of rest.