1. NCAAB
  2. Tue, Nov 10
  3. WEB @ UTAH
NCAAB · Tue, Nov 10

Weber State Wildcats at Utah Utes

Jon M. Huntsman Center · at Utah
#313WEBWeber St
@
#73UTAHUtah
LineNo line yet 
Total— 
WEBThis seasonUTAH
0-0Record0-0
0-0ATS0-0
0-0O/U0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects UTAH 86–66 · win probability UTAH 96%
Pick this game
Your picksMy picks ›
Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
—
model 151.5
Model edge
—
No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: UTAH has more of the edges

WEB 2, UTAH 3 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games
Context
Schedule so far
WEB has played the 316th-hardest schedule, UTAH the 53rd. A record against a soft schedule means less
UTAHBig
UTAH offense vs WEB defense
Offense 79th of 366 against a defense 336th, on the model’s ratings
UTAHBig
WEB offense vs UTAH defense
Offense 280th of 366 against a defense 68th, on the model’s ratings
WEBBig
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: WEB 31.8%, UTAH 29.3%. Defensive: WEB 72.3%, UTAH 68.4%
WEBSmall
Turnovers
Turnover rate: WEB 15.7%, UTAH 16.7%. Forced: WEB 16.3%, UTAH 13.3%
Context
Tempo
About 70 possessions: WEB plays 70.7 a game (85th fastest), UTAH 68.3 (211th). Faster games mean more points
UTAHSmall
Home court
UTAH at home. This season: UTAH 0-0 at home, WEB 0-0 away
Even
Three-pointers
WEB hits 34.5% and allows 33.5%; UTAH hits 35.3% and allows 35.1%. Threes are 32.8% and 37.5% of their shots
Even
Shooting
Effective FG%: WEB 51.7 and allows 54.5; UTAH 52.0 and allows 53.9
Even
Free throws
Free throw rate: WEB 39.1, UTAH 31.7. Allowed: WEB 36.4, UTAH 29.9
Even
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: WEB 9%, UTAH 14%. Transfers in: WEB 2, UTAH 6. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Market

Open → current
Spread
Opening line not available
Total
 
Moneyline
—

Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.

Model vs market

MarketModelModel edge
Spread—UTAH -20.5—
Total—151.5—
Projected score—WEB 65.5 · UTAH 86

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›
ModelActual
1H spreadUTAH -12.1—
1H total70.8—
1H projected scoreWEB 29.4 · UTAH 41.4—
The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

Utah has the better starters

Position by position: Weber St 0, Utah 1, even 4
Weber StBetterUtah
G A. Grayson3.3 pts · 1.2 reb · 1 ast Score 6
UTAHBig
G T. Campbell TR13.7 pts · 3.8 reb · 3.9 ast Score 85
F B. Felder TR2.3 pts · 1.8 reb · 0 ast Not ranked
No call
G J. Holcombe TR15.9 pts · 6.5 reb · 3.6 ast Score 97
F D. Thompson NEWNo Division I numbers yet Not ranked
No call
G T. Burch TR12.8 pts · 2.5 reb · 3.4 ast Score 88
C A. Ekwe TR2.4 pts · 2.2 reb · 0.1 ast Not ranked
No call
G O. Abbey2.5 pts · 1.6 reb · 2.2 ast Score 12
C D. Cutler1.2 pts · 1.4 reb · 0.1 ast Not ranked
No call
C M. Gomma TR8 pts · 6.8 reb · 1.4 ast Score 28
Weber StBetterUtah
WEB offense280th of 366 · -8.6
UTAHBig
UTAH defense68th of 366 · +0.9
WEB defense336th of 366 · -8.9
UTAHBig
UTAH offense79th of 366 · +0.7
Backcourt-1.7 · 1 player
UTAHBig
Backcourt+6.8 · 4 players
Frontcourt-0.8 · 4 players
Even
Frontcourt-1.4 · 1 player
BenchNo numbers yet
No call
Bench-0.7 · 3 players
Score, worst to bestWEB betterUTAH betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers
Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
Weber St
Guards
A. Grayson12 minA. JacksonNewA. PowellNewM. AbittanNewS. Marius JonesNewH. HansenNew
Forwards
B. Felder6 min · TRD. ThompsonNewD. WarlickNewC. BurgessNew
Centers
A. Ekwe10 min · TRD. Cutler6 min
Utah
Guards
T. Campbell34 min · TRJ. Holcombe31 min · TRT. Burch25 min · TRO. Abbey15 minT. Chatman13 min · TRL. Langarita12 min
Forwards
G. Gaddis1 min · TRB. FayeNewZ. LoubakiNewJ. JohnsonNewA. AnigbataNew
Centers
M. Gomma26 min · TRF. SchottNewL. McCannaNew
In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Shooting
Possessions
Defense
WEBUTAH
Scoring
78.8 #82Points per game74.3 #185
1.11 #112Points per possession1.08 #173
70.7 #85Pace (possessions)68.3 #211
Shooting
51.7 #163Effective FG%52.0 #142
34.5 #1433-point %35.3 #98
32.8 #3203-point attempt rate37.5 #222
39.1 #76Free throw rate31.7 #262
Possessions
15.7 #115Turnover rate16.7 #175
31.8 #132Offensive rebound rate29.3 #224
12.6 #241Assists per game13.7 #169
Defense
79.1 #300Points allowed79.1 #302
1.12 #269Points allowed per possession1.16 #337
54.5 #316Opponent effective FG%53.9 #298
33.5 #160Opponent 3-point %35.1 #254
16.3 #204Turnovers forced13.3 #348
72.3 #56Defensive rebound rate68.4 #233
6.9 #133Steals per game5.3 #315
1.5 #360Blocks per game3.4 #160
From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

Weber St

14-16 in 2025-26 overall · 10-9 in conference · Big Sky Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs E Washington79–84
  • L@ Portland St60–84
  • W@ Idaho St83–73
  • Wvs Montana92–72
  • Wvs Montana St82–79

A week or more of rest.

Utah

10-22 in 2025-26 overall · 2-17 in conference · Big 12 Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Cincinnati66–73
  • L@ Baylor75–101
  • Lvs Colorado78–92
  • L@ Arizona St60–73
  • Lvs Iowa State59–75

A week or more of rest.