1. NCAAB
  2. Wed, Nov 18
  3. NOLA @ TTU
NCAAB · Wed, Nov 18

LSU New Orleans Privateers at Texas Tech Red Raiders

United Supermarkets Arena · at Texas Tech
#276NOLALSU N Orleans
@
#12TTUTexas Tech AP #19
LineNo line yet 
Total— 
NOLAThis seasonTTU
0-0Record0-0
0-0ATS0-0
0-0O/U0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects TTU 94–61 · win probability TTU 100%
Pick this game
Your picksMy picks ›
Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
—
model 155.1
Model edge
—
No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: TTU has more of the edges

NOLA 1, TTU 7 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games
TTUBig
TTU offense vs NOLA defense
Offense 12th of 366 against a defense 316th, on the model’s ratings
TTUBig
NOLA offense vs TTU defense
Offense 230th of 366 against a defense 12th, on the model’s ratings
Context
Schedule so far
NOLA has played the 173rd-hardest schedule, TTU the 12th. A record against a soft schedule means less
TTUBig
Three-pointers
NOLA hits 31.8% and allows 32.4%; TTU hits 39.1% and allows 32.1%. Threes are 33.7% and 47.6% of their shots
TTUBig
Turnovers
Turnover rate: NOLA 20.4%, TTU 15.8%. Forced: NOLA 14.9%, TTU 14.8%
TTUBig
Shooting
Effective FG%: NOLA 49.6 and allows 49.0; TTU 56.1 and allows 49.7
NOLASmall
Free throws
Free throw rate: NOLA 46.4, TTU 27.7. Allowed: NOLA 39.5, TTU 31.4
Context
Tempo
About 69 possessions: NOLA plays 70.2 a game (110th fastest), TTU 68.2 (222nd). Faster games mean more points
TTUSmall
Home court
TTU at home. This season: TTU 0-0 at home, NOLA 0-0 away
TTUSmall
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: NOLA 35.6%, TTU 33.3%. Defensive: NOLA 65.5%, TTU 69.4%
Even
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: NOLA 22%, TTU 45%. Transfers in: NOLA 4, TTU 5. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Market

Open → current
Spread
Opening line not available
Total
 
Moneyline
—

Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.

Model vs market

MarketModelModel edge
Spread—TTU -33.1—
Total—155.1—
Projected score—NOLA 61 · TTU 94.1

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›
ModelActual
1H spreadTTU -19.6—
1H total72.5—
1H projected scoreNOLA 26.5 · TTU 46—
The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

Texas Tech has the better starters

Position by position: LSU N Orleans 0, Texas Tech 4, even 1
LSU N OrleansBetterTexas Tech
G K. Singleton TR13.8 pts · 3.1 reb · 0.9 ast Score 50
TTUBig
G C. Davis TR20.1 pts · 3.5 reb · 4.6 ast Score 91
G N. Jones TR14.9 pts · 3.5 reb · 2.5 ast Score 65
TTUSmall
G D. Atwell13.5 pts · 3.2 reb · 0.8 ast Score 88
G J. Chretien1.4 pts · 0.7 reb · 0.2 ast Not ranked
No call
G D. Gibbs-Lawhorn TR20.7 pts · 3.1 reb · 2.5 ast Score 95
F E. Boudouma5.3 pts · 3.1 reb · 0.8 ast Score 13
TTUBig
F J. Toppin21.8 pts · 10.8 reb · 2.1 ast Score 100
F K. Osby4.9 pts · 2.2 reb · 0.2 ast Score 10
TTUBig
F D. Williams TR14 pts · 4.6 reb · 2.8 ast Score 76
LSU N OrleansBetterTexas Tech
NOLA offense230th of 366 · -7.1
TTUBig
TTU defense12th of 366 · +6.6
NOLA defense316th of 366 · -8.2
TTUBig
TTU offense12th of 366 · +9.9
Backcourt-1.8 · 3 players
TTUBig
Backcourt+10.4 · 3 players
Frontcourt-3.6 · 2 players
TTUBig
Frontcourt+10.8 · 2 players
Bench-1.4 · 2 players
TTUBig
Bench+7.2 · 4 players
Score, worst to bestNOLA betterTTU betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers
Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
LSU N Orleans
Guards
K. Singleton35 min · TRN. Jones32 min · TRJ. Chretien9 minC. OkeyNewY. OrtizNewS. ParsonNew
Forwards
E. Boudouma18 minK. Osby17 minK. Ratliff9 min · TRW. CampbellNewS. OminuNewE. NwakammaNew
Centers
J. Pace5 min · TR
Texas Tech
Guards
C. Davis39 min · TRD. Atwell35 minD. Gibbs-Lawhorn35 min · TRD. Dennis24 min · TRD. SpearNewA. BarrettNew
Forwards
J. Toppin35 minD. Williams30 min · TRJ. Stillwell28 min · TRJ. Moseley14 minM. Akuentok6 minL. HooverNew
In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Shooting
Possessions
Defense
NOLATTU
Scoring
74.5 #178Points per game80.3 #62
1.06 #226Points per possession1.18 #35
70.2 #110Pace (possessions)68.2 #222
Shooting
49.6 #258Effective FG%56.1 #21
31.8 #2873-point %39.1 #4
33.7 #3023-point attempt rate47.6 #29
46.4 #1Free throw rate27.7 #347
Possessions
20.4 #353Turnover rate15.8 #123
35.6 #34Offensive rebound rate33.3 #82
12.9 #214Assists per game15.7 #59
Defense
77.7 #260Points allowed73.1 #134
1.11 #238Points allowed per possession1.07 #138
49.0 #71Opponent effective FG%49.7 #86
32.4 #86Opponent 3-point %32.1 #67
14.9 #301Turnovers forced14.8 #305
65.5 #325Defensive rebound rate69.4 #186
5.8 #258Steals per game6.0 #239
3.8 #105Blocks per game3.8 #103
From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

LSU N Orleans

15-18 in 2025-26 overall · 13-11 in conference · Southland Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Texas A&M-CC61–74
  • Wvs Hou Christian73–60
  • Lvs SE Louisiana78–82
  • Lvs McNeese63–66
  • W@ SF Austin77–73

A week or more of rest.

Texas Tech

23-11 in 2025-26 overall · 12-7 in conference · Big 12 Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Alabama65–90
  • Wvs Akron91–71
  • Lvs Iowa State53–75
  • L@ BYU76–82
  • Lvs TCU65–73

A week or more of rest.