1. NCAAB
  2. Tue, Dec 8
  3. OMA @ TTU
NCAAB · Tue, Dec 8

Omaha Mavericks at Texas Tech Red Raiders

United Supermarkets Arena · at Texas Tech
#279OMAOmaha
@
#12TTUTexas Tech AP #19
LineNo line yet 
Total— 
OMAThis seasonTTU
0-0Record0-0
0-0ATS0-0
0-0O/U0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects TTU 94–59 · win probability TTU 100%
Pick this game
Your picksMy picks ›
Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
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model 153.3
Model edge
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No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: TTU has more of the edges

OMA 1, TTU 6 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games
TTUBig
TTU offense vs OMA defense
Offense 12th of 366 against a defense 306th, on the model’s ratings
Context
Schedule so far
OMA has played the 287th-hardest schedule, TTU the 12th. A record against a soft schedule means less
TTUBig
OMA offense vs TTU defense
Offense 247th of 366 against a defense 12th, on the model’s ratings
TTUBig
Shooting
Effective FG%: OMA 52.2 and allows 52.7; TTU 56.1 and allows 49.7
TTUSmall
Three-pointers
OMA hits 34.0% and allows 32.9%; TTU hits 39.1% and allows 32.1%. Threes are 40.9% and 47.6% of their shots
TTUSmall
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: OMA 25.5%, TTU 33.3%. Defensive: OMA 71.3%, TTU 69.4%
TTUSmall
Home court
TTU at home. This season: TTU 0-0 at home, OMA 0-0 away
OMASmall
Free throws
Free throw rate: OMA 34.5, TTU 27.7. Allowed: OMA 33.6, TTU 31.4
Even
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: OMA 23%, TTU 45%. Transfers in: OMA 4, TTU 5. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
Even
Turnovers
Turnover rate: OMA 16.1%, TTU 15.8%. Forced: OMA 14.1%, TTU 14.8%
Context
Tempo
About 69 possessions: OMA plays 68.9 a game (184th fastest), TTU 68.2 (222nd). Faster games mean more points
Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Market

Open → current
Spread
Opening line not available
Total
 
Moneyline
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Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.

Model vs market

MarketModelModel edge
Spread—TTU -34.9—
Total—153.3—
Projected score—OMA 59.2 · TTU 94.1

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›
ModelActual
1H spreadTTU -20.6—
1H total71.7—
1H projected scoreOMA 25.5 · TTU 46.1—
The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

Texas Tech has the better starters

Position by position: Omaha 0, Texas Tech 4, even 1
OmahaBetterTexas Tech
G G. Stubblefield9.3 pts · 3.1 reb · 3.3 ast Score 64
TTUSmall
G C. Davis TR20.1 pts · 3.5 reb · 4.6 ast Score 91
G C. Crosby TR2.5 pts · 0.9 reb · 0.3 ast Score 24
TTUBig
G D. Atwell13.5 pts · 3.2 reb · 0.8 ast Score 88
G A. Skradis0.4 pts · 0.3 reb · 0 ast Not ranked
No call
G D. Gibbs-Lawhorn TR20.7 pts · 3.1 reb · 2.5 ast Score 95
F C. Dockery TR7.3 pts · 5.7 reb · 0.8 ast Score 41
TTUBig
F J. Toppin21.8 pts · 10.8 reb · 2.1 ast Score 100
F B. Scholl3.7 pts · 3.2 reb · 0.3 ast Score 26
TTUBig
F D. Williams TR14 pts · 4.6 reb · 2.8 ast Score 76
OmahaBetterTexas Tech
OMA offense247th of 366 · -7.5
TTUBig
TTU defense12th of 366 · +6.6
OMA defense306th of 366 · -7.8
TTUBig
TTU offense12th of 366 · +9.9
Backcourt-0.7 · 3 players
TTUBig
Backcourt+10.4 · 3 players
Frontcourt-1.6 · 2 players
TTUBig
Frontcourt+10.8 · 2 players
Bench-0.0 · 2 players
TTUBig
Bench+7.2 · 4 players
Score, worst to bestOMA betterTTU betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers
Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
Omaha
Guards
G. Stubblefield29 minC. Crosby9 min · TRA. Skradis2 minD. Thompson1 min · TRB. OrgilboldNewC. CurtisNew
Forwards
C. Dockery22 min · TRB. Scholl14 minJ. Bolis2 min · TRD. PleasantNewE. SheatsNewG. BakerNew
Centers
I. OndekaneNewH. BukingaNew
Texas Tech
Guards
C. Davis39 min · TRD. Atwell35 minD. Gibbs-Lawhorn35 min · TRD. Dennis24 min · TRD. SpearNewA. BarrettNew
Forwards
J. Toppin35 minD. Williams30 min · TRJ. Stillwell28 min · TRJ. Moseley14 minM. Akuentok6 minL. HooverNew
In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Shooting
Possessions
Defense
OMATTU
Scoring
73.9 #202Points per game80.3 #62
1.07 #201Points per possession1.18 #35
68.9 #184Pace (possessions)68.2 #222
Shooting
52.2 #139Effective FG%56.1 #21
34.0 #1693-point %39.1 #4
40.9 #1503-point attempt rate47.6 #29
34.5 #196Free throw rate27.7 #347
Possessions
16.1 #146Turnover rate15.8 #123
25.5 #331Offensive rebound rate33.3 #82
12.1 #276Assists per game15.7 #59
Defense
77.7 #259Points allowed73.1 #134
1.13 #278Points allowed per possession1.07 #138
52.7 #258Opponent effective FG%49.7 #86
32.9 #114Opponent 3-point %32.1 #67
14.1 #333Turnovers forced14.8 #305
71.3 #90Defensive rebound rate69.4 #186
5.7 #277Steals per game6.0 #239
3.0 #234Blocks per game3.8 #103
From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

Omaha

12-17 in 2025-26 overall · 9-9 in conference · Summit League

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs N Dakota St50–74
  • Wvs South Dakota76–62
  • L@ St Thomas53–68
  • L@ South Dakota72–89
  • Wvs Oral Roberts80–71

A week or more of rest.

Texas Tech

23-11 in 2025-26 overall · 12-7 in conference · Big 12 Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Alabama65–90
  • Wvs Akron91–71
  • Lvs Iowa State53–75
  • L@ BYU76–82
  • Lvs TCU65–73

A week or more of rest.