1. NCAAB
  2. Sat, Nov 21
  3. NOLA @ TXSO
NCAAB · Sat, Nov 21

LSU New Orleans Privateers at Texas Southern Tigers

H&PE Arena · at Texas Southern
#276NOLALSU N Orleans
@
#322TXSOTexas Southern
LineNo line yet 
Total— 
NOLAThis seasonTXSO
0-0Record0-0
0-0ATS0-0
0-0O/U0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects NOLA 77–74 · win probability NOLA 61%
Pick this game
Your picksMy picks ›
Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
—
model 151.3
Model edge
—
No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: NOLA has more of the edges

NOLA 4, TXSO 2 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games
Context
Schedule so far
NOLA has played the 173rd-hardest schedule, TXSO the 329th. A record against a soft schedule means less
NOLASmall
NOLA offense vs TXSO defense
Offense 230th of 366 against a defense 323rd, on the model’s ratings
TXSOSmall
Turnovers
Turnover rate: NOLA 20.4%, TXSO 18.5%. Forced: NOLA 14.9%, TXSO 16.5%
NOLASmall
Shooting
Effective FG%: NOLA 49.6 and allows 49.0; TXSO 49.7 and allows 52.5
NOLASmall
Free throws
Free throw rate: NOLA 46.4, TXSO 38.2. Allowed: NOLA 39.5, TXSO 44.0
TXSOSmall
Home court
TXSO at home. This season: TXSO 0-0 at home, NOLA 0-0 away
NOLASmall
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: NOLA 35.6%, TXSO 28.8%. Defensive: NOLA 65.5%, TXSO 68.8%
Context
Tempo
About 71 possessions: NOLA plays 70.2 a game (110th fastest), TXSO 71.8 (40th). Faster games mean more points
Even
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: NOLA 22%, TXSO 37%. Transfers in: NOLA 4, TXSO 4. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
Even
Three-pointers
NOLA hits 31.8% and allows 32.4%; TXSO hits 33.1% and allows 34.1%. Threes are 33.7% and 32.5% of their shots
Even
TXSO offense vs NOLA defense
Offense 311th of 366 against a defense 316th, on the model’s ratings
Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Market

Open → current
Spread
Opening line not available
Total
 
Moneyline
—

Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.

Model vs market

MarketModelModel edge
Spread—NOLA -3.2—
Total—151.3—
Projected score—NOLA 77.2 · TXSO 74

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›
ModelActual
1H spreadNOLA -2.0—
1H total70.7—
1H projected scoreNOLA 36.4 · TXSO 34.3—
The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

LSU N Orleans has the better starters

Position by position: LSU N Orleans 1, Texas Southern 0, even 4
LSU N OrleansBetterTexas Southern
G K. Singleton TR13.8 pts · 3.1 reb · 0.9 ast Score 50
NOLASmall
G K. Bilal TR5.6 pts · 2 reb · 0.4 ast Score 23
G N. Jones TR14.9 pts · 3.5 reb · 2.5 ast Score 65
No call
G C. Patterson6.4 pts · 2 reb · 1 ast Not ranked
G J. Chretien1.4 pts · 0.7 reb · 0.2 ast Not ranked
No call
G B. Vungo TR3.4 pts · 3.6 reb · 0.4 ast Not ranked
F E. Boudouma5.3 pts · 3.1 reb · 0.8 ast Score 13
Even
F A. Andrews2.9 pts · 1.7 reb · 0.7 ast Score 7
F K. Osby4.9 pts · 2.2 reb · 0.2 ast Score 10
Even
C J. Gorecki2.3 pts · 3.1 reb · 0.6 ast Score 5
LSU N OrleansBetterTexas Southern
NOLA offense230th of 366 · -7.1
NOLASmall
TXSO defense323rd of 366 · -8.4
NOLA defense316th of 366 · -8.2
Even
TXSO offense311th of 366 · -9.7
Backcourt-1.8 · 3 players
Even
Backcourt-2.1 · 3 players
Frontcourt-3.6 · 2 players
Even
Frontcourt-4.1 · 2 players
Bench-1.4 · 2 players
NOLASmall
Bench-4.2 · 5 players
Score, worst to bestNOLA betterTXSO betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers
Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
LSU N Orleans
Guards
K. Singleton35 min · TRN. Jones32 min · TRJ. Chretien9 minC. OkeyNewY. OrtizNewS. ParsonNew
Forwards
E. Boudouma18 minK. Osby17 minK. Ratliff9 min · TRW. CampbellNewS. OminuNewE. NwakammaNew
Centers
J. Pace5 min · TR
Texas Southern
Guards
K. Bilal21 min · TRC. Patterson16 minB. Vungo12 min · TRA. Nedal12 minJ. Hamilton7 minJ. Kimbrough4 min · TR
Forwards
A. Andrews13 minJ. Akpovwa9 minX. Wedlow3 min · TRJ. FarmerNew
Centers
J. Gorecki17 min
In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Shooting
Possessions
Defense
NOLATXSO
Scoring
74.5 #178Points per game73.9 #204
1.06 #226Points per possession1.03 #293
70.2 #110Pace (possessions)71.8 #40
Shooting
49.6 #258Effective FG%49.7 #251
31.8 #2873-point %33.1 #224
33.7 #3023-point attempt rate32.5 #324
46.4 #1Free throw rate38.2 #96
Possessions
20.4 #353Turnover rate18.5 #297
35.6 #34Offensive rebound rate28.8 #237
12.9 #214Assists per game11.1 #332
Defense
77.7 #260Points allowed80.0 #318
1.11 #238Points allowed per possession1.12 #260
49.0 #71Opponent effective FG%52.5 #240
32.4 #86Opponent 3-point %34.1 #190
14.9 #301Turnovers forced16.5 #188
65.5 #325Defensive rebound rate68.8 #211
5.8 #258Steals per game6.6 #167
3.8 #105Blocks per game3.3 #173
From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

LSU N Orleans

15-18 in 2025-26 overall · 13-11 in conference · Southland Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Texas A&M-CC61–74
  • Wvs Hou Christian73–60
  • Lvs SE Louisiana78–82
  • Lvs McNeese63–66
  • W@ SF Austin77–73

A week or more of rest.

Texas Southern

10-18 in 2025-26 overall · 10-9 in conference · Southwestern Athletic Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Alabama A&M74–85
  • Lvs Prairie View59–70
  • Wvs Jackson St82–57
  • Wvs Alcorn St92–87
  • L@ Miss Valley St71–72

A week or more of rest.