1. NCAAB
  2. Tue, Dec 1
  3. NOLA @ ARIZ
NCAAB · Tue, Dec 1

LSU New Orleans Privateers at Arizona Wildcats

McKale Center at ALKEME Arena · at Arizona
#276NOLALSU N Orleans
@
#5ARIZArizona AP #5
LineNo line yet 
Total— 
NOLAThis seasonARIZ
0-0Record0-0
0-0ATS0-0
0-0O/U0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects ARIZ 96–58 · win probability ARIZ 100%
Pick this game
Your picksMy picks ›
Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
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model 153.9
Model edge
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No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: ARIZ has more of the edges

NOLA 0, ARIZ 8 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games
ARIZBig
ARIZ offense vs NOLA defense
Offense 4th of 366 against a defense 316th, on the model’s ratings
ARIZBig
NOLA offense vs ARIZ defense
Offense 230th of 366 against a defense 7th, on the model’s ratings
ARIZBig
Turnovers
Turnover rate: NOLA 20.4%, ARIZ 15.1%. Forced: NOLA 14.9%, ARIZ 16.2%
Context
Schedule so far
NOLA has played the 173rd-hardest schedule, ARIZ the 11th. A record against a soft schedule means less
ARIZBig
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: NOLA 35.6%, ARIZ 38.4%. Defensive: NOLA 65.5%, ARIZ 73.1%
ARIZBig
Three-pointers
NOLA hits 31.8% and allows 32.4%; ARIZ hits 36.6% and allows 31.4%. Threes are 33.7% and 26.4% of their shots
ARIZBig
Shooting
Effective FG%: NOLA 49.6 and allows 49.0; ARIZ 54.7 and allows 45.3
ARIZBig
Free throws
Free throw rate: NOLA 46.4, ARIZ 43.9. Allowed: NOLA 39.5, ARIZ 27.1
ARIZSmall
Home court
ARIZ at home. This season: ARIZ 0-0 at home, NOLA 0-0 away
Context
Tempo
About 71 possessions: NOLA plays 70.2 a game (110th fastest), ARIZ 71.6 (49th). Faster games mean more points
Even
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: NOLA 22%, ARIZ 29%. Transfers in: NOLA 4, ARIZ 5. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Market

Open → current
Spread
Opening line not available
Total
 
Moneyline
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Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.

Model vs market

MarketModelModel edge
Spread—ARIZ -37.7—
Total—153.9—
Projected score—NOLA 58.1 · ARIZ 95.8

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›
ModelActual
1H spreadARIZ -22.3—
1H total71.9—
1H projected scoreNOLA 24.8 · ARIZ 47.1—
The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

Arizona has the better starters

Position by position: LSU N Orleans 0, Arizona 2, even 3
LSU N OrleansBetterArizona
G K. Singleton TR13.8 pts · 3.1 reb · 0.9 ast Score 50
Even
G D. Dixon TR6.5 pts · 2.3 reb · 2.7 ast Score 55
G N. Jones TR14.9 pts · 3.5 reb · 2.5 ast Score 65
Even
G J. Mandaquit TR5.2 pts · 2.1 reb · 3.2 ast Score 62
G J. Chretien1.4 pts · 0.7 reb · 0.2 ast Not ranked
No call
F I. Kharchenkov10.4 pts · 4.3 reb · 2.3 ast Score 83
F E. Boudouma5.3 pts · 3.1 reb · 0.8 ast Score 13
ARIZBig
F R. Godfrey TR12 pts · 5.3 reb · 1.6 ast Score 96
F K. Osby4.9 pts · 2.2 reb · 0.2 ast Score 10
ARIZBig
C M. Krivas10.4 pts · 8.2 reb · 1.1 ast Score 95
LSU N OrleansBetterArizona
NOLA offense230th of 366 · -7.1
ARIZBig
ARIZ defense7th of 366 · +8.8
NOLA defense316th of 366 · -8.2
ARIZBig
ARIZ offense4th of 366 · +11.0
Backcourt-1.8 · 3 players
ARIZSmall
Backcourt-0.3 · 2 players
Frontcourt-3.6 · 2 players
ARIZBig
Frontcourt+10.8 · 3 players
Bench-1.4 · 2 players
ARIZSmall
Bench-0.1 · 4 players
Score, worst to bestNOLA betterARIZ betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers
Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
LSU N Orleans
Guards
K. Singleton35 min · TRN. Jones32 min · TRJ. Chretien9 minC. OkeyNewY. OrtizNewS. ParsonNew
Forwards
E. Boudouma18 minK. Osby17 minK. Ratliff9 min · TRW. CampbellNewS. OminuNewE. NwakammaNew
Centers
J. Pace5 min · TR
Arizona
Guards
D. Dixon22 min · TRJ. Mandaquit20 min · TRA. Arnold2 minJ. Cook1 minB. JamesNewC. HolmesNew
Forwards
I. Kharchenkov28 minR. Godfrey25 min · TRE. Otten15 min · TRU. Jarusevicius11 min · TRM. MawutNewE. AiyamenkhueNew
Centers
M. Krivas25 min
In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Shooting
Possessions
Defense
NOLAARIZ
Scoring
74.5 #178Points per game86.2 #11
1.06 #226Points per possession1.21 #11
70.2 #110Pace (possessions)71.6 #49
Shooting
49.6 #258Effective FG%54.7 #45
31.8 #2873-point %36.6 #37
33.7 #3023-point attempt rate26.4 #363
46.4 #1Free throw rate43.9 #11
Possessions
20.4 #353Turnover rate15.1 #76
35.6 #34Offensive rebound rate38.4 #5
12.9 #214Assists per game16.4 #38
Defense
77.7 #260Points allowed69.4 #53
1.11 #238Points allowed per possession0.97 #6
49.0 #71Opponent effective FG%45.3 #4
32.4 #86Opponent 3-point %31.4 #42
14.9 #301Turnovers forced16.2 #209
65.5 #325Defensive rebound rate73.1 #34
5.8 #258Steals per game7.4 #95
3.8 #105Blocks per game4.2 #55
From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

LSU N Orleans

15-18 in 2025-26 overall · 13-11 in conference · Southland Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Texas A&M-CC61–74
  • Wvs Hou Christian73–60
  • Lvs SE Louisiana78–82
  • Lvs McNeese63–66
  • W@ SF Austin77–73

A week or more of rest.

Arizona

36-3 in 2025-26 overall · 19-2 in conference · Big 12 Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Michigan73–91
  • Wvs Purdue79–64
  • Wvs Arkansas109–88
  • Wvs Utah State78–66
  • Wvs Long Island92–58

A week or more of rest.